#ZEUS The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest. We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.1960. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.2186 First target: 0.2344 Second target: 0.2583 Third target: 0.2846
?Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!? Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ??✈️ Based on ?Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis?, here is our master plan to heist the BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. ??Be wealthy and safe trade.??? Entry ? : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" ?Buy entry above 89000 ?Sell Entry below 78000 ?However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss ?: ?Thief SL placed at 84000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade ?Thief SL placed at 92000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target ?: ?☠️Bullish Robbers TP 110000 (or) Escape Before the Target ?☠️Bearish Robbers TP 62000 (or) Escape Before the Target ??️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future Prediction: BTC/USDT "Bitcoin vs Tether" Crypto market is currently experiencing a ?Bearish Trend in short term (Trend will expect to move on ?Bullish in future),., driven by several key factors. ⭐⚡?Fundamental Analysis⭐⚡? Fundamental analysis for BTC involves assessing its intrinsic value based on adoption, utility, network security, and regulatory developments. Adoption & Utility: By March 2025, Bitcoin adoption has likely continued to grow, with more institutions (e.g., ETFs, corporate treasuries) and countries (e.g., El Salvador-style experiments) integrating BTC. The Lightning Network and other scaling solutions may have matured, enhancing transaction speed and reducing costs, boosting its use case as a payment system. Network Security: Bitcoin’s hash rate is likely at an all-time high, reflecting robust miner participation despite rising energy costs. Halving cycles (last one in 2024) reduce issuance, reinforcing scarcity at $84,000. Regulatory Environment: Global regulation remains mixed—some nations embrace BTC (e.g., pro-crypto U.S. policies under a potentially favorable administration), while others (e.g., China) maintain bans. Regulatory clarity in major markets could be a tailwind. Development Activity: Ongoing upgrades (e.g., Taproot enhancements) signal a healthy ecosystem. Conclusion: Fundamentals are strong, with scarcity and adoption supporting a bullish outlook, though regulatory risks linger. ⭐⚡?Macro Economics⭐⚡? Macro factors influence BTC as both a risk asset and a "digital gold" hedge. Inflation & Monetary Policy: By 2025, inflation may have moderated from 2022 peaks, but persistent debt levels (e.g., U.S. debt-to-GDP >130%) and money printing could bolster BTC’s appeal as an inflation hedge. If central banks (e.g., Fed) maintain loose policies or cut rates, BTC benefits. Interest Rates: Higher rates in 2025 (e.g., 3-4%) could pressure risk assets, but BTC’s decoupling from equities (observed in prior cycles) suggests resilience. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts (e.g., Russia-Ukraine, U.S.-China trade wars) and sanctions drive capital flight to decentralized assets like BTC. Dollar Strength: A weakening USD (DXY potentially below 100) supports BTC’s rise as an alternative store of value. Conclusion: Macro conditions lean bullish, with BTC thriving amid uncertainty and dollar erosion. ⭐⚡?COT Data (Commitment of Traders)⭐⚡? COT reports from futures markets (e.g., CME Bitcoin futures) provide insight into institutional positioning. Commercial Hedgers: Likely net short at $84,000, locking in profits after a rally from 2024 lows. Large Speculators: Net long, reflecting bullish bets by hedge funds and institutions anticipating further upside post-halving. Small Traders: Overly long and crowded, a contrarian signal of potential short-term exhaustion. Open Interest: Rising OI at $84,000 suggests strong conviction, but a spike could signal an overleveraged market ripe for a pullback. Conclusion: Mixed signals—bullish institutional bias with short-term caution due to retail crowding. ⭐⚡?On-Chain Analysis⭐⚡? On-chain data reflects real-time network activity. HODLing Behavior: High percentage of BTC unmoved for 1+ years (e.g., 65%+ of supply) indicates strong holder conviction at $84,000. Exchange Reserves: Declining BTC on exchanges (e.g., 1.8M BTC vs. 2.5M in 2021) signals reduced selling pressure. Transaction Volume: Stable or rising volume supports price legitimacy, though a drop could hint at waning momentum. Realized Cap: Likely near all-time highs, reflecting long-term holders’ profits and new capital inflows. MVRV Ratio: If above 3 (market value significantly exceeds realized value), BTC may be overbought short-term. Conclusion: On-chain metrics are bullish, with accumulation outweighing distribution, though overbought risks emerge. ⭐⚡?Intermarket Analysis⭐⚡? BTC’s correlation with other markets shapes its trajectory. Equities (S&P 500): Correlation may have weakened by 2025, but a tech-led rally (e.g., AI stocks) could spill over to BTC. Gold: Inverse correlation strengthens as BTC gains "digital gold" status—gold at $2,500/oz could coincide with BTC at $84,000. USD: A declining DXY (e.g., 95) supports BTC’s rise. Bonds: Rising yields (e.g., 10-year Treasury at 4%) pressure risk assets, but BTC’s safe-haven narrative mitigates this. Altcoins: If ETH/BTC or other pairs are strong, altcoin outperformance could cap BTC dominance (e.g., 45% vs. 60% historically). Conclusion: Intermarket trends favor BTC, with selective decoupling from risk assets. ⭐⚡?Market Sentiment Analysis (All Investor Types)⭐⚡? Sentiment varies by cohort. Retail Investors: Euphoric at $84,000 (e.g., X posts screaming "to the moon"), a contrarian sell signal. Institutional Investors: Optimistic but cautious—ETF inflows (e.g., BlackRock’s BTC ETF) remain steady but not parabolic. Whales: Accumulating dips (per on-chain data), signaling long-term confidence. Miners: Selling pressure eases post-halving as higher prices offset lower rewards. Social Media Trend: Search reveals polarized views—bullish memes dominate, but bearish "bubble" warnings grow louder. Conclusion: Sentiment is overheated short-term (retail FOMO) but structurally bullish (institutional/whale support). ⭐⚡?Next Trend Move Prediction (Short, Medium, Long Term Targets)⭐⚡? Based on technicals, cycles, and above factors: Short-Term Target: $92,000 (potential upside) or $78,000 (potential downside) Prediction: A moderate level of buying pressure could push BTC towards the $92,000 level. However, if selling pressure increases, BTC could drop to $78,000. Medium-Term Target: $110,000 (potential upside) or $60,000 (potential downside) Prediction: A sustained level of buying pressure could push BTC towards the $110,000 level. However, if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate, BTC could drop to $60,000. Long-Term Target: $140,000 (potential upside) or $40,000 (potential downside) Prediction: A strong level of adoption and favorable regulatory environment could push BTC towards the $140,000 level. However, if the global economic outlook worsens, BTC could drop to $40,000. ⭐⚡?Overall Summary Outlook⭐⚡? Current State: BTC at $84,000 reflects a strong rally, likely post-2024 halving, supported by fundamentals and macro conditions. Risks: Regulatory crackdowns, overleverage, or a macro shock (e.g., recession) could trigger sharp declines. Opportunities: Institutional adoption, dollar weakness, and scarcity drive upside. Final Call: Short-term Bearish (correction imminent), Medium/Long-term Bullish (uptrend intact). ?Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ? ?️ ?? As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits ?Supporting our robbery plan ?Hit the Boost Button? will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ??. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.???❤️?? I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ?????
USD/JPY is facing a key resistance level around 149.00. This is not only a confluence with the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, but also an area where the price has been rejected many times before. If it fails to overcome, the pair is likely to reverse sharply to 146.70, and may even continue to touch the downtrend line below 145.50. Upcoming US CPI data could create big volatility. If inflation cools down, the Fed could ease policy, weakening the USD and pushing USD/JPY lower. Conversely, if inflation remains high, the USD could maintain its strength and challenge the resistance again. My short-term prediction: USD/JPY may have a slight rally to retest the 149.00 area, but without a breakout momentum, the price will soon reverse lower. I will watch the price reaction here to decide whether to enter a sell order or not, with an immediate target of 146.70 and further at 145.50. Conversely, if the price breaks above 149.50, I will consider a higher scenario.
bitcoin can move down In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bearish cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
Apple (AAPL) Share Price Drops Over 7% in Two Days As previously reported, AAPL shares had their worst January since 2008, but the challenges for investors have continued. The Apple (AAPL) stock chart shows that: - Yesterday, the price dropped below $218 during trading—the lowest level since September last year. - Compared to Friday’s closing price, the decline over the first two days of this week amounted to approximately 7.7%. Why Has AAPL Stock Fallen? Yesterday, we noted that bearish sentiment was prevailing in the stock market, leading the Nasdaq 100 index into correction territory. Market conditions were further dampened by news that Apple had delayed the release of an AI-powered update for its digital assistant, Siri 2.0, increasing selling pressure. What Could Happen Next? https://www.tradingview.com/x/UjSplCvl/ Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Stock Key price reversals, marked with red dots, outline a downward channel (shown in red). The median line, which previously acted as support (indicated by an arrow), has now been broken, suggesting that bears may expect it to act as resistance going forward. From a bullish perspective, the lower boundary of the red channel, reinforced by the September low around $214, could serve as an area where selling pressure might ease—if AAPL continues to decline. AAPL Share Price Forecast According to TipRanks: - 18 out of 33 surveyed analysts recommend buying AAPL stock. - The average 12-month price target for AAPL is $251. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The Canadian dollar posted gains earlier but couldn't consolidate. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4439, up 0.03% on the day. It's decision day at the Bank of Canada, which is widely expected to lower rates by 25 basis points. This would lower the cash rate to 2.75%, its lowest level since July 2022. The BoC has been aggressive and has lowered rates at five straight meetings, chopping 200 basis points during that time. The economy remains weak despite the sharp drop in interest rates and the central bank plans to continue lowering rates in order to boost economic growth. The BoC finds itself in a difficult position as far as rate policy. The labor market is showing weakness, with almost no job growth in February, while at the same time inflation remains sticky, above the BoC's 2% target. Throw into the mix the Trump administration's tariffs on Canada, and the situation has become fluid. The specter of a long trade war between Canada and the US would be disastrous for Canada and has complicated matters for the BoC. In the US, inflation has been contained but remains above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. Headline CPI for February is expected to ease to 0.3% m/m, down from 0.5% in January, and down to 2.9% y/y from 3.0%. The core rate is projected to drop to 0.3% m/m from 0.4% and to 3.2% from 3.3%. If the CPI estimates prove to be on target, it would point to little movement in inflation and investors may feel relieved that Trump's tariffs policies have not yet raised inflation. The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates at next week's meeting but it's unclear what happens after that, with the chances of a May cut at around 50/50. USD/CAD is testing resistance at 1.4445. Above, there is resistance at 1.4511 1.4370 and 1.4304 are the next support levels
SPX looks to be bouncing at around the 5500 level in the next few days. We would need actual bad earnings data/recession to break the support level
USDCAD is forming an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a potential breakout if it surpasses 1.4546, with an upside target of around 322 pips. Economic factors include U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods, a Canadian boycott of U.S. products, and slowing economic data in both countries, which could pressure the CAD as an export-driven currency. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Not taking further trades today as its CPI and im down -0.5% because of scatty trade decisions in between. This idea is based on asia low taken out followed by some displacement. Price coming to re test before breaking yesterday high.
Ethereum is in a bad spot where, after a bigger correctional candle on the 10th of March, we have not had any proper recovery since then. Yes, we did get some sort of recovery but as we can see, the push has been suppressed, and the price is now heading back toward the local lows. Now we are still looking ideally for that upper zone to be tested and then for a bigger drop to come but if we get a BoS, then we will go into an early drop! Swallow Team