The Dow is the only major index that hasn;t filled the tariff gap. ES, RTY, and NQ have all filled teh gap.
After breaking below the key psychological level at 100 and making a low just under 98, the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a consolidation phase. Over the past three weeks, price has developed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline perfectly aligning with the horizontal resistance at 100 — a strong zone of confluence from both a technical and psychological standpoint. Despite the current hesitation under resistance, the structure suggests bullish potential. I believe we are approaching a breakout above 100, and once that happens, an acceleration to the upside is likely to follow. ? Target: 102 ? Invalidation: A break below 98 would cancel the bullish bias. As long as the price stays above the 98 area, I remain bullish and expect the dollar to strengthen. ? The breakout hasn’t happened yet — but the pressure is building.
I am comparing the relationship between Gold, the Nasdaq and the US Dollar. Since 2000, here are approximate returns for each; Gold up 550% S&P up 254% DOW up 364% Since 2020: In the past 5 years, this shifted slightly with Gold up about twice as much as the Nasdaq. Since 2024: In the past year, Gold has outpaced the Nasdaq 5:1 on gains. __________________________________________________ The dollar had three notable high gain/peak years in; 1985 2002 2022 Those peak dollar years occurred when the market was in a correction phase, selling off before the next rally, and followed a bull market rally. After each of those peak dollar years, a market rally occurred that lasted from a few months to a few quarters with substantial gains. Typically when the dollar is strong, gold prices have been suppressed. If the dollar weakens, it may allow Gold to continue a rally. We may have already seen that market rally, which just peaked in December 2024 after the dollar peaked in 2022. If the dollar continues to lose strength, Gold prices will likely continue to rise. from Bloomberg 4 days ago: "A dollar gauge is on track for its worst performance during the first 100 days of a United States presidency in data going back to the Nixon era, when America abandoned the gold standard and switched to a free-floating exchange rate." The correlation between Gold and Equities lacks any data to support, especially considering the past 20 years of market data. Gold's relationship with the markets is an algorithm that includes the US Dollar. If the dollar is strong, we see Gold prices suppressed. When the dollar is weak, we see Gold prices unlocked and free to make gains. That's where Gold is now. Forecast: The only information available to base a forecast for Gold pricing would be the US Dollar based on the economic relationship of the USD and Gold. Since the dollar has pulled back slightly and appears to be in a slightly downward trajectory, it is expected that Gold prices will continue to gain, although likely at a slower rate. Since the Dollar peaked in 2022, followed by a bull market for several quarters after that event, the Nasdaq is likely headed further into correction territory followed by a consolidation phase before beginning another bull market. The Nasdaq is currently in the second annual financial quarter of a pullback that will likely last several more quarters. This market correction began in December 2024.
? EURJPY Over the recent sessions, I’ve identified an interesting structure forming on the **EUR/JPY** pair, pointing to a potential **short-term bullish move** over the next **2 to 3 days** before a possible trend reversal starts to materialize. My bias is based primarily on the **presence of Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)** that have yet to be filled. These imbalances suggest the market may seek to revisit these zones to balance liquidity. Additionally, there are clear signs of buyer defense in a sensitive price region, reinforcing the thesis of a **technical recovery** before any long-term directional decision. ? : - Support zone respected after selling pressure eased. - FVGs identified in alignment with a potential pullback structure. - Expectation of a bullish move toward upper liquidity zones, with partial TPs set near **162.546** and extended targets around **163.770/163.776**. ? **Plan:** - Entry already triggered upon confirmation. - Stop-loss safely placed below recent swing low (161.770). - Take Profits aligned with FVGs and a risk-to-reward ratio of over 1:2. ? *Strategic Note:* Once these value zones are filled, I’ll be closely monitoring for **Change of Character (CHOCH)** signals that could confirm the start of a new cycle on the pair. For now, my focus is on **gap-filling and market equilibrium** before any long-term directional play. ?Posted by: Emerson Massawe Trader | Strategist | COO of Rodaviva | CEO of Xerof Capital
Market broke the descending structure with strong bullish impulse followed by higher lows respecting new trendline Price retested the previous resistance now turned support zone with a bullish reaction Entry is taken after confirmation of the retest holding and bullish continuation signs Entry : 142.494 SL : 140.676 TP : 148.270 RR 1 : 3.2 Price action aligned with short-term bullish reversal structure and clear demand zone defense Let price do the work
Gold has been fluctuating at the bottom in recent days. The large range is obviously 3260-3370, and the small range changes every day. On Tuesday, it was 3352-3300. The overall trend was first falling and then rising, but the decline was stronger than the rise. For the time being, gold is still weak. On the upside, pay attention to the break of 3370. If 3370 breaks, look at 3420-3500. The operation idea remains unchanged. Today, we still look for low points to go long. The support below the small cycle is around 3300-3280. These two supports are necessary points for going long today.
Bitcoin Cash already grew quite a bit between June 2023 and April 2024, total growth from bottom to top amounts to 699%, but this is not all. Right now the conditions are perfect for the continuation of this long-term bullish phase. The bear market bottom was hit in June 2022, after an entire year of sideways action, Bitcoin Cash broke up and produced the chart that we are looking at now. It has been a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Between April 2024 and April 2025, we have a long-term correction, a classic ABC. The C wave is a higher low compared to the low that was hit in August 2023. The next high is a projected higher high compared to the start of the ABC correction, April 2024. This higher high is likely to turn into a new All-Time High. This is the last chance to enter while prices are low. Just in 2-3 weeks time, Bitcoin Cash will be trading many times higher and it will never move this low again. Do what you have to do. Think if you have to think. Plan if planning is what you need; but, keep in mind that this is an opportunity that cannot be missed. Namaste.
Given that a number of important data are about to be released intensively, the market volatility is rising sharply. Before a clear breakout signal in the price is formed, it is recommended that within the range of $93,000 - $96,000, the range trading strategy be flexibly applied: sell at highs, and then buy at lows to build positions when the price drops back to the support level, so as to seize the band trading opportunities in the volatile market. At the same time, strictly control the position size to prevent the risk of sudden and significant fluctuations triggered by the data release. BTCUSD buy@93000-93500 tp:95000-95500 sell@96000-95500 tp:94000-93500 In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
The pair still has an overall downside bias, but short-term still have a chance to see slightly higher levels. The 18.6900 and 18.4700 area are to be respected for now. Strategy BUY @ 18.5100-18.5400 and take profit near 18.6875 for now.
Back in 2024 after the early August low Bitcoin produced three weeks green. There was first a small bounce, a higher low followed by three weeks candles closing green. Today is the same. After these three weeks one last red week and then the start of major advance. Bitcoin grew from a low of $52,500 to a high of $110,000. The rise started with the three white soldiers signal again today is the same, what will you do? It was a rise of more than 100% and yet still not the bull market year based on the halving and past history. Bitcoin launched 2009 four years later the first major bull market and All-Time High, we all know the story in 2013. MtGox and the rest. It continues and exactly four years later we get a new All-Time High, major growth and Bitcoin goes mainstream, everybody knows about Bitcoin now and it is 2017. It doesn't stop, it continues. Then the market crashes the end is near and people start to quit, none of those are like me who continue to post, to publish, to fight, to persist and to win. In 2021 the story is not new already old, Bitcoin hits a new All-Time High, exactly four years later and four years after 2021 is 2025... We are already in late April and no bullish action this year, are we late? If the August low marks the start of the current advance a new All-Time High can happen in August 2025 but no, too soon, right now there are too many Altcoins. In November 2024 Bitcoin broke above $80,000 for the first time in its history and this is the biggest development in years from a bullish perspective. So we can take November as the starting date. If we calculate one year then the next All-Time High can happen in November 2025 are we late? Any buy below $100,000 is still a bargain we are not late at all. The next All-Time High can happen in August, in November, in December 2025 or even in Mach 2026 that doesn't matter at all, really. What truly matters right now is to buy and hold and go LONG do you agree? That's it. This is the opportunity that your life will change. It is right in front of you right now, it is yours to take. Buy Bitcoin and hold. You will be happy with the results. Namaste.