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Zusammenfassung Die japanischen Wirtschaftsdaten bleiben stabil und lassen die Aussicht auf weitere Zinserhöhungen durch die Bank of Japan bestehen. Am Rand verzerren sie die Richtungsrisiken für USD/JPY weiter nach unten, da sie über der technischen Schlüsselunterstützung schwanken. So weit, so gut für die hawkische BoJ Die am Freitag veröffentlichten japanischen Wirtschaftsdaten entsprachen entweder den Erwartungen oder lagen darüber. Die Inflation in der Hauptstadt Tokio überraschte im Januar mit einem kräftigen Anstieg und lag 3,4 % über dem Vorjahreswert, nachdem sie im Dezember auf 3,1 % nach oben korrigiert worden war. Ohne die Preise für frische Lebensmittel stieg die Kerninflation im Vergleich zum Vorjahr um 2,5 %, was den Erwartungen entspricht und einen Anstieg von 2,4 % gegenüber dem Vormonat bedeutet. Ohne die Energiepreise stieg die sogenannte Kern-Kern-Messung im Jahresverlauf um 1,9 %, was ebenfalls den Prognosen entspricht und ein Zehntel über dem Wert vom Dezember liegt. Die Bank of Japan strebt eine jährliche Inflation von 2 % ohne frische Lebensmittel an, achtet aber aufgrund der Volatilität der Energiepreise auch genau auf die Kern-Kern-Messung. Der Bericht aus Tokio erscheint drei Wochen vor der nationalen Inflationszahl und gibt den Märkten einen Frühindikator für das, was sie erwarten können.+ So weit, so gut für die hawkische BoJ Die am Freitag veröffentlichten japanischen Wirtschaftsdaten entsprachen entweder den Erwartungen oder lagen darüber. Die Inflation in der Hauptstadt Tokio überraschte im Januar mit einem kräftigen Anstieg und lag 3,4 % über dem Vorjahreswert, nachdem sie im Dezember auf 3,1 % nach oben korrigiert worden war. Ohne die Preise für frische Lebensmittel stieg die Kerninflation im Vergleich zum Vorjahr um 2,5 %, was den Erwartungen entspricht und einen Anstieg von 2,4 % gegenüber dem Vormonat bedeutet. Ohne die Energiepreise stieg die sogenannte Kern-Kern-Messung im Jahresverlauf um 1,9 %, was ebenfalls den Prognosen entspricht und ein Zehntel über dem Wert vom Dezember liegt. Die Bank of Japan strebt eine jährliche Inflation von 2 % ohne frische Lebensmittel an, achtet aber aufgrund der Volatilität der Energiepreise auch genau auf die Kern-Kern-Messung. Der Bericht aus Tokio erscheint drei Wochen vor der nationalen Inflationszahl und gibt den Märkten einen Frühindikator für das, was sie erwarten können. Zinserhöhung im Oktober vollständig eingepreist, Risiken früher verzerrt Die Daten halten die Bank of Japan auf Kurs, um die am vergangenen Freitag erfolgte Zinserhöhung um 25 Basispunkte zu erhöhen. Die Swap-Märkte sind für eine weitere Zinserhöhung um 25 Basispunkte bis Oktober vollständig eingepreist, wobei die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit einer früheren Zinserhöhung im Laufe der ersten Jahreshälfte allmählich steigt. Es ist eine gewagte Annahme, aber wenn die externen wirtschaftlichen Bedingungen anhalten, könnte die BoJ versucht sein, früher zu handeln, insbesondere wenn sie nach Abschluss der jährlichen Verhandlungen im März Anzeichen für große Lohnerhöhungen sieht. In seiner Rede am Donnerstag signalisierte der stellvertretende Gouverneur der Bank of Japan, Ryozo Himino, die Absicht, die Zinsen weiter zu erhöhen, wenn die wirtschaftlichen Bedingungen mit den Prognosen der Bank übereinstimmen. Er betonte, dass längere Phasen negativer Realzinsen außerhalb von wirtschaftlichen Schocks „nicht normal“ seien, insbesondere wenn der Deflationsdruck nachlässt. Da es diese Woche keine weiteren japanischen Daten gibt, kommt es auf den US-Kalender an, um die Richtung von USD/JPY zum Monatsende hin zu bestimmen. USD/JPY trotz Zollschlag stark USD/JPY bleibt in den Charts stark. Obwohl ein weiterer gescheiterter Abwärtstrend der Keilunterstützung durch die Nachricht vereitelt wurde, dass die US-Regierung ab Samstag 25 % Zölle auf mexikanische und kanadische Importe erheben wird, ist es bemerkenswert, dass die Stärkung des Dollars als Reaktion darauf bisher keine allzu großen Auswirkungen auf den Yen hatte. Da die Momentum-Indikatoren rückläufig sind, sollten Händler auf das Risiko achten, dass es bald zu einem weiteren Versuch einer anhaltenden Abwärtsbewegung kommt. Einbrüche unter 154 wurden kürzlich aufgekauft, was dies deutlich auf den Radar bringt. Darunter sind weitere wichtige Werte 153,38 und der gleitende 200-Tage-Durchschnitt. Sollte letzterer nachgeben, gibt es bis zum Tief vom Dezember bei 148,65 kaum sichtbare Unterstützung. -- Geschrieben von David Scutt
The technical analysis of Jelly My Jelly (JMJ) shows a critical juncture in its price action. The chart indicates a potential move towards the 0.08206 level, which aligns with the significant 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. After reaching this resistance zone, the price is likely to experience a pullback to the 0.07054 support area before potentially making a push toward new all-time highs However, traders should exercise caution as this scenario heavily depends on JMJ's ability to break and hold above the 0.08206 resistance level. A concerning bearish scenario would unfold if the price fails to maintain support at 0.057161. Should this critical support level break down, JMJ could experience a severe decline, potentially dropping below 0.01, which would signal a significant loss of momentum and market confidence in the project The current price structure shows a series of higher lows forming on the chart, but the 0.08206 zone represents a crucial make-or-break level that will likely determine the token's medium to long-term trajectory. The presence of increasing volume during recent price action suggests growing market participation, which could provide the momentum needed for the bullish scenario to play out
In the world of investing, investors often seek assets that provide security and sustainable returns over the long term. Among these assets, gold remains one of the most attractive options due to its stability and long history of preserving value. In our previous analyses on TradingView, we made strong recommendations regarding gold, and the goals we set have been achieved as expected. Gold Rises as We Predicted! In our last update, we indicated that gold would see a strong upward trend, and indeed, we have witnessed a significant rise in prices, surpassing new record levels. This reflects that the technical analysis we provided was accurate and aligns with the current economic situation. Economic Conditions Supporting Gold’s Rise In light of the current events on the economic stage, there are several factors boosting the price of gold. The latest of these is the threat issued by U.S. President Donald Trump to impose tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, the United States' largest trade partners. These threats have raised concerns about a global trade war, leading investors to flock to safe-haven assets like gold. Economic News Supporting Our Analysis In addition to Trump’s threats, other economic data further supports our analysis. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, rose by 2.6% year-over-year last month. This increase, which exceeded expectations, signals ongoing inflation, further strengthening gold’s role as a safe haven. Future Opportunities If you are considering investing in gold, now is the time to act. The current conditions indicate that gold will continue to rise. With growing economic concerns and trade tensions, it is expected that gold will remain in an upward trajectory. Now is the perfect time to engage with the market and not miss the golden opportunities this asset offers. At TradingView, we continue to monitor the market and provide well-researched analyses to guide your investment decisions. Don't miss the opportunity, and stay informed through our notifications so you are always ready to make the most out of market movements. #Gold #Trading #Investment #SafeHaven #GoldPrices #GoldTrading #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #EconomicNews #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #PCE #InvestingTips #StockMarket #FinancialSecurity #InvestmentOpportunities #TechnicalAnalysis
Trade Update XAU/USD Buy Alert 1. _Entry Point:_ $2,794 2. _Target Price:_ $2,810 3. _Stop Loss:_ $2,786 Trade Status - _Target Price:_ $2,810 (TARGET HIT - TRADE SUCCESSFUL) Congratulations! Your XAU/USD buy trade has successfully hit its target price. Well done!
We're looking at a disjointed channel dating back from 2019 capturing all the last two cycle tops and bottoms without having to use the log scale This distribution pattern caught my eye as it seemed very similar to the fractal top in 2021 and of course we can spot partial fractals of distribution all over the chart like the ones I circled in yellow As we trade in this top like area we have to remember BTC is a Risk-On asset and is sensitive to economic data Lets take a look at altcoins CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 at the bottom, we can notice that every time there was a developing continuation pattern, perhaps a bullish flag in this scenario, BTCs price slows down with CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D looking weaker within the 60 - 65% zone Seeing this I dont think we'll see a 70% dominance with alts looking to rise from the dead and to shoot for for the moon? ?My relevant post shows targets of $115k BTC from the falling wedge breakout also in confluence with a fib extension eyeing at the same level as the flag pole target, 100% We can also overshoot to around $120k One more thing when we line up TOTAL3s bullish patterns with BTCs price you'll notice BTC starts to underperform and while ALTs look to over perform We all know what happens after ALTs hit the moon and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD may be telling us something is coming soon. Stay tuned for more BTC updates and lets get through this together?
NYSE:RBRK RBRK Runaway gap followed by continuation pattern Strong momentum and bounce from 21 day EMA. Adding to my discretionary portfolio. NOT Financial advice. Do your own research.
This pattern is all over crypto!!!!!! BCH "News" will start when we rocket out of here!! 7 years of tnt sticks under this massive pattern!! I will predict the news.....when we crack off here comes the BCH ETF talks!!!!!
This was a perfect illustration of how our emotions can affect us and our trading decisions. However through my 5 years of trading, I've been working on mastering my emotions as best as I can and as you guys can see-- I still had several times where I showed plenty of emotions. This leads me to come to the conclusion I still have a long way to go with mastering my emotions but progress is being made, and that is enough for me. If you guys liked this idea and post please give it a like! Forex and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure: The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading. Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary. BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC): Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms. Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement: CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk. Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results. General Trading Disclaimer: Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations. Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility. By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
TECH SELLOFF & JOBS DATA: MARKETS ON EDGE ?? 1/8 A major tech selloff hit U.S. markets after China’s startup DeepSeek launched a budget AI model. ?? This sudden competition sent stocks like Nvidia plunging ?, rattling valuations across the AI sector. 2/8 All eyes are now on January’s nonfarm payrolls report dropping next week. Can the labor market stay strong with higher borrowing costs? ? If jobs remain red-hot, inflation worries could rise—and so could Fed pressure. 3/8 Fed Update: Rates remain steady, but inflation’s still above 2%. The Fed’s playing it cautious, balancing a robust economy with persistent price pressures. Will the upcoming jobs data shift their stance? ? 4/8 Trump Policies: Tariffs and tighter immigration raise inflation fears, adding market jitters. Higher trade barriers = pricier imports = more inflation risk. Political drama meets economic tension. ??️ 5/8 Across the pond, the ECB, Bank of Canada, and soon the Bank of England are all cutting rates. Global divergence is real—while others ease, the U.S. stands firm, fueling currency swings and investor anxiety. ?? 6/8 Investor Sentiment: Confusion + caution = reliance on fresh data. The market’s itching to see if next week’s jobs report confirms an economy on fire... or just simmering. ? 7/8 Earnings Watch: With Alphabet and Amazon reporting soon, the “Magnificent Seven” could either stabilize tech or send it deeper into the red. ?? Could positive earnings offset AI valuation fears? Which factor is most critical now? A) Jobs Data ? B) Tech AI Valuations ? C) Global Rate Cuts ? Tell us below! ⏳