? BAJAJFINSERV Positional Trade Setup ? Levels: ? Entry: ₹2,000 (Breakout above ATH) ? Targets: ₹2,350 (17% upside) ? Stop Loss: ₹1,850 (7.5% risk) ? Catalysts: Rate-cut expectations (RBI 2024) Strong parentco (Bajaj Group) ATH breakout momentum ? Technicals: Supertrend (10,3): Bullish ✅ TEMA (5,9,20): Rising momentum ⚠️ Watch: Q4 earnings & RBI policy ? "Would you hold for 6M or book early? Comment!" ?
It's quite a rare occurrence when the 200 EMA finds itself in a very similar position but right now BTC has that exact setup. On the 4H BTC is fighting the moving average for the 12th time since losing the support level at the beginning in February. At this time the bearish trend channel upper limit also coincides with this level now, IMO a big move is being setup, but the direction is unsure. On the daily we're seeing the moving average also in line with the trend resistance however the curve itself differs to the 4H in the way that it's levelling out from an uptrend, not levelling out from downtrend. Bullish scenario - Breaking out above the moving average and trend channel with strength I believe would start to bring buyers back. Now I would not expect buyers to come flooding in at once as many have been burned too many times trying to long a breakout only for it to be a fakeout. I could see many looking for a form of confirmation, be that a retest as new support or a new HH & HL structure. Bearish scenario - Yet another rejection off this level would be continuation of the downtrend with many adding to their shorts. This to me would be tied to the SPX/ Tradfi movements although those markets are much stronger than this time last week. In conclusion there is no clear sense of direction just yet but I think it's coming very soon. The chop we are seeing at the moment is a symptom of a lack of confidence and uncertainty in market conditions. Naturally this lends itself to a continuation of the downtrend but all it takes is a catalyst and some big believers to push BTC out above the downtrend to continue the bullrun. I think we get our answer soon.
ETH Short trade: After the break of ETH uptrend structure, topping at 1693 and making a local low at 1539, I would expect Eth to accumulate up to its supply zone at 1644 (Eth Short Entry Zone) before falling back down to 1537 (ETH Short TP Zone). Looking at the previous lows, ETH has made two lows, 1st low at 1411, 2nd low at 1485, I would be expecting ETH to make another low at 1415 (ETH Long Entry) accomplishing the 3 Tap Pattern - Head & Shoulder. After this 3-Tap move is successfully completed, ETH should accumulate up to 1687 - 1753 (ETH Long TP Zone).
?EUR/USD Update ?? After grabbing liquidity in the marked zone, we’re now waiting for the buy setup to form. If price reacts correctly, we’ll be ready to enter with confirmation. ? EUR/USD: still waiting for the buy setup. Patience and focus — the move could be close.
Here is my second entry area to enter a new sell trade on EUR/NZD after first entry gave us +150 pips 0 Drawdown , now i`m waiting for 4H Closure below my new res level and then we can enter a sell trade with retest but after the price give us a good bearish P.A to confirm the entry . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
The ECB is set to deliver another 25 basis points (bps) cut after the April policy meeting, reducing the benchmark rate on the deposit facility to 2.25% from 2.5%, with the disinflation process remaining on track. That being said, my Short-Term Outlook: Euro Likely to Decline Lower interest rates reduce the returns investors can earn from euro-denominated assets (like bonds), making the euro less attractive globally. Because this cut was expected, a small decline might already be "priced in." However, if the ECB hints at more cuts to come or shows a dovish tone, the euro might fall further. My first TP for this week and early on Next week will be 1st Tp @1.2000 zone 2nd Tp aggressive traders with trailing sl.@1.10560 handle good luck
Today's BLANK pattern in counter-trend mode is nothing to worry about. As I research and document these patterns, there are patterns that appear frequently on the Daily price chart and there are others that appear more infrequently. If I have not already marked these patterns and documented them, they have not appeared anywhere in the 11+ years of the Daily price data I use within the Lookup Engine. Therefore, these are VERY RARE types of patterns - Extremely infrequent. I will add that the secondary looking criteria show yesterday and today could be similar to "key top/bottom" types of price rotation. So, I do believe the current price level on the SPY (520-535) could prove to be very critical support/resistance going forward. Tomorrow is Good Friday (no trading). So if you are going to take any trades today, make sure you remember to plan your exits for TODAY or NEXT WEEK (or later). You will not be able to exit stock/ETF trades tomorrow (sorry). Gold is moving into a Momentum Rally, and I really want to see how that pattern plays out before the long holiday weekend. Fingers crossed we see a BIG RALLY again today. BTCUSD is still rolling into a downward price trend based on my EPP pattern structure. This downward trend aligns with my May 2 Major Bottom pattern for the SPY/QQQ. So I would expect BTCUSD to start to roll downward sometime near the middle/end of next week. Remember, this weekend should be about your family, your friends, and your beliefs. Relax and enjoy. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver #xauusd
Gold: No Signs of Reversal - Bullish Momentum is Intact Gold continues its bullish momentum, showing no signs of reversal on the horizon. In less than 24 hours, the price surged from $3,245 to $3,356, reinforcing strong upward pressure. What’s Next? If this trend persists, the next key resistance levels to watch could be around $3,400; $3450 and $3500 A possible consolidation may occur before further upside, but so far, there are no indications of a bearish correction. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Here is my second entry area to enter a new sell trade on EUR/AUD after first entry gave us 80 pips , now i`m waiting for 4H Closure below my new res level and then we can enter with retest and after the price give us a good bearish P.A . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Emerging markets often present a delicate balance of risk and reward, and Egypt’s sovereign debt market is no exception. In recent years, Egypt has undergone significant economic reforms, positioning its government bonds as an attractive option for yield-hungry investors. With double-digit yields and a stabilizing economic backdrop, Egypt’s bonds offer a compelling case for those willing to navigate the associated risks. This article explores why Egypt’s sovereign debt is worth considering in 2025. Attractive Yields Amid Market Shifts Egypt currently has 18 outstanding sovereign bond issuances in foreign currencies—16 in U.S. dollars and 2 in euros. These bonds have recently caught investors’ attention due to their elevated yields, which have climbed into double-digit territory. For instance, a dollar-denominated bond maturing in 2029 offers a yield of 10.2%, while its euro-denominated counterpart yields 9.6%. These figures reflect a notable increase from earlier levels of 8–9%, driven by recent political uncertainties in the region. For investors seeking high returns, these yields are hard to ignore, especially especially in comparison to other emerging markets with similar credit ratings. A Stable Rating with Room for Growth Egypt’s sovereign credit rating stands at B with a stable outlook, as reaffirmed in November 2024 when it was upgraded from B- to B. This rating reflects a cautious optimism about the country’s economic trajectory, though it is constrained by persistent inflationary pressures. Inflation in Egypt currently sits at 13.6% as of March 2025, a significant improvement from peaks of 24–27% in previous years. However, this rate remains higher than in peer countries with a B rating, limiting further upgrades for now. If inflation were to fall to 5% or below, a rating improvement could unlock additional upside for bond prices. Economic Reforms Bolster Confidence Several factors underpin the appeal of Egypt’s bonds beyond their yields. First, the country has embarked on a privatization drive, moving away from its historically military-dominated economy. Post-Arab Spring, many enterprises were state-controlled with tax privileges, but recent reforms aim to transfer these assets into private hands. A notable example is the 2024 IPO of United Bank of Egypt, where the central bank sold a 30% stake, signaling a commitment to reducing state ownership. Second, Egypt’s international reserves have grown impressively, rising from $12 billion in 2024 to $45 billion currently. This bolstered reserve position enhances the country’s ability to service its external debt, reducing default risk for bondholders. Additionally, Egypt has adhered to an IMF-backed economic recovery program, which includes maintaining a flexible exchange rate. For over a year, the central bank has refrained from currency interventions, allowing market forces to determine the Egyptian pound’s value-a key IMF condition that has strengthened investor confidence. Inflation and Interest Rate Dynamics Inflation, though still high at 13.6%, has been trending downward from its 2023–2024 highs of 24–27%. The central bank forecasts further declines, potentially accompanied by a reduction in the key interest rate. Lower rates could spur deposit growth in Egyptian banks, with funds likely flowing into government securities. This dynamic could drive up bond prices in 2025, offering capital gains on top of the already attractive yields. For investors holding bonds at current levels (e.g., 10.5% yield), this presents a dual opportunity for income and price appreciation. Risks to Consider Despite the positive developments, investing in Egypt’s sovereign debt is not without risks. There are three primary concerns stand out to note: High Key Interest Rates: If the central bank struggles to lower rates, the government’s borrowing costs will remain elevated, straining its ability to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio (currently at 86%, down from 91% last year). Currency Policy Reversal: A return to a fixed exchange rate regime could signal economic distress, deterring foreign investors and weakening reserves. Geopolitical and Tourism Risks: Egypt’s economy relies heavily on tourism and Suez Canal revenues. Any regional conflict or global downturn could disrupt these income streams, impacting fiscal stability. Comparative Appeal When benchmarked against other B-rated sovereigns, Egypt’s bonds appear undervalued. For comparison, Cameroon, also rated B, offers an 11% yield for bonds maturing in 2031, while Armenia (B+) yields 6.7% for a similar duration. Egypt’s higher yield relative to its rating, combined with its reform momentum, makes it a standout choice. Investors may find greater comfort in Egypt’s economic trajectory compared to less familiar markets like Cameroon. Conclusion Egypt’s sovereign bonds offer a rare combination of high yields and improving fundamentals, making them a compelling option for emerging market investors in 2025. The country’s privatization efforts, growing reserves, and IMF-backed reforms provide a solid foundation, while declining inflation and potential rate cuts could further boost bond prices. However, risks tied to interest rates, currency policy, and regional stability warrant careful consideration. For those seeking yield in a volatile global environment, Egypt’s debt market presents a balanced opportunity worth exploring.