USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25 Good morning all. It may look like we are holding onto a bias. I can understand why that assumption is created. However, a short position is invalid for FRGNT whilst in a higher time frame order block long. As per, that does not mean LONG blindly. Two set ups illustrated. 1) 15' Break of structure 2) Lower time frame Break of structure without 15' break. Trading is risky. Both positions of course come with a side dish of risk and reason to loose. The question is, would you like to see USDJPY explode long without you? Lets see how price actions plays. FRGNT X
4.16 Gold safe-haven hits a new high. Go long on the trend during the day! The 4H cycle is strong, the Bollinger open state drives the moving average to turn upward, the triangle end shock has been broken, and the main trend during the day is to go long on the decline. The support is maintained at 3250, and go long according to the decline strength. The upper side looks at 3270, don't blindly guess the top!
Gold still in very strong uptrend wave, expected to make little daily correction to the are 3280-3256, Short position are at very risk, Long position are the safe direction of market, with eyes on 3255 if broken, we should out from any long position waiting the deep correction on weekly basis. good luck for all, Advice, Stop lose and trailing stop is very important.
Stay ahead with today's Gold trading zones. Enhance your market insights and trade carefully.
? XAU/USD – Bullish Price Action Setup (April 16, 2025) ? Current Price: 3290 ? Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ? Bias: Buy on Dips (No Shorts) ? Key Demand Zones for Long Entries ? 3269 – 3272 → Minor Demand (Quick Scalp Zone) ? 3256 – 3259 → Intermediate Demand (Higher-Probability Bounce) ? 3243 – 3246 → Major Demand (Best Risk-Reward for Swing Longs) ⚠️ Caution Avoid chasing price above 3300 without a pullback. If demand zones break without recovery, wait for deeper support (e.g., 3230-3240). #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #BuyTheDip #PriceAction #DemandZones #RiskManagement #April16
? Time to go Long! Targets are set between 90,000 and 91,000, with the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes showing a strong bullish trend. We expect this movement to materialize within 2 to 3 days, so be sure to enter and average down as needed. Stay tuned for updates to optimize your gains. Follow me to stay informed, and let’s work together to boost those profits! ??
Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold suddenly surged in the short term, breaking through the $3,275/ounce mark, with an intraday increase of more than $45. The latest report from Bloomberg News in the United States said that as the Trump administration pushed forward investigations that could expand the trade war, it stimulated demand for safe-haven assets, and the London gold price hit a record high again. As the escalating trade war has raised concerns about the prospect of a global recession, as a traditional safe-haven asset, gold has accumulated a gain of more than 23% in 2025, continuing to set a record. As investors increase their holdings of international gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and central banks continue to increase their holdings of gold, major banks remain optimistic about the outlook for gold in the coming quarters. Investors are waiting for a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, scheduled for Wednesday, to look for clues related to interest rates. It is also necessary to pay attention to the US retail sales data at 20:30 on Wednesday and the specific implementation details of Trump's tariff policy. The analyst specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Technical Review: Gold opened sharply higher in the early trading and hit a new record high. It broke through the 3230 mark in the late trading and stabilized. The price continued to break the adjustment range of yesterday and rose in large volume. There was no technical movement during the day. The super-gain appeared in the early trading, and the price continued to hit a new record high. As investors turned to safe-haven assets amid the uncertainty brought by the continued tariff plan of US President Trump, additional tariffs could exacerbate the ongoing trade war and slow global economic growth. As global stock markets bottomed, the pressure on gold finally eased, and the precious metal rose sharply to a record high. The rise was very fierce because everyone rushed into the gold market, hoping to use it as a safe haven against the stagflation caused by the trade war. From a more macro perspective, gold is still in an upward trend because real yields may continue to fall because the threshold for rate hikes remains very high. Potential risks include another sharp sell-off in the stock market or a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. In the short term, given that gold's buying positions are too concentrated, if the trade war eases, gold prices are likely to experience a deeper correction, so it is necessary to pay close attention to developments in this regard. The current environment still supports the rise of gold, but the road to gold price rise will not be smooth, and there may be a temporary correction in the middle. Today's analysis: Gold directly broke through the new high in the early trading to avoid risks. The short-term adjustment of gold ended and finally completed the adjustment in a volatile manner. This kind of strong buying market of the breakthrough will basically not fall back too much. Since gold has chosen to break upward, since it has broken through, then it is to buy in the trend. The decline of gold is an opportunity to buy.The 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to diverge upward, then the buying of gold will continue to exert its strength. After gold breaks through 3245, then gold 3245 has formed support in the short term. Buy on dips when gold falls back to 3245. The strength of the wave of gold in the morning was still there at that time, so after the high, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Gold can continue to buy when it falls back to around 3245. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3236, target at 3280-3290; Sell short-term gold at 3293-3295, stop loss at 3304, target at 3250-3240; Key points: First support level: 3253, second support level: 3240, third support level: 3225 First resistance level: 3280, second resistance level: 3300, third resistance level: 3315
? General Context Silver has shown a strong bullish reaction from the lows around $28, later reaching a key monthly supply area between $34 and $35. However, this zone has once again been firmly rejected, leaving room for a potential deep retracement. ? Key Zones ? Monthly Supply Zone (34.00 - 35.00 USD): Strong resistance already tested multiple times. Candlesticks show strong rejections and long upper wicks. ? Weekly Supply Zone (33.00 - 34.00 USD): Breaker block or mitigation area that triggered a strong bearish move. ⬛ Current Weekly Support Zone (32.00 - 31.90 USD): Price is currently testing this area. A new impulse could arise here — or we may witness a breakdown. ? Monthly Demand Zone (28.20 - 29.20 USD): The last area defended by buyers in the mid-term. A realistic target in case of breakdown. ? Price Structure The short- to medium-term trend remains bearish, with lower highs and strong rejection candles. Current price action shows indecision, with lower wicks on recent weekly candles but smaller bullish bodies — a sign of potential accumulation... or just a pullback? ? RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI is in the neutral-high zone, not yet overbought, but in a downward phase → more room for downside if buyers don’t step in soon. No clear divergences visible, but watch for signals on the daily timeframe. ? Possible Scenarios ✅ BULLISH Scenario: Condition: Support holds between 32.50 and 31.90 USD with a clear reversal candle. Target: Move back toward the supply zone at 33.80 – 34.90 USD. Confirmation: Break above 33.00 USD with increasing volume. ❌ BEARISH Scenario: Condition: Weekly close below 31.90 USD → sign of weakness. Target: Zone between 29.20 – 28.20 USD, a potential new institutional buy area. Confirmation: Strong bearish break with follow-through and lack of buying reaction. ? Operational Conclusion Silver is at a critical decision point: bearish pressure from the monthly zones is evident, but as long as the 31.90/32.00 zone holds, buyers may still defend. A clean breakdown would open the door for a drop below $30.
Price has finished forming the full cup pattern and is now looking to move downwards to begin the formation of the handle This downward move is supported by the trend line in white dotted Daily timeframe
Fundamentally, although risk sentiment improved at the beginning of this week, Trump's policy changes caused gold prices to fluctuate and adjust, but due to the lack of obvious and sustained negative prospects and the uncertainty in the market, gold prices continued to be stabilized by safe-haven demand and strengthened upward. In addition, last week's inflation data was lower than market expectations, which strengthened the prospect of the Fed's interest rate cut. In addition, the monthly chart of the US dollar index has gone out of the 2-year top divergence, suggesting that there is a large and sustained decline in the future market, as well as increased policy uncertainty, which will also provide long-term support for gold prices. Moreover, although the market also expects that tariff policies may push up inflation in the future, US consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in April, and 12-month inflation expectations rose to the highest level since 1981, but this will also enhance gold's anti-inflation appeal and push up safe-haven demand. It is also good for gold prices. Analysts specifically reminded that market liquidity may decline before the Good Friday holiday, and any sudden policy changes may trigger sharp fluctuations. Traders are waiting for the next major fundamental development to drive the gold market, but the technical chart is still bullish. There is still safe-haven demand in the market. Gold is a safe-haven asset in times of political and financial uncertainty. The dollar index was at a nearly three-year low on Tuesday, making gold relatively cheap for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors are waiting for a speech by Fed Chairman Powell scheduled for Wednesday to look for clues related to interest rates. During the day, attention will be paid to data such as the U.S. retail sales monthly rate in March, the U.S. industrial output monthly rate in March, the U.S. NAHB housing market index in April, and the U.S. commercial inventory monthly rate in February. Although the retail data is expected to be bearish for gold prices, the subsequent overall data is bullish for gold prices. Therefore, the steady trend is still either volatile or continues to rebound and strengthen, and the operation is still biased towards low-multiple bullish. Analysis of gold market trend: Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, the price of gold always fluctuated in the range of 3210 to 3233. At the opening of today, the price of gold broke through the fluctuation range in one fell swoop and showed an accelerated upward trend. So far, it has successfully refreshed the historical high and reached the 3285 line. Gold opened for risk aversion and directly broke through the new high. The short-term adjustment ended and finally completed the adjustment in a fluctuating manner. This kind of strong bullish market with a breakthrough will basically not have a big decline. Since gold has chosen to break upward, the decline of gold now is an opportunity to go long. The first thing to pay attention to now is the top and bottom conversion position of the support line 3245 below! For intraday short-term trading, the first thing to pay attention to is the support strength near 3245. This position was the previous high point, and pay attention to its top and bottom conversion effect. Secondly, the support level near 3232 should not be ignored. This is the high point of yesterday's fluctuation range. Today's opening price broke through this position and accelerated upward. The top and bottom conversion support role of this position during the decline is worth paying attention to. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn upward. If the 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upward, the bulls will continue to exert their strength. After gold breaks through 3245, 3245 has formed a short-term support. Go long on dips when it falls back to 3245. The strength of a wave of gold is still there at that time. So after the surge, you must wait patiently for adjustments and continue to go long. Go long when it falls back to around 3248. It is particularly important to point out that the low point of 3211 during the US trading session yesterday is the key support level for the short-term market trend. Once the price effectively falls below this position, it is necessary to be alert that the market may launch a substantial adjustment. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to go long on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3285-3290 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3245-3240 line of support. Friends must keep up with the pace. Gold operation strategy reference: Strategy 1: Short gold when it rebounds around 3280-3290, target around 3255-3250, and look at 3245 if it breaks. Strategy 2: Long gold when it pulls back around 3245-3250, target around 3260-3275, and look at 3290 if it breaks.