? Technical Summary (As of Chart Date - April 1, 2025) Chart Type: 45-minute timeframe Indicators Used: AO (Awesome Oscillator) Volume Histogram Fibonacci Retracement Price Action Trendlines ? Bearish Signals Observed 1. AO (Awesome Oscillator) Negative Divergence Price has made a higher high, but AO is showing a lower high. This classic bearish divergence suggests momentum is weakening despite price rising. A possible trend reversal or pullback is likely. 2. Volume Divergence Similar pattern: price moved higher, but volume declined. Indicates that buying interest is not strong on the recent push up. This reinforces the weakening bullish momentum seen in AO. ? Key Levels (from Chart & Fibonacci) Level Type Value (approx.) Description Immediate Support 3120 Crucial level; breakdown confirms weakness 1st Target 3065 61.8% Fibonacci level, strong support zone Fib Levels 3096, 3065, 3041 Key retracement zones Invalidation Above 3175 Would invalidate short-term bearish setup ? Scenario-Based View ? Bearish Scenario (High Probability due to Divergences) If price breaks below 3120, it activates the short setup. Target: First leg down toward 3065, aligning with Fib 0.618 retracement. Momentum and volume weakening support this direction. Expectation: fast move possible due to thin volume above 3120. ? Bullish Invalidation If Gold holds above 3120 and makes a strong bullish candle with volume, the divergence may fail. Sustained breakout above 3175 can bring in fresh highs. ? Conclusion Gold (XAU/USD) shows strong short-term bearish divergence on both AO and Volume. A break below 3120 could accelerate selling toward 3065, as per Fibonacci and volume structure. Use caution for longs unless 3175 is breached with strength. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Trading and investing involve risk; please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Unfortunately, the low risk entries are way past us Gold priced in Canadian Dollars now above $4500. Those that bought much lower can still ride the trend upwards. Those on the side lines might want to wait for a safer entry point.
This is my opinion on Avax. I think the downward waves are good buying opportunities, while the upward waves after that can be good selling opportunities. * What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset. * Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
This chart reveals one of the most significant setups in crypto - the ETH/BTC ratio bottoming at historical support and poised for a powerful mean reversion. After a sustained downtrend through 2023-2024, the ETH/BTC pair has reached a critical inflection point at 0.0222, precisely where smart money accumulates. This level represents structural support dating back to 2020, creating the perfect foundation for a macro reversal. Technical Structure: - Perfect technical bottom at long-term channel support - Currently at 0.0222 (near historical demand zone) - SMA at 0.0496 providing clear target for initial move - Projected 3-wave structure targeting 0.07 zone (+250% potential) #Market Thesis: We're witnessing the completion of a multi-year corrective phase that has reset ETH/BTC valuations to extreme levels. The projected path shows a powerful rally into mid-2025, targeting the previous resistance zone around 0.07. Strategic Implications: The ETH/BTC ratio acts as the perfect hedge against Bitcoin dominance decline. When capital rotates from Bitcoin into altcoins, Ethereum historically captures the first wave of this rotation before smaller caps. Historical Context: Every major crypto bull cycle has featured periods where Ethereum dramatically outperforms Bitcoin. The technical structure suggests we're entering exactly such a phase, with timing that aligns perfectly with post-halving capital rotation patterns. This isn't just another trade - it's positioning for the major narrative shift of 2025.
Understanding the Market Move: USDT.D, BTC.D, and BTC Price Action Currently, USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is approaching a key level, sweeping its previous high. This indicates that traders are moving funds into stablecoins, usually a sign of risk aversion. Due to its inverse correlation with Bitcoin (BTC), this movement suggests that BTC may experience further downside in the short term. However, once Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) completes its retest of the previous high, a major shift is expected. If BTC.D starts to decline sharply, it means capital is flowing back into altcoins and BTC itself. Historically, this pattern has led to strong bullish momentum for Bitcoin, potentially triggering a major rally. This dynamic between USDT.D, BTC.D, and BTC price action is crucial for traders to anticipate market movements. Keeping a close watch on these metrics can provide valuable insights into the next big move in the crypto market.
Technical analysis of gold: When it comes to gold, many people's first reaction is that it has risen again? What is the current position? I think this is the norm for many people. Whether it is foreign exchange futures or physical gold bricks, they cannot escape the history of skyrocketing. So can we continue to intervene at present? I think this is a question for many people. My point of view is still bullish. Continuing to rise is the main theme of gold at present. It is not time for short positions, and long positions have not accelerated to rise to the top. Now short positions will only see countless tops and countless new highs. Then 3125 is still the second opening position! Just take the rise! Now, gold has fallen back from $3150 to the top and bottom conversion position. $3125 is also the support of the rising area this morning, and the key to defense is $3100. In the bull market, there are many positions to find. Don’t guess the top. The top is walked out, not guessed! The short-term gold price is trading at $3128. If you missed the bull train in the morning, you can get in directly at 3128 now, without hesitation. Believe in my rhythm and go in directly, waiting for the price to rise with a big positive line! The near-term target must be $3200 or even no target! It seems that it is still in the early and middle stages! Don’t panic at all! On the whole, I suggest that the short-term operation of gold today is mainly long on the pullback and short on the rebound. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3150-3160 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3110-3120 support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3150-3155, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss at 3162, target around 3135-3130, break the position and look at 3125 Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3125-3128, buy long positions in batches (buy up) with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3090, target around 3140-3150, and look at 3155 if it breaks
#PONKE #PONKEUSDT #PONKECOIN #MEMECOIN #MEME #Analysis #Eddy PONKEUSDT.P Higher Time Frame Analysis ⚠️ (( "WARNING" : This is an Requested Analysis & I do not recommend investing large amounts of money in it because it is a meme coin.)) ⚠️ Important areas of the higher time frame are identified and labled. Everything is clear and I have clearly drawn the important areas in the chart and the labels and names of the areas are included. Depending on your analytical style, you can get the necessary confirmations and see the reduction from the marked areas to the specified targets. This Analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to buy entery the trade. Don't forget risk and capital management. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for not observing your risk and capital management. ? Note : The price can go much higher than the first target, and there is a possibility of a 200% pump on this currency. By observing risk and capital management, obtaining the necessary approvals, and saving profits in the target, you can keep it for the pump. Be successful and profitable.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/DWxEtPfX/ Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 71.913. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 73.911. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
After trading between $65-70 for much of March as fears of a slowdown in the global economy would lead to reduced demand, Oil prices popped 3% yesterday to close at 71.50 and have initially nudged higher again today. The catalyst for the recent move that led to this spike, unsurprisingly, were comments from President Trump. Yes, he seems to be moving all markets right now! His weekend comments which suggested he was getting fed up with Putin dragging his feet on a Ukraine ceasefire, adding the US may work to restrict Russian crude shipments and consider secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian Oil, were enough for traders to reduce weak short positions, as this could impact Oil supplies, if it were to become a reality. Add to that, yesterday’s positive news from China, the world’s biggest Oil importer, that showed manufacturing activity in the country expanded at a faster pace for the year to March, and you can see why prices have bounced in the short term. However, can this move continue? It could all depend on how aggressive President Trump and his team are tomorrow when they unveil the next wave of reciprocal tariffs on trading partners, in what President Trump has labelled ‘Liberation Day’. Current expectations are for these new tariffs to impact all countries, but the size of the penalties is unclear, as are the size of retaliatory measures from China, Canada, EU and the rest of the world for that measure. The worst ‘Liberation Day’ outcome could see Oil traders focus on a global recession and a potential drop in Oil demand, which could see prices fall from current levels, while anything else could see Oil prices continue to fluctuate depending on what it means for global trade and for the economies of specific Oil importing nations like China. Technical Picture: https://www.tradingview.com/x/ytmQTilM/ It was an extended phase of weakness in Oil prices from the January 15th, 2025, high at 81.01 into the March 5th, 2025, low at 65.25, a decline of 19.45%, which took prices to levels last seen in May 2023. Subsequently, while a price recovery has materialised, it is only until recently that a more sustained period of strength looks to be developing, and only yesterday the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of January/March weakness, which stood at 71.29, was challenged. In fact, with signs emerging that traders with short positions are reverting to the sidelines and ‘covering positions’ ahead whatever tomorrow’s tariff announcements bring, this 71.29 resistance level gave way on a closing basis. A close above a Fibonacci retracement resistance is not a guarantee of a more prolonged phase of recovery in price, especially when we have such significant news about to hit traders’ screens, but it does suggest scope to higher levels in price are still possible. Next Resistance: https://www.tradingview.com/x/ytmQTilM/ A break above a 38.2% retracement resistance level can open potential for a more extended phase of price strength and traders may now be focusing on 73.15/16 as the next resistance within current strength. This represents the February 20th 2025 high in price, from which fresh selling was recently seen to post new price lows and the higher 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Next Support: Of course, it is equally possible any reaction to the up-and-coming tariff announcement could be negative for Oil, in which case it is important to consider what are the levels that if broken to the downside within any extended phase of weakness, might again suggest increasing downside pressure in the price of Oil. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ytmQTilM/ The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest March strength stands at 70.36, with possibilities that if any fresh weakness sees this level give way on a closing basis, might indicate it is the oil bears are gaining a foothold once more, to expose a deeper price decline and retracement of March strength. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
I know it's all confusing, Trump and Tariffs, chart not ready to move, but if you're bias is bullish, you're on the right track. Dont let anything prevent you from showing up, you can reduce your risk but dont miss out on this move