FX:USDJPY I made 2 posts earlier today. 1. the bullish move that did happen. 2.. also talked about an expected short movement, that the price is only struggling to reach a certain point. 3. this is my next setup. only the news can fuck this up. a. the price is currently struggling at the FIB level. b. we still have some bearish momentum to fill.
The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. FX:EURCAD made upward extension, moving above the psychological level at 1.5000. On the daily timeframe, the price has reached a strong resistance zone, which may trigger a price rebound as sellers start to step in. On the 1H timeframe, there is a bearish divergence that reinforces this bearish outlook. I expect the market to move below the psychological level. Additionally, the market formed a ABCD move and after the completion usually the markets pull back. Therfore I expect a short term pullback. My goal is support zone around 1.49525 https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURCAD/k6pletGi-Lingrid-EURCAD-consolidating-MARKET-Short-Opportunity/ Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ??
In trading, as in life, pride can be your undoing. The saying “Pride comes before the fall” holds a profound lesson for traders who let overconfidence cloud their judgment. While confidence is an essential trait for success, excessive pride often leads to reckless decision-making, ignored warnings, and ultimately, significant losses. This post explores the dangers of pride in trading and how maintaining humility can safeguard your capital and enhance your decision-making process. The Dangers of Pride in Trading 1. Overconfidence in Winning Streaks Few things inflate a trader's ego like a winning streak. When every trade seems to go in your favor, it's tempting to believe you've mastered the market. However, markets are dynamic and unforgiving. - Overconfidence may lead you to take larger positions, abandon risk management strategies, or ignore market signals. - A single unexpected move can erase gains and even wipe out your account. 2. Refusal to Admit Mistakes Pride can prevent traders from accepting when a trade idea is wrong. This often results in: - Holding onto losing trades longer than necessary. - Averaging down into bad positions, magnifying losses. - Ignoring stop-loss levels because of a belief that the market will "come back." 3. Chasing "Revenge Trades" After a loss, pride might push you to recover your losses immediately by doubling down on risk. Revenge trading is driven by emotions rather than logic, often leading to bigger losses. 4. Ignoring the Bigger Picture Pride can blind traders to critical market realities. Instead of adapting to changing conditions, they stubbornly cling to outdated strategies or refuse to learn from others. How to Keep Pride in Check 1. Treat Every Trade as a Probability Game The market doesn't owe you anything, and no strategy guarantees success. Every trade involves risk, and outcomes are influenced by factors beyond your control. - Focus on executing your strategy consistently rather than trying to "win." - Acknowledge that losses are a natural part of trading. 2. Stick to a Risk Management Plan Pride can tempt you to exceed your risk limits. Combat this by: - Using fixed position sizes relative to your account balance. - Setting stop-loss levels for every trade and respecting them. 3. Practice Continuous Learning Markets evolve, and so should you. Humility keeps you open to learning new strategies, techniques, and perspectives. - Analyze your trades, both wins and losses, to identify areas for improvement. - Seek mentorship or study market history to gain broader insights. 4. Detach Emotionally from Trades Acknowledge that a single trade doesn't define you as a trader. - Avoid tying your self-worth to your trading results. - Focus on the long-term process rather than short-term outcomes. Conclusion Pride is one of the most dangerous emotions a trader can harbor. It clouds judgment, promotes reckless behavior, and blinds you to market realities. Trading is not about proving you're right—it's about staying disciplined, managing risk, and adapting to ever-changing conditions. Remember, humility is your greatest ally in the market. Stay grounded, respect the risks, and you'll be better equipped to navigate the ups and downs of trading without falling victim to the perils of pride. Pro Tip: Write this on a sticky note and place it near your trading screen: "The market is always right. My job is to listen, adapt, and act accordingly."
Taking a look at the daily XRP chart we can see that XRP remains above the long term upper channel resistance where it remains heavily in the over bought territory on the monthly time frame. Take a look at our Monthly XRP chart idea below for more on this. Back to the daily XRP chart, we can see that XRP has been forming lower highs and lower lows, a classic sign of a the bulls failing and the bears beginning to take over. We can see that the Fibonacci Retracement, drawn from the most recent high - the all time high price of 2.904, down to the most recent low of 1.908 (which also happens to be inline with the long term channels upper resistance level) has seen a retracement and rejection of the 0.764 Fib which sits at 2.6678. From here, as per the Fibonacci's expectations we would presume that the first target would be the -0.272, or any of the other Fibonacci extension levels which line up with relevant support levels - highlighted by the blue box. Monthly XRP Analysis: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XRPUSDT/pt6Xg5pP-XRP-To-1-2-Or-0-7-Or-0-5/ If we look at the above Monthly XRP chart we can see that for the month of December 2024 the RSI is still in overbought territory, after reaching the highest "over bought" RSI reading in XRP's entire history. Usually, after such an overbought month, XRP finds its way back down heavily before consolidating for a number of months within a tight range. Therefore we would expect to see XRP fall heavily, back within the Long Term Channels range. However, it is possible that XRP could continue with this lower high, lower low formation on the daily whilst remaining outside of the Upper Channels Resistance level. It would have to do this for the period of December, and perhaps January and February too before it could potentially set another All Time High - this is because we need to allow XRP either the time for its RSI to come back within a neutral level, or XRP will force its way back into this neutral zone and thus bring it back into the long term channels range. Right now, it can be bought upon retests of the upper channel resistance (with a very tight stop) and sold/ shorted upon the formation of a new lower high - if attempting to scalp theses movements. Personally, we would recommended waiting to see whether or not XRP wants to come back within the channels range over the next couple of months and if so, look for a much lower long entry once it comes back into range.
Bitcoin is technically bullish in the 4-Hour chart. However, it gave up bullish move from the last days and is now testing the key support zone near $103,033. 1. A pullback to retest the $103,032 with a dip below it, followed by a strong rebound above this level will push Bitcoin price towards $108,550 (dashed green projection). 2. A decisive move towards $108,550 and breakout with confidence could pave the way for further upward momentum towards $113,692(solid green projection). 3. If Bitcoin fails to hold above $103,032 and breaks below this level without a swift recovery, it could indicate a loss of bullish strength and Bitcoin chart will turn to neutral. This may trigger increased bearish activity, leading to sideways movement or a potential decline toward the $99,108 support level (red projections).
In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each: --- 1. Order Blocks An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement. Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement. Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement. How to use: Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend. Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones. Example: If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block. --- 2. Imbalances An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure. These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third. It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement. How to use: Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones. Enter a position when the gap is filled. Example: In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area. --- 3. Breaker Blocks A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken." Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement. They can also be used to filter valid order blocks. How to use: After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest. Used to identify trend reversals. Example: In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block. --- 4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap) An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement. An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal. It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap." How to use: Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal. Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses. Example: In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward. --- Conclusion Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market. Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply. Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
We seem to have a typical Bubble behaviour that has bursted. I guess 38 should be the primary target.
Key Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. - Double Formation * 9.50 USD | Uptrend Bias | A+ Settings | Subdivision 1 * Pennant Structure | Survey Valid | Subdivision 2 - Triple Formation * Retracement 1| Bias On hold | Entry Settings | Subdivision 3 * Retracement 2| ((50)) & 0.236)) | Hypothesis * Retracement 3| 0.382)) & 1.618)) | Hypothesis Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
The price has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 1.2732 1st Support: 1.2613 1st Resistance: 1.2798 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dear traders, #MU is forming a bullish flag, buying now is a good option as price has already corrected up to an interesting level (100$). Today is the quaterly earnings and it is actually expected to beat the expectactions. I would recomend a fist target around 150 dollars and then cut half of position an look for other opportunities, such us #ADBE Best,