? US30 Breakout Confirmed – May 1, 2025 ? ? We Finally Cleared the Range! US30 just exploded past the 40,360-40,700 resistance, tagging 40,870 with strength. This is the clean breakout bulls were waiting for — structure broke, EMAs supporting, and momentum’s on the side of the buyers ?? ? Technical Breakdown: ✅ Clean breakout above 40,700 ? Higher highs + higher lows confirmed since 4/19 ? Break + retest of 39,775 support zone last week ? EMAs (blue & white) strongly sloped upward = trend confirmation ? Trade Ideas: Breakout Pullback Entry: ? Wait for a retest of 40,700 – 40,750 ? Targets: 41,200 → 42,000 → 42,359 Aggressive Longs: Enter now with tight risk under 40,700 ? Target next resistance at 42,359 or even 42,787 in the coming sessions Bearish Invalidated Until: ? 39,775 breaks — no shorts while above EMAs + structure
Market Setup & Key Levels SSL Liquidity Sweep: The recent liquidity sweep occurred at 1.32790—this move cleared downside stops and set the stage for a reversal. - Bullish Breaker Block: The breaker is identified at 1.32845. This area now acts as a support/entry zone where institutional buyers have stepped in. -15-min SIBI Target/ 1hr order block : A key imbalance (SIBI) was left during the Asian session on the 15‑minute chart which coincides with a 1hr OB. This zone represents where liquidity might be harvested. - Alternate Idea : If price surges to this SIBI target without offering a pullback, it could signal an overextended move—potentially setting up a short trade opportunity. --- Primary Trade: Long on the Breaker Retest 1. Entry : - Buy on Retest:Plan to enter long when price retests the bullish breaker zone at 1.32845 and shows clear rejection signals. - Confirmation :Look for lower timeframe (5‑min or even 1‑min) reversal candlestick patterns (such as a pin bar or engulfing pattern) confirming that the breaker is holding as support or ifvg and break of structure. 2. Stop-Loss : - Place your stop-loss just below the breaker zone. For instance, around 1.32750 (or a level that protects you from further downside beyond the liquidity sweep) 3. Profit Target: - Use the 15‑minute SIBI zone as your primary profit target. - Alternatively, trail your stops if the market shows strong momentum upward. --- Alternate Trade : Short if Price Reaches the SIBI Without a Pullback** 1. Scenario : - If price drives directly toward the 15‑minute SIBI target without offering a clear pullback or reversal near the breaker, the move may become overextended. 2. Entry for Short Trade : - Look for signs of exhaustion or a reversal as price touches the SIBI zone. - Enter short when you see confirmation of a rejection (for example, a bearish candle pattern or a failure to hold momentum). 3. Stop-Loss : - Set your stop just above the SIBI zone to limit risk if the rejection fails. 4.Profit Target: - Target zones near the breaker or further liquidity levels that might be revisited during the subsequent retracement.
Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) on a 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements and insights: ? Highlighted Pattern and Signal Bullish Engulfing (Daily) is noted in a large orange circle: A strong bullish reversal candlestick pattern. Signifies a potential bottoming and trend reversal, as seen by the rally afterward. ? Trendline & Breakout A descending trendline (dashed gray) from prior highs has been broken to the upside. This is a bullish sign, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. ? Fibonacci Retracement Levels From the recent high (~22,186) to the low (~16,528): 0.236 level at ~17,864 0.5 level at ~19,357 0.618 level at ~20,025 0.786 level at ~20,975 1.0 level at ~22,186 These levels are critical for identifying possible resistance and support. ? Key Levels Current Price: ~19,571 Immediate Support: Around the 0.5 Fibonacci level (~19,357) Next Resistance: 0.618 Fibonacci level (~20,025), then 0.786 (~20,975) ? Projected Price Action (White Line) The projected path implies: A pullback to the 0.5 level (~19,357) A bounce and continuation to 0.618 and beyond, possibly toward the 22,186 level (previous high and 1.0 Fib extension) This suggests a bullish continuation scenario after a minor correction. ? Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Several FVGs (red zones) are marked along the price path: These gaps often act as magnets for price or areas of support/resistance. ? Summary (Bias: Bullish) Bullish Confirmation: Breakout of the downtrend, bullish engulfing, higher highs/lows forming. Buy Zone: Pullback toward 19,357 may offer a long opportunity. Targets: 20,025 → 20,975 → 22,186 If you’re trading this setup: Watch for a strong bounce at the 19,357 zone. Set stop-loss below 18,352 (critical breakdown zone). Trail stop as price targets are approached. Happy Trading ! Follow my profiles: https://www.etoro.com/people/mustaqimmazuky
Oil keeps moving lower without pause. There’s not a single valid reason to buy, except for “it’s already very cheap”—but that argument leads to poverty! Where this will end—no one knows. Let the asset settle, and the chart will tell us when it's time to buy. ? Trading plan: Wait for the downward move to end. It’s too late to short, and too early to go long.
H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/99d3xFXm/ M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per my analysis dated 24 April 2025 by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation. Internal structure is now established, however, I will continue to monitor price regarding depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,221.320 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/RlXzg5uU/
Dear Traders, The April monthly candle closed around 3285. Currently, the price has reacted to a previously identified zone and is now moving within a descending channel, with the channel's upper boundary at 3285. If the price gives a daily close above 3285, I expect it to rise toward 3370. otherwise complex Correction will be continue and my Final Target is 3170 if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content." Regards, Alireza
HEre is the potential long oppurtunity in GBPNZD, WE can Put the Long Entry Here....
We've confidently broken through the support levels at 32.40 and 32. The chart looks strongly bearish, and there's a high probability that the downward move will continue. I expect the price to reach the 30.80–31 area, where I'll be watching the consolidation to consider a potential long position. Overall, I remain very optimistic about the commodities market this year. Silver has yet to fully realize its growth potential, so after these broad pullbacks, it’s likely to continue pushing toward higher levels. For now, it’s too early to go long, and I won’t be participating in the short move. ?Trading plan: Waiting for a lower price to continue buying.
Team I am shorting DOW, - MUST have stop loss the price could hit 40912-16 - but short slowly now, with STOP loss at 40960-65 Target 1 at 40750-40735 - reduce 30% volume Target 2 at 40650-40600 - reduce 50% volume Target 3 at 40550-740483 - remaining Once the price reaches the first target, bring STOP LOSS TO BE NEXT week, I will be releasing a video on how I made 1000% profit in 4 weeks. I would love to share my strategy with the world.
? EUR/USD – Smart Money is Not Selling Yet Market Outlook: Bullish Continuation with Consolidation ? Multi-Timeframe Breakdown: | Timeframe | Behavior | Structure | |-----------|-----------|-----------| | **12M** | Bullish (new candle in development) | Strong upside push | | **10W** | Bullish | Breakout from consolidation | | **9W** | Bullish | Continuation strength | | **7W** | Indecision | Buyers and sellers wrestling | | **6W** | Bullish | Prior strong move | | **30D (1M)** | Bullish | Solid body, no upper wick | | **18D** | Bullish inside liquidity | 1.12414–1.11982 | | **3D** | Consolidation | Range forming at support | | **4H** | Testing structure | Rejections at support floor | ? Key Levels: - **Psychological Resistance:** 1.15729 – 1.16921 - **Neckline (Mid SR):** 1.14221 - **Liquidity Zone Support:** 1.12414 – 1.11982 - **Invalidation Level:** Daily close below 1.11982 --- ? What I'm Watching: Price action is currently consolidating on lower timeframes (3D and 4H), while all **higher timeframes remain bullish**. A dip into the **liquidity zone** may trap early sellers and trigger a **retest of the 1.15729 zone**. Until a breakdown confirms beneath 1.11982, this structure remains a **bullish continuation setup**. --- ? My Bias: "Smart money doesn’t sell indecision – it buys time. Don’t trade noise. Trade structure."