https://www.tradingview.com/x/PC15TC31/ NZDCAD broke and closed above a significant daily horizontal structure cluster. The broken zone turned into a support now. With a high probability, the pair will continue rising. Next resistance - 0.82345 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) rose last week, closing USD 1.05/ton higher by 24/Jan (Fri). https://www.tradingview.com/x/82Ij3VmY/ SGX IO Futures opened at USD 103.70/ton on 20/Jan (Mon) and closed at USD 104.75/ton on 24/Jan (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 105.35/ton on 21/Jan (Tue) and a low of USD 102.85/ton on 20/Jan (Mon). It traded in a range of USD 2.50/ton during the week, which was narrower than the prior week. Prices traded between the pivot point of USD 101.85 and R1 point of 106.35 throughout the week. Volume peaked on 21/Jan (Tue), as prices traded within the range in the week leading up to Chinese New Year. Iron Ore Fundamentals in Summary Dalian iron ore futures saw early gains on China’s stimulus and easing Sino-U.S. tensions but fluctuated midweek on U.S. tariff threats, closing slightly higher as falling port inventories and a weaker dollar provided support. Mixed steel prices reflected short-term boosts from rising hot metal output and policy support, offset by lingering property sector woes, trade uncertainties, and structural market challenges. Port Hedland reopened after a cyclone, easing supply concerns, while Fortescue and ASX:BHP reported stable iron ore output despite operational challenges, contributing to steady market sentiment. China's port IO stockpiles dropped by 1.35 million tons (-0.92%) WoW to 145.28 million tons for the week ending 24/Jan per MMI data . With implied volatility at multi-year lows, the market signals limited expectations for significant price moves after a strong 2025 showing. Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures Jan contract trades 18.6% below its last 5-year average (USD 128.93/ton). https://www.tradingview.com/x/Wmho97Wq/ Short-Term Moving Averages Indicate Strengthening of Bullish Trend Formation of a golden cross on 17/Jan (Fri) followed by upward trend this week indicate that the bullishness may sustain in the near term. Prices hit a significant high the previous week before consolidating at elevated levels. https://www.tradingview.com/x/dlcgOcfu/ Long-Term Averages Signals Possible Consolidation Near 200-day MA IO prices consolidated near the 200-day MA and closed slightly above the 200-day MA. This indicates the strengthening of the bullish trend as prices near the 200-day MA, with prices may consolidate at this level or show signs of a correction next week. https://www.tradingview.com/x/mqAxhfqg/ MACD Signals Bullish Momentum; RSI Inching Towards Overbought Zone The MACD signals a positive momentum starting from 14/Jan. Meanwhile, the RSI is at 64.67 inching towards the overbought zone and hovering above the midpoint. Its RSI-based moving average is at 54.02. https://www.tradingview.com/x/3OhkfKMX/ Volatility Steady, Price Closed Above 38.2% Fibonacci Level Volatility remained steady throughout the week. Prices traded between the resistance levels of 38.2% Fibonacci level (USD 103.15/ton) and the 50.0% Fibonacci level (USD 105.40/ton) during the week. Going forward, the 50.0% Fibonacci level at USD 105.40/ton will act as resistance while the 38.2% level at USD 103.15/ton will act as the support. https://www.tradingview.com/x/GwsAAfYs/ Buying Pressure Intensified, Price Trading Near the High-Volume Nodes Buying pressure has grown stronger from the start of this week according to the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) indicator. The price is trading near the high-volume node. Price closed the week near the Upper Bollinger Band. https://www.tradingview.com/x/9tLq2MrY/ IO Prices Rise Towards CNY & Then Decline Thereafter Between 2021 & 2024, SGX IO futures prices have risen leading up to the Chinese New Year before tapering off ten trading days after the holiday. Prices declined before & after CNY holidays only in 2024 while prices continued to rise even after CNY before falling sharply in 2021 & 2022. A similar trend is observed in the first seven days of the ten-day period leading up to CNY 2025. https://www.tradingview.com/x/qwNjDYT5/ IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIIs) are net long with 157.1k lots across all futures expiries. Managed Money participants, Physicals participants and Others are net short with 134.7k, 5.1k and 17.2k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money decreased net short positions last week, while FIIs decreased net long positions. Overall futures open interest as of 17/Jan stood at 1,213,572 lots (9.6%), while it was 1,107,236 lots as of 10/Jan. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Z2oxEhZd/ Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIIs) are net long with 152.9k lots across all futures & options expiries. Managed Money participants, Physicals participants and Others are net short with 129.1k, 5.1k and 18.6k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money decreased net short positions last week, while FIIs decreased net long positions. Overall futures and options open interest as of 17/Jan stood at 1,484,889 lots (8.2%), while it was 1,372,286 lots as of 10/Jan. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ybtd944Q/ Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants have switched from net long to net short over the last week. Managed Money transitioned from net long to net short positions over the last month, signaling a notable shift in market sentiment. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of this year. https://www.tradingview.com/x/YVOANRlO/ Source: SGX Hypothetical Trade Setup Optimism around China's improving narrative in the lead-up to CNY has bolstered sentiment. Iron ore prices have climbed sharply, buoyed by a brighter outlook on recent stimulus measures. Technical indicators present mixed signals, with bullish signs such as a golden cross formation in short-term moving averages and prices trading near the upper Bollinger Band, alongside consolidation signals like RSI inching towards the overbought zone and prices nearing long-term moving averages. Amid this backdrop, a Bullish Call Spread enables portfolio managers and traders to participate in potential further upside while limiting the downside risk of a price pullback. A bullish call spread involves buying a lower strike call option (105 Call paying a premium of USD 3.48/ton) and selling a higher strike call option (108 Call collecting a premium of USD 2.32/ton). The position provides a maximum profit of USD 284/lot, a maximum loss of USD 116/lot delivering a 2.45x reward-to-risk ratio with a breakeven at USD 106.16/ton. These calculations are based on SGX IO option premiums as of close of markets on 24th January 2025. https://www.tradingview.com/x/8ieYB3sX/ DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Hi guys, we are going to take a look into Coffee , and its recent surge to the expected tarrifs that would be input over Colombia. Colombia is the 3rd biggest exporter of coffee in the world , and after the proposition to increase the international tariffs by President Donald Trump, we had a reaction from the president of Colombia who insisted that he would increase the prices of coffee of approximetely 50% towards the U.S. if theese tariffs hit the Colombian economy. Hence I am looking for a continuious bullish perspective on coffee. Entry: 347 Target: 371 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
A clear advance market structure with a sweep of liquidity, a break of structure an inducement
#XAUUSD price awaiting bullish 2763.5 on multiple touch, expected target 2790 but above 2772 can go on reverse, Stop loss at 2759 which holds strong bearish to fall below 2752-2745. On the D1 timeframe price is trying to close on sell which past candles shows same move
The chart above explains. My charts are straightforward. So there isn't much to talk about. But TV insist that I write something or else it would not publish. TV also offers me many 'trading tools' - of course, I have to pay. But the thing is that I have no use for such tools. So in the end, I use it for FREE Thank you TV.
Hello everyone? new here to the TradingView community(I didn’t know they had a place to share ideas and talk!). I would like to chat with likeminded people but it keeps telling me I need 5 reputation points first and I do not know how to gain them?. Can anyone point me in the right direction?.
As per our last analysis gold rejection is witnessed from suggested level 2782/2790.xx range exactly to the low of 2765 - 2740 range with low 2750.xx from where strong bounce is witnessed that suggested gold may continue its potential upside momentum or go sideways within range of 2740 - 2790. By watching previous trend, we may assume that upside to 2782 - 2790 is likely to be tested by falling to 2751 to 2740 or by continuing upside momentum that is developed during EURO session today. My Goal is 2782 - 2790 now.
Hey there on 1HTF EURUSD now go long as we predict last night that EURUSD go down and then pump upside So we can see again road to 1.06000 Follow and like for more updates and analysis
XAUUSD Sell Alert! After conducting an in-depth analysis on the XAUUSD H1 time frame, I've identified a high-probability selling opportunity. Key Insights: - The market has crossed the Supply zone, confirming a strong bearish bias. - The highest high is 2789 and recent high is 2786 So, Market Didn't break the resistance level, and the market is now pulling back, following its usual pattern. Trade Details: - Entry: 2765 - Stop Loss: 2778 - First Target: 2741 - Last Target: 2623 Trading Strategy: We're recommending a sell position on XAUUSD, capitalizing on the downward momentum to reach our target levels. With the market exhibiting a clear bearish trend, I'm confident in this trade's potential. Stay tuned for further updates, and let's ride this bearish wave together!