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GBPJPY | 03.02.2025

BUY 190.600 | STOP 189.900 | TAKE 1.91500 | Correction moving.

Mondelez at the Edge: Can Bulls Hold the Line?

A Pivotal Moment for Mondelez – Will the Bulls Step Up? Mondelez International (NASDAQ: MDLZ) is trading at $58.05, clawing back some ground but still down 26.1% from its all-time high of $78.59. The stock has been oscillating near a critical resistance level at $58.40, testing the patience of both bulls and bears. Technical indicators suggest a market at a crossroads: the 50-day MA sits at $57.63, while the RSI hovers at 52.97, keeping the stock in neutral momentum. Meanwhile, Money Flow Index (MFI) remains weak at 38.09, signaling a lack of strong accumulation. Adding to the tension, the last few sessions have flashed sell-heavy VSA patterns, with a significant increase in selling volume on January 31st. This raises an important question: Is Mondelez on the brink of a breakdown, or will buyers defend the $57 zone and push for a breakout above $58.40? The answer may come from broader market forces. Inflation remains a key macro factor, and any shifts in consumer sentiment could dictate the next leg for Mondelez. Traders should watch for confirmation: if bulls fail to reclaim ground above $58.40, the path downward toward $56.50 support may accelerate. But if the stock finds strength, a breakout could set sights on the next resistance near $59.86 and beyond. One thing is certain—this is a defining moment for MDLZ. Are you ready for what’s next? MDLZ Roadmap: Tracing the Footsteps of Market Makers Mondelez (NASDAQ: MDLZ) has been dancing on the edge of key price levels, with a series of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns defining its trajectory. The past few sessions reveal a battle between buyers and sellers, but the roadmap is becoming clearer. Let’s break it down. January 27 – Sell Volumes Max: This pattern signaled an aggressive sell-off, closing at $58.37 from an opening of $58.595. Given the magnitude of the sell pressure, it was crucial to watch the next sessions for validation. January 28 – Buy Volumes Max: A reversal attempt came in with increased buy volumes, pushing the stock up to $56.88 from a low of $56.68. This bounce hinted at possible accumulation, but the lack of follow-through kept the market on edge. January 29 – Sell Volumes: Sellers regained control, pushing MDLZ to $57.13, marking another bearish shift. This played into the broader downtrend, reinforcing that buyers weren’t ready to step in just yet. January 30 – VSA Sell Patterns Dominate: The day saw a series of manipulation-based sell patterns, with MDLZ closing at $57.695. These patterns typically indicate smart money positioning for further downside. January 31 – Sell Volumes Max Returns: Another spike in sell volumes appeared, reinforcing the previous direction and closing at $58.00. This was a strong confirmation that the previous bearish signals were working. Key Takeaways: The main direction has remained bearish, and each sell-based VSA pattern has been validated by subsequent price action. Bulls attempted a fightback on January 28, but weak follow-through suggested it was merely a liquidity grab. Until we see a buy pattern confirming with sustained upward movement, the path of least resistance remains downward. MDLZ traders should keep an eye on support zones near $56.50, as breaking this could trigger further downside momentum. Will buyers finally step in, or are we looking at another leg lower? Stay tuned. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Mondelez (NASDAQ: MDLZ) is moving in a tight range, and key levels are setting up for potential breakout or breakdown plays. Whether you’re scalping the swings or positioning for a bigger move, here’s what matters right now. Support Levels: If buyers want to step up, they’ll need to hold $56.51 and $55.72—otherwise, expect them to flip into resistance, making the path even harder for bulls. Resistance Levels: The first roadblock for upside sits at $58.40, followed by $59.86 and $60.71. If these levels don’t hold sellers back, expect them to become the next battle zone for bulls trying to break through. Powerful Support Levels: The real lifeline sits way higher at $65.27 and $69.65—far from current prices, but if the stock ever reclaims these zones, the trend structure could shift bullish again. Powerful Resistance Levels: The ultimate ceiling remains $75.68, but let’s be real—MDLZ has a long way to go before challenging that zone again. If support fails, those same levels will be a brick wall on the next bounce attempt. Traders should be watching price reactions closely—levels don’t break without a fight, and smart money is always one step ahead. Trading Strategies Based on Rays: Optimistic & Pessimistic Scenarios The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" method provides a dynamic approach to market structure, using Fibonacci-based rays to map out price movements. Unlike static support and resistance, these rays adapt in real time, helping traders react to the market instead of predicting exact levels. Each price interaction with a ray indicates one of two scenarios: Reversal – A bounce off a ray signals a potential turn in trend. Continuation – A breakout or clean movement along the ray suggests an extension toward the next key zone. Trade entries are only valid after price interacts with a ray and confirms movement in the expected direction. The first ray hit acts as the initial target, with subsequent rays marking extended take-profit levels. Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control If price holds $58.40 resistance and breaks above, we look toward $59.86 as the next target. If momentum continues, $60.71 becomes the secondary take-profit zone. If buyers manage to push beyond $66.07, we could see a structural shift towards the powerful resistance zone at $69.22. Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Regain Control A rejection at $58.40 or a break below $56.51 signals downside pressure. If sellers dominate, the next key level is $55.72. A further breakdown could push MDLZ toward the $54.72 absolute low, a must-hold zone for bulls. Dynamic Moving Averages as Confirmation Moving averages (MAs) will play a key role in defining momentum: 50 MA at $57.63 – A flip above this level supports bullish continuation. 100 MA at $57.45 – A break below signals a short-term bearish trend shift. 200 MA at $57.33 – The ultimate line in the sand; a loss here opens the door for deeper declines. Potential Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions Long on Break Above $58.40 → Target $59.86, Stop Below $58.00 Short on Rejection from $58.40 → Target $56.51, Stop Above $58.70 Long on Bounce from $56.51 → Target $58.40, Stop Below $56.00 Short on Breakdown Below $56.51 → Target $55.72, Stop Above $56.80 As always, these setups work in confluence with the VSA rays already mapped out. Each move from ray to ray defines a structured trade, and positioning should only occur after confirmation of movement. Let’s Talk: Your Thoughts & Custom Analysis Requests Trading is all about levels and reactions, and now it’s your turn—drop your questions in the comments! Let’s discuss how MDLZ moves next, and whether the price will respect these mapped-out levels. Hit Boost and save this idea so you can check back later—watch how the market moves exactly along the rays. That’s the key to profitable trading: knowing where price action matters before it happens. By the way, my private indicator automatically plots all rays and key levels, but it’s only available in Private Access. If you’re interested in using it—send me a message. Need an analysis for a different asset? No problem! I can chart any market—some setups I post for free, while others we can arrange privately. If you have a specific request, let me know in the comments and hit Boost—I’ll do my best to include it in upcoming ideas. And of course, follow me here on TradingView so you don’t miss future updates. Let’s trade smart! ?

FIL COUNT UPDATE !!!

File coin Now getting ready to explode... Don't miss the opportunity !!!

TONCOIN Long Trade Setup

? Price Action & Trend Analysis Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups. Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely! Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts. ???Follow us for Live Market Views/Trades/Analysis/News Updates.

EURGBP-BUY strategy 9 hourly chart

The pair is always either one way or the other way in extreme terms. we have lower Yields on Gilts 10Y and rightly so GBP under pressure. However, it is gone to quick and to far, and I feel we may see a pullback towards 0.8395 area again. Strategy BUY current 0.8315-0.8325 and take profit at 0.8387 for now.

NZDJPY Bearish Breakout!

https://www.tradingview.com/x/qJ9iKora/ HI,Traders ! NZDJPY is trading in a Downtrend and the pair Made a bearish breakout Of the key horizontal level Of 87.019 from where We will be expecting a Further move down ! Comment and subscribe to help us grow !

The PNP Index – A New Way to Evaluate Risk and Returns

Introducing the PNP Index – A New Financial Metric! ? I recently completed research on a new financial metric called the PNP Index (Positive-Negative Probability Index). Unlike traditional measures like the Sharpe ratio, this metric offers a more balanced way to evaluate returns and volatility, making it ideal for quantitative trading strategies. ? Why is the PNP Index better? ✅ It uses logarithmic returns for accurate backtesting. ✅ It balances positive vs. negative fluctuations instead of just standard deviation. ✅ It enhances algorithmic trading and AI-based forecasting models. ? Read the full research paper on SSRN: ? The PNP Index – A New Metric for Evaluating Financial Performance https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5120834 ? What do you think? Could this metric help improve trading strategies?

Gold on total Bullish domination

Technical analysis: Even though DX (# +1.07%) is Trading on gains for #2-consecutive sessions (pricing in Higher High's extension), I in the same time have the Buying pressure visible on most charts regarding Gold, along of Trade wars soaring. Current configuration should last at least as High as #2,800.80 - #2,822.80 record High's (my personal Intra-day maximum). If #2,800.80 mark gets invalidated and market closes above, I add more Buying orders on mentioned levels aiming at #2,818.80 (slightly below #2,822.80 Resistance line). As expected, Buying accumulation I discussed throughout the session started and the Technical reason behind it was the Ascending Channel configuration which was adding confidence to Buyers, and attracted Short-term Investors, triggered their pending Buying orders (spike towards #2,800.80 benchmark from #2,772.80 Higher High's Lower zone few Hours ago confirms the above). Hourly 1 chart remains an Ascending Channel (ready to break above the Neutral Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart), so I will be keeping an eye on the Daily chart’s #2,822.80 for Medium-term Resistance attempts and the Hourly 4 chart’s #2,800.80 benchmark for Short-term Resistance. Technically the Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance has been unbroken for a while now and rejected the Price-action on multiple occasions, so you realize the significance of this level. I doubt that nearby Resistance cluster will break without strong catalyst, however on the other side, Selling reversal is strongly limited aswell and #2,772.80 local Low's represents the last line of defense for Buying bias to be sustainable. My position: I have made quick buck on last night's Selling order (#2,784.80 - #2,772.80) as DX is Trading on Bullish spike. However Bullish sustainability on DX has less or no impact on Gold and decline isn't in continuation so expect Buying pressure to remain strong on Intra-day basis as Selling is not advisable on such sessions.

XAUUSD SELL DOUBLE TOP PATTERN

Here on Xauusd price form a double top pattern and now try to go down if line 2531.80 break trader should go for short with expect profit target of 2413.34 and 2284.17 .Use money management

NEAR COUNT UPDATE

Get ready for near protocol to explode Fill your bags now !!!