Trade Alert BTC/USD Sell Alert 1. _Entry Point:_ $100,500 2. _Target Price:_ $98,000 3. _Stop Loss:_ $101,300 Trade Details - _Risk:_ $800 ($101,300 - $100,500) - _Reward:_ $2,500 ($100,500 - $98,000) Monitor the trade closely and adjust as needed.
Price is moving in advancing phase. No bearish divergence is formed. Ascending channel further supports bullish trend.
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Gold stays in positive territory above $2,700 on Monday as the improving risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar to find demand. Markets await US President Donald Trump's speech at the inauguration ceremony.
Happy Monday, friends! It’s Trump’s Inauguration Day, and the markets are exploding. Let’s dive in and see how far we can go. Over the past week, we’ve seen a complete flip of ETF inflows. A clear trend has been established; while it seemed that many were fading the market in anticipation of today, that sentiment appears to have flipped moving into the end of last week. While Trump’s inauguration was initially seen as a ‘Sell the News’ event, it’s now being viewed as a ‘Buy the News’ event. Primarily for Bitcoin, I believe much of this hinges on the possibility of Trump signing an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Bitcoin has now broken out of its consolidation wedge formation, and with three strong days of ETF inflows, I favor a spot Bitcoin long position. Ultimately, price is unfolding as we have expected throughout all of January. We anticipated prices rising following a dovish inflation print; we expected price to pump into Trump’s inauguration. Moving forward, we expect some headwinds into January’s FOMC on the 29th, where I expect Powell to remain hawkish on inflation. However, I’m now less concerned with the market reversing in any significant way following that, and I am more confident about the rally continuing. Ethereum is concerning, and I might parlay my ETH positions into short calls or another play as activity on ETH continues to drop. Ultimately, market structure and flow suggest a continuation of this rally. At the same time, catalysts, depending on what Trump signs into action today, could significantly ignite pumps moving into the end of January.
Support was retested but not lost, and we are looking for new highs. if we get to support again we will probably lose it and go lower to 70k or so
GBPUSD showing some upside momentum after trumps inauguration, investors may be feeling uncertain with the dollar hence the push up for the pound Happy trading
A potential expanding flat pattern is in the works here. Implication is late feb there will be another new low formation to start the continuation higher.
ES March '25 Contract Roll Gap - BPR Reaction - Bullish Gap overlapped by Bearish Gap
Here’s an assertive revision of your content: --- **Why Airtel Dragged While TTML, MTNL, and IDEA Blasted?** The government’s consideration of waiving 50% interest and 100% penalties on AGR dues created a buzz, and certain "gurus" began hyping a potential rally in **Bharti Airtel**, a fundamentally strong telecom stock compared to **TTML**, **MTNL**, and **Vodafone Idea**. **But the market did the exact opposite.** TTML (+16.5%), MTNL (+10.5%), and IDEA (+9.11%) soared, while Airtel struggled below 1%. The question is **why?** **The Answer: The Importance of Technical Structures, Supports, and Resistances.** Market participants often assume that fundamentals drive prices. This is the **biggest myth.** Fundamentals (valuations, PE ratios, book value, order books, quarterly results) can create momentum but never dictate its **direction.** Supports and resistances are the **primary drivers** of price movement. Relying solely on fundamentals is like pressing the accelerator while trying to reverse park—damages are inevitable. Now, let’s review the technical factors behind the explosive moves in TTML, MTNL, and IDEA compared to Airtel’s stagnation. --- ### **TTML** On the **monthly chart**, TTML formed a **bullish flag pattern**, breaking out in **July 2024**. However, the lack of momentum in the telecom sector kept it range-bound until now. **Key Points:** 1. A **77% correction** from its all-time high (ATH) formed the flag. 2. Sideways consolidation since March 2024 created a **strong base**. 3. This base aligned with the **Fib 0.618 retracement** from the previous high. TTML was primed for a move. The AGR news provided the necessary trigger, leading to the much-anticipated breakout. --- ### **MTNL** The **monthly chart** of MTNL shows a **multi-decade bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern**. After breaking out, the stock faced resistance at ₹103 and retraced **58.5%**, aligning perfectly with the breakout zone and the **Fib 0.618 retracement level.** **Why the Rally?** MTNL’s bounce was overdue, and the AGR news acted as a catalyst, triggering the massive move. --- ### **IDEA** Vodafone Idea, the weakest of the group, also surged 10% (hitting an intraday high of 15% before closing at 9.11%). Despite its struggles, IDEA displayed critical technical alignments: 1. A **65.54% correction** from its previous high. 2. Support at the **Fib 0.786 retracement** level. 3. A bounce from the **bottom of a rising parallel channel**. Though IDEA lacked the fundamental strength of TTML and MTNL, it still rallied due to the technical setup. --- ### **Bharti Airtel: Why Didn’t It Rally?** **Quarterly Chart** (Right): 1. Airtel has been traveling within a **multi-decade parallel channel**. 2. After consolidating for 13 years, it broke out in **October 2018**, delivering **613% returns** since then. 3. The stock reached an **extended Fibonacci target (Fib 2.618)**—an exhaustion zone. **Weekly Chart** (Left): 1. Airtel corrected only **15%** from its ATH. 2. It is still in a **lower high-lower low (LH-LL)** bearish formation. 3. The price was at a critical juncture of **two resistances**: - The **falling trendline** from ATH. - A **weekly resistance** at ₹1640. **Verdict:** Airtel had already rallied significantly before the news and was in an exhaustion phase. Strong resistances at current levels obstructed its movement. --- ### **Key Takeaways:** - TTML, MTNL, and IDEA rallied because they **completed major corrections, formed strong bases, and awaited a trigger.** - Airtel, having already rallied, was in a consolidation phase with significant resistance levels. **Conclusion:** Blindly trading based on news or fundamentals without considering technicals is a recipe for disaster. Fundamentals may create momentum, but the **direction** is always governed by supports and resistances. A sector-wide news event will not trigger the same momentum across all stocks unless their **technical structures** align. Always combine fundamentals with technical analysis for informed decision-making. **Disclaimer:** With over **3 years of teaching experience** in the stock market, including **Technical Analysis**, **Behavioral Analysis**, **Advanced Patterns**, **Emotional Management**, and **News-based Trading**, we are dedicated to educating, not advising on buy/sell decisions. We are **NOT SEBI Registered** and do not provide specific **Buy/Sell recommendations or calls**. Our primary goal is to deliver **detailed analysis** on how to review charts and offer multi-timeframe perspectives purely for **educational purposes**. We strongly recommend that our followers **"Learn to Ride the Tide, Regardless of Its Side."** **Important:** Always consult with a **financial advisor** before making any investment decisions. If you appreciate our detailed analysis, we encourage you to **rate, like, boost, and share your feedback**. **- Team Stocks-n-Trends**