FX:GBPUSD Friday trade recap on GBPJPY. ? The rationale behind taking this trade was firstly, the positive GBP news for Retail Sales of actual 0.4%, greater than the -0.3% forecast. ? Secondly, the price tapped into the strong 4H demand zone, while also sweeping the Asian lows. ? The news took place on 6 am UTC, while there were no sudden spikes in price during 6 am, we can see a 30 pips price push few minutes after the news, signaling the market price reacting to the news. ? Price got rejected twice from the 15 minutes bearish shooting star, creating a strong short term resistance zone. ? Since the bias is short term bullish, I waited for a break and retest of the trendline, as soon as price failed to close below the zone, I immediately place buys. ? Price Eventually hit TP at a 1:2.46% risk to reward trade but closed at +1.9% to avoid the subsequent red news. 3min chart https://www.tradingview.com/x/pdZe9sgM/
I’m struggling to stay bearish on US stocks-bearish in the short-term as the sentiment is now mainstream. The negative news dominating the headlines could create a lot of potential for a surprise upside move in the near term. Yesterday’s steady SPX rally, despite no news, was impressive. We could easily rally another 2-4% in the short term. The sharp downside move over the last couple months does leave potential for a local lower high which would be concerning. If there are trades to be made, intraday ranges is where I’d put my focus on stocks (and not be tooo greedy). Bitcoin has the potential the put in a macro reversal if it closes the week strong. A swing trade entry at the 200 daily MA on BTC is still in play. SPX Technicals Volume profile: POC: $5609 Upside interest: $5750 Downside interest: $5303 The line in the sand over the next 2 months is the 5120 level - the August 2024 low. If we close June there, 6M bearish divergence on the RSI leaves potential for a prolonged bear market. But that’s enough long-term analysis at a news-driven time when technicals have little bearing on price action. What I’m focusing on this week: - Sizing down - Taking quick profits - Watching trump’s tweets
? Technical Analysis: S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES1!) – April 2025 ? Market Structure & Price Action for US500 The daily chart shows the S&P 500 E-mini Futures in a bullish recovery after a significant correction. The recent rally has pushed price back toward previous swing highs, an area likely to contain resting buy-side liquidity. This move suggests that the market is currently in a markup phase, but is now approaching a critical resistance zone where profit-taking and counter-trend activity may emerge. ? Wyckoff Perspective From a Wyckoff methodology standpoint, the recent price action resembles a classic accumulation-to-markup transition. The sharp selloff in March and early April appears to have formed a selling climax (SC) followed by an automatic rally (AR) and a secondary test (ST). The current advance could be interpreted as a sign of strength (SOS), but the proximity to previous highs raises the risk of an upthrust (UTAD) or a bull trap if supply emerges. ? Liquidity & Potential Pullback As price trades into the prior highs, it is likely "eating" buy-side liquidity—triggering stops and breakout orders. This process often leads to a liquidity sweep, where price briefly exceeds resistance before reversing as large players offload positions. If the market fails to sustain above these highs, a pullback or even a reversal could be initiated, especially if volume and momentum wane. ? Market Sentiment & Fundamentals Current sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with the S&P 500 E-mini trading above 5,500 and recent sessions showing resilience despite mixed earnings and macroeconomic uncertainty. The broader market is supported by expectations of stable Fed policy and robust corporate earnings, but there are persistent concerns about inflation and global growth. According to Markets Insider, the ES futures are up 0.59% recently, reflecting a positive but not euphoric tone. However, as noted by Investing.com, there are signs the market could be setting up for a reversal if bulls fail to maintain momentum. ?️ Trade Ideas ? Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and holds above the previous highs with strong volume and closes, consider a long entry targeting the next psychological resistance (e.g., 5,700–5,800). Place stops just below the breakout level to manage risk. This would confirm continued demand and a potential extension of the markup phase. ? Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above the highs and forms a reversal pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, upthrust), look for a short entry targeting the first support zone (e.g., 5,300–5,200). Stops should be placed above the failed breakout. This would align with a Wyckoff upthrust after distribution and a likely liquidity sweep. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Target: $0.76 Stoploss: $0.633 or lower Trading with the trend 3.5RR
Hello, Skyrexians! Some of you may be remember my article which I shared more than 1 year ago where called BINANCE:LDOUSDT the worst asset and it dumped exactly as predicted. Then made a mistake making assumption that some coins can grow while other will go down. This assumption has the very low probability to be truth, now I have the clear view that entire crypto will go up soon and LDO can be the greatest performer. On the weekly chart we can see the huge 3 year accumulation. Current point can be the best to buy. We have bullish divergence on Awesome oscillator, green dot on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . Moreover, current price action looks like a spring on Wyckoff cycle. The exact target impossible to predict, but I think it shall be above $12. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
On the monthly chart, USD/CAD has found strong support, signaling a potential bullish continuation. With anticipated USD strength in the coming weeks, there’s a clear opportunity for the pair to move higher. We are targeting 1.40180 as the first objective, with the potential to extend towards 1.41500 if momentum continues. On the daily chart, the price is showing signs of weakness but also bullish intent, suggesting a possible retracement before a move higher. Ideally, a pullback into the 1.38490 – 1.38450 zone would offer a high-probability long entry.
The global EV theme has faced renewed pressure as China's BYD aggressively captures market share, putting giants like Tesla and Toyota under strain. Toyota's stock recently plunged near its 2023 lows as sales expectations were trimmed. However, technicals paint a different picture now. The stock staged a sharp rebound, retracing back above the 61.8% Fibonacci level. On the monthly chart, a strong bullish candle has formed — signaling potential for continued upside momentum. With momentum shifting, eyes are now on higher resistance levels.
Gold may be setting up for a major move I’m seeing a completed wave A of a zigzag correction, and right now, price is in the middle of a B wave flat pattern. Currently, we are inside wave C of B, and I expect this minor rally to finish around 3375. After that? I'm looking for a sharp and aggressive wave C decline, potentially targeting 3145! Invalidation: If gold breaks above 3447, this setup will be off the table. Keep your eyes on this – a powerful move could be just around the corner!
There is a Possible Support Area (sky Blue) that price is respecting and there is a counter trendline as well. If broken, I expect a BUY. If not broken, there is a stronger Support Level below which should fuel the BUY.
BTCUSD show signs of reversal with break of downTrendline.