The falling wedge pattern is a continuation pattern that forms when the price oscillates between two trendlines sloping downward and converging. A falling wedge pattern is regarded as a bullish chart formation, it can also signify continuation or reversal patterns depending on where it appears in the trend. There is significant confusion in identifying the descending wedge pattern because it isseen as both a bullish continuation and a bullish reversal pattern. Different market conditions exist in both cases, and these must be taken into account. The factor that distinguishes the bullish continuation from the bullish reversal pattern is the direction of the trend when the falling wedge emerges. The pattern is considered a continuation pattern during an uptrend and a reversal pattern during a downtrend. A descending wedge formation, which is bullish in technical analysis, indicates that the downward trend is losing momentum. It suggests that the current trend will either continue or reverse. The falling wedge pattern denotes the end of the period of correction or consolidation. Buyers take advantage of price consolidation to create new buying chances, defeat the bears, and drive prices higher. A falling wedge pattern is a technical formation that signifies the conclusion of the consolidation phase, which allows for a pullback lower. Falling wedges are a continuation or reversal pattern. The falling wedge pattern is generally considered as a bullish pattern in both continuation and reversal situations. The falling wedge will ideally form following a long downturn and indicate the final low. The pattern qualifies as a reversal pattern only when a prior trend exists. The upper resistance line must be formed by at least two intermittent highs. The bottom support line must be formed by at least two intermittent lows. The falling wedge pattern’s subsequent highs and lows should both be lower than the preceding highs and lows, respectively. Shallower lows suggest that the bears are losing control of the market. The lower support line thus has a slope that is less steep than the upper resistance line due to the reduced sell-side momentum. A descending wedge pattern requires consideration of the volume of trades. The breakdown won’t be properly confirmed without a rise in volumes A falling wedge pattern forms when the price of an asset declines over time, right before the trend’s last downward movement. The trend lines established above the highs and below the lows on the price chart pattern merge when the price fall loses strength and buyers enter to reduce the rate of decline. The price breaks through the upper trend line before the lines merge. The security is predicted to be trending upward when the price breaks through the upper trend line. Investors who spot bullish reversal signs should search for trades that profit from the security’s price increase
Hello, Skyrexians! As we told you new impulsive wave to the new ATH has been started below 80k for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and now price found some resistance. Next 2-4 weeks will be very difficult for traders and holders and we will explain you why. On the 4h time frame we can see the new impulse which shall consists of 5 waves. Awesome oscillator tells us that this is the wave 3 inside this impulse and it can be over because of target area according to Fibonacci. The wave 4 can retrace to FWB:88K and it can happen very soon, but this time altcoins promised to remain strong. The next growth will happen to $94-95k in the wave 5. Dominance can reach our final target at 66%. The further correction to 0.61 Fibonacci below $85k will cause the atlseason and after that altcoins will grow in the very short period of time with the growing Bitcoin. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Bitcoin ( PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P ) has demonstrated significant bullish momentum, decisively breaking through the critical $90,000 resistance level. This breakout follows a period of sustained accumulation and increasing institutional interest, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend. The psychological significance of the $90,000 barrier being breached with strong volume suggests renewed investor confidence and could pave the way for further gains. Let's explore the possible scenarios for Bitcoin's price action following this significant breakout. Possible Scenarios 1. Sustained Bullish Momentum With the $90,000 resistance now acting as potential support, Bitcoin could experience sustained bullish momentum, targeting higher price levels. Pro Tips: Monitor volume confirmation on further upward movements. Strong volume indicates continued buying interest. Identify potential new resistance levels, such as $95,000 and $100,000. Consider entering long positions on pullbacks to the $90,000 support level, provided it holds. Place stop-loss orders below the $90,000 level or a recent swing low to protect against a potential reversal. 2. Consolidation Above $90,000 Following the strong breakout, Bitcoin might enter a period of consolidation above the $90,000 level as the market digests the gains and establishes a new support zone. Pro Tips: Identify the range of consolidation, looking for clear support around $90,000 and a defined upper resistance. Consider range-bound trading strategies within this consolidation, but be prepared for a potential breakout. Phemex Grid Bots is one of the best tools to stay Profitable in Consolidate then Breakout scenario. 3. Potential Retest of $90,000 It's possible that Bitcoin could retrace to retest the $90,000 level as new support before continuing its upward trajectory. This is a common occurrence after significant breakouts. Pro Tips: Watch for strong buying pressure if the price retraces to the $90,000 level, indicating it's holding as support. Look for bullish reversal candlestick patterns around the $90,000 zone. Consider entering long positions on a successful retest with clear bullish confirmation. Place stop-loss orders below the $90,000 level to manage risk in case the support fails. Conclusion Bitcoin's breakout above the $90,000 barrier is a significant bullish development. While sustained upward momentum is a strong possibility, traders should also be prepared for potential consolidation or a retest of the breakout level. By carefully monitoring volume, identifying key support and resistance levels, and implementing appropriate risk management strategies, traders can position themselves to capitalize on the potential opportunities presented by Bitcoin's current price action. Pro Tips: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
I've taken a short position on EG, prior to PMI data being released over the next few hours. Yesterday, I managed to get nice sells on this with the technicals provided, to the "weak low" as you see on the chart. Looking this morning, I expect this trend to continue and dont see a bullish angle on this pair yet until we see a deeper retracement - which is what Im involved in currently. Fundamentally, Services PMIs tend to matter more for the UK, which is heavily services driven (80% of GDP), with manufacturing PMIs mattering more for Germany, the EU’s engine. BoE - Slower to commit to cuts due to persistant wage growth and services inflation. ECB - They are much more dovish in recent statements. Core inflation has been easing, and rate cuts are on the table as early as Q2/Q3.
DASH ~ 2D Analysis #DASH If you still have a Conviction on this Coin, Maybe this support block you can consider to start buying back from here with a short -term target of at least 15%+.
After hitting the integer mark of 3500 yesterday, gold fell back by nearly 200 US dollars. Today's early trading opened lower and directly swallowed up the overall rise of yesterday. Will gold continue to correct or turn around? From the current decline, the range from the high point of 3500 to the current low point of 3315 is close to 200 US dollars. Considering this round of decline, it has exceeded the range of short-term correction. Therefore, traders should guard against the probability that the gold price will enter a turning point in the short term! After the current decline is too large, the main area is to go sideways to correct the main force. The overall rebound will not be too large. Main area: around 3380-3400 Defensive support below: double bottom around 3280 Operation suggestion: Do not carry orders, heavy positions, lock positions in sudden change cycles, and bring stop losses! "Specific operations are subject to actual trading"
https://www.tradingview.com/x/Uv8TQewC/ 1. Current Data and research Macro Regime Business cycle - moving into recession territory. S&P is down from 6125 to 4842 at its lowest. That's a 21% drop - this crosses the 20% drop threshold. Inflation - Headline 2.4%. Slightly above 2% target. Core PCE is at 0.4%. This is higher than expected. Monetary Policy - Still at high interest rate levels of 4.5%. There's more room for cuts than hike in general. However, Tariffs is a spanner in this logic as it introduces inflation that needs to be controlled, and limits the cuts. Growth - Consumer sentiments - 50.8. This is a drop from 57. Not a good sign for confidence in the US markets Central Bank Outlook - Forward Guidance & Policy Path - "Wait and see" approach to see the full effects of the tariffs and will tackle. Unlikely to cut rates quickly due to inflation risks from tariffs. Flow & Positioning Factors - LDN and NY opens List of upcoming data German PMI - today US PMI - today Expectations German PMI - 47.5/50.3 - Unsure, but doubt there will be a huge surprise to the upside US PMI - 49.3/52.9 - Expect a downtrend here and close to the 49.3. It will invalidate longer-term trades if there's a huge surprise to the downside US Unemployment claims -NA -Expecting higher Bullish arguments - More pumping by Trump to prop the market up while the fundamentals are still likely to bad as tariffs are still there Bear arguments - The tariff is still the biggest elephant in the room and nothing has changed there. If anything, China has taken steps to prepare for a worse response in the future if US does not reach a negotiation. 2. Trade Thesis Directional Thesis I am expecting DXY to go back up to 100 due to a temporary strength in the USD from the good news for Fed Powell and Trump backing down in tariffs. Supporting Logic - Structural -- The DXY was holding 100 level before the Powell news. -- If the current news stays status quo, I expect prices to rise back up to that fundamental level after a brief pullback from 99.4 to 99.2 -Tactical A significant lower-high pivot point set on H1 chart. I need prices to remain above that 99 level. If it drops below, then the tactical levels do not work. - Flows Look for entry at either LDN or NY session open Expected Path - Pull back to 99.0 and now slow ascend back to 100 - There's a resistance level at 99.6. That would be TP1, and 100 would be TP2 Invalidation Logic - Fundamental Invalidation -- Trump tweets another fire Fed -- China escalates the trade war -- US PMI has a huge downside surprise (unlikely) - Price-Based Invalidation -- Price breaking below 99 Asymmetric Setup If I enter at 99.1X, this is a potential 1:4R trade with high confidence Trade Setup Entry level - 99.1 to 99.2 Scale-in plan (if any) - I can enter full size here Position sizing - 1% of account TP zones - TP1 - 99.6 - TP2 - 100 - TP3 - 101 (significant psychological level) Time stop Kill trade if a) Prices drop below 99 b) Prices do not bounce to the upside within 2 hours of LDN and NY open
Your daily Gold trading briefing: Zones, insights, and opportunities.
If we see a higher high on PLTR above today's high at $98.29, then this might confirm wave 1 of 5 of Intermediate wave 5. Some bullish divergences should propel price a bit higher to confirm the price action. Wave 2 should create an inverted head and shoulder look as a classic pattern. PLTR creates strong wave 3 price action and shallower wave 5. So, I will be expecting wave 5 to make it to at least 1.764 fib extension of Intermediate waves 1 and 2, which takes things to around $160. Depending on how far wave 2 goes, we can set some targets at a later time. I am off loading my positions from $75. Hoping to rid of everything close to $100. Will be reloading during the wave 2 retracement for the final push up. If by any chance Intermediate wave 4 extends, then things might get a bit complicated. Not getting another higher high now and correction back down to $86 would be a very good indication of that. Until then will be playing one leg at a time...
XAUUSD has shown a strong bullish reversal from the key zone at $2,832, with a series of high-volatility, full-bodied weekly candles that completely absorbed the supply in the $3,050–3,140 area. The breakout of previous weekly and monthly highs confirmed a bullish structural shift, with a natural technical target around $3,450—its recent all-time high. Price reacted precisely to previously tested demand blocks, suggesting that buy-side pressure may still have room to expand. However, a deeper look at COT data reveals a more complex picture: Money Managers’ net positions on GOLD have been declining sharply for months, diverging from price action. This may indicate a rally driven more by retail flows or ETFs than by institutional strength, making it potentially unstable. Additionally, the COT report on the Dollar Index shows growing net long positions among leveraged traders, signaling USD strength—historically a headwind for gold. In summary, gold remains technically bullish with room to climb to $3,450, but COT data raises a red flag: if institutional positions don’t realign with the move, this rally could turn out to be a bull trap. From a trading perspective, there’s room for aggressive longs, but only with tight risk management.