LMT is now net short on the regression break. I am not taking this trade.
Oil prices are showing signs of recovery after a strong bearish move, with $68.00 as a key level that will play a significant role in guiding our trading decisions for the new week. ? Key Technical Outlook: ? Oil is currently trading within an ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. ? I’ll be watching for a breakout/retest of the channel resistance and $68.50 for buying opportunities. ? If selling pressure remains below the resistance line of the channel and the $68.00 key level, I will be considering selling opportunities. ? Major Market Drivers: ? US Sanctions on Iran: The US Treasury imposed new sanctions targeting entities involved in supplying Iranian crude oil to China. Analysts expect a 1 million bpd drop in Iranian exports, which could support prices. ? OPEC+ Production Cuts: A new plan will see seven member nations cut production by 189,000–435,000 bpd per month until June 2026. ? Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East & the Russia-Ukraine war continue to add a risk premium to oil prices. ? Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week: ? Tuesday: API Crude Oil Stock Report – Offers insight into US oil inventory levels. ? Wednesday: EIA Crude Oil Inventories Report – A key supply indicator affecting price movements. ? Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – Important for economic sentiment and demand expectations. ? Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – Provides clues on economic growth and potential impact on oil demand. ? Friday: US Core PCE Index – The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, critical for policy direction. Oil remains bullish in the short term, but I’ll be monitoring price action closely at $68.00 and $68.50 for trade setups. We’ll break it all down in Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! ??
A picture is worth a thousand words, thanks for looking.
Chart Analysis: ➤ 1) The price is still struggling below the major EMAs (20/50/100/200), indicating bearish pressure. ➤ 2) RSI is mumbling around the midline, showing a slight bullish pull but lacking strong momentum. ➤ 3) The recent small upward move hasn't broken the trend, and the EMAs are still positioned in a bearish sequence. ➤ 4) Volume remains relatively low, suggesting that buyers are not stepping in aggressively yet. ? Bearish Scenario (Fakeout): Probability: 60%: If the price pushes above the EMA 50 (around 0.185) and gets rejected at EMA 100 or 200, we might see a sharp pullback. ? Entry for short: 0.187 - 0.189 ✂️ Stop Loss: 0.192 ? Take Profit: ➣ 0.180 - TP 1 ➣ 0.175 - TP 2 ? Bullish Scenario (Reversal): Probability: 40% If the price consolidates above the EMA 200 (around 0.190) with volume increasing, it could indicate a trend reversal. ? Entry for long: 0.192 - 0.194 ✂️ Stop Loss: 0.188 ? Take Profit: ➣ 0.200 - TP 1 ➣ 0.210 - TP 2 ? Stay awake, this setup is valid for the next 12 hrs. or until NY session. This is not a trading advice.
Tesla trendline with support and resistance lines. Tesla is ready to go long on when it crosses above 270 and holds that price for 48 hrs.
Gold has been following my analysis perfectly over the last two weeks and remains in a strong uptrend! ? For this week, the plan is to look for buying opportunities—but only at the right price. I don’t believe the bull run is over just yet. Despite Friday’s drop, gold recovered strongly and held above $3,000, signaling that buyers are still in control. ⚠ Caution for sellers: While there may be shorting opportunities if gold overextends, it’s risky to bet against this trend too soon. If I see a high-probability short setup, I’ll make a separate post about it. Let’s stay patient and trade smart! ?? Traders, if you found this analysis valuable ?, feel free to give it a boost ? and share your thoughts in the comments ?. Let’s discuss!
The USD/JPY pair is currently in a temporary uptrend within a broader consolidation, following a strong bearish move that started at the beginning of the year. The Y149.000 level will be a key zone for our trading decisions. ? Key Technical Outlook: ? Price faced selling pressure around Y150.000, leading to a pullback. ? As long as price holds above the ascending trendline & Y149.000, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities in the short term. ? A breakdown and retest of Y149.000 and the trendline would confirm a resumption of the long-term bearish structure. ? Major Market Drivers: ? Federal Reserve’s Policy Stance: Powell reiterated that rate cuts are not urgent, keeping the USD supported. ? Trump’s Trade Tariffs: Expected to drive US inflation higher, adding strength to the Dollar. ? Bank of Japan’s Hawkish Expectations: Japan’s largest trade union group (Rengo) secured a 5.4% pay rise, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ will tighten policy further this year. ? Japan’s CPI Cooling Down: Lower inflation in Japan could weaken the Yen and offer USD/JPY support. ? Key Economic Events on Our Radar Next Week: ? Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI – A key sentiment indicator for economic conditions. ? Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A major market mover influencing the Fed’s policy direction. ? Friday: Tokyo CPI & US Core PCE Index – The BoJ and Fed’s preferred inflation measures, critical for future rate decisions. I’ll be watching how USD/JPY behaves around Y149.000 for confirmation of trend continuation or a bearish continuation. We’ll discuss this in-depth during Forex Morning Mastery tomorrow—stay tuned! ?? #USDJPY #Forex #MarketAnalysis
EURUSD about to begin a bearish movement Seen in another perspective from Friday EURUSD was dominated more by a bearish volume. The price didn't manage to rise too much. Considering that also this week has not so important data the chances are that we can see more a release of liquidity on EURUSD. If EURUSD moves down a bit more from the current zone will confirm more the bearish movement and it can follow our targets near 1.0730 and 1.0680 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
? W1 – Weekly Bias Bias: Bullish SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs. Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected. Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement. FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800. EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum. Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone). EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely. ✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels. ? D1 – Daily Bias Bias: Bullish (with active retracement) SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs. Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle. Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG. EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross. Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled. Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction. RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement. ? Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups. ? H4 – Intraday Swing Setup Bias: Bearish retracement SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4 Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop) FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940 Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970 EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone) ? Scenario: If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short. If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup. ? H1 – Entry Refinement Bias: Temporary bullish correction SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone) ? M15 – Sniper Entry Bias: Bullish correction in progress SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032 EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement ? Sniper Trade Plan (Short): Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033 TP1: 3010 TP2: 2995 SL: Above 3035 (above OB high) ? Alternative Scenario If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation ✅ Summary Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033 Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations) ✨ If you enjoy my analysis, I’d really appreciate it if you followed my TradingView profile and left a boost\like on the post. Thank you!
I like to see move up then price back to imbalance level