On the H4 chart, DXY presents two potential paths. It appears that the bottom is in, as the price is painfully escaping a Wyckoff accumulation phase. A key level to watch is 105.615, where a gap may need to be filled. Once this level is reached, the next move will depend on the retracement momentum. If bullish strength persists, DXY is likely to continue upward toward the 106.172 resistance level. The broader market is feeling the impact of DXY’s movements, with all USD pairs experiencing pressure. Given the turbulent nature of exiting a Wyckoff phase, volatility should be expected. ⚠️ Risk Warning: These are my personal views, not financial advice (NFA). Trade carefully.
Discover today's Nasdaq trading zones and refine your market analysis skills.
Because the market hasn't reached our entry point, we can't enter into this trade, but the market is still on our side, so we can recite a failed with no profit and no loss for this trade.
Price has failed to displace below 1.29077, warranting bullish momentum till 1.29325.
The chart pattern assisted by all-time low valuations for DMart makes it worth studying. The levels are marked clearly. This isn't a recommendation. I intend to pass my knowledge of technical analysis through the published charts. Conduct your own research before investing.
EURUSD SHORTS Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025 The higher time frame is pushing this narrative. Take a look at the weekly time frame. Price actions is indication a bearish reaction from the weekly Order Block. For this reason, ALL long positions are off the table until further notice. That of course makes out job as risk managers a lot easier. We can now focus our bias on looking for high probability short set ups. So what do we have- The current weekly candle, we can anticipate has makes it high, creating our perfect area to short from once an indication of price slow down and bullish turn around has occurred. We have our weekly and daily50 exponential moving average to short toward. Add that to the bag of confluences. internal 15' market structure and price action. There some work to be done and a potentially a period of sitting on hands whilst we wait for price to show its hands. We have two 15' points of interests that a short could present itself from however we must be mindful of the internal structure so a clear turn around of price once the areas have been touched is required. Ideally I will first need to see a break of structure post London open, leaving Tokyo highs, that will be our confluence for price returning to our area. If 15' structure does not break post London open, I will await for the higher 15' point of interest. knowing this higher area is almost the last resort for the short set up, my confluences for price turn around will be reduced. 1' breaks of structure, followed by bearish engulfing candles and or 1' imbalance candle fill will be more than sufficient for a position to be executed. In summery, EURUSD SHORTS. Closest 15' OB- need to see a break below structure first to indicate selling pressure leading Toyko untouched. await the pull back into the 15'- await a turn around in price and short to the close 50 EMA. Higher 15' OB, lets see how price arrives, slow and steady, showing signs of slow down, lets entertain lower time frame breaks of struture for a short down to Tokyo lows on the assumption not mitigated post session close. Lets see how it plays. FRGNT X
Just as analyzed, gold market has mitigated 3134, confirming the expected trend correction. Now, anticipation builds for a further drop toward the 3090’s, aligning with market sentiment and technical projections. follow for more insights on gold market analysis , boost , and comment .
You wake up, check your portfolio, and see a sea of red. The market’s down, your stocks are taking a nosedive, and CNBC is running apocalyptic headlines about an impending crash. Sounds familiar? It’s maybe because we’re in (or super close to) a correction right now — the S&P 500 SP:SPX was down 10% from its record high two weeks ago and a lot of people are unsure what to do. The truth of the matter is, stock market corrections are routine—not as often as the meeting that should’ve been an email, but also not as rare as a winning trade in the Japanese yen ( widow maker is real, yo ). And, most importantly, they’re usually not as catastrophic as they feel in the moment. So, before you hit the panic button (or worse, start revenge trading to “win it all back”), let’s talk about what’s shaking the market right now and how to navigate corrections like a pro. ? First Things First: What’s a Correction? A stock market correction is a drop of 10% or more from a recent high. It’s not a crash, it’s not the end of capitalism, and it’s definitely not a sign that you should liquidate your entire portfolio and move to a remote cabin in the woods. Corrections happen regularly, typically once every year or two. They’re a natural part of market cycles, shaking out excessive speculation and resetting valuations to more reasonable levels. For the record, a drop of 20% is considered a bear market. ? Why the Market’s Getting Jittery Markets don’t move in straight lines, and sometimes they hit turbulence. Lately, two big themes have been dominating headlines: Trump’s Hard-Line Tariffs Hit Hard (And Markets Are Nervous About It) If there’s anything Trump knows how to do is say things online or on-site and move markets. And his hostile and straight up combatant approach to handling international relations has sent traders scrambling to offload risk. With hiked tariffs on China, Europe, and Mexico and Canada, businesses are bracing for severe supply chain disruptions, higher costs, and tighter margins. When tariffs go up, corporate earnings tend to go down—and the market doesn’t like that math. Inflation Just Won’t Quit The Federal Reserve spent most of the last two years trying to tame inflation, and just when it seemed like things were cooling off, it’s creeping back up. The latest readout of the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report showed prices ticked up more than expected at 2.8% in February. Higher inflation means the Fed might keep interest rates elevated for longer than expected, making borrowing more expensive and slowing down growth. Every new inflation release has investors guessing: Will the Fed cut rates, hold steady, or—worst case—hike again? Between trade wars and stubborn inflation, uncertainty is running high, and that dynamics breeds volatility. But a correction doesn’t mean the market is broken—it just means sentiment has shifted. ⚠️ How NOT to React (aka: Rookie Mistakes to Avoid) When corrections hit, bad decision-making is at an all-time high. Here’s what not to do: Panic selling – Selling at the bottom is a classic rookie move. If you weren’t planning to sell at the highs, why dump everything when it’s down? Trying to time the exact bottom – Good luck. Nobody, not even Warren Buffett, can catch the bottom (not that he’s trying). If you’re waiting for the “perfect” dip, you’ll likely miss the rebound. Going all-in on one asset – Thinking of putting everything into one stock or crypto because it’s “cheap” now? Please don’t. Diversification exists for a reason . Getting glued to financial news – Watching every market update during a correction is like doom-scrolling Google after a mild headache—you’ll only freak yourself out more. Now that we’ve covered what not to do, let’s focus on the smart plays. ? So, What Should You Do? If you want to come out of a correction with your sanity (and portfolio) intact, here’s your game plan: 1️⃣ Zoom Out—Corrections Are Temporary The market moves in cycles, and corrections are just part of the game. Historically, corrections last a few months, while bull markets last years. If you’re investing for the long term, a correction is a blip on the chart, not an extinction event. 2️⃣ Review Your Portfolio Like a Hedge Fund Manager Corrections are a great excuse to audit your holdings. Ask yourself: Is this stock/ETF/index still worth holding? Has anything fundamentally changed, or is this just temporary market noise? Do I have too much exposure to one sector? Think of it as spring cleaning for your investments. It's also an opportunity to make some good use of the handy Stock Screener or Stock Heatmap to spot the best (and worst) performers. If something was a FOMO buy and doesn’t belong in your portfolio, consider trimming it. 3️⃣ Buy Selectively, Not Blindly Corrections create opportunities, but that doesn’t mean you should just throw money at every stock that’s down. Some companies deserve their declines ( looking at you, Nikola )—others are just collateral damage in a broader selloff. Look for quality companies with strong earnings, manageable debt, and real growth potential. If they were solid before the correction, they’ll likely recover faster than the overhyped names. Example: Remember when Amazon stock NASDAQ:AMZN tanked 90% in 2000, the dot-com bubble? No, because you were too busy being 2 years old instead of loading up on Jeff Bezos’s dream. And look where the guy’s now. 4️⃣ Do Some Good Old DCA Instead of dumping all your cash into the market at once, use dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Buying in small increments at regular intervals helps you avoid the stress of trying to time the bottom. If prices drop further, you can buy more at an even better price. 5️⃣ Keep Emotions in Check Corrections test your patience and discipline. The best investors don’t let fear dictate their strategy. If you’re getting emotional about your trades, step away from the screen and take a breath. The market will be there when you come back. ? The Market Always Bounces Back—Eventually Every correction feels like the worst one while it’s happening. But let’s look at history: The S&P 500 has faced 30+ corrections since 1950. It survived them all. The average correction lasts four months before a recovery begins. After a correction, markets typically rally higher within a year. Unless you believe the global economy is permanently broken (hint: not yet, at least), every major downturn has eventually turned into a new bull run. ?♂ Final Thought: Be the Hero, Not the Victim Market corrections separate the professionals from the wannabes. The people who panic and sell at the bottom? They usually regret it. The ones who keep a level head, stick to their strategy, and take advantage of good opportunities? They come out stronger. And finally, if you need to take away one thing it’s this: Corrections aren’t the enemy. They’re the price of admission for long-term gains. ? Let’s hear it from you! How do you handle corrections, what’s your strategy when the market is in a downturn and what’s in your portfolio then? Share your experience in the comment section!
Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges. ? Lack of Knowledge and Experience Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming. No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy. Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses. Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions. ? Time Constraints Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus. Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study. Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective? ________________________________________ A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA) Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that: ✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis ✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach ✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis ✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy What is IA? Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives. An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment. • If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones. • If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones. This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds. How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use: • Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing) • Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag) • Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels) • Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow • Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC) These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets. This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it. Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets. Look at these charts ? Trend https://www.tradingview.com/x/V6gAXLw8/ When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!). In the chart: A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D). A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness). Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes. Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached. If a new target appears, it will be shown. If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones. ? Sideways Market (Range) https://www.tradingview.com/x/PRcjrOG6/ If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target. ? Transitional Phase https://www.tradingview.com/x/blY3snxi/ Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend. During transitions: It’s better to avoid trading. Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important). For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible. With IA You Can: ✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time ✅ Anticipate initiative shifts ✅ Visualize control zones and key levels ✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers ✅ Forecast potential price targets IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction. ________________________________________ How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges ? Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners. ? Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement: Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block. Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block. Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones. While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management. ? Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts. “Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review. ? Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive. Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset. Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them. IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time. It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market. Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions. If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
NAS100 Daytrade idea (short) 4Hour https://www.tradingview.com/x/7E97SQoJ/ price mitigation inside 4h fai value gap 15m entry London time looking at this FVG entry for short https://www.tradingview.com/x/CkFwpcvL/