Trade idea based on supply and demand, intermarket analysis and cross market valuation. Following a structured approach with clear entry, risk management, and confluence factors.
EURUSD April 9 Hindsight Study notes What I learned today: *Use 4 hour chart to determine the intra day order flow price is delivering in. Example I wanted to take the bull rally in Asia however its not my model. So I let it go anticipating for Price to rally to the clean equal highs target, which it did. *Trust your analysis. Why is this so hard when I anticipate for price to reach the level I have suspected, then when my model forms I freeze. This is my largest obstacle to overcome. This hinders me. * when price did hit but not go through the equal highs coming into the 3 macro London-I was so happy, because I anticipated this. I was looking for a short in London today. 3 macro price had all of my model factors in play expect 1 factor. -liquidity was taken at the 1.10510 and then price did make a equal high at 2:45 -Price was in a premium with intra day buy side taken -bearish order block on 2:51 candle? still learning this component, that candle also creates FVG, evidence of first presented FVG -2:57 candle creates a FVG and price does not come back up to it-hint hint -in a macro time of expected retracement or reversal either way a short in play the one thing that kept me out was the lack to find the model 2022 swing low candle to validate the trade What would have been the worst thing if I would have entered right at 3 for a short with a10 pip stop loss and anticipating at least a retracement, a winning trade. Considering I waited all day, considering I have built a model and trying to follow it and then it forms. Let the above sink in and let what you learned be the win.
I think we're following the fractal of 2021 bull market, and I was looking for similarities between the consolidation phase that came after the sharp decline. And in fact, there are some similarities. The first test of the 200MA on the 2D chart and the build-up of a bullish divergence with a fakeout below the trend line on the RSI. It's not exactly the same, but I would say it's very similar. This week should give a good bounce from the 2D 200MA for the fractal to remain relevant. In case of a breakdown, this idea is canceled.
Ethereum has been highly volatile and is rapidly losing value. This is not only due to actions taken by Trump but also because of the looming recession that many analysts are predicting. But will this recession truly materialize, and if so, will it also impact the crypto market? The recession is most likely to continue affecting traditional markets, especially financial firms. Tech companies have already suffered significantly and may face an additional decline of up to 20%. Ethereum will also be affected, as it is not classified as a digital currency but rather as an asset—primarily due to U.S. regulatory policies. This means Ethereum is tied to recessionary trends. Since the crypto market hasn't yet entered its own growth cycle, which is still expected to come, we may still see a short-term drop in price down to around $831. After that, our mid-term price targets are up to $2,460.
Wirly Dirly trade, opened a bit late. Looking for zone 2 duh
https://www.tradingview.com/x/JeQKaZ3z/ On a today's live stream, we discussed potentially significant historic supports on WTI Crude Oil to watch. Support 1: 57.0 - 59.0 area Support 2: 52.5 - 54.6 area Support 3: 48.8 - 50.4 area Support 4: 40.6 - 43.7 area The price is currently testing a lower boundary of Support 1. It perfectly matches with a completion point of a harmonic ABCD pattern. It looks like we may see some pullback soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this
Current Price: • 76,732 USDT (up +586.93 / +0.77%) ⸻ Market Structure & Key Labels: • CHoCH (Change of Character): Seen early in the chart, indicating a shift in trend direction, suggesting momentum weakening. • BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple bearish BOS signals, showing downtrend strength prior to the bounce. • Sell Breakdowns Zone: Marked near 79,595.10, a previous supply zone where breakdowns happened — likely to act as resistance again. • Support Level: Clearly defined around 74,936.95; labeled as a Weak Low, indicating price may revisit or sweep this zone before reversal. ⸻ Price Action: • The blue zigzag pattern indicates recent market structure swings. • A V-shaped recovery formed after a BOS to the downside. • The green shaded box represents a bullish order block / demand zone, from where the price has bounced. • A blue arrow suggests an anticipated move upward toward the previous resistance/supply area (near 79,595). ⸻ Upper Resistance Areas: • 79,595.10 zone: Key short-term resistance. • 84,000 – 86,000 zone: Marked as a Strong High, possibly the next target zone if BTC breaks above the local resistance. Notice: Follow and like ?✔️ And more information join my telegram channel
FenzoFx—USD/CAD is trading bearishly and failed to form a new higher high above the 1.4297 resistance. A new bearish wave could be triggered if selling pressure drives the price below the 1.4143 support level. In this scenario, the next bearish target will likely be 1.4028. Please note that the bearish outlook should be invalidated if USD/CAD exceeds 1.4297. >>> Trade USDCAT at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
CME:BTC1! Surprisingly, the price of bitcoin and bitcoin futures have held up well compared to stocks given that Bitcoin is a high risk, highly volatile crypto currency. It is almost as if hedge funds, and other investors have not had to liquidate their BTC exposure due to margin calls. Open Interest has been stable and average daily volume is holding up. This can be viewed by accessing the CME Bitcoin Open Interest and Volume . What is next for Bitcoin futures? As noted in our analysis, CME bitcoin futures are currently trading below the key level 2024 mid-range. Key Levels: 2024 Mid-Range, Key LIS: 79655 2024 till YTD CVPOC: 71705 Support Zone: 63140 - 57275 2024 till YT CVAL: 57275 Scenario 1: Further Downside - technical breakdown We expect further downside and move towards our support zone marked on the chart. Enter short on a pull back towards mid-range with stops above high of Apr 3rd, 2025. Example Trade 1: • Short Entry: 79000 • Stop: 85240 • Target: 60000 • Risk: 6240 • Reward: 22000 • Risk/Reward Ratio: ~ 3R Scenario 2: Reclaim mid-range and consolidate In this scenario, if the price gets back above 2024 mid-range and stays above, we expect the price to range between 90K to 80K. Example Trade 2: • Long Entry: 80000 • Stop: 74630 • Target: 89000 • Risk: 5370 • Reward: 9000 • Risk/Reward Ratio: ~ 1.68 R Important Notes: • These are example trade ideas not intended to be a recommendation to trade, and traders are encouraged to do their own analysis and preparation before entering any positions. • Stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels. • NFA does not have regulatory oversight over spot cryptocurrencies or virtual currencies derivatives traded on unregulated/decentralized exchanges. Glossary Index for all technical terms used: YTD: Year to Date LIS: Line in Sand CVPOC: Composite Volume Point of Control CVAL: Composite Value Area Low Green Zones: Bull/ Buyers support zones