Looks like we have been cheated? Let's short CGPT to death what do you think?
Market Watch: A Vital Moment for AVAAI Today’s price action for AVAAI hovers around $0.11503, marking a 66% retracement from its January 15 absolute high of $0.33852. The asset sits just above its historic low of $0.11075, hit earlier today—a signal of potential exhaustion after a prolonged downtrend. The RSI (14) on the 1-hour chart has plummeted to 25.94, screaming oversold conditions, while the MFI at 35.43 hints at a lack of aggressive buying power to counter selling pressure. Despite this bearish sentiment, the emergence of a “VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st” on the 1-hour chart signals possible accumulation. Coupled with decreasing bearish momentum, this could indicate that the market is primed for a short-term rally. The burning question: Can AVAAI rise from the ashes, or will it sink below support, confirming a deeper capitulation? AVAAI's mid-term trajectory depends on a test of the powerful resistance at $0.15486. A break above this level could trigger a momentum surge toward the 50-day MA of $0.15548, offering hope to bulls. However, failure to stabilize may lead to a retest of today’s low and a possible further collapse. This is a pivotal moment for both cautious investors eyeing long-term accumulation and short-term traders aiming for quick profits. Stay tuned, the clock is ticking on AAVAAI’s next big move! Roadmap of AVAAI: Historical Patterns in Action Dive into the sequential analysis of key patterns observed on AVAAI, uncovering how past signals played out and what lessons they offer for traders and investors. Let’s walk through the timeline, separating the winners from the noise. January 23, 00:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy Opening at $0.18614, the pattern closed slightly lower at $0.17788. This was a cautious buy signal as the main direction was upward, but the price slid further in the next bars. A return above the low of $0.17746 would have been a key confirmation, but the lack of upward momentum resulted in a muted follow-through. This pattern didn’t hold water. January 24, 08:00 UTC – VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 3rd Direction: Sell This was a classic bearish setup, with the opening at $0.15864 and a subsequent close at $0.15382. The following bars confirmed the downward pressure as the price dropped further to $0.13872. This sell signal worked perfectly, offering an actionable trade for short-sellers. January 24, 16:00 UTC – Increased Sell Volumes Direction: Sell The bearish trend continued with volumes surging as the price opened at $0.1498 and closed at $0.13872. The subsequent bars saw an aggressive decline, validating the pattern. For traders eyeing confirmation, this signal was textbook accurate. January 24, 18:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd Direction: Buy At this point, the bulls attempted a comeback. Opening at $0.14034, the price closed at $0.13479. However, despite some short-lived bullish movement, the pattern lacked strength as the price failed to hold above $0.1418. This was a fakeout rather than a breakthrough. January 24, 19:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy Opening at $0.13479 and closing at $0.13316, this pattern once again showed bulls struggling to reclaim dominance. The key levels failed to trigger, and the main direction wasn’t validated. Skipping this pattern would save traders from unnecessary risk. January 25, 00:00 UTC – VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st Direction: Buy With the opening price at $0.118 and closing at $0.11206, this marked another failed attempt by the bulls to regain control. The pattern lacked follow-through, signaling the market's overall bearish sentiment. Key Takeaways The recent history of AVAAI showcases a dominating bearish narrative validated by successive sell signals. Buyers, though making attempts, have failed to sustain momentum. For traders, this roadmap highlights the importance of validating signals with follow-through price action and staying flexible in shifting markets. Are we seeing the final test of bearish resolve, or is a reversal brewing? Watch for stronger confirmations and keep your risk tight—opportunities await the sharp-eyed trader. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch When it comes to trading, knowing your levels is half the battle. Below are the critical support and resistance zones for AVAAI based on current market dynamics. Remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll flip to act as resistance, creating new challenges for price action. Support Levels There are no confirmed support levels currently holding the price steady. The market remains in a precarious position, and traders should keep a close eye on any emerging floors for potential reversals. Resistance Levels $0.15486 – A minor resistance that the bulls need to smash to build any meaningful upward momentum. $0.30293 – A higher resistance zone that will require significant buying volume to conquer. Powerful Support Levels Absent from the current technical landscape, underscoring the fragility of the asset's price structure. Powerful Resistance Levels None have been explicitly defined, indicating a market with room for the bears to dominate until new strength appears. Game Plan for Traders These levels are your map. If the bulls can’t reclaim $0.15486, expect it to flip and act as a ceiling, creating more downside pressure. Similarly, any failure to establish solid support at new lows will extend bearish control. Keep it tight with stop-losses, and don’t chase – wait for confirmation before jumping in. Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Rays Understanding the dynamics of price interaction with Fibonacci Rays allows traders to identify key zones for potential reversals or continuations. Below are two scenarios—optimistic and pessimistic—designed to provide a flexible framework for your trades, all based on precise levels from the technical data. The interaction with rays, combined with Moving Averages, defines the boundaries of potential moves, ensuring dynamic support and resistance levels are considered. Concept of Rays: How They Work Fibonacci Rays are mathematically significant and reflect natural proportions in market movements. Constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, they provide: Dynamic levels that adapt as the market evolves. Channels for identifying movement boundaries. Clear signals for taking positions after interaction and the emergence of momentum. Each movement from one ray to the next serves as a trade target, providing structured, actionable insights. Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Playbook If AVAAI bounces off lower Fibonacci Rays and bullish momentum builds, watch for a push toward higher levels: First Target : $0.15486 – Price interaction here, combined with a break above the MA50 at $0.15548, will confirm upward movement. Entry should be considered after a confirmed interaction with these levels. Second Target : $0.30293 – A sustained move beyond the first target could lead to this level. Strong volume and continued interaction with ascending rays are necessary for confirmation. Third Target : $0.33852 – This represents a full recovery toward previous highs and will require confluence with higher ray zones and potential dynamic factors like MA100 at $0.17884. Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Playbook If AVAAI fails to hold at key supports and interacts with descending Fibonacci Rays, prepare for downward movement: First Target : $0.11075 – A test of the absolute low. Positions can be taken after interaction with rays confirms further bearish movement. Second Target : Below $0.11075 – If the market breaks through this critical support, expect acceleration toward uncharted bearish territory. This may align with descending ray boundaries. Dynamic Resistance : Look for the price to reject MA50 or MA100 on the way down, reinforcing bearish momentum. Proposed Trades Based on Ray Interaction Bullish Breakout Trade : Enter long after interaction with ascending rays, targeting $0.15486 and then $0.30293 if confirmed by moving averages. Bearish Breakdown Trade : Short below $0.11075 with first targets at lower ray intersections. Maintain a tight stop-loss to manage risk. Momentum Continuation : Ride trends between Fibonacci Rays, with each new level serving as the next target. Final Note The key to trading Fibonacci Rays lies in patience and discipline. Wait for price interaction with the rays and moving averages before committing to a position. From there, let the natural flow of the market guide your targets from ray to ray. Always manage risk and keep your stops in place to navigate volatile movements effectively. Let’s Connect and Build Success Together! Trading is all about growth, learning, and sharing ideas, and I’d love to hear your thoughts! If you have questions about this analysis or want to dive deeper into specific assets, drop your comments below—I’ll make sure to respond and help out. Your engagement is what makes this journey exciting! If you found value in this idea, don’t forget to Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching price action evolve along these rays will sharpen your trading instincts and help you understand how critical zones guide market movement. Trust me, that’s a game-changer for any trader. My indicator, which automatically maps all these rays and levels, is available in Private. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via private messages—I’d be happy to share more details. Have a specific asset you’d like analyzed? Let me know in the comments! I can prepare free posts for the community or work with you privately if discretion is your priority. Remember, these rays work across all markets, and I can create custom layouts for any asset you’re interested in. Lastly, if you like my approach, make sure to follow me here on TradingView! This is where I post my ideas, share strategies, and help traders like you navigate the market with confidence. Thanks for your support—together, we’ll keep growing and winning!
... every time the Bank of Japan raised interest rates the indexes have taken a fall ...in video I show every BOJ rate hike since the early 2000's along with indexes at the durations ... there are three spots: ... 2000-2001 ... 2006-2010 ... 2024-Present ... BOJ recently upped their interest rate from 0.25 to 0.50 Lets see what happens this year. Also remember that bonds have recently entered a 20-30 year cycle. Certain industries will thrive here.
ASTR ~ 1W Analysis #ASTR In Time Frime 1W this is a very good support block to place another purchase here. with a minimum target of 20%++
Is This the Moment to Buy or Brace for More Drops? TROY/USDT has been caught in a whirlwind lately, hovering just above its absolute low of 0.001869, set only hours ago. With the current price at 0.001922, the asset has rebounded slightly, marking a modest 2.8% climb from its lowest point. However, it remains a staggering -76.8% below its absolute high of 0.008272, recorded just 23 days ago. Indicators reveal a mixed picture. The RSI14 currently sits at 33.6, signaling that the market is creeping out of oversold territory, while the MFI60 of 42.8 suggests there’s still room for increased buying pressure. Price action shows a series of sell-off patterns dominating recent sessions, including the "Increased Sell Volumes" pattern. This has left traders questioning whether the bottom is truly in. Fascinatingly, some buy patterns like the "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" hint at latent bullish energy. Could this signal the market's readiness to pivot upward? With moving averages such as the MA50 at 0.002069 and MA200 at 0.002331, TROY must first break key resistance at 0.001962 to build momentum. This begs the critical question: Is this the calm before a reversal, or will bearish dominance drive new lows? Stay tuned as we monitor whether bulls will step up to reclaim the narrative or if the sell-side momentum will drive prices to fresh lows. Let's trade smart and capitalize on these crucial levels! Roadmap: TROY/USDT – Pattern Playbook for Recent Action Step 1: Increased Sell Volumes – The Downward Warning (2025-01-25 00:00 UTC) The roadmap begins with the “Increased Sell Volumes” pattern, signaling a clear sell direction. Price opened at 0.00196 and closed at 0.00187, firmly validating the bearish momentum. As expected, the low of this pattern (0.00187) was maintained in the subsequent pattern, confirming that sellers held control. The absence of an upward trigger point confirms this as a pivotal moment for short-term bears. Step 2: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Bullish Rebound That Could (2025-01-25 00:00 UTC) This pattern introduced a buy signal, hinting at potential recovery. The price low remained stable at 0.00187, while the high saw no meaningful breakthrough at 0.00196, capping bullish aspirations. Unfortunately, the lack of follow-through in subsequent patterns suggests this was a false dawn, making it skippable from active considerations. Step 3: Buy Volumes Takeover – The Bullish Crossroad (2025-01-23 21:00 UTC) Following a sharp drop, the “Buy Volumes Takeover” pattern flagged a shift to buy momentum, with a promising move from 0.002061 to 0.002024. The upward confirmation in subsequent patterns reinforced this bullish shift. Importantly, this pattern laid the groundwork for further upward tests, earning its place in the roadmap. Step 4: VSA Manipulation Buy – The Critical Test (2025-01-20 13:00 UTC) The market shifted gears with the introduction of this pivotal buy pattern. Starting at 0.002103, prices climbed to 0.002125, supported by a solid trigger at the low of 0.002082. This pattern was pivotal in defining the bullish breakout zone and remained validated by subsequent upward movement. It served as a major opportunity for long positions. Step 5: Sell Volumes Max – A Bearish Comeback (2025-01-20 00:00 UTC) As bulls attempted to solidify control, bears struck back with the “Sell Volumes Max” pattern. From an open at 0.002171, the price dropped to 0.002055, resetting market sentiment. The failure of subsequent patterns to breach higher highs validated the bearish dominance of this move. Key Observations and Lessons for Traders Trigger Points Matter: Successful patterns consistently respected their trigger levels, while failed patterns often lacked proper follow-through. Main Direction Clarity: Each validated pattern aligned its main direction with subsequent price action, demonstrating the value of sticking to technical confirmations. Context Is King: Patterns alone don’t guarantee success; interpreting them in context with recent highs, lows, and market sentiment was crucial. Final Word This roadmap serves as your cheat sheet for understanding TROY/USDT’s latest moves. By focusing on trigger points and validated patterns, traders can ride the waves with confidence. Stay sharp, keep your levels tight, and let the patterns guide the way! Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Here’s the rundown of crucial support and resistance levels for TROY/USDT. Keep these in your toolkit – they’re your roadmap for potential moves. But remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll likely flip into resistance zones on the next test. Support Levels 0.001922 – The current price level, sitting just above the absolute low. A failure here could spell deeper trouble for the bulls. 0.00187 – The all-time low. A make-or-break zone. If this cracks, expect bearish momentum to accelerate. Resistance Levels 0.001962 – Immediate resistance. If the bulls can’t take this out, sellers might regain the upper hand quickly. 0.002155 – A mid-range level that could be the next test if the momentum builds. 0.002437 – Higher up, this zone would signal a shift toward more bullish control if broken. 0.002568 – Another step up, but it won’t come easy without a strong catalyst. 0.00283 – The top barrier, marking a significant psychological and structural resistance. Powerful Support Levels None identified – This underscores the fragility of the current price range. With no powerful support below, caution is key. Powerful Resistance Levels None identified – Resistance levels outlined above will be your focus for now. If these levels don’t hold or break decisively, expect swift flips. As traders like to say: "Support turns resistance, and resistance becomes the ceiling that bulls have to punch through." Stay nimble, and watch the price action closely around these hotspots! Concept of Rays: Precision Trading Strategies Based on Fibonacci Dynamics The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept brings a systematic, Fibonacci-based approach to analyzing price action. These dynamic levels are designed to capture the probabilities of price interaction, signaling either a reversal or continuation. Let’s dive into how traders can use these rays to enhance their strategies and target opportunities. How Rays Work Dynamic Fibonacci Rays: Each ray stems from the beginning of a price movement, representing natural angles of inclination. Dynamic Adjustments: Rays adapt to new patterns, showing updated movement ranges and potential pivot points. Interaction with Moving Averages: Combining rays with key moving averages (e.g., MA50, MA200) amplifies the precision of identifying trade opportunities. These rays create zones of interaction, and once price moves beyond one ray, it often travels to the next, providing clear, actionable targets. Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Step In Price interacts with a Fibonacci ray and begins an upward movement, targeting the next levels. Supported by interaction with MA50 and MA200, the following trades are viable: Entry: At 0.001962, after interaction with the lower Fibonacci ray. First Target: 0.002155, aligning with the next ray and immediate resistance. Second Target: 0.002437, mid-term resistance signaling continued bullish strength. Third Target: 0.002568, testing a higher Fibonacci ray. Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Take Charge If price breaks below critical support levels and interacts with descending Fibonacci rays, the movement may extend lower: Entry: At 0.001922, after failing to hold above the lower ray. First Target: 0.00187, retesting the all-time low and Fibonacci support zone. Second Target: Possible extension lower if volume increases, signaling continued bearish dominance. Suggested Trades Based on Fibonacci Rays Long from 0.001962 to 0.002155: Ideal for bulls looking for quick gains on ray interaction with MA50. Short from 0.001922 to 0.00187: A straightforward bear trade targeting key support. Long from 0.002155 to 0.002437: For breakout traders, leveraging momentum into the next ray zone. Short from 0.002437 back to 0.002155: Profit-taking opportunity for mean-reversion strategies if momentum stalls. These trades follow the principle that movement will continue between rays, with each level providing clear targets and decision points. As always, price action and volume at these key zones should confirm entries and exits. This systematic approach ensures traders are aligned with the dynamic nature of the market, using Fibonacci rays and moving averages to guide precise entries and exits. Let the rays light your path to smarter trades! Call to Action: Let’s Trade Smarter Together! Traders, your thoughts and questions are always welcome—drop them right in the comments below! Whether it’s feedback on this analysis or an idea you’d like to explore further, I’m here to connect and discuss. If you found this post helpful, don’t forget to Boost it and save it to track how the price plays out according to my markup. Watching levels in action is the key to mastering entry and exit strategies. By the way, the rays and levels you see here are automatically plotted by my proprietary indicator-strategy. It’s available privately, so if you’d like access, feel free to reach out via direct message. Let’s talk about how it could work for you! Have a specific asset in mind for analysis? I’m happy to create markups tailored to your needs. Some ideas I can share here for free, while others can be done privately if you prefer to keep them exclusive. Just let me know in the comments what you’re looking for, and I’ll see how I can help. Rays work universally across all assets—crypto, stocks, forex, you name it. If there’s something you’d like me to map out, give this post a Boost and let me know in the comments. Lastly, don’t miss out—follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on all my analyses and strategies. Together, we can navigate the market with confidence. Let’s trade safe and smart! ?
Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:OPT above the level of the potential outside week noted on 17th January (i.e.: above the level of $0.85). Stop loss for the trade would be: (i) below the low of the outside week on 13th/16th January (i.e.: below $0.725), should the trade activate.
ETHFI ~ 2D Analysis #ETHFI In 2D Time Frame this is the accumulation support block. If you still have Conviction on this coin, buy it from here with a minimum target of 15%++
Trade Alert BTC/USD Sell Alert 1. _Entry Point:_ $104,700 2. _Target Price:_ $102,000 3. _Stop Loss:_ $105,500 Trade Details - _Risk:_ $800 ($105,500 - $104,700) - _Reward:_ $2,700 ($104,700 - $102,000) Monitor the trade closely and adjust as needed.
My analysis on BTC. We saw previous a Bullish Flag Pattern that was broken and led to ATH prices. We are now in the creation of a Bullish Megaphone Pattern. We may see a drop on price soon, maybe next week January 29, since Fed rates will not be dropped. After that maybe BTC will hit levels below the resistance line filling Liquidity orders and gaining future momentum. Let me now what you think
It seems like everyone is piling on the gold gravy train as it looks to make new highs in the coming weeks. With a high level of volatility entering the marketplace over the next two weeks, expect sharp market swings on the intraday timeframes and don't get caught up! Rate announcements on Wednesday, next week will be the determining factor on whether many will fly to safety or risk buying gold at the current pricing.