In the recent volatile market, we must restrain the impulse to chase the rise and sell the fall. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go high and sell low in the range of 3270-3360: do not chase long above 3340, and go short on highs; do not chase short below 3280, and go low on callbacks. If the trend effectively falls below 3260 and stabilizes, it will be regarded as a medium-term long signal, rather than a stop-loss exit opportunity. The 1-hour moving average of gold begins to converge, but it continues to diverge downward. It seems that the surge of gold is just to lure more. Gold has been up and down recently, but the overall shock is still bearish. Whether the current shock of gold will eventually reverse upward, or is it just a relay of the decline, the data of gold in the second half of the week may give the answer. Since gold also rushed up and fell under the stimulation of risk aversion, it means that gold is still under pressure from above. Investment strategy: Gold 3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3270
Im guaging the Yen index makes HOTW and we see GJ print higher. This is a idea I've published already. Looks good.
Coming off All Time Highs after a trump victory rally it is time for an exhausted bull market to come back and find fair value for the real bulls that buy this. the amount of greed that's sits currently in this market is to dream of for bears, and their time haas come 34500 inbound...this target should come through in the next 12month candle so its a long term leap trade. DXY has been coming down too much, it's time to hit the kill switch on stocks and worry more on the dollar and all this inflation/tarriffs/war/ trump/ etc . DXY up = stocks down
Hmmm. This is ethereum obviously. I don’t know much about TA but I think the little I learned put me a step ahead and I’m thankful for OpenAI. I get to work with a personal trainer or every information and logic I need.. just a chat away. It’s incredible. So I think Eth is consolidating, just learnt that word. And it’s getting ready to do something. The logic is to just ride the wave of the market.. it’s almost impossible if you don’t know the trajectory of the market. But if you do then you one step safer…. Trendline helps with that
GOLD still in accumulation / consolidation zone. We face many big news and it have a high probability to make it volatil, include NFP and FOMC. Lets dancing, so far 3259 support still holding. Good Luck !
NZDCHF is in an overall bearish trend with the 1 hour price action recently breaking the bullish trendline. Bearish trendline on the 3 minute time frame has been tested multiple times and has held every time. On the 3 minute time frame price is also trading under the 200 ema which can indicate bearish momentum. Market Execution sell with SL at previous high (1 hour timeframe)
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/HEwb23FP/ This volatility period is until April 30th. The point to watch is whether it can rise along the newly created trend line (4) or whether it can rise along the rising channel consisting of trend lines (2) ~ (4). - If it falls near Fibonacci 3.14 (93570.28), it seems likely that a new HA-High indicator on the 1D chart will be created. Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created, the key is whether there is support near it. That is, we need to check whether there is support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 3 (92026.52) ~ 3.14 (93570.28). If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the trend line (2). - The next volatility period is around May 19. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - Here is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBuhqVrT/ Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/z7KccUWy/ Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/qnPyNIaV/ I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). https://www.tradingview.com/x/QXrexgiP/ If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
Yesterday I expected gold to resume bullish trend. However, it faced a strong resistance at 3350 and dropped all the way to 3300. Currently it is stuck in between these two levels. As today is month end, there will be big fluctuations. I will not rush into any trade. I will trade break out today. If 3350 is broken, I will buy towards 3400. If the trend line is broken, I will sell toward 3270, or even 3230.
GBPJPY 4H Chart Analysis GBPJPY is exhibiting strong bullish structure on the 4H timeframe, with price currently forming higher lows and holding above a key ascending trendline. The marked demand zone around 189.94 has acted as a support area, suggesting potential accumulation before the next leg up. A bullish continuation is anticipated with three structured targets aligned at: Target 1: 191.773 Target 2: 193.320 Target 3: 194.832 The setup provides a favorable risk to reward scenario. A break and close below the demand zone and ascending trendline support would invalidate this bias. This is a higher time frame key levels. When price enters in our zone, look for confirmation in smaller time frame before executing your trades. Confirmation is key. This just my analysis. Use proper stoploss and proper money management for your trade. #GBPJPY 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
A bearish outlook on EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) typically stems from either Euro weakness, Yen strength, or a combination of both. Here are several current or general themes that could support a bearish bias: 1. Risk-Off Sentiment (Yen Strength) The Japanese Yen is a safe-haven currency, which tends to strengthen during global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical tensions, stock market declines, or economic uncertainty). If equities fall or global sentiment sours, JPY demand can rise, pushing EUR/JPY lower. 2. ECB Dovishness (Euro Weakness) If the European Central Bank (ECB) signals or enacts rate cuts, this weakens the Euro. For instance, recent soft Eurozone inflation or poor economic data may prompt ECB easing, lowering EUR/JPY. 3. BOJ Policy Normalization (JPY Strength) If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues shifting away from ultra-loose monetary policy (e.g., exiting negative rates, allowing JGB yields to rise), this could strengthen the Yen. Any hawkish surprise from the BOJ is typically JPY-positive. 4. Technical Setup On the charts, if EUR/JPY is failing at resistance (e.g., near a long-term high or a fib retracement), or showing bearish divergence on RSI/MACD, it could signal a top. A break below key support zones (e.g., 160.00 or 158.00) might accelerate downside momentum. 5. Positioning and Sentiment If traders are heavily long EUR/JPY (crowded trade), a reversal or sharp correction is more likely if sentiment shifts.