The ADP report released in the morning said that the pace of hiring slowed sharply in April as companies prepared to deal with the possible impact of US President Trump's tariffs on US trading partners. This month, the number of new jobs in the US private sector was only 62,000, the smallest increase since July 2024, significantly lower than the expectation of 115,000, and slower than the 147,000 increase after the downward revision in March. After the data was released, spot gold rose in the short term and once touched around $3,320. Gold fell to a low of 3,266 in the morning. With the release of ADP data, it was another short-term rise of $50-60. Many traders may not know where to start with the current gold market and think it is still in the process of rectification. Of course, it is definitely not wrong to look at it this way, after all, gold is still in the process of rectification. However, traders should be alert that some Asian countries have entered a trading suspension state starting today, and it will last for about 5 days. The price of gold may fall during this period. Quaid's analysis: Gold rose to around 3320 in the morning, but failed to break through the upward resistance level of 3325. And 3320 is the 618 position of the trend Fibonacci from 3352 to the low point of 3266. If 3320 is the current high point of wave B, then 3352 is point A. Then point C is likely to appear around 3230. Therefore, Quide believes that gold is likely to break down. Operation suggestions: Short at 3305-2210, stop loss at 3317, and take profit at 3250-3230. Thank you for reading. If traders can leave your different suggestions, Quide will be very grateful to you.
We are at a crucial point, the price is touching a cross between two trend lines that have lasted for YEARS. Decisive moment for BTC. If it breaks to the upside we will fly. For the moment I value a short position with SL just above the trend lines. Good Luck
ECONOMICS:USGDPQQ Q1/2025 source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis https://www.tradingview.com/x/L4r7q927/ -U.S economy shrank 0.3% in Q1 2025, the first contraction since Q1 2022, versus 2.4% growth in Q4 and expectations of 0.3% expansion, as rising trade tensions weighed on the economy. Net exports cut nearly 5 percentage points from GDP as imports jumped over 40%. Consumer spending rose just 1.8%, the weakest since mid-2023, while federal government outlays fell 5.1%, the most since Q1 2022.
The cruise industry has weathered a stormy economic climate, but Carnival Corporation (NYSE: CCL) emerges as a standout opportunity for investors. With its stock sliding from $26 to $17 per share—and its ADR (CUK) at $15.59 as of April 22— Carnival’s valuation reflects market pressures rather than its operational strength. Boasting passenger bookings exceeding 100% for the year ahead, the company is poised for a rebound, particularly with the summer travel season approaching. Cruise Industry: Sailing Through Economic Challenges High interest rates and market volatility have tested the cruise industry, impacting companies reliant on debt for growth. The U.S. stock market, hovering 5% above its 2021 peaks, has seen sell-offs in discretionary sectors like travel amid recession concerns and global tensions, including U.S.-China trade disputes. Yet, the sector shows resilience, with the Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) projecting global passenger numbers to climb to 35 million in 2025, up from 31.7 million in 2024, fueled by strong demand and new vessel launches. As the world’s largest cruise operator, managing brands like Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, and Holland America, Carnival is well-equipped to ride this wave of recovery. Carnival’s Position: Headwinds and Strengths Carnival’s stock has taken a hit, dropping from $26 to $17, with its ADR at $15.59, and trading volume surging 12% above average. This decline stems from a broader market downturn, the withdrawal of a Saudi investment fund, and a Q4 2024 net loss of $78 million—a sharp reversal from earlier quarters’ profits in the hundreds of millions. Elevated borrowing costs, tied to pandemic-era debt, have compounded these challenges, pressuring the company’s financials. Carnival’s operational metrics tell a brighter story. Bookings for the next year exceed 100% capacity, with waitlists signaling robust consumer appetite for cruises despite economic uncertainty. Such a demand reflects a broader trend of prioritizing experiential spending, positioning Carnival to capitalize on the upcoming summer season, which could drive stronger revenue and a more favorable Q2 2025 earnings report. Investment Outlook: Targeting 30-50% Returns At $17 per share, Carnival offers a compelling entry point for investors. Initially recommended for purchase between $20-23, the current price presents a value opportunity. A 12-month horizon targets a 30% return, with shares potentially hitting $22, though a 50% gain to $25.50 is possible if seasonal demand and earnings outperform expectations. Investors who entered at $20-22 can consider averaging down to boost returns. This strategy banks on Carnival’s ability to leverage its full bookings and stabilize finances as interest rate pressures ease. Risks to Watch Carnival’s investment case isn’t without hurdles. Its significant debt load and recent $78 million Q4 loss raise concerns, particularly if interest rates remain high or consumer spending falters. Market volatility, driven by recession fears or geopolitical risks, could further weigh on discretionary sectors like cruises. Nevertheless, Carnival’s strong booking trends provide a cushion, mitigating some economic risks and supporting its recovery potential. Key Takeaways Carnival Corporation at $17 per share stands out as a value play in the cruise industry’s rebound. Despite debt challenges and a recent loss, bookings exceeding 100% and a promising summer season signal growth potential.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/zfJXbG7M/ I think that US100 is going to bounce. The price is currently retesting a recently broken key daily horizontal resistance. We see a strong positive bullish reaction to that. Next resistance - 19779 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Trade with patience on this pair as there was election in Canada on this week. It is just my analysis. Let us Check how it works.
BEL 314 has given breakout . Support at 290. Target 380. Valuation Good Dividend payout across aerospace sector FII's have increased stake hold. In April 2025, has got 2 orders. India's Bharat Electronics gains on 22-bln rupee order win from Airforce BEL - GETS ORDER WORTH 5.93 BILLION RUPEES P/E is at 46 while sector P/E is at 60 10 Years ROE is 20%
When the system says wait, I wait. That’s how trust is built. That’s how we trade. Here’s how the Indicator Family System reads this chart, layer by layer. ? Chart Overview Ticker: TME (Tencent Music Entertainment) Price: $13.33 Market Cap: $20.27B Sector: Technology Services Analyst Rating: ? Strong Buy EPS Growth YoY: +33.54% Dividend Yield: 0.98% ? What the Indicator Family System Sees ? 1. Enhanced Trend Indicator – Reversal & Volume Logic *(“Big Brother”) Spots real reversal zones based on fib compression, structure breaks, and volume shifts Alerts with visual arrows and band coloring when trend pressure shifts ✅ On NYSE:TME : Red arrow just printed on the 15m → system says stand down ⚠️ We don’t front-run — we wait for a green reversal arrow + volume pop to re-engage ? 2. Enhanced Trend Companion – MA, Fib, Exit Control *(“Little Brother”) Simplifies trend tracking with smart moving averages, fib levels, and momentum exit zones Great for identifying pullback entries, trailing stops, or continuation confirmation ✅ On NYSE:TME : Shows price is still hugging fib resistance and not ready to clear structure ⚠️ MA stack is curling, but not yet trending — we need more to justify entry ? Where We Are Now (Macro + Micro) ? 4H Macro View: Holding above 0.382–0.5 fib support MA cluster curling bullishly Needs structure breakout above $13.45 to flip bias ? 15M Micro View: Double rejection at 0.618 zone Red reversal arrow active Volume fading → no confirmation ? Trust in Action We found NYSE:TME from a TradingView screener: ✅ Strong Buy ✅ Solid growth ✅ Retail-accessible price But just because it’s bullish doesn’t mean it’s ready. The Indicator Family System says: wait. This is how we remove emotion, filter the noise, and build trust — in the tools, in the setups, and in ourselves. ✅ Want Access to These Indicators? I use both scripts together to validate structure, trend, and exit logic — not just entries. If you want access to the Indicator Family System: ? DM me here on TradingView with your username ? Tell me your trading style (scalp, swing, long-term) Only request if you value logic over hype — because this system isn’t for guessers. #TME #IndicatorFamilySystem #BigBrotherLittleBrother #TradingWithDiscipline #StrongBuySetup #RetailReady #TrustInAction #BM #FibRespect #RequestAccess #TrueTrader #Invite-Only #Incomparable #Unmatched #Proven #Tested #backtested #overly-confident #free-trial
Last week weekly candle closed as a bullish pinbar, signalling buying pressure. It has tried to break upwards twice this week already and I believe the third time would be the charm before we end the week with NFP. However, the road up would be tough with all the FVGs hence TP1 and 2 is relatively close to each other. Please do not risk more than 1% per trade。 If you like the idea, please help like the post and comment down your thoughts below! I would love to hear your thoughts!
Bitcoin’s been bouncing between $91.6K and $95.7K since April 23rd — clear short-term support and resistance. No breakout = no trend. Price is reacting to volume zones like the POC and 200 MA, but without strong volume, we’re just rotating inside the range. Until one side gives way, expect more sideways chop. Stay patient and let the breakout come to you.