Hello traders, 4-hour BTC/USD (Bitcoin/US Dollar) chart. ? Key Chart Elements 1. Chart Pattern A symmetrical triangle (white lines) "DIAMOND" - has formed near the top of the move following a double bottom breakout. The triangle indicates consolidation after a bullish move — often seen as a CONTINUATION pattern, but it can also break either way. 2. Double Bottom Clearly marked, confirming a reversal from bearish to BULLISH trend. The neckline breakout led to a strong push upwards, followed by this triangle pattern. 3. Targets Long Target: Above 91,000 to 93,000 zone — likely measured from the triangle breakout. Short Target: Around the 75,000-76,000 support zone — below key ascending trendline. 4. 50 EMA (Green Line) The price is above the 50 EMA, suggesting bullish momentum is intact unless the 50 EMA breaks down. 5. MACD Indicator The MACD lines are slightly bearish right now — potentially signaling a temporary pause or dip, but not a strong downward trend yet. ? Prediction: Two Likely Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable – 60%) Why: Price is above EMA, double bottom breakout, triangle after impulse move, volume likely compressing. Confirmation Needed: A breakout above the triangle resistance (around $85,000–$85,500). Target: Move toward the long target zone at 91,000–93,000. Support: Horizontal green zone and EMA provide a cushion. ❌ Bearish Scenario (Less Likely – 40%) Why: Weak MACD signal + triangle patterns can break either way. Bearish Trigger: A strong breakdown below triangle support and EMA, especially a candle close below ~$83,000. Target: Drop to the short target zone at $75,000–$76,000, possibly testing the trendline. ? What to Watch For A volume spike to confirm breakout direction. MACD bullish crossover or continued divergence. Candle close outside the triangle — do not preempt without confirmation. ? Summary: The chart shows a strong bullish setup forming after a double bottom with consolidation in a symmetrical triangle. Most likely scenario is a bullish breakout targeting the 91K+ region, unless price breaks below ~ FWB:83K , which would invalidate the bullish thesis and open room for a deeper pullback to $75K. More power to all your trades! Intrepid Trader
We are now in the final wave of the btc.d market share The black V wave is in the final stage In my opinion, btc.d is in the red wave 4 and is expected to have another red uptrend to complete 5 waves and at the same time, it will also have 5 black V waves If all the waves are complete, we will have a btc.d break and the altcoin season will take place We can see that altcoin is at the bottom and is recovering, this uptrend is likely to increase (because btc.d is decreasing wave 4) then btc.d goes up to the red wave 5 as analyzed above, the altcoin will test the possible double bottom pattern (with some strong coins that can slightly recover to the 50% fibonacci and then go up) to go up, the weaker ones can have triple bottoms Anyway, we are at the end of btc.d and it is also the altcoin season that is about to begin
Is a Death Cross Looming for SPLG? Here's What the Chart (and the Economy) Are Telling Us The technical clouds are gathering over SPLG. A new **Death Cross** — when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average — appears imminent on the daily chart of SPLG, a popular low-cost S&P 500 ETF. This ominous signal historically marks bearish sentiment and trend reversals, especially when coupled with macro headwinds. Let’s unpack what’s on the horizon, and why this technical setup deserves attention. What the Chart Says - The **last Death Cross** on SPLG occurred in early 2022, followed by months of weakness. - A **Golden Cross** in mid-2023 launched a strong rally, fueled by soft-landing optimism and strong tech earnings. - Now, the **moving averages are converging again**, with price slicing through both SMAs. Volume has picked up, and momentum oscillators are struggling to regain bullish footing. The Stochastic is indecisive, and CM_Williams_Vix_Fix shows recent spikes — a sign that fear is creeping back into the market. ? Recent Economic Data: Warning Signs? The macro backdrop is not helping. Here’s why: - **CPI and PPI came in hotter than expected** for March, pushing back the market’s timeline for rate cuts. - **Retail sales surprised to the upside**, suggesting the consumer is still resilient — but that could also mean more inflationary pressure. - The **labor market remains tight**, with unemployment below 4%, limiting the Fed’s flexibility. Bottom line: the Fed is stuck. Markets that had priced in multiple rate cuts are now bracing for **"higher for longer"** — a toxic cocktail for growth-sensitive equities like those in SPLG. Global Trade Tensions Resurface As if inflation and rates weren’t enough, the White House just slapped **new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, solar panels, and batteries**, reigniting trade war fears. This could: - Increase input costs for U.S. manufacturers - Add further upward pressure to inflation - Trigger retaliation from China Historically, rising tariffs have had a chilling effect on global equity markets, particularly large-cap exporters that dominate the S&P 500. So, What’s the Play? With technical signals flashing red and macro conditions deteriorating, it might be time to: 1. **Reduce exposure** to large-cap ETFs like SPLG until the Death Cross plays out 2. **Rotate into defensive sectors** (think utilities, consumer staples, and healthcare) 3. **Consider short-term hedges** if you're fully allocated 4. **Watch key levels** – a break below MXN$1,200 in SPLG could open the door to a deeper correction Final Word This isn’t a panic call — it’s a call for preparation. Death Crosses don’t always lead to crashes, but when they align with fundamental deterioration and rising geopolitical risks, they can signal a trend change worth respecting. Let the chart be your map, but keep one eye on the macro compass. Stay sharp, trade smart.
-GBPUSD has had quite the volatility in the past weeks, creating this very overextended climb into this major weekly support. -Weekly RSI approaching 68, I would never consider taking a trade solely on rsi; however it adds nice conviction in confluence with levels and price action. -Will be looking for shift of structure at this major level on the 4hr timeframe to take advantage of some sells. https://www.tradingview.com/x/QXbQurK8/ [/url https://www.tradingview.com/x/YzEhU5JO/
PNUT ~ 1D Analysis #PNUT Buy gradually from here with a short -term target of at least 10%+ from here.
We could be seeing a big up move here this weekend. Wyckoff accumulation is almost complete, if support holds we should see a breakout of the falling wedge. However, I think this will be a huge trap to shake out sellers, so be looking to take profits.
Bitcoin is currently trading around 85,269.35 USDT. Support Zone: A crucial support zone marked in green suggests strong buying interest between 80,000 and 81,000 USDT. Resistance: The upper trend line indicates resistance; if Bitcoin can break it, it could target levels close to 88,000 USDT. Bullish Case: A breakout above the upper trend line could lead to an upward rally towards 88,000 USDT or above. Bearish Case: If the price breaks below the support zone, a downward move towards 75,000 USDT can be expected. Monitor the trade closely to see how it reacts around these crucial levels. Adjust your strategy accordingly based on the price action. If you have further questions or need analysis on specific indicators, feel free to ask! If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
Dollar Index is setup for longs based on COT and other fundamental underlying conditions.
BEL ~ 1W Analysis #BEL Buy gradually from here if you still have a Conviction on this coin with a short -term target of at least 20%+.
I believe that BTC is going to test the resistance once more with some buying pressure. Then reject it and create a higher low while also touching the support to breakout above the resistance level and create higher highs. Price is also testing the 50MA from below on the Daily chart and is quite stagnant but I believe that is just building explosive pressure to breakout upward or at least establish a new high to keep that slight uptrend in motion. On the weekly chart we are pretty bullish as well. Price seems to be trying to use the 50MA as support hopefully propel itself upward. My sentiment currently for BTC is BULLISH.?