Trend: Strong downward momentum visible prior to current consolidation. Setup: Price has bounced slightly and appears to be retesting a broken structure (possible resistance at ~40,000).
Very happy with how I managed my risk on this trade. Not the Best RR but the way I managed my risk was very good and I am happy with that.
On Wednesday evening, Trump once again shook the global community by announcing a 3-month suspension of tariffs, while keeping the base rate at 10% for all countries except China. This triggered a wave of euphoria in the markets: the S&P 500 surged 9%, Bitcoin gained just over 8%, and Ethereum jumped 13%. Bitcoin broke through the key sell zone at $78,000–$80,000 (volume zone) without any noticeable reaction. Upon reaching the next sell zone at $82,000–$83,900 (volume zone), a correction followed. A new pushing volume zone was formed during the rally at $81,000–$80,000. Whether buyers react here or not will determine the next direction. We highlight two main scenarios: No buyer reaction → decline toward the local low. Strong renewal of buying → movement toward the next sell zone. Sell Zones: $85,600–$88,000 (absorption of buyer aggression) $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $81,000–$80,000 (pushing volumes) $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
UKOIL Buy Cycle Tp@78.50 % bubble ratio UKOIL currently in a negative bubble (long term buy cycle) and it’s fair value is 78.5 Spot trading plan: Start to buy at -50% bubble ratio and below
SPX Trump Tarrif Bloodbath… The SPX just experienced a brutal 21% drop from its previous all-time highs, wiping out an entire year’s worth of gains in just a few short weeks. However, the market has found support at a critical level — the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. This area also aligns with the Anchored VWAP, offering solid support around the 4900 level. Despite the recent turbulence, we’re still holding within the rising parallel channel that’s been supporting the broader bullish trend. Holding this confluence zone (Fib + AVWAP) would be a strong signal for a potential continuation higher. That said, I’ve highlighted a potential capitulation zone between 4450 and 4070. While reaching that level would require a powerful impulsive correction from here, it’s wise to be aware of what’s still on the table. We’ve also formed a bullish shark fin, and the RSI briefly dipped below the oversold 20 level. Historically, when the weekly RSI hits that extreme, it’s often marked excellent entry points. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves — we also need to consider the pattern seen in the last major correction: a bounce to the 30 RSI level, followed by a lower low that formed bullish divergence. I’m watching closely for a similar setup, which would suggest another leg down after this interim rally. Key resistance now sits near the 50-week SMA, currently between 5480 and 5680. Both the 21 and 50 SMAs are starting to curl down — something to watch, as they could act as headwinds going forward. One last thing: the last time we lost the 50 SMA on the weekly, it took nearly 260 days of correction before we finally reclaimed it (that’s the green line on the chart). Bottom line — buckle up. If we lose the lower bound of the rising channel (around 4900 on a weekly close), I’m expecting more downside ahead.
you can go long now or wait for pull-back near by entry point and then go long general trend is down trend current phase is pull-back have fun :)
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ETH broke the bullish weekly structure and is currently retracing lower. I don’t see any signs of strength on the chart yet. I expect the price to first hit $1250 and see a rejection there a possible bounce. However, the real target is $870 (2022 low). That level holds significant liquidity, so I expect it to be taken out, triggering a potential capitulation. I’ll be looking for spot buys and long-term long setups in anticipation of another possible bull run.
Hey guys we did have a nice retest or a rejection of our support zone if you check my last post but was expecting a good pullback and no confirmation also so I didn’t execute tho we missed out on this trade but price moved as planned just wanna update you guys…..
#PEOPLE The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.01200. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 0.01216 First target: 0.01232 Second target: 0.01257 Third target: 0.01294