It's painful, I know. But considering Fibonacci, I'm sorry to inform you that I see the SP500 hurtling toward its final extension of its downtrend (not a correction, it's a downtrend. Yes, sir).
? Strategic Expansion with Walmart In January 2025, Symbotic completed the acquisition of Walmart's Advanced Systems and Robotics business for $200 million, with potential additional payments of up to $350 million based on future orders. This acquisition is part of a broader $520 million agreement wherein Symbotic will develop and deploy AI-enabled robotics solutions for Walmart's Accelerated Pickup and Delivery (APD) centers. If performance criteria are met, Walmart plans to implement these systems in 400 APD centers over several years, potentially increasing Symbotic's future backlog by over $5 billion Symbotic appointed Dr. James Kuffner as Chief Technology Officer in January 2025. Dr. Kuffner brings over 30 years of experience in robotics and AI, having previously held senior positions at Toyota and Google. He is recognized for co-inventing the Rapidly-exploring Random Tree (RRT) algorithm, a significant contribution to robot motion planning ? Diversification into Healthcare Robotics In December 2024, Symbotic acquired OhmniLabs, a robotics company specializing in healthcare automation solutions, including autonomous disinfection and telepresence robots. This acquisition aims to expand Symbotic's capabilities beyond warehouse automation and into the healthcare sector ? Fundamental Highlights (Bullish): Strategic Walmart Partnership: Major growth catalyst with SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B + potential future backlog. Revenue Growth: Strong 35% YoY revenue growth. Cash Position: Healthy balance sheet with significant cash reserves (~$903M). Diversification: Strategic expansion into healthcare robotics. ? Options Data (Contrarian Indicator): Premium Flow: Currently overwhelmingly bearish (81.8% put premium vs. 18.2% call premium). ITM Put Bias: Strong net put premium (0.22 Call/Put Premium Ratio), indicating pessimism. Volume & Open Interest: Notable put interest below current price (~$20), suggesting hedging or bearish positioning. Contrarian interpretation: excessive bearish positioning can lead to sharp upward reversals if bearish traders are squeezed. ? Technical Analysis (Macro Bottom Thesis): Price Structure: Symbotic has tested a critical lower band (around $20), typically seen as support. Weekly MACD histogram and squeeze indicators suggest bearish momentum is waning and preparing for a bullish reversal. RSI & Oscillators: RSI (41.78) indicates potential oversold conditions near reversal zones. Serum Oscillator and SQN indicators aligning for a momentum shift upward. Volume & VWAP: Price is significantly below its VWAP (Value Weighted Average Price), indicating potential mean reversion to higher levels. ? Trading Thesis (Bullish Contrarian Play): Speculative Target: New highs above previous peaks (~$64). Key Support Zone: $19 - $21, ideal for accumulation. Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below $18 invalidates the short-term bullish scenario. ? Catalysts to Watch: Upcoming quarterly earnings updates and forward guidance. Any announcements on further commercial agreements or partnerships. Positive momentum and short squeeze triggered by bearish sentiment unwinding.
Entry after confirmation of bearish momentum. Confirm with momentum indicators (e.g., RSI divergence or MACD crossover) Targeting a move back toward previous structure lows.
BTCUSD has been in a range entire week and with losing upside momentum BTC can slide down easily over the weekend. in downwards scenario 2 probable target zones are - 78k to 76.8k and 72.5k to71k https://www.tradingview.com/x/seOfU7Hz/
Avalanche has formed another fake-out above the 200EMA, where sellers took over the zone and now the price is declining, forming a possible BOS. With markets showing weakness overall, we can expect the target area for this coin to be $14.60 so eyes there! As long as sellers dominate over the 200EMA, we are good for a drop here! Swallow Academy
This 4H chart of Crude Oil Futures highlights a clean bearish setup forming as price approaches a confluence zone of imbalance and premium pricing. After a sharp downward move, the current rally appears to be a retracement into areas of interest for potential distribution. --- 1. Context & Market Structure: - The market experienced a significant bearish move, breaking multiple support levels with conviction. - Price is currently retracing upward, creating the possibility of a lower high in line with bearish market structure. - The ongoing move looks corrective, setting up a potential return to the dominant trend. --- 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) & Key Supply Zones: - Two FVGs are identified on the chart — both marked as areas where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficiencies behind. - The lower FVG overlaps with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci golden pocket zone, providing a strong confluence for potential rejection. - The upper FVG aligns with the 0.786 level, representing deeper premium pricing and added confluence for distribution. --- 3. Fibonacci Confluence Zones: - 0.618–0.65 zone: Coincides with the lower FVG — this is the first area to watch for rejection. - 0.786 level: Aligns with the upper FVG, making it an extended zone for bearish entries if price pushes higher. - These Fibonacci levels serve as key retracement zones within the context of bearish continuation. --- 4. Anticipated Move: - The red arrow illustrates the projected path: price reaching into the FVG and golden pocket confluence, then rejecting to the downside. - The inefficiencies above act as supply zones where institutional selling may occur. - The lower purple level (0.28) is a potential magnet for price if the retracement completes and bearish momentum resumes. --- 5. Trade Idea Narrative: - This is a classic bearish setup where price retraces into premium and inefficiency zones during a downtrend. - The ideal reaction would involve a shift in lower timeframe structure once the price hits the golden pocket + FVG zone. - Patience and confirmation are key — watching for rejection patterns or breakdowns within the FVG before commitment. --- Summary: Crude Oil is retracing after a sharp drop and is approaching a high-probability reversal zone, where a Fair Value Gap overlaps with the golden pocket. This setup provides a strong narrative for potential bearish continuation, supported by structure, imbalance, and Fibonacci confluence.
? Chart Overview Current Price: 5,312.75 Daily Candle: Slight green candle, suggesting an attempt at recovery or a pause in the recent downtrend. ? Price Action & Technical Analysis SMA 9 (thin white): ~5,309.92 – Hugging current price, curling upward. SMA 50 (light blue) : ~5,759.54 – Above current price; Below SMA 200; indicating bearish pressure. (Death Cross) SMA 200 (thick cyan): ~5,890.90 – Above current price; Curling downward; longer-term downtrend signal. Structure: After a heavy decline in early April, price bounced on changing tariff paradigm, but is stalled short of the Prior Swing Support. This could be: A bear flag forming. Or. A basing pattern for a short-term reversal. ? RSI (14 Close) Current: 41.48 (37.49 MA) Interpretation: Below neutral (50), momentum is weak. A move back above 50 would be bullish. A turndown could indicate further weakness. Recent Bounce: RSI bounced from ~21, indicating the recent lows were oversold. Currently appears to be consolidating. ? MACD (12, 26, 9) MACD Line: -132.13 Signal Line: -125.86 Histogram: +6.27 and rising Interpretation: MACD is negative (bearish territory), but the histogram flipped positive, showing momentum may be improving. Bullish crossover is in progress, but at the moment, weak. A potential signal for a short-term upside move. ? Key Levels Resistance: 5,300 (Prior Week Base Levels) to 5,384 (Prior Swing Support) is current price zone of interest Support: Recent low just above 5,000 is critical — a break below should continue the downtrend. ? Volatility Outlook TVC:VIX falls well within the 'Risk off Zone'. TVC:VIX spiked to 52.33 before receding to its current 29.65 ? Macro/Fundamental Analysis Interpretation: In high TVC:VIX environment, with Tariff, Fiscal, and Political Uncertainty, price action will likely remain mercurial. This is likely to persist into the foreseeable future. TVC:DXY Dollar weakness has continued. Likely causes include: Fed Cut Expectations increasing & Decreasing Demand for US treasuries TVC:US10Y . I expect the weakening dollar to persist. All else qual, a weakening dollar is bullish for asset pricing, though, in the face of expect growth challenges, the effect is negated. I expect US10Y sales to continue to struggle, in the face of inflation risk and rising trade tensions. Bearish Possibilities: Expect continued talk about 'firing' the current fed chair. The market should react poorly to these threats if they intensify or become increasingly probable. Failures on trade talks with major trading partners. Bullish Possibilities: Improved earnings or earnings guidance, though, I expect this is unlikely. Successes on trade talks and deals with major trading partners. Fed Rate cuts - though - i expect this is highly unlikely. Fed QE - thought - i expect this is highly unlikely in the short term, barring an explosion in TVC:US10Y yields. ? Economic Calendar / Earnings Schedule Econ Calendar: Relatively Light Next Week Thursday - 830AM - Initial Jobless Claims Thursday - 830AM - Durable Goods Friday - 10AM - Michigan Consumer and Inflation Expectations Notable Earnings Calendar: Verizon NYSE:VZ - Tuesday Lockhead NYSE:LMT - Tuesday Ratheon NYSE:RTX - Tuesday Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA - Tuesday Boeing NYSE:BA - Wednesday Google NASDAQ:GOOG - Thursday Intel NASDAQ:INTC - Thursday Pepsi NASDAQ:PEP - Thursday Proctor and Gamble NYSE:PG - Thursday T-Mobile NASDAQ:TMUS - Thursday ? Summary ? Trend: Bearish below 50- and 200-day SMAs and recent 'Death Cross'. ? Momentum: Turned bullish, with flat to fading strength. ? Tactics: Short Term: Expect Ranging with slight bullish upside. Likely good day trading environment. Medium Term: Dead-cat bounce or Early Reversal ...? Watch for: Daily Close above the local swing high's or Low's If we breakout higher, look for further Daily Rejection at the moving averages (especially SMA 50). If we breakdown lower, look for a retest of the 5000 psychological support, down to, 4832.50.
From a global perspective, Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend; from a mid-term perspective — in a downtrend; and from a local perspective — in an upward trend. Therefore, in my view, the mid-term downtrend is still unfolding, and only a breakout above the 88,740 level would signal the first real threat to this bearish structure. As long as the price remains below 88,740 and 87,400, the market remains a sell, with a target at 74,456 — a key resistance level. Moreover, if the price indeed reaches 74,456, it’s unlikely that the movement will stop there. There's a high probability that we’ll see further downside toward 70K, 65K, and possibly even 60K in the mid-term. In conclusion: it’s crucial to wait for a breakdown below the purple consolidation area before considering short entries.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/HAt8HImw/ My dear friends, Today we will analyse DXY together☺️ The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 99.390 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 99.627 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Trump's Consideration to Fire Fed Chair Powell Sends Shockwaves Through Financial World ? Multiple sources reveal that Trump is exploring the possibility of firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, sparking wide speculation ?. The two have long disagreed on monetary policy. Trump repeatedly criticized Powell on social media, demanding immediate rate cuts ⬇️, while Powell emphasized the need to assess economic impacts before adjusting rates ?. Trump favors former Fed governor Kevin Warsh as a replacement, but Warsh advises against the firing ?. Legally, there’s no clear precedent for the president firing a Fed chair mid - term. Powell insists on Fed independence, stating that policy should be data - driven, not politically influenced ?. The White House is split on this issue. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin opposes the move, seeing Fed independence as crucial ⭐, while some advisors challenge Powell. This power struggle adds significant uncertainty to US and global financial markets ?, with the outcome set to reshape US economic policies ⚖️. We will keep a close eye on this news. Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! ? ?The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! ? We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! ?