Morocan Darija : kanchof price bgha idir scenario li bearish. English : there is also a possibility of a bearish scenario. ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
As the previous idea swift both sides longs and shorts. I now stretch the idea to daily charts. this idea base on build up only. stoploss would be the previous low on red candle. This idea base on my understanding on daily build upwards formation. first target would be the previous ATH. follow for more. stack more sats folks. this is not a financial advice either.
Most are already familiar with the recent Nvidia (NVDA)-SoundHound (SOUN) news—the stock fell 28.1% on Feb 14 after Nvidia disclosed it had sold the remainder of its holdings in the AI voice company. Rather than rehashing the headlines, let’s focus on where things stand now. Since the sell-off, SOUN has been tracking the SMA 100 without a decisive breakout to the upside. The recent bearish spinning top signaled indecision, and so far, the stock hasn’t gained clear momentum in either direction. If it breaks lower, IMO, the SMA 200 remains the next key support level to watch. Currently trading at $11.06, SOUN is at a critical juncture. The next move—whether buyers step in or selling pressure continues—will determine the short-term trajectory. Stay tuned—watching closely!
? Welcome to Univers Of Signals Channel! Let’s dive into another educational segment. After discussing capital management and risk management, we now turn to one of the most crucial concepts before entering technical analysis: Risk to Reward! ? Understanding Risk-to-Reward in Real Life Before we start, let me give you an example of risk to reward from the real world, outside of financial markets. Imagine you are considering investing in a startup technology company that has launched a new product. Risk: You estimate that you might lose $500 of your investment due to uncertainty about the product's success and intense market competition. Reward: However, if the product succeeds and the company grows, you could make a profit of up to $2000. In this example, the risk-to-reward ratio is 1:4, meaning for every $1 at risk, you could earn $4 in reward. This ratio can help you decide if this investment is appealing. If you believe the risk is acceptable and the potential reward is valuable, you might choose to invest. ⚠️ The Reality of Risk-to-Reward in Trading In the real world, if you are a logical person, we all adhere to risk to reward principles. However, it’s puzzling how, in financial markets, you often close your profitable trades as quickly as possible while staying in losing trades for months. This indicates a failure to adhere to risk to reward principles. Before I explain risk management and related concepts, make sure you've viewed the previous sections on risk management and capital management. Remember, if you're not setting stop-loss orders, this lesson might not be very useful for you. ? What is Risk-to-Reward in Trading? In financial markets, risk to reward refers to the ratio between the level of risk an investor takes with a specific investment and the potential reward from that investment. This concept helps investors evaluate whether a particular investment is worth the risk. When trading, if you are about to open a position, set a stop-loss. If your stop-loss is triggered, resulting in a $10 loss, your target profit should be at least $20, creating a risk to reward ratio of 2. I won’t open a position with less than this! It's important to note that risk to reward alone doesn't hold much meaning. It gains significance when considered alongside win rate. The chart I will share clarifies the relationship between win rate and risk to reward. Look at the chart below. If your risk to reward is 1 and your win rate is 50%, you are breaking even—neither gaining nor losing. For risk to reward ratios below 1, you need a win rate of 100% to break even. Our logical risk to reward ratio is 2, where a 40% win rate keeps you profitable. We should allow our minds room for error rather than always striving for accuracy. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Q58aIwdF/ ?️ Understanding Trading Tools Let’s take a simple look at our tools. The chart showcases two types of tools: short position and long position, applicable for both falling and rising markets. The tool displays your risk to reward ratio in the middle, with the stop-loss percentage below and the profit percentage above for long positions, and vice versa for short positions. https://www.tradingview.com/x/0LgAYQ1B/ ? Why Should You Use a Risk-to-Reward of 2? Why do you implement a risk to reward of 2? Consider this: if I opened 10 positions this week, with 6 hitting stop-loss and 4 reaching targets, my total loss would be $60. However, due to adhering to a risk to reward ratio of 2, my total profit would be $80, resulting in a net gain of $20! This illustrates the importance of adhering to risk to reward principles. Even if we lose more trades than we win, we can still be profitable in the end. The key is to focus on the overall outcome rather than individual battles. ❌ What Happens If You Don’t Maintain a Standard Risk-to-Reward? Now, consider what happens if I don’t maintain a standard risk to reward. For instance, if I open a position with a risk to reward ratio of 0.5, even if I make a profit, a subsequent loss could negate that gain. If you are involved in financial spaces, you may have encountered signal channels that share their positions, encouraging you to follow for profitable outcomes. For example, if they claim to profit from 95 out of 100 positions, you might feel that winning sensation. But what is their risk to reward ratio? A ratio of 0.1 means that if they hit just a few stop-losses, you could end up in a loss. Be cautious of misleading advertisements and high-return claims. If you manage to achieve a 5% to 10% profit monthly and sustain it for a year, even starting with $100, your trading record will be respected, leading to more funding opportunities. Avoid falling into traps set by opportunistic individuals. ? Practical Trading Considerations Consider this: if you want to open a position but your target is above a major resistance level, and the likelihood of reaching it seems slim, I personally prefer not to open that position. It indicates that my entry point may not be optimal. ❤️ Friendly Note In closing, I encourage you to keep your positions until you reach your risk to reward target. Avoid checking the chart until you hit that point. Set alerts and make decisions only then. Always adhere to these rules for all your positions, not just one. Don’t worry about losing out on profits; instead, approach trading with calmness. Finally, remember that a profit in a position is not truly realized until it is closed and transformed into something tangible—food, clothing, a house, or a car.
Multiple buys along the way last two buys were one at $8 with "buy & hold" until $10 - $15 target and the last one was at $10 to add to the position from $8 and sell all into the vertical beyond $11 +$278,000 realized profit from JTAI alone 11 trades total on the day 5 wins on JTAI 2 wins on SINT 2 wins, 2 losses on OSRH Major day ?
This week has thrown out a lot of mix signals but with Wednesday booking lows for the week but not highs (unlike ES), is Nasdaq next? Looking at a draw to $22,318
? Market Overview (BNB/USD): Trend: BNB is in a consolidation phase after a strong rally, currently testing key support levels. Key Levels: Resistance: $669 Support: $625 Indicators: EMA 9 ($653) acting as immediate resistance. EMA 200 ($625) providing strong dynamic support. MACD: Bearish momentum on the daily chart, but showing signs of potential reversal on lower timeframes. ? Scalping Strategy: ? 1. Range Scalping (Choppy Market Play) Buy near: $635, targeting $655 Sell near: $655, targeting $635 Stop-loss below: $625 ? 2. Breakout Scalping (If Volatility Increases) Long above: $670 → Target: $700 Short below: $620 → Target: $600 ? 3. EMA 9 Scalping (Intraday Trend Trading) Trade bounces off EMA 9 for quick intraday plays. ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): BNB remains in a broader bullish structure, but a break below $625 could shift momentum bearish. A reclaim of $670 would open doors for new highs toward $700+. ? News & Market Context: Binance’s market stability and regulatory developments will play a role in future price movements. Market sentiment remains cautious but resilient. Liquidity remains high, supporting potential upside momentum. ? Decision: ? Short-term: Range scalping remains the safest option. ? Mid-term: A reclaim of $670 is required for aggressive long positions. ? Ideal Play: Accumulate dips near $625 if market sentiment remains strong. ? Final Verdict: BNB is neutral with bullish potential. The next move depends on whether it holds above $625 or breaks higher past $670. ? FinCaesar’s Words of Power: "The true warrior moves with precision—no wasted motion, no hesitation. Strike only when the moment demands it."
? Market Overview (XRP/USD): Trend: Strong bullish momentum following a parabolic breakout, currently consolidating after a pullback. Key Levels: Resistance: $3.00 Support: $2.54 Indicators: EMA 9 ($2.64) acting as immediate support. EMA 200 ($2.62) holding as a critical trend-defining level. MACD: Bullish crossover on lower timeframes, suggesting momentum continuation. ? Scalping Strategy: ? 1. Momentum Scalping (Riding the Trend) Buy near: $2.68, targeting $2.80 Sell near: $2.80, targeting $2.68 Stop-loss below: $2.65 ? 2. Breakout Scalping (For a Confirmed Move) Long above: $2.82 → Target: $3.00 Short below: $2.54 → Target: $2.40 ? 3. EMA 9 Scalping (Dynamic Support & Resistance Trading) Trade bounces from the EMA 9 level for quick profits. ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): XRP remains in an uptrend but could see another correction before a full continuation toward $3.00+. If price sustains above $2.80, bullish breakout towards $3.20 is in play. ? News & Market Context: XRP ecosystem developments and regulatory clarity are fueling demand. Large whale activity suggests strong institutional interest. Broader crypto market sentiment remains risk-on, benefiting XRP’s momentum. ? Decision: ? Short-term: Momentum scalping remains the optimal play. ? Mid-term: Await a retest of support before adding to longs. ? Ideal Play: Accumulate dips near $2.54 for a higher risk/reward move. ? Final Verdict: XRP is bullish but volatile. Scalping inside the range offers safe plays, while breakout traders should watch for key resistance flips. ? FinCaesar’s Words of Power: "The tides of fortune favor the prepared. Adapt, strike, and seize the momentum."
? Market Overview (ETH/USD): Trend: Ethereum is currently in a recovery phase after a sharp sell-off, testing key moving averages. Key Levels: Resistance: $3,190 Support: $2,660 Indicators: EMA 9 ($2,706) acting as immediate resistance. EMA 200 ($3,066) is a major long-term resistance. MACD: Bearish on the daily chart but showing early signs of a crossover. On lower timeframes, momentum is turning bullish. ? Scalping Strategy: ? 1. Range Scalping (Sideways Market Play) Buy near: $2,680, targeting $2,740 Sell near: $2,740, targeting $2,680 Stop-loss below: $2,660 ? 2. Breakout Scalping (For Volatility Surges) Long above: $2,750 → Target: $2,820 Short below: $2,650 → Target: $2,580 ? 3. EMA VWAP Scalping (Momentum Play) Entries near VWAP, avoiding trading inside chop zones. ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): Ethereum remains below the 200 EMA, meaning a full reversal is not yet confirmed. A retest of $2,660 is likely before a bullish push above $2,800. ? News & Market Context: ETH staking activity remains high, supporting long-term strength. Market sentiment remains cautious, with traders waiting for a clear breakout. Macroeconomic factors (interest rates, liquidity conditions) will impact ETH’s next move. ? Decision: ? Short-term: Range-bound scalping is preferred until a breakout. ? Mid-term: Watch for a bullish confirmation above $2,750 before aggressive longs. ? Ideal Play: Accumulate on dips near $2,660 for a long-term move toward $3,000. ? Final Verdict: Ethereum is currently in a neutral-to-bullish phase. Short-term scalping opportunities exist, but a confirmed breakout is needed for sustained upside momentum. ? FinCaesar’s Words of Power: "A warrior does not chase battles—he waits for the perfect strike. Weak hands react. Strong hands anticipate."
? Market Overview: Trend: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation after a strong bullish run, currently sitting near key moving averages. Key Levels: Resistance: $103,400 Support: $92,600 Indicators: EMA 9 ($96,617) acting as immediate dynamic resistance. EMA 200 ($85,105) as a critical long-term support. MACD: Bearish on the daily chart, with a weakening momentum indicating a potential short-term correction. However, hourly MACD is recovering, signaling possible intraday opportunities. ? Scalping Strategy: ? 1. Range Scalping (Consolidation Phase) Buy near: $95,200, targeting $96,800 Sell near: $96,800, targeting $95,200 Stop-loss below: $94,800 ? 2. Breakout Scalping (If volatility increases) Long above: $97,000 → Target: $99,200 Short below: $94,500 → Target: $92,600 ? 3. VWAP Scalping (Intraday Reversal Plays) Entries near deviations of VWAP, avoiding chop zones. ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): Bitcoin remains in a broader bullish structure, but a correction toward the 200 EMA is possible. A retest of $92,600 support could provide a strong buy opportunity before a push back above $100,000. ? News & Market Context: Institutional accumulation continues, supporting long-term strength. Macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions could trigger volatility. Whale movements indicate mixed sentiment—some large holders taking profits, others accumulating. ? Decision: ? Short-term: Range scalping remains the optimal low-risk play. ? Mid-term: Wait for a retest of lower support before aggressive longs. ? Ideal Play: Accumulate on dips near $92,600 if tested. ? Final Verdict: Bitcoin is in a neutral-to-bullish phase. Scalping inside the range is the safest move, while patient traders should watch for deeper corrections before reloading longs. ? FinCaesar’s Words of Power: "The battlefield is silent before the storm. Weak hands retreat, but the wise sharpen their blades. Only those with discipline conquer the market."