Fundamentals -Tesla faces tough competition in the EV market, with its global share at 19% in 2024, as rivals like BYD grow faster. -Sales growth might slow down in 2025 due to weaker demand in key markets like China. Profits are under pressure after price cuts in 2024, with margins dropping to 8.2% in Q4. Latest News -Analyst Dan Ives said Elon Musk needs to focus to improve Tesla’s image, which is under pressure (Investopedia, March 21, 2025). -Tesla led a late-day rally in megacaps, but overall market mood is shaky (Yahoo Finance, March 21, 2025). -Investors are worried about EV demand slowing down due to high interest rates (Livemint, March 18, 2025). Recommendation Tesla (TSLA) rallied from $180 to $480 in an ascending channel on the daily chart from June 2024 to March 2025, but a recent "Trapped Candle" pattern at the highs signals potential volatility, with the stock now at $248.71 near the channel’s lower boundary around $216. In recent sessions, Tesla has definitely shown some support even after a deadly day on March 10, holding above the $216 level. The Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) shows a high volume node between $220-$240, indicating that the market is at a strong position with significant liquidity in this zone. However, this looks like a fear zone where many traders might get trapped if the stock closes above $253, leading to a false sense of recovery. Traders should keep a close eye on whether the stock holds the $216 support or breaks above $253 on the daily chart to determine the next move. Disclaimer This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose.
?Hypothetical Strategy Direction Entry Type ✅ Short Value, Entry Trigger: If price retests $8.50 & rejects again Above $8.60 Stop Target $8.20 → $8.00 or if price breaks below the 50 EMA ✅ Long Momentum, Entry Trigger If price closes above $8.58 (200 EMA) with bullish candle Below $8.45 Stop Target$8.93 → $9.20 ? Right now, the chart leans bearish bias under 200 EMA. Flip zone rejection confirms sellers are in control — short entries are higher probability unless $8.58 is broken, also notice the Chris Moody MACD flashed red, also notice the downward parallel channel. Please be careful
Hello, Traders, ---------------------------------- XAUUSD: TimeFrame: 1H: Possible price path personal opinion! ---------------------------------- comment your opinions. Wishing you profitable trading endeavors! If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.❤️
My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. While the market has seen a brief rally, the primary question is when will the rally end? Friday turned in mix answers to that question. The next step in my opinion will be a decline, possibly sharp with a quick bottom in some sectors AHEAD of the reciprocal tariff deadline on April 2. My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s with additional end of wave (overbought/sold) conditions. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. It currently signaled 3 of 3 based on the bottom in mid-March meaning another drop is likely soon. While the other stocks I have studied mainly topped at all-time highs in mid to late February, AAPL topped at the end of 2024. The movement of AAPL may be a leading indicator of future market movement as the market appears to be trading as a micro wave structure inside of AAPL's more macro movement. My market expectations are for their first semi-major wave 1s to end within the next few weeks. Each wave 1 will be followed by a multi week wave 2 up. AAPL may end its wave 3 structure (yellow 3) when the others finish their wave 1s. AAPL would then experience wave 4 up, when the other stocks and S&P 500 index experience their second wave. This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted. I will refer to the yellow waves a Minor waves and the green as Minute waves. The extension/retracement data on the left is based on Minor wave 1's movement and is applicable to Minor waves 2 and 3. It provides a rough location of levels for Minor wave 3 to end. The extension on the right attempts to determine Minute wave 5's end points based on Minute wave 3. An intersection of Minor wave 1 extension levels and Minute wave 3 extension levels are general targets for bottoms. One of these is between 203-204 for AAPL. Lastly, I apply similar levels to determine Minor wave 3's length based on Minor wave 1's length of 45 bars (on the 3 hour chart). Minor wave 3 is currently longer than 45 bars. The vertical dashed bars provide similar locations with the next vertical bar occurring on the morning of Monday March 31. I am therefore watching to see if the next bottom for AAPL occurs at this time. If this bottom truly comes into focus, I will then attempt to forecast Minor wave 4 for AAPL which could occur in late April.
XAUUSD Multi-Timeframe Analysis and Outlook 4H Chart Breakdown The 4-hour chart highlights key liquidity and price action zones: Daily Imbalance Filled: Price has returned to an area of inefficiency, completing a prior imbalance. 4H Order Block Rejection (Point B): There is a rejection off a 4-hour order block, which could act as support or a supply zone depending on follow-through price action. Change in State of Delivery (CISD) at Point A: A shift in market structure is being observed, potentially indicating a reversal or a strong continuation. Waiting for Confirmation: The annotation suggests waiting for price to either confirm a CISD or reject the order block, which would dictate the next move. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If price rejects the order block and forms bullish price action, a retracement upwards could be expected. Bearish Scenario: If CISD confirms bearish momentum, further downside continuation is likely. Monthly Chart Breakdown The monthly timeframe provides macro-level confirmation: Monthly OB (Order Block): Price has previously interacted with a key monthly order block. Monthly Imbalance Filled: Similar to the 4H chart, higher timeframe inefficiencies have been filled. Extremely Bullish Close: The candle closed very bullish, suggesting strong momentum. Need for Confirmation: Despite the strong close, confirmation through price action (PA) is needed before making directional assumptions. Potential Scenarios: Continuation of Bullish Trend: If price holds above the previous month’s high or retests and finds support at the OB, continuation towards new highs is expected. Retracement Before Higher Move: Price may retrace back into a key demand zone before resuming bullish momentum. Bearish Reversal: If the bullish close was a liquidity grab and price fails to hold, a shift in structure may lead to further downside. Outlook for XAUUSD Short-Term (4H View): Immediate reaction to the 4H order block and CISD will dictate the next move. Watch for either a bounce (bullish) or a break (bearish continuation). Long-Term (Monthly View): Given the strong bullish close, the higher timeframe remains in favor of continued bullish momentum unless a significant shift in structure occurs. Key Levels to Watch: 4H Order Block for support/rejection. Monthly OB for a potential retest and continuation. Confirmation of CISD for directional bias.
Here is my current LINK chart, which I recently went over in detail. It assumes that the bottom isn't in on the 4th wave. If the bottom is in and price is moving into the 5th wave, you can simply adjust the 4th wave bottom to the previous low accordingly. It also includes the likely level that would be hit during the April "flash crash" around the pattern’s 3rd support level line and FVG (fair value gap), as well as the likely areas above that it will need to break through in order to reach new all-time high territory—assuming that's even possible in this cycle. Keep in mind that the "flash crash in April" is a theory of mine and may or may not come to fruition, or could be off in timing. And while these levels may be likely, they may not actually be the levels that get hit, even if the thesis itself is correct. Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
This is an outlook for the week of March 24 - 28th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD The USD Index is entering a Daily +FVG, which is nested in a Weekly +FVG. This is a bearish indication for the USD, which is a potential bullish situation for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. This will be potentially bearish for the USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Wait for the market structure shift going in the direction of your TP, and enter on the pullback. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Y’all see this WADGE pattern? , Bitcoin dominance just hit the ultimate rejection zone and the floodgates for degen alt pumps are about to open! The chart says it all: BTC dominance is about to take a -30% nosedive over the next months, and you know what that means—ALTS GONNA SEND TO THE MOON! This move? 2 WEEKS MAX! Get your bags ready or stay rekt forever. Don’t say I didn’t warn ya. BONUS: If you’re bullish on BNB, here’s a meme that sums it all up perfectly: ? ?
Brief About the Chart Descending Channel with Breakout: Tesla (TSLA) traded in a descending channel on the weekly chart from late 2022 to early 2025, with a breakout above the upper boundary (around $300) leading to a rally to $475, followed by a pullback to $248.71, now consolidating near the 50-week moving average. Fundamental Analysis Big Player in EV: Tesla is a top name in electric vehicles, holding about 19% of the global market in 2024, and its new products like Cybertruck make it strong for future growth. More Sales Expected: Tesla’s sales might grow in 2025 because of bigger factories in Shanghai and Texas, with experts saying sales could rise by 15-20% this year. Profit Worries: Tesla’s profits dropped a bit in 2024 due to price cuts, but better demand and cost-saving steps can help it make more money in the long run. Latest News (Long-Term Focused) EV Market Growth: A report says global EV sales might grow 25% in 2025 and keep rising till 2030 due to cheaper batteries and government support, which is great for Tesla (Livemint, March 18, 2025). Tesla’s Robotaxi Plans: Tesla is working on self-driving robotaxis, with plans to launch them by 2026, which could add billions to its revenue in the future (Investopedia, March 19, 2025). Battery Tech Push: Tesla is investing in new battery tech to cut costs by 30% over the next 5 years, making its cars cheaper and boosting sales (Yahoo Finance, March 20, 2025). Conclusion Since this is a long-term view, Tesla’s current price of $248.71, after a breakout from a descending channel and a pullback to a key support level, indicates that this is indeed not a bad place to start investing in the stock at all. However, more attention is needed in order to analyze the entry, particularly by monitoring whether the stock holds above the $245 support level and shows signs of renewed momentum on the weekly chart.
Note that an Analysis Can be right and still a Loss can be made.So Trade with precise and Confirm Entry Point.