Gold prices have followed an interesting trajectory over the past 24 hours, aligning perfectly with our earlier expectations. After a strong rally, gold hit the critical target of $2656, reaching as high as $2664 before entering the marked supply zone. As anticipated, the supply zone acted as a resistance, triggering a sharp decline to $2642. This movement provided an excellent trading opportunity for those who closely monitored the levels outlined in our previous analysis. Current Market Context At the moment, gold is trading around $2650, navigating within a crucial range. The price action suggests that gold is testing the resilience of buyers and sellers. If it stabilizes above $2644, we could see further bullish momentum, with the potential to hit the following targets: • $2655 – A minor resistance level, which could set the tone for stronger upward momentum. • $2661 – The next key level, signaling continued bullish strength. • $2666 – A level of psychological resistance, marking a significant test for buyers. • $2673 – The ultimate target for this leg of the rally, contingent on sustained demand and favorable conditions. Fundamental Factors Driving Gold Prices Gold's current trajectory has been influenced by a mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers: • U.S. Economic Data: Robust job market data released earlier this week highlights the resilience of the U.S. economy. Job openings rose to 8.09 million in November, reflecting strong economic activity. However, this has bolstered the U.S. dollar and treasury yields, creating headwinds for gold as a non-yielding asset. • Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have diminished, as recent comments from Fed officials suggest a cautious approach to monetary easing. Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasized that the Fed may slow down rate cuts due to persistent inflation. • Central Bank Gold Demand: On the bullish side, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the second consecutive month, a move that reflects sustained demand for the metal from the world’s largest consumer. Central bank purchases, particularly in the context of geopolitical uncertainties, have continued to support gold prices globally. Technical Insights From a technical standpoint: • Support Levels: If gold fails to hold above $2644, we could see a deeper retracement toward $2633 and possibly $2625. These levels represent the nearest support zones where buyers may re-enter the market. • Resistance Levels: On the upside, the supply zone between $2664 and $2673 will be a critical area to watch. A break and sustained close above $2673 could signal the start of a new bullish trend. • Market Sentiment: Despite recent volatility, sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders closely watching global economic data and U.S. Federal Reserve updates for further direction. Looking Ahead Key events later this week, including U.S. jobs data and the ADP employment report, will likely have a significant impact on gold's short-term direction. Traders should also keep an eye on movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and treasury yields, as these remain inversely correlated with gold prices. Action Plan: For now, the focus remains on how gold reacts around $2644. If the metal stabilizes above this level, traders can look for opportunities to target $2655, $2661, and beyond. Conversely, a breakdown below $2644 could lead to short-term selling pressure, offering opportunities for a potential retracement trade. Stay tuned for further updates and detailed analysis! Let’s capitalize on these market moves! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Have you realized that your dollars or euros don't buy what they used to? Inflation, the quiet thief of purchasing power, has become a pressing issue for both individuals and investors. In November 2024, the annual inflation rate in the United States increased to 2.7%, marking its second consecutive rise, while inflation in the eurozone reached 2.2%. Though these figures may appear modest, even slight upticks in inflation can significantly reduce the value of your savings and investments over the long haul. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ikX3H91M/ United States Inflation Rate YoY (ECONOMICS:USIRYY) The Basics of Inflation and Its Effects Inflation transpires when the overall price level of goods and services rises, diminishing the purchasing power of money. If left unchecked, it can undermine the real value of your assets and complicate your financial aspirations. In such a climate, cultivating strategies to hedge against inflation becomes vital. Effective inflation hedging allows individuals to safeguard their assets, maintain their value, and even potentially grow their wealth during times of rising prices. This article delves into several of the most potent inflation hedges, such as equities, global diversification, real estate, precious metals. Each approach carries distinct advantages for protecting your portfolio from the pressures of inflation. Equities: A Reliable Defense Against Inflation Historically, stocks have emerged as one of the most effective long-term instruments for mitigating inflation. Companies often adapt to increasing costs by raising prices, allowing them to sustain profitability. By investing in shares of these companies, individuals can benefit from their ability to pass on costs, which helps preserve and potentially grow their investments during inflationary stretches. Certain sectors are particularly adept at thriving in inflationary climates. Consumer staples—essential goods such as food, beverages, and household products—tend to perform consistently because demand remains steady regardless of price hikes. Similarly, energy stocks often benefit from inflation, as rising oil and gas prices can directly enhance profits for firms in that sector. However, not every stock is an ideal candidate. It is essential to select high-quality companies with solid fundamentals, such as stable earnings, healthy balance sheets, and notable pricing power. Firms operating in industries with limited competition or significant barriers to entry often demonstrate stronger pricing capabilities, making them attractive choices during inflationary periods. By integrating thoughtfully chosen equities into your portfolio, you can protect your wealth while positioning yourself for long-term success. Stocks remain a foundational element of effective inflation-hedging strategies, offering both growth potential and a buffer against the dwindling purchasing power of money. Equity Growth Potential: Stocks tend to grow in value over the long term, often outpacing inflation. When inflation rises, companies can increase prices to maintain profit margins, which can lead to higher earnings and, eventually, stock prices. Investing in indices that reflect a broad range of companies, like the S&P 500, can provide exposure to this growth potential. Indices, such as the S&P 500, are statistical measures that track the performance of a specific group of stocks, representing a particular segment of the financial market. The S&P 500, for instance, comprises 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States, covering various industries. This index serves as a benchmark for the overall performance of the U.S. stock market and provides investors with insights into market trends, economic health, and the performance of large-cap stocks. Indices are commonly used by investors to gauge market movements, assess investment strategies, and create diversified portfolios. They can be passive investment vehicles, such as index funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which aim to replicate the performance of these indices, allowing investors to benefit from broad market exposure without needing to buy individual stocks directly. https://www.tradingview.com/x/5MFL6Vp3/ S&P500 Weekly chart From 2009 till today Read also: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/IsFtwYQ8-Long-Term-Investment-Building-Wealth-for-the-Future/ Global Diversification: Mitigating Risks Across Borders Inflation does not affect all economies with the same intensity; thus, diversifying investments internationally can serve as a powerful buffer against rising prices. By tapping into global markets, investors can shield their assets from localized inflation while gaining exposure to regions with robust economic prospects or consistently stable inflation rates—enhancing the overall performance of their portfolios. Emerging markets, in particular, present compelling opportunities during inflationary periods. Characterized by expanding sectors and rising middle classes, these economies often offer higher returns than developed nations, especially when inflation diminishes the purchasing power of domestic assets. Resource-rich countries generally benefit as commodity prices climb, propelling economic growth and creating appealing investment opportunities. International diversification also affords the benefit of currency diversification. By holding investments in multiple currencies, you gain exposure to exchange rate fluctuations that can mitigate the adverse effects of inflation. For example, if your home currency depreciates due to rising inflation, foreign assets denominated in stronger currencies may increase in value, acting as a natural hedge. Furthermore, currencies from economies with stable monetary policies can provide additional protection against inflationary pressures. By spreading investments across diverse global markets, sectors, and currencies, you not only reduce inflation risks but also position yourself to capitalize on a range of economic dynamics. Global diversification stands out as one of the most effective defenses against inflation in today’s interconnected economy. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Q8aWb0Dv/ Real Estate: A Tangible Investment with Upside Potential Real estate is widely recognized as one of the most effective assets during inflationary times. As a physical investment, real estate not only preserves value but often appreciates over time, frequently outpacing inflation rates. This makes it a potent hedge against inflation for both preserving and expanding wealth. One key advantage of real estate lies in its capacity to generate rental income. In times of inflation, landlords can often increase rents to keep pace with rising costs, ensuring that their income grows along with inflation. This reliable cash flow becomes especially resilient during economic uncertainty. Additionally, property values typically increase in correlation with inflation, driven by higher costs of construction materials, labor, and land. Investors who retain real estate during inflationary periods frequently observe a rise in asset values, granting both protection against inflation and opportunities for long-term gains. For those preferring a hands-off investment experience, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) present an excellent alternative. REITs allow individuals to invest in a diversified array of real estate assets—such as commercial buildings, residential properties, and infrastructure projects—without the need for active management. These trusts generally perform well during inflation as they benefit from both rising property values and increasing rental income. Moreover, real estate provides the added benefit of leveraging investments. By using borrowed funds to acquire property, investors can amplify their returns during inflation, as the value of their assets appreciates while the real costs of debt are diminished by inflation. https://www.tradingview.com/x/NTgRhyqo/ Precious Metals: A Time-Honored Financial Shield Gold and other precious metals have stood the test of time as reliable hedges against inflation. During economic uncertainty and rising prices, these assets frequently prove their worth as safe havens. Unlike fiat currencies, which may depreciate during inflation, precious metals tend to maintain or appreciate in value, making them essential components of a diversified portfolio. Gold's longstanding appeal stems from its ability to preserve purchasing power. When inflation erodes the value of paper money, gold often rises in price, acting as a shield against financial instability. Its widespread recognition as a store of value further enhances its reliability during periods of economic fluctuation. Investors can obtain exposure to gold in various forms, including physical assets like bullion and coins, which provide tangible ownership, as well as Gold ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) that allow trading without logistical concerns of storage. Furthermore, gold mining stocks can offer leveraged exposure to the metal; as gold prices rise, mining companies typically see their profit margins expand, making their stocks potentially lucrative investments. Emerging alongside these traditional forms is digital gold, allowing investors to purchase fractional amounts of gold online. This modern strategy combines the ease of ETFs with the security of owning physical gold, appealing to those looking to diversify with smaller investments. Gold also plays a unique role in market psychology. Its historical significance and status as a "crisis commodity" render it a go-to asset during geopolitical tensions or economic downturns. Incorporating precious metals into your investment approach—whether through physical assets, ETFs, mining stocks, or digital gold—enables effective shielding of your wealth from inflation while providing the flexibility to adapt to market shifts. https://www.tradingview.com/x/HGcXfIRQ/ Gold Futures Weekly chart from 2010 till now. Conclusion Inflation, while often gradual and subtle, can have a profound effect on your financial stability. By adopting astute investment strategies that hedge against inflation—such as investing in stocks, diversifying internationally, acquiring real estate, holding precious metals. As economic conditions change, staying informed and proactive will empower you to navigate and thrive in challenging environments. With the right strategies, you can not only keep pace with inflation but also secure a brighter financial future. ✅ Please share your thoughts about this article in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my post. 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Silver is at the upper end of a potential daily bear flag. It has been attempting to retest a horizontal structure. We can also see from the red trend line it is currently in a downwards trend. So long as we don't close above yesterday's high. The path of least resistance is lower.
I did post this out and got spanked twice But if you read the trade notes you will see the 3rd try paid out but not enough !!! Click here to go to the idea https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDJPY/lm6zfOnR-USDJPY-BEAR/ But here is a free trade for 2025 #usdjpy lets GO...
XRP is all about triangles. Average length of each past triangle for the breakout is 70-80% It means we break out current triangle on 19-20 Janaury, inauguration of the US President @realDonaldTrump https://x.com/ipich
Hey traders i am going to share you my first technical setup. Follow me and boost my charts if you like them. XAUGBP is now currently working on a major resistance zone and according to me it is now possible that XAUGBP can fall from here to the support level 2124 and 2119 and this is my mentioned target area also. Hopefully it can give rejection from this resistance area and go for short. KEY POINTS ENTRY 2149 SUPPORT LEVEL 2124 and 2119 STOPLOSS LEVEL 2160 if you love my charts then follow me and share it to your family and friends.
Waiting for a cross over on the 4hr chart on the AI Trend Navigator indicator. Then I'll be looking for an entry on the 15 minute chart. When this potential trade sets up, I may go long with a leveraged trade, and I also may buy the real asset. However, I will make that decision when I have re-evaluated the potential set up once we have the cross over.
New LONG Trade Alert: Associated Alcohols On the daily time frame, the chart looks ready to take off from here after the confirmed flag and pole breakout. I have entered in this trade using Risological Trading Indicator. Exit rule: Close the long position once you get the first RED candle close using the Risological indicator. https://www.tradingview.com/x/BQrYA40F/ Good luck to all! Follow for more!
Hello fellow trader I have caught the Gold with this setup and I think the Trend is bearish. What are your reviews about it share your thoughts in comment section. All I have prepared is in the chart and it is a 4-hour chart for XAU/USD Key features include: Highest Peak Point : Identifies a major resistance level. Resistance Zone : Near the top of the channel. Rangebound Areas : Highlight price consolidation zones. Support Zone : Near the bottom of the channel. Target and SL Area : Indicates potential short trade setups with defined stop-loss and target levels. Gold Sell entry from $2651 TP1; $2646 TP2; $2642 TP3; $2638 SL at $2663 Note; This is for educational purposes only not a trading advice. I prefer to trade with profit assurance and keeping market movement in mind. Kindly support me like, comment and share my ideas with your friends.
We've reached the bull flag target and exceeded the target. ABC correction to take place, I would be looking for a 20-30% retracement following the fib levels from the October 2022 lows. I would first expect a trendline touch followed by a small rally and then a trendline breakdown to reach the C wave target ~17k.