EURCAD has reached the support and pull back from this support is highly possible to the upper resistance area.
Icahn Enterprises L.P. ( NASDAQ:IEP ) – Full Analysis & 5-Year Fair Value Projection As of March 22, 2025 1. Overview of IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. ( NASDAQ:IEP ) is a diversified holding company controlled by activist investor Carl Icahn, with operations spanning energy, automotive, food packaging, real estate, and finance. The company is widely known for its high dividend yield, activist investing strategies, and high debt levels. Current Market Data (March 2025) • Stock Price: $9.69 • Market Cap: ~$3.87 billion • Dividend Yield: ~27% (highly uncertain) • Debt Load: High, raising sustainability concerns • 52-Week Range: $9.15 - $51.00 2. Fundamental Analysis Strengths ✔ Activist Investing Strategy: Carl Icahn’s activism has historically created value, though recent results have been mixed. ✔ Diversified Holdings: Exposure to multiple industries can provide some stability. ✔ High Dividend Yield: IEP offers one of the highest yields on the market, but sustainability is in question. Weaknesses ✖ High Debt & Leverage: Heavy reliance on leverage increases risk. ✖ Dividend Sustainability Concerns: If IEP cuts its dividend, the stock could fall sharply. ✖ Asset Valuation Issues: Some holdings (e.g., Viskase) are valued significantly above market prices, raising red flags. ✖ Underperformance: IEP has lagged the S&P 500 significantly in recent years. Recent Financial Performance (Q4 2024) • Net Loss: $98 million (a $41 million improvement YoY) • Cash Flow: Weak, with continued reliance on debt financing • Asset Sales Possible: Icahn may divest certain holdings to shore up financials 3. Technical Analysis (March 2025) Price Trends & Moving Averages Moving Average Price Trend 5-Day SMA $9.18 Support 20-Day SMA $9.84 Resistance 50-Day SMA $9.64 Support 100-Day SMA $10.71 Resistance 200-Day SMA $12.99 Bearish • Bearish Trend: The stock is below its 200-day moving average, signaling a long-term downtrend. • Resistance at $10.00-$10.50: Breaking above this range could lead to upside momentum. • Support at $8.80-$9.00: If breached, IEP could test new lows. Momentum Indicators • RSI (51.88): Neutral (no overbought or oversold conditions). • MACD (0.04): Bullish crossover suggests short-term upside potential. • ADX (17.06): Weak trend strength. Technical Outlook • Short-Term (Next 3-6 months): Likely to trade in the $9.00-$12.00 range, with resistance at $12.00. • Medium-Term (1-2 years): If financials improve, a recovery toward $15-$20 is possible. • Long-Term (5 years): Dependent on fundamental restructuring and dividend policy. 4. 5-Year Fair Value Projection Year Bearish Case Base Case (Fair Value) Bullish Case 2025 $6.00 - $9.00 $10.00 - $15.00 $17.00+ 2026 $4.00 - $8.00 $12.00 - $18.00 $22.00+ 2027 $3.00 - $7.00 $14.00 - $20.00 $25.00+ 2028 $2.00 - $6.00 $16.00 - $22.00 $30.00+ 2029 $1.50 - $5.00 $17.00 - $25.00 $35.00+ 5. Key Factors Influencing Future Valuation 1. Dividend Stability • If IEP maintains its high dividend yield, the stock may stabilize above $15. • A dividend cut could trigger a collapse below $5. 2. Debt & Financial Restructuring • High debt remains a major risk. If IEP can reduce leverage, fair value could rise toward $20+. 3. Asset Valuations & Portfolio Performance • Concerns over overstated valuations (e.g., Viskase) could weigh on investor confidence. • If IEP sells non-core assets, it could generate cash flow and stabilize. 4. Carl Icahn’s Influence & Activism • Icahn’s strategy remains key. If his activist positions succeed, IEP could rebound toward $25+. • If activism fails, IEP’s fair value could drop below $5. 6. Investment Outlook • Short-Term (2025-2026): High risk, high volatility. Trading range $10-$15, with downside to $6.00 if the dividend is cut. • Medium-Term (2027-2028): Recovery possible if asset sales and debt reduction improve financials. • Long-Term (2029-2030): Could reach $25-$30+ if activist strategies succeed, or collapse below $5 if financial troubles worsen. 7. Conclusion & Recommendation ? Fair Value Estimate (5-Year Range): $10.00 - $25.00, with high risk and potential for extreme volatility. Who Should Consider Investing? ✅ High-Risk Investors willing to bet on Carl Icahn’s activism and turnaround potential. ✅ Dividend Seekers who believe IEP can sustain payouts, despite financial pressures. ✅ Contrarian Investors who see value in deep discounts and activist opportunities. Who Should Avoid? ❌ Conservative Investors seeking stable returns and lower risk. ❌ Income Investors who rely on consistent dividends (IEP’s dividend is at risk). ❌ Those Concerned About High Debt and valuation concerns. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock market investments carry risks, including the loss of capital. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Monday Recap & Tuesday Outlook: GBP/USD ? Market Recap – Monday’s Price Action GBP/USD opened strong, surging to 1.29551 to grab liquidity before reversing and declining. What I’m Watching for Tuesday ? Key Expectations: ✅ Liquidity grab at 1.28871 ✅ Drop to my POI at 1.28800 ✅ Potential rally to challenge Monday’s high at 1.29829 I’ll be watching for confirmations before executing any trades. Let’s see how the market unfolds. ? What’s your bias for GBP/USD tomorrow? Let me know below! ? #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GBPUSD #TradingStrategy
Price was in an overall bearish trend but not its retracing to mitigate an order block that created a break of structure. I'll wait for a bearish confirmation on a lower time frame for entry.
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (DOGEUSDT 1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/i1bT3jJH/ The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 0.18951. If it rises after receiving support near 0.18951, we need to see whether it can rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. In other words, we need to see whether it can maintain the price above 0.21409. If not, it is likely to show a downward trend like the previous trend. - Therefore, I think this is a great opportunity to turn into an upward trend in line with the flow of BTC. What we need to do is to check if it is supported around 0.18951. If it is supported, it is a time to buy. Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart is passing around 0.18951, it is highly likely that it will show a different flow than before. Since OBV has to break through the upper line of the Price channel to surge, it is better not to rush too much and check if it is supported around 0.18951 before trading. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBuhqVrT/ Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/YtZx6YSG/ Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - https://www.tradingview.com/x/zTnWN2r7/ The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
BNBUSD Price Action Analysis – 4H Timeframe ?? Market Structure: The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming, with the price approaching a breakout. ?? Supply and demand zones are marked with red boxes, indicating key levels for reaction. ? The price is currently testing the $627.02 resistance level. ? Trend Analysis: A Higher Low (HL) was recently formed at $564.51, maintaining the bullish trend. ? The 50 EMA at $621.21 acts as a strong dynamic support. ? Increasing volume suggests a potential breakout. ? Key Levels: Resistance: The $627.02 - $630 area is a critical supply zone. If broken, the next target would be $676.38. ? A breakout above this level could confirm strong bullish momentum. ? Support: The $621.21 level, aligning with the 50 EMA, serves as a key support. ? If this level breaks, a potential decline toward $564.51 is possible. ⚠️ Possible Scenarios: ? Bullish Case: A confirmed breakout above $627 could push the price toward $676. ? ? Bearish Case: Rejection from resistance and a break below $621 may lead to a drop to $564. ❌ ? Conclusion: Watching for breakout confirmation before making any decisions. ? Key levels: $627 (resistance) and $621 (support). ? Volume and price action will determine the next move. ?
Uptrend has lost momentum and a downtrend has begun therefore we expecting more of a bearish movement
Price Action setup + Supply Expecting this pair to push to the upside and activate the orders on the supply zone then we can expect bears to come in place
DXY March 24 Price parent bias is bear Price is Discount M/W/D Previous session Premium and discount on the daily range No News March 23 Analysis I suspect that Price is gravitating to the buy stop target noted and the daily SIBI is search of higher prices at the beginning of the week, and celebrate Price did. Wicking to the March 6 buy stop. On the daily range Price is coming up to the 50 level. Price in a Premium took session buy stops, lowered to equal sell stops in a discount in London, then rallied to March 6 buy stops and up into the Daily BISI. Great delivery. Premium to discount to Premium. Expanded higher creating equal highs in Asia, to retrace, consolidate in London, to reverse in NY and close consolidating in a premium. *Note the event horizon is to the sell side March 24 Idea I would like to see Price come down in Asia and London to the 50 maybe take the equal sell stops at the .618 and could rally for higher prices in NY. I consider that until Asia delivers all above could change. I also consider that no news today or tomorrow could create high resistance days, stay sharp.
In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebound and long on pullback. Pay attention to the 3035-3040 resistance line on the upper side and the 3005-2995 support line on the lower side. Operation suggestion: Go long at the current price of 3000-3005, stop loss at 2995, target at 3050.