? General Trend: This is a short-term chart (1H timeframe). The market is moving sideways with high volatility – no clear trend, but a range-bound movement between support and resistance levels. A directional breakout may be coming soon. ? Support and Resistance Levels: ? Support: 2.0472 USDT – Key support with BOS and Discount zone. 2.000 USDT – Strong Low + PM area below. 1.920–1.950 USDT – Historical demand zone. ? Resistance: 2.2244 USDT – Equilibrium zone + PDH. 2.3556 USDT – Significant resistance with supply block. 2.4978 USDT – Upper resistance level. 2.7461 USDT – Strong resistance from previous highs. 3.00–3.20 USDT – Major Premium zone with PM and Weak High. ? Short-Term Price Forecast (1–2 Days): If a breakout to the upside occurs: First target – 2.22 USDT, then 2.35 USDT. If a breakdown occurs: First target – 2.04 USDT, then 2.00 USDT. ? Short Trade Setup: Entry: Around 2.22–2.23 USDT (PDH + resistance + potential BOS) Take Profit: 2.05 USDT Stop Loss: Above 2.25 USDT Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1:2 Trigger: Bearish rejection candle or BOS near resistance. ? Long Trade Setup: Entry: Between 2.04 – 2.06 USDT (demand zone + lower BOS) Take Profit: 2.22–2.24 USDT Stop Loss: Below 2.00 USDT Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1:2.5 Trigger: Bullish hammer or confirmation candle with increasing volume. ? Lowest Expected Price: If 2.00 USDT breaks down, price could fall toward the 1.90–1.92 USDT zone. ? Potential Reversal Zones: High probability of reversal around 2.04–2.05 USDT, a key local low in a discount zone. Another bullish reversal may form if the price breaks and holds above 2.24–2.25 USDT with confirmation. ? Additional Notes: The chart includes many Smart Money Concepts (SMC): BOS, CHoCH, EQH, etc. There’s a clear battle between bulls and bears – we must wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown. Volume is balanced – not indicating a strong impulsive move yet.
Price action is showing signs of exhaustion after a failed attempt to break above 0.5530 . Bollinger Bands are squeezing — incoming move likely. Bias: bearish. --- Key Observations: - Bearish RSI divergence – lower momentum despite higher highs. - EMA9 / EMA21 support still holding, but momentum is fading. - Coinbase Premium at -25 – signals institutional sell pressure. - Volume declining on green candles — weak confirmation. --- Support Levels: - 0.5250 – EMA21 zone - 0.5145 – Bollinger mid-band / previous base - 0.5000 – psychological round level + volume shelf Break below 0.5145 unlocks downside space toward 0.5000. Expecting short-term correction before potential reload. --- No emotional trades — just levels, structure, and execution. #SPXUSDT #crypto #technicalanalysis #priceaction #RSI #EMA #BollingerBands #supportresistance #psychology #tradingview
BTCUSDT retrace below level so I will wait till my TP or SL
Trump Tariff announcements has sent the global markets into free fall. The reaction has sent global markets into knee jerk reaction. Global trade will axis will realign because of these actions of US. As per the analysis of many experts the disadvantages to India are limited. There are opportunities galore in sectors like Pharma and Textile etc. The support levels for Nifty currently are at 22338, 21983, 21289, 20095 and finally 19864. The resistances for Nifty are 23037, 23266 and 23894. Long term Resistance for Nifty remain at 24831 and 25K levels. Short term outlook for Nifty is weak. In the medium term Nifty can remain range bound and Long term outlook for Nifty still remains strong. Investors with Long term outlook can search for Bottom Fishing opportunities in Blue chip stocks which are available at good prices. Focus should be on India centric themes where products and companies are less dependent on exports specially to US. Having said that it can be a blessing in disguise for sectors like Pharma and Textile. If Indian leadership can turn this obstacle into oppertunity by taking the right steps it can be a curse in disguise. Investors can also look at collecting some ETFs international as well as local as a long term investment. In cricket matches sometimes losing a toss can be a blessing in disguise this is something like that. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
As everyone knows, indices move on a predictable 4 month cycle - known as the "Huffy cycle", and this is programmatically built into markets are Donald Trump switches from being "Huffy" (Down moves) to "Less Huffy" (Parabolic organic growth moves). Donald has been huffy lately ... so we ALL KNOW what comes next ...! Are you mentally prepared for the next glorious breakout of the Huffy cycle? I'm sure everyone has noticed the 4 month huffy cycle which can be extensively studied, understood and used to forecast the future flawlessly because if we look at markets over 12 months we can see it looks a little bit kinda like a pattern - so long as you just ignore or remove the parts that are not a pattern. Which is how market cycles work. If you see something a few times, you can be sure it will happen again forever. And if it doesn't you can be sure at worst it can only go down 70% and then it's probably a buy from there. So the huffy cycle is basically risk free, if you look at it in the right way. "But what about all the the things happening" I hear you ask. Lol. NGMI! If you're too stupid to understand the huffy cycle, that's your problem. Not mine! HFSP. Now, of course we all know SPX is not where near gambley for us to generate our birth right generational wealth from the markets. It could take literally YEARS to make money in SPX. Who has time for that? Of course, we want to be looking at the most stupid and speculative things we can - because those are the ones the savvy investors are buying. That's right folks .... "Squeeze season" is upon us. It's been 4 years since we seen anything make any truly irrational hyper parabolic moves in stocks. As we all know, this is too long. Stonks are not allowed to go this long without there being a squeeze cycle. Some doomers out there are even saying squeeze season has been cancelled (lmao ok boomer) - but we know the truth. Squeeze season has just BEEN DELAYED and it being delayed actually means it will just be BIGGER THAN EVER! I don't really have any logic or ideas to back up why it was delayed and why this means it will be an even bigger move, but if I say the word "Whales" I think that covers everything. There are some idiots who are sceptical of the huffy cycle, but I am only writing my post for the future billionaires who are not too bothered about checking the details. And we all know what comes next!!! WGMI, fam.
? BTCUSD – Key Technical Breakdown on the Horizon? Bitcoin is currently testing a critical confluence zone — the weekly trendline support and cup & handle neckline around the $82,000-$84,000 range. A confirmed breakdown below this level could validate the bearish pattern, potentially opening the door for deeper retracements toward the $68,000 and even $52,000 zones. ? Technical Highlights: Potential Cup & Handle formation in play with neckline retest. Weekly ascending channel acting as major dynamic support. Monthly horizontal support at $68K could be the next key level if neckline breaks. ? Fundamental Context: Bitcoin faces macroeconomic headwinds with rising U.S. interest rate expectations and regulatory uncertainties. On the bullish side, institutional demand and spot ETF flows remain strong, possibly cushioning downside moves. Market awaits key data from the Fed and CPI release — volatility likely ahead. ? Watching for a decisive daily close below the neckline for confirmation. Alternatively, a strong bounce from this zone could invalidate the pattern and push price back toward the $95K region. ? Stay cautious and manage risk — structure is everything in this phase. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #CryptoTrading #CupAndHandle #PriceAction #TradingView
I had posted a similar chart a few weeks ago.....US companies fundamentals may be good, but price follows technicals. There is still some more downside, which I think would be where JPow said Inflation is no longer transitory, then we see some consolidation, then another fall to shake out the bulls, by which time we would reach the bottom of the monthly channel and then uptrend can resume after a bit of consolidation. Remember the Trump tariffs are just catalyst, a reason for market to get where it wants to be sooner. Do remember that market rallied when inflation hit a peak of 9%.....All this news is just noise....You know where the level of interests are and trade accordingly....Markets will not go up in a straight line neither will it go down in a straight line.....The Fear & Greed Index is at 4 as per CNN. This is only for investors, start buying small positions in your favorite stock....only a little, bit by bit, with every fall, or you can wait....Don't put all your savings in the market because it fell substantially...Selling begets selling, the opposite is also true.....Market can head to 14000 as well, I'm not ruling that out, but i'm expecting a really nice bounce from the JPow, however, be very aware of the overhead resistance.....Bears have not had a chance for a long time, and they will squeeze every ounce of blood from the bulls while they can....Just remember, Bulls are complacent, Bears are tactical.....Throughout history that has been the case....
The current mix of geopolitical tensions, policy uncertainty, and fragile market sentiment brings to mind the setup ahead of October '87. Without stabilizing signal, especially from the U.S. administration this weekend, the risk of a sharp correction is not negligible.
? General Trend: Ethereum is in a clear and strong downtrend since the peak around $4,042 (early 2024). A series of BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) to the downside confirm bearish control. A recent BOS below a weak low indicates further downside pressure. ? Support and Resistance Levels: ? Support: $1,592 – 0% Fibonacci level, a critical low. A breakdown could lead to $1,300 or even $1,000. $1,720–$1,760 – Minor support zone before the low. $1,300–$1,400 – Historical demand block. ? Resistance: $2,170 – 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. $2,400 – Order block and strong resistance area. $2,817 – 50% Fibonacci level. $3,512 – 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. $4,042 – Previous strong high. ? Short-Term Outlook (Next 1–2 Days): Likely trading range: Downside target: ~$1,750 Upside target: ~$2,000–$2,050 (resistance zone) ? Short Setup: Entry: $2,000–$2,050 (resistance block + bearish confirmation) Take Profit: $1,750–$1,720 Stop Loss: Above $2,100 Risk/Reward Ratio (RRR): ≈ 1:2.5 Trigger: Rejection pattern (e.g., Bearish Engulfing or Shooting Star) ? Long Setup: Entry: Around $1,600–$1,620 (support zone with confirmation) Take Profit: $1,950–$2,000 Stop Loss: Below $1,580 Risk/Reward Ratio (RRR): ≈ 1:2 Trigger: Bullish hammer + increasing volume ? Lowest Expected Price: If the $1,592 level breaks, next strong support lies between $1,300–$1,400, with potential to drop as low as $1,000 in a worst-case macro scenario. ? Expected Reversal Area: A potential bullish reversal might happen at $1,592 if a bullish structure break or confirmation candle appears. An early reversal could occur if price breaks and holds above $2,200 with strong bullish momentum. ? Additional Notes: ETH currently appears weaker compared to BTC. A comparison with the ETH/BTC pair might reveal whether it’s a better time to hold BTC over ETH. Rallies are likely to be used by bears for shorting unless significant structure changes occur.
interloop potential reversal zones and potential support points