*Poonawalla Fincorp Ltd.* P&F; Formation on Yearly Basis. *W* on Monthly Basis. Strong Retest & Upswing begins. Strong Vol. Accumulation done. RSI: 1H W
NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis ? Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path ?, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment. 1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture ?️ The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively. A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating. 2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure ?️ My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4). This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area. Anticipated Scenario: I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it. Point of Interest (POI): The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. ? 3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15): Entry Confirmation Trigger ? The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level). What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows). Confirmation Signal: For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for: A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high). Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level. Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary). Synthesized Outlook & Strategy: The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback. The Strategy: Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). ?♀️ Confirmation: Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). ? Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry. Targets: Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. ? Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. ?️ Fundamental Check: cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. ?
Chart Observations: 1. Trend Direction: The market has shifted from a strong downtrend to a bullish reversal. A clean breakout from the consolidation zone (red resistance zone turned support) confirms bullish momentum. 2. Moving Averages: Price is above all EMAs (red, yellow, green, blue lines), indicating bullish alignment. The EMAs are fanned out and sloping upward — further confluence for bullish continuation. 3. Support/Resistance Zones: The red zone around 0.63875–0.64100 now acts as strong support. Next key resistance: 0.65425 (Take Profit area in the trade). 4. Entry Confirmation: The green bullish candle just broke out of resistance with volume and momentum. A strong bullish engulfing pattern near the breakout point. 5. Risk/Reward Setup: Stop Loss: 0.63875 Entry: Around 0.64120 Take Profit: 0.65425 R:R ratio is healthy (~2:1 or more). Additional Notes: If price dips back into the red zone and closes below 0.63875 on a 4H candle — exit the trade. If price consolidates near current levels, wait for another bullish candle to enter or add to position. Always monitor DXY and fundamentals (US data releases, RBA tone) for confirmation.
today igot 1:650 RR trade in #nas1004ht pd aray and 15min aray and 1 min entry
Under the influence of multiple positive factors, gold continues to hit new historical highs. Trade frictions and Fed policies have undergone major changes, and the probability of gold going up has further increased. Therefore, the gold trading strategy at the beginning of this week is mainly to go long on pullbacks, supplemented by shorting.
By Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst Following the impact of the war in Ukraine and the volatility of Russian gas supplies, Europe has accelerated its transition toward clean energy sources. By 2024, 48% of the EU's electricity mix already comes from renewables, 24% from nuclear power, and only 28% from fossil fuels. Spain is even further ahead, with renewables accounting for 55.8% of its electricity system. This evolution has led to a 59% reduction in CO₂ emissions and a 16% annual drop in the average price of electricity. However, the green transition faces challenges such as renewable intermittency, technological dependency, and a shortage of skilled personnel. In response, both Europe and the U.S. are reinforcing their commitment to nuclear energy, particularly through Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), a safer, more flexible, and more efficient technology. SMRs offer key advantages: compact design, lower costs, and the ability to be installed near industrial centers or remote communities. In Europe, France is leading the charge through EDF, which expects to have its first NUWARD prototype operational before 2030. In the UK, Rolls-Royce is developing 470 MWe reactors with both public and private support, aiming to build up to 10 units by 2035. Meanwhile, Tractebel (ENGIE) is working on SMR engineering projects across Central and Eastern Europe. In the U.S., SMR technology has gained momentum with support from the Department of Energy. NuScale Power was the first company to receive design approval from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), and although its Utah project was canceled, it maintains agreements with Canada, Romania, and Ukraine. Also notable is Oklo Inc., backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, which went public in 2024 with an innovative compact reactor. Other key players include Constellation Energy and Vistra Corp., which operate nuclear facilities, as well as private firms TerraPower (founded by Bill Gates) and X-energy—both federally funded. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has funneled billions in incentives toward clean energy in the U.S., supporting both renewable and nuclear technologies. The transatlantic approach is clear: combine solar, wind, storage, and SMRs to achieve a clean, resilient, and competitive energy supply. NuScale Power Corp. Analysis On the hourly chart, NuScale entered an accumulation phase starting on October 24, 2024, pushing its price up to a peak of $32.30 by March 25, 2025. However, it has since lost momentum, largely due to the uncertainty triggered by U.S. tariff policies. Currently, the stock is trending toward a key support zone around $16.75, a level that previously acted as resistance multiple times. The firmest support lies at $11.02, marking a recent low. The Point of Control (POC), which indicates the price level with the highest traded volume, currently stands at around $18.36—just above immediate resistance. The most active trading range is between $17.24 and $25.60. Technical indicators show an RSI at 48.18%, suggesting slight overselling, though not extreme. Moving average crossovers are unclear, reflecting market indecision. This lack of bullish strength may prolong the current sideways movement. In the long term, if market sentiment improves and regulatory tensions ease, the stock could recover toward the mid-range zone of around $21.00. Publicly Traded Energy Companies: Renewables and SMRs Nuclear Energy and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) • EDF – ?? Euronext Paris: EDF • Tractebel (ENGIE) – ?? Euronext Paris: ENGI • Rolls-Royce SMR – ?? LSE: RR • NuScale Power – ?? NYSE: SMR • Oklo Inc. – ?? NYSE: OKLO • Constellation Energy – ?? NASDAQ: CEG • Vistra Corp. – ?? NYSE: VST • Cameco Corp (Uranium) – ?? NYSE: CCJ Private Companies to Watch • TerraPower – ?? (Bill Gates, Natrium Reactor) • X-energy – ?? (Xe-100 Reactor, DOE-funded) Renewables and Energy Storage • Iberdrola – ?? BME: IBE • Acciona Energía – ?? BME: ANE • Ørsted – ?? CPH: ORSTED • Enel – ?? BIT: ENEL • Siemens Energy – ?? ETR: ENR • Vestas Wind Systems – ?? CPH: VWS • First Solar – ?? NASDAQ: FSLR • NextEra Energy – ?? NYSE: NEE • Plug Power – ?? NASDAQ: PLUG • Bloom Energy – ?? NYSE: BE In this context, investment opportunities are expanding rapidly. Companies like EDF, Rolls-Royce, NuScale, Oklo, and Iberdrola are well positioned to lead the energy transition. The green revolution is no longer just about renewables—the new energy era is also nuclear. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. 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This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section We are now within the red circle from the previous analysis, but it seems that wave e of the pattern has extended a bit further. There’s a clear order block on the chart, and below this order block, there is a liquidity pool. We expect a reaction to the red zone For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
after the bullish movement during oct-2024, it has corrected significantly and is now near the 0.16 range almost near the start of the previous bull trend. Have taken support on the 200ema(weekly) higher highs and higher lows are still intact.
Introduction Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions. In this guide, we will break down: - The difference between BOS and MSS - When and why they occur - How to identify them on your charts - How to trade based on these structures - Real chart examples for visual clarity --- Break of Structure (BOS) A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend . Key Characteristics: - Happens with the trend - Confirms continuation - Can be used to trail stops or add to positions Example: In an uptrend: - Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form - Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside https://www.tradingview.com/x/re1lVOlk/ --- Market Structure Shift (MSS) Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs). Key Characteristics: - Happens against the trend] - Signals possible trend reversal - Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt - Optional: is created by a displacement candle Example: In an uptrend: - Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab) - Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside https://www.tradingview.com/x/GEki1Xko/ --- How to Identify BOS and MSS For BOS: 1. Determine the current trend. 2. Identify swing highs/lows. 3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend . For MSS: 1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows. 2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure . 3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend). https://www.tradingview.com/x/L5mPPlSM/ --- Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy With BOS: - Use it to confirm trend continuation - Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG - Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH With MSS: - Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal) - Use it to spot early reversal entries - Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m) - If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest https://www.tradingview.com/x/xTNpdbIX/ --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Confusing BOS with MSS - Ignoring higher timeframe context - Trading MSS too early without confirmation - Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups. https://www.tradingview.com/x/HJwb1RFm/ --- Final Thoughts Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro. Happy Trading!
Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week. I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41). Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders. And some data: The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%. The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week. Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!