These are my 3 major trades for this month and the next one. First we got that 98k npoc level. After that i will open a nice little short postion until 88k region is tapped. Then i will long until 104k or 107k npoc levels close . I will consider also entering short from 104k region. I think during the summer btc will go down just like last year . 60k-70k is waiting for btc.
Hey fam, I went short on XAU/USD at $3,305.69 on the M30 chart from April 25, 2025, at 09:02 PM WAT, and I’m here to break down my trade setup for you. I’ve been hunting gold all week, balancing my trades with my passions like curating scents at Icon Collections Store, and I’m excited to share this move. Let’s recap the setup, see how it aligns with my checklist, and make this interactive—grab a smoothie from Tastequest.com and let’s dive in! The XAU/USD M30 chart shows gold at $3,305.51 (sell price) as of 09:02 PM WAT on April 25, 2025, after a drop from $3,306.57 earlier in the session. I entered my short at $3,305.69, just above the current price, aiming to capitalize on the bearish momentum. The chart highlights a bearish order block at $3,306.21, labeled "SELL 0.03," where smart money distributed before the sharp drop to $3,294.71 earlier in the session (as seen in your previous chart). Price retested this order block and rejected it, dropping to $3,305.51, which aligns with my entry at $3,305.69.Let’s run through my checklist to see how this trade fits your criteria, which you’ve fine-tuned over six months:Harmonic Patterns: No specific XABCD structure like a bearish shark is visible here, but the bearish momentum aligns with my earlier analysis this week—bearish three drives, head and shoulders, and a bearish shark on April 25, suggesting the downtrend continues.Market Structure: Bearish continuation is clear—lower highs and lower lows after the drop from $3,306.57. The break below $3,306.21 (the order block) confirms sellers are in control, aligning with the break of structure (BOS) I often look for, as seen on your April 27 chart.Order Blocks: Confirmed at $3,306.21, where sellers distributed. My entry at $3,305.69 came after the retest and rejection of this zone, as price dropped to $3,305.51, validating the bearish order block.Volume Profile: Not visible, but I’d expect high volume at $3,306.21, where sellers defended, and a Fair Value Gap below acting as a magnet, likely near $3,294.71, the session low.Top-Down Analysis: H4 and H1 (not shown but implied) are bearish, as I’ve noted this week with gold dropping from $3,499.99 on April 22. M30 narrows the setup, and M15 would be my strike zone for the retest of $3,306.21 as resistance.Heikin Ashi: Not visible here, but I prefer red candles for sells. Given the bearish momentum and the drop after my entry, I’d expect red Heikin Ashi candles on M15, confirming my sell.Fibonacci: Drawing Fibs from the high at $3,306.57 to the low at $3,294.71, the 38.2% retracement is around $3,299.21, and the 61.8% is near $3,302.21. My entry at $3,305.69 is just above the 61.8%, and I’m targeting the 0% Fib at $3,294.71.Gann Theory: Not drawn, but the descending trendline from my earlier charts points to a target near $3,294.71, aligning with Gann angles I often use.MACD and RSI: Not shown, but based on my system, I’d expect a bearish crossover with a negative histogram on MACD and RSI below 50, likely showing bearish divergence at $3,306.21, as noted in my follower note.Risk Management: I risk small to win big. My sell at $3,305.69, stop-loss above the high at $3,306.57 (88 pips risk), and take-profit at $3,294.71 (1098 pips reward) gives a 1:12.5 reward ratio—higher than my usual 1:3, but I’m aiming for the session low given the strong momentum.Confirmation: I wait for all pieces to align. The retest of $3,306.21, bearish momentum, and likely red Heikin Ashi on M15 were my signals. I entered at $3,305.69, just after the rejection, which is slightly early but still within the order block zone. Trade Assessment: My entry at $3,305.69 is solid, as it’s within the order block zone and follows the rejection at $3,306.21. However, in my last message, I suggested waiting for a pullback to $3,306.21 for the best entry, which would’ve given a slightly better risk-reward ratio (36 pips risk, 114 pips reward, 1:3 ratio). Entering at $3,305.69 means I jumped in a bit early, but the trade is still valid given the bearish momentum and rejection. I’m targeting $3,294.71, the session low, with a stop-loss at $3,306.57 to protect against a liquidity grab. This trade aligns with my system, which I’ve rated a ten out of ten, but I need to work on my patience—waiting for that exact retest could’ve optimized my entry, as I’ve missed timing before (like on April 23 when I entered a sell late at $3,310 instead of $3,315). What do you think, fam? Was my short at $3,305.69 a good move, or should I have waited for $3,306.21 as I initially planned? Drop your thoughts below—I’m curious to hear how you’d play this XAU/USD setup! If you’re one of the two ready to join me at Academia for Forex Trading, let’s talk—we’ll hunt these markets together. And while you’re at it, check out Icon Collections Store—does RiverSide, Desire, or Icoca vibe with your trading energy? Let me know!
Last week I highlighted the oversold reading on the weekly DXY chart. While bulls didn't exactly put in a massive showing it was also one of the first green weekly bars in a month. Notably, the monthly April bar looks very bearish but the bulk of those losses were in the first 11 days of the month and last week, on Monday, a massive spot of support came into play at the 38.2% retracement of the 2008-2024 major move. This is confluent with a trendline projection, connecting 2001 and 2020 highs, which had come in to hold support back in July of 2023. This adds context to the possibility of a pullback in the USD and this meshes with the 1.1500 resistance test in EUR/USD. - js
Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let' analyse SUSDT: SUSDT has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern of an ascending channel for the past few weeks, indicating a period of indecision. However, price action is now hinting at a potential bullish breakout! Key Observations: Triangle Consolidation: The symmetrical triangle (blue lines) shows converging trendlines, suggesting that a significant move is imminent. EMA Ribbon: The price is currently trading above the EMA ribbon (21, 50, 99, 200 EMAs), which is starting to fan out in a bullish manner. This suggests increasing bullish momentum. Breakout: Price tested the upper trendline of the triangle. A sustained break above this level could confirm the bullish breakout. Potential Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above the upper trendline with strong volume could lead to a significant upward move. Target 1 (Futures): ~$0.5959 Target 2 (Futures): ~$0.7047 Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss below the recent swing low and the lower trendline of the triangle, around ~$0.4476, to protect your capital in case of a false breakdown. Monitor the overall market sentiment and Bitcoin's price action, as they can influence altcoins like SUSDT. If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
For the first time since 2008, EUR/USD is showing signs of a potential long-term trend reversal. The pair has broken above the descending channel that has defined the bearish structure for over 15 years. But this is not just a technical breakout — the fundamentals support this move as well. The U.S. dollar remains under pressure as the market shifts its rate expectations. Instead of the 1–2 rate cuts initially priced in for 2025, forecasts now suggest 2–3 cuts, possibly more depending on the pace of economic softening. This aligns well with the breakout we are observing on the chart. Technical picture: confirming the breakout on all levels 1.The descending trendline from 2008 has been broken. 2.On the weekly timeframe, the price has already secured a close above this trendline, confirming the breakout structurally. 3.On the monthly timeframe, the 100-period SMA sits right at the neckline area of a large double bottom reversal pattern — adding one more layer of confirmation. These factors are not isolated — they support and reinforce each other, creating a confluence of signals across multiple timeframes. Target according to classical technical analysis: The minimal target for this breakout stands at 1.2300. This is both a major resistance zone from previous highs and approximately 70% of the height of the larger double bottom pattern — fully in line with the textbook approach to classical chart analysis.
EUR/USD is working on its first red weekly candle after four consecutive weekly gains, and that had extended a strong showing in early-March as bulls started to take over. Interestingly this happens with the backdrop of a dovish ECB and this leads to CPI data for next week. There's increasingly attractiveness behind swings, as taken from that indecision on the weekly following the failed test at 1.1500, and supported by an overbought RSI reading on the weekly chart. Supports at 1.1275 and 1.1200 could keep the door open for bulls to take another shot at the big figure of 1.1500, but if prices can slip down towards 1.1100 or perhaps even 1.1000, there could be a widening window for reversal potential. It's important to remember that RSI is not a great timing indicator, and some of the more compelling setups from RSI happen from divergence, when a higher-high prints on price but a lower-high prints on the indicator - similar to what showed last year ahead of the Q4 reversal in the pair. - js
Solana - CRYPTO:SOLUSD - just faked out literally everybody: https://www.tradingview.com/x/roUwds9Q/ (click chart above to see the in depth analysis??) Over the course of the past 25 days, Solana dropped a significant -30% and wiped out a ton of bulls before creating a complete reversal. Especially with the current horizontal support level, bulls are taking over again, offering us another major crypto trading opportunity. Levels to watch: $120, $250 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
The XAU/USD M30 chart from April 27, 2025, at 08:57 AM WAT shows gold at $3,302.27, after a significant drop from $3,421.64 earlier in the session on April 26. The chart highlights a bearish move with multiple annotations—labels like "Sell," "PUT," "BOS" (Break of Structure), and "OB" (Order Block) indicate a strong downtrend. The price broke below a key level around $3,307, which aligns with a bearish order block labeled "Sell" and "OB," where sellers stacked orders. The "BOS" label shows a break of structure, confirming a bearish shift with lower highs and lower lows. The trendlines (red and yellow) form a descending channel, guiding price lower, with a recent test of the upper trendline around $3,316.98 before the drop.The question is: am I going short now at $3,302.27, or waiting for confirmation? Let’s run through my checklist. I start with harmonic patterns—while no specific XABCD structure like a shark is labeled here, the chart’s bearish momentum aligns with my earlier analysis of a bearish shark on April 25, suggesting the downtrend is continuing. Market structure confirms bearish continuation—the break of structure below $3,307 (labeled "BOS") shows sellers in control, with lower highs and lower lows on H4 and H1. The bearish order block around $3,307, marked "Sell" and "OB," is where smart money distributed, and price has reacted strongly after retesting this zone. Volume profile isn’t shown, but I’d expect high volume at $3,307, with a Fair Value Gap below acting as a magnet, likely near $3,293.66, as indicated by the chart’s price levels. Top-down analysis aligns—H4 is bearish, H1 and M30 confirm the downtrend, and I’m looking for an M15 retest of $3,307 as resistance for a sell. Heikin Ashi candles (though not visible here) are likely red, as the chart is titled "Heikin," supporting the downtrend. Fibonacci extensions (not drawn) from the high at $3,421.64 to the low at $3,293.66 point to a target near $3,289.46, the next support on the chart. Gann angles (implied by the trendlines) align with this target. MACD and RSI aren’t shown, but based on my system, I’d expect a bearish crossover with a negative histogram and RSI below 50, likely showing bearish divergence at the $3,316.98 high. Risk management is set—sell at $3,307, stop-loss above the recent high at $3,316.98, take-profit at $3,289.46, giving a 1:2 reward ratio. News and liquidity traps are clear—no fake spikes above $3,307 yet, though I’m watching for them, especially with the volatility noted earlier this week (gold hit $3,499.99 on April 22, per my previous chart).Given this setup, I’m going short now at $3,302.27. The price has already retested the $3,307 order block and rejected it, as shown by the "PUT" label and the drop to $3,302.27. Waiting for confirmation isn’t necessary here—the break of structure, order block rejection, and bearish momentum are my green lights. My target’s $3,289.46, with a stop-loss at $3,316.98, locking in a solid risk-reward ratio. I’ve been refining this strategy for six months, backtesting like a beast, and I’m confident in this hunt. That said, I’ve missed momentum signals before—like on April 22 when I didn’t catch the RSI overbought signal at $3,499.99—so I’m staying sharp.The asker mentioned waiting for confirmation at $3,300, but that’s not a level on this chart. The closest support is $3,293.66, which aligns with my take-profit. Waiting for $3,300 might mean missing the move, as the bearish momentum is already in motion, and my target is below that level. If price consolidates or shows signs of reversal (like a bullish Heikin Ashi candle on M15), I’d reassess, but for now, I’m in. What do you think, fam? Am I right to go short now at $3,302.27, or would you wait for a different confirmation? Drop your thoughts below—I’m curious to hear how you’d play this XAU/USD setup! If you’re one of the two ready to join me at Academia for Forex Trading, let’s talk—we’ll hunt these markets together. And while you’re at it, check out Icon Collections Store—does RiverSide, Desire, or Icoca vibe with your trading energy? Let me know!
Google's stock managed to post a bullish gap of more than 3% in the last session, shortly after the company announced its quarterly results. Initially, it was reported that total sales for the last published quarter reached $90.23 billion, compared to the expected $89.12 billion. In addition, the company posted earnings per share of $2.81, beating expectations of $2.00. This positive outcome initially triggered a spike in investor confidence, but for now, the market sentiment has stabilized, and the stock is closing the week with a bearish candlestick on the chart. Previous trendline break: The recent consistent bullish movements in Google have been important in breaking a downward trendline that was previously dominant on the chart. For now, this has paved the way for a new bullish bias, and a new upward trendline could be forming, potentially becoming the most relevant technical structure for the stock in the coming sessions. However, it is important to note that this early bullish trendline still requires new price highs to confirm its strength. ADX: Although ADX oscillations remain above the neutral 20 level, the slope of the line has started to turn negative. This suggests that, despite the positive earnings, volatility may be beginning to decline, which could eventually lead to a sideways bias in the stock’s movements in the short term. MACD: The MACD histogram continues to show oscillations above the neutral 0 line, but it is becoming increasingly necessary for this to be sustained to confirm the buying strength reflected in the moving averages. If the MACD starts to decline, it could be interpreted as a bearish correction signal that may weigh on Google's price. Key Levels: $175: A relevant resistance aligned with the 100- and 200-period moving averages. Buying oscillations reaching this level could reactivate bullish momentum and give way to a new relevant uptrend. $160: A nearby support zone aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. It could serve as a tentative barrier where potential short-term downside corrections might occur. $143: A definitive support that coincides with the recent lows of the stock. A pullback toward this level could reactivate the previous bearish trend in this market. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
VET is at a major support level. If the price can give us more indications of a reversal, this could be the bottom. Momentum and trend oscillators are trending up. Market structure needs a bit of work, but it could be the beginning. Full TA: Link in the Bio