I've explained for a while my idea if 5500 isn't support for SPX then we see a capitulation period to the 5100 sort of area. I think the case for this is picking up increasing merit. For a while I've not really been sure what to expect if that happened. My natural tendency to fade moves would make me naturally bullish but some different outcomes I considered would have that move being an important break and us only consolidating before heading lower. With the way all of this is shaping up, I think if I see a capitulation period now I have a strong bull bias. I do think we might be setting up a much larger decline overall but a sharp drop here would usually give some sort of bull trap. There are different ranges of bull traps. Shallow, mid and deep and spike out. Modern day markets run perpetually on hard-mode so it's reasonable to expect the most tricky one. Big bull bias for the immediate term if we put in a capitulation swing. I built up a position into the rally today. Which was not a lot of fun during sections of the day and harrowing for a moment late in the day but has me positioned well into the rally. I'm looking for a move down to under 5200 and close to 5100. My target would be 5150 or so at biggest with aggressive locking in near 5200. If this move hits (especially if it hits with bad news), will be super bullish for the near term - but I would consider this an important bear break if it comes.
Hello everyone On the previous post, we talk about FVG, Support & Resistance BTCUSDT And now btc confirmation reverse the trendline with this strong break we hope btc keep on lower to get biggest support around $80,000 - $76,677 Remember do your own research
Bias: Bearish (Pending Confirmation Post-News) Higher Timeframe Context (Daily) Wednesday closed bearish – 4H made a lower high, and a bearish engulfing candle after sweeping the previous day high, and MACD turned from bullish momentum after making a higher high showing hidden bearish divergence Lower Timeframe Breakdown 1hr made a market structure shift after making a higher MACD made a lower high (bearish divergence), the price closed below Wednesday NY session POC 15M made a lower low + MACD lower low( convergence)
BlackRock has joined the UK Financial Conduct Authority’s (FCA) crypto asset firms register, becoming one of the few global institutions to meet the regulator’s high bar for digital asset approval. The move clears the way for the firm to offer its new spot Bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) to UK-based institutional clients. The FCA’s register, introduced […]
Ja der will doch nur spielen. Guten Morgen :) Marken mit Wichtigkeit und hoher Reaktionsfreundlichkeit für heute und die nächsten Tage sind meiner Meinung nach: 23980, 23600, 23450, 23250, 22930, 22800, 22600, 22420, 22100, 21800, 21670, 21510, 21420, 21360, 21230, 21060, 20880 Chartlage: positiv oberhalb von 22000, darunter negativ Tendenz: oberhalb von 22000 aufwärts, unterhalb abwärts Grundstimmung: positiv Sollte sich unser Dax zum Mittwoch nun weiter über 22480 in die Erholung schieben, wären dann 22585 / 22620 und insbesondere 22680 / 22700 erreichbar gewesen, die nochmal ähnlich rumzicken und den Markt wegkippen könnten wie die 22480 vom Dienstag. Um die Erholung zu kippen und sich wieder unten raus zu aktivieren sollte unser Dax mindestens unter 22400 zurückfallen, besser aber noch unter 22320 / 22300. Solange das nicht passiert und er nicht brutal schwach in die Knie geht, hätte ich ihm erstmal aber noch etwas Platz für die Erholungsfortsetzung eingeräumt. So die Zusammenfassung von gestern. Doch über die 22480 ging unser Dax zum Mittwoch nicht und kippte stattdessen erstmal die Erholung durch Unterbieten von 22400 und 22300 nach unten um. Zwar konnte er die Tagesverluste erstmal ausgleichen, wird nun aber Schwierigkeiten haben mit Trumps Meldungen im Nacken das nun zum Donnerstag zu halten. Ein Abwärtsgap wird sich da wohl kaum noch vermeiden lassen, da ist eher schon nur noch die Frage wie tief es denn dann kommt. Mir wäre dabei wichtig, ob wir über 22000 dann ab 08:00 Uhr in den Handel einsetzen oder darunter und wo die Bewegungstendenz hingeht. Reißt unser Dax nämlich von Beginn an nur lange grüne Kerzen nach oben, kann er unterhalb der 22000 dann leicht wieder an 22000 / 22130 zurückstoßen, läuft dann dort aber Gefahr nochmal abverkauft zu werden. Kommt er über 22000 in den Handel und drückt nur von Beginn an grün hoch, wären sogar wieder 22300 und 22400 dann schon erreichbar und dann wären sogar oben auch wieder 22480 und darüber 22680 / 22700 zu erwarten. Kommt unser Dax aber sehr schwach in den Handel und schießt 8 wie 9 Uhr primär nur runter, wäre es insofern unterhalb von 22000 gefährlich, weil dort die Chartlage ins Negative dreht, was grundsätzlich technischen Raum für Übertreibungen öffnet, also kleine Panikzustände, bei denen der Markt dann einfach nur fällt, Gap offen lässt, zur Seite liegen bleibt, weiter fällt und das nächste Abwärtsgap anschließt. So wären dann unterhalb von 22000 schon 21830, 21600 / 21520, 21400 und 21200 als größere erste Eckpeiler anzupeilen dann. 21830 und 21400 hätten dabei aber das beste Konterpotential zu bieten. Kommt unser Dax aber oberhalb von 22000 in den Handel und drückt primär erstmal runter, könnte er durchaus auch versuchen an der 22000 oder 21830 dann deutlicher zu stabilisieren und dann wenn die KO-Scheine allesamt wieder handelbar sind, nach oben zurückdrehen zur 22400. Man sollte daher am Donnerstag in jedem Fall breiter denken und mehr Leine geben. Dafür muss eine Positionsgröße entsprechend bei größerem SL dann auch sichtlich verkleinert werden. Wichtig ist vor allem aber mit dem Markt zu gehen, insbesondere mit der Impulsivität. So fährt man an Tagen die mehr Volatilität versprechen weitaus besser, als sich einfach immer dagegenzustellen und dann mit mehreren hundert Punkten minus plötzlich wild anzufangen rumzurühren. Die Scheine bleiben gleich. Für Aufwärtsstrecken der GJ938A KO 20000 sowie PG70KW KO 18600 und für Abwärtsstrecken der MG510S KO 23920. Fazit: Zum Donnerstag dürfte uns Trump ordentlich Volatilität reinbringen. Wichtigste Signalmarke ist für mich dabei 22000. Treiben wir über der 22000 aufwärts sind 22300 / 22320 und 22400 wichtige Anlaufstellen. Sollte er gar über 22480 kommen, dann auch 22680 / 22700. Rutscht unser Dax aber unter die 22000 taucht er in den negativen Chartraum ein und könnte demnach auch ein Gap mal offen stehen lassen um sich unten auszutoben. Dabei sind dann 21830, 21600 / 21520, 21400 und 21200 die nächsten Anlaufstellen. 21830 und 21400 würden sich beide allerdings ziemlich gut für Konterversuche eignen. Gelingen diese, wäre von unten allerdings 22000 / 22130 ein ordentliches Brett, was auch gut wieder nach unten abweisen kann.
The tariffs were also successfully implemented. In response, the market bulls and bears also responded strongly. After all, the 3105-3142 area rose and fell in seconds, which was a terrifying market. Of course, to be honest, this wave of turbulence was mostly caused by institutions. After all, the market smashing was also extremely strong. However, I don’t agree with the impact of the tariffs implemented last night. First of all, looking back at the market situation, Trump said that tariffs would be imposed on many countries, which actually meant a 20% retaliatory tariff on the European Union. As for some other countries, only a 10% general levy was implemented, which relatively resulted in an unequal tariff situation. Of course, Trump also reiterated that Canada and Mexico still have tariff exemptions in a limited range of goods. So what impact will this situation have on the bulls and bears of gold? To be honest, personally, I have undoubtedly overestimated the announcement of this tariff. In other words, the implementation of this tariff is a bit insufficient in my eyes. After all, I expected that Trump would make major changes in his previous speech. As a result, it is a significant reduction compared to his previous years in office. This has also limited the outbreak of risk aversion. Of course, trade risks definitely exist, but through the matter of adding Mexico, this is completely negotiable. For this tariff event, I don’t think there is a big risk stimulus. Of course, the key is to see whether the market buys it. If the market thinks it will stimulate long-term risk aversion, then it will inevitably be pushed up by buying. However, the intensity of yesterday’s tariffs was not strong in my opinion. This may also limit the outbreak of longs to a certain extent. After all, the market’s expectations for it were too strong in the early stage, which also led to the early rise of longs, which also included the digestion of news. For this, you still need to be cautious. Then looking back at the current market, the tariffs have been implemented, and in a blink of an eye, we will also welcome the announcement of non-agricultural data. As far as the current market is concerned, the various US economic data have also improved relatively. After all, the substantial growth of ADP has undoubtedly dispelled the rumors of economic downturn. After all, the warming of the labor market undoubtedly reflects the warming of the US economy. Under the influence of tariffs, it has indeed boosted the US economy. Of course, the impact of the data is not just that. The current remarks about the slowdown in inflation are self-defeating. Due to the implementation of tariffs, inflation is likely to rise further. This directly hits the Fed's expectations of a rate cut, and the warming of the labor market has further limited the possibility of the Fed implementing a rate cut. In this regard, no matter what the final result of the market outlook is, based on the current situation, I personally think that it is really difficult for the Fed to implement a rate cut this year, which has also led to a reduction in the momentum of gold bulls. Moreover, if this situation continues, the Fed does not rule out the possibility of being forced to implement a rate hike. Although Trump is also calling on the Fed to cut interest rates, the fact is that it cannot be implemented at present, unless the US talks with other countries again during this period to discuss a reduction, as it did with Canada and Mexico. Otherwise, as time goes by, as the tariff issue intensifies, inflation will be restricted, thus affecting the implementation of the Fed's policy. At this time, you can pay more attention to the market dynamics. So for today, although gold is currently stimulated to rise, I don't quite agree with the emergence of new highs for gold bulls. To put it bluntly, for now, even if a new high appears, gold breaks through 3160, which is more of a possibility of inducing more. I am not saying that I am blindly bearish, but you have actually seen that gold is blocked at a high level, and the momentum of falling back is also extremely strong, especially gold started three consecutive positives last Friday, and as of Tuesday this week, it stopped falling near the highest point of 3149. The bull outbreak is already facing exhaustion. Even if the bulls rise again today, where can they rise, to 3200? Then what? You should know that it is cold at the top. Unless there is absolute bullish momentum to support gold to continue to rise, there will be a peak at any time. The short space is still large, just waiting for an opportunity. In particular, the sharp increase in ADP has led to the market betting on the negative non-agricultural data. Once gold is blocked from rising, it will inevitably collapse in an instant. Especially when this kind of news stimulates gold to rise, retail investors in the market will not consider its fundamentals. They will only think that interest rate cuts are absolutely good for bulls and the implementation of tariffs is absolutely good for bulls, which will lead to buying. This is also a chance for institutions to snipe bulls. For this, for today and tomorrow, even if gold breaks a new high, you should not blindly follow the trend. Remember to guard against the possibility of a resurgence of shorts. In this regard, I personally prefer the possibility of shorts looking back at the possibility of breaking 3100 and falling to 3080-3050. You can be cautious about this. As for today's opening, gold opened high at 3141 in the morning, and encountered a flash crash at 3128 at the opening, and then rebounded to 3139 and then flash crashed to 3123. In this regard, the performance of the opening in the morning can be said to be extremely strong. In this case, I am sure that I can't notify the operation. After all, the fluctuation is too fast. With a quote every second, even if you give an order, you may not be able to enter the market in time. For this, you still need to wait for the market to calm down. As for today's market, the fluctuation may be relatively strong. You can wait and see and be cautious. As for the specific operation details, I will give them in real time. Remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss.
? Market Insight of the Day: Gold continues its moon mission ?, fueled by central banks stacking like it’s Black Friday shopping ?. Inflation? Still a headache ?. Geopolitical tensions? Still spicy ?️. The result? Gold remains the MVP of safe-haven assets ?. But hold up—price has tapped major liquidity levels above $3,160 ?. Is this a clean breakout, or is NY about to pull its favorite trick ?—a liquidity sweep before a fresh rally? Trap or continuation? That’s today’s game. ? Session Breakdown – How to Play This Plan Before NY ? Asia Session (Now) ? Expect slower movement unless China drops a surprise bombshell ?? (economic data or gold hoarding spree). If gold sweeps liquidity early, watch for rejections near $3,116 – $3,122 for potential scalp longs ?. If price runs too high now, London might sell off first! ☀️ Frankfurt & London Sessions (Big Moves Start Here) ???? This is where the real game begins! ? London loves a fakeout—expect either a sweep of $3,116 before a pump ? OR a stop hunt above $3,160 before a drop. Buyers: Look for London to wick into our sniper zones before going up. Sellers: If price spikes to $3,165+ in Frankfurt/London and struggles, short scalps are on the table ?. ? NY Session (Final Boss) By this point, liquidity has been taken somewhere, and NY will either continue trend OR completely reverse it. If London pushed high, NY might sell off first. If London dumped, NY might pump. The sniper plays in the plan are mostly for NY, but Frankfurt/London traders can catch setups earlier. ? Bottom Line: Asia = Slow & Steady ? (unless China flexes) London = The Trap Session ? (watch for fakeouts!) NY = The Big Move ? (final trend decision) ? ? High-Probability Trade Setups ? ? Buy Setup 1 (Precision Long Play – Trend Continuation) ? Entry: $3,122 – $3,116 (OB + FVG demand zone ?) ⚡ Trigger: M1/M5 CHoCH + bullish engulfing confirmation ? ⛑️ SL: Below $3,110 ? TP1: $3,135 ? TP2: $3,150 ? TP3: $3,165 ? Why? ✅ As long as price holds above $3,110, gold is still bullish ?. ✅ Order Block + FVG + liquidity grab = sniper confluence ?. ? ? Buy Setup 2 (Deeper Discount Play – If NY Sweeps Lower Liquidity) ? Entry: $3,100 – $3,094 (Major demand zone ?) ⚡ Trigger: M1/M5 bullish CHoCH or exhaustion wick ?️ ⛑️ SL: Below $3,090 ? TP1: $3,116 ? TP2: $3,135 ? TP3: $3,150 ? Why? ✅ Still bullish as long as we stay above $3,090 ?. ✅ If price nukes below $3,090, don’t fight it ?—look for deeper entries. ? ? Sell Setup (Liquidity Trap Short – Only If Price Gets Exhausted at Supply) ? Entry: $3,165 – $3,179 (HTF supply + liquidity grab zone ?) ⚡ Trigger: M5/M15 bearish CHoCH + exhaustion wick ?️ ⛑️ SL: Above $3,182 ? TP1: $3,150 ? TP2: $3,135 ? TP3: $3,116 ? Why? ✅ Confluence: Supply zone + liquidity sweep ? + exhaustion pattern. ✅ Short scalps only ⚡! If gold stays above $3,150, don’t be a perma-bear. ?❌ ✅ ? Key Takeaways: ✔ Gold remains bullish above $3,100 – buy dips like a pro sniper ?, don’t FOMO into highs. ✔ If NY sweeps below $3,110, sniper long opportunities will be on fire ?. ✔ Sells are scalps only – favor longs unless $3,090 gets nuked. ? ✔ NY session is a manipulation master ? – stay patient, don’t chase! ? Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
gold can spike briefly in early Tokyo session if BOJ doesn’t act immediately. NO, it won’t last if BOJ hits the market or USD/JPY reverses. 1. Price Action – Tension’s High • 4H: Classic Evening Star showing up. That’s a solid bearish reversal — sellers are circling. • 1H: Weak bullish candle trying to break out, but it’s soft. Feels like bulls are exposed. • Inside Bar on 1H: Tight, coiled range. Something’s about to pop — either a breakout or a flush. 2. Range Game – Price is Trapped • Right now, we’re chopping between 3,154 – 3,160. • Price is teasing strength but keeps rejecting resistance. • Trap zone is active — don’t chase a late bull move here, that’s how you get clipped. 3. Indicator Signals – Read Between the Lines • VWAP on 1H: Flat. Price is just above, but there’s no real conviction. • Volume: • 1H: Dropping off — sellers may be setting the bait. • 4H: Climbing — looks like big money is getting ready to pull the rug after drawing in late buyers. 4. Trend Check – Short-Term Pullback Brewing • 1H: Price is pushing into resistance — feels toppy. • 4H: Overbought vibes, and bearish divergence is starting to creep in. 5. Volume – Telling the Real Story • 1H: Weak follow-through. Buyers are drying up. • 4H: Volume’s picking up, but it could be climax buying — one last push before it rolls over. 6. Key Zones – Support & Resistance • Resistance: 3,160 – 3,175. Price hit it and bounced like it ran into concrete. • Support: 3,132 – 3,122. That’s where buyers show up with bags of cash. • A clean break below 3,154 opens the trapdoor. 7. Momentum – Running Out of Gas • Bulls tried. They’re tired. • No solid follow-through = bears lining up to take control. 8. Elliott Wave – The Final Push • This looks like a stretched-out Wave 5. It’s spent. • Correction Wave A likely on deck — target: 3,132. 9. Harmonics – Pattern Breaking Down • Bearish AB=CD pattern forming, but the D-point never reached 3,172. • It’s rejecting early — could be a heads-up for reversal traders. 10. Volatility – Calm Before the Storm • Nikkei’s dropping — that’s risk-off. Could give gold a short-term pop. • But if the BOJ steps in and the yen strengthens, USDJPY drops, and gold might not hold gains. • No major moves out of Cambodia/Vietnam yet, but keep an eye on JPY volatility. ⸻ Trade Setup – Asia Session Plan • Order: Sell Stop @ 3,153.00 (wait for the breakdown) • Take Profit: 3,132.00 (targeting the demand zone) • Stop Loss: 3,163.00 (tight stop just above resistance) • Confidence: 88% ⸻ Why This Trade Makes Sense: • You’ve got a bearish reversal on the 4H and no real volume to support a bullish breakout. • A breakdown from this range opens up a clean downside run. • Asia’s risk-off, but gold already reacted — the juice might be gone. • 2.1 R:R setup — tight, sharp, and efficient. ========= SHORT-TERM: Gold’s Got a Window – But It’s Narrow • Nikkei’s drop = risk-off vibes. • Tariff tension = safe haven demand rises. • Asian traders might push XAUUSD up a bit early, sniffing fear in the market. • If BOJ stays silent, gold pumps toward 3,162 - 3,170.
#Singal LTC/USDT ? LONG Position ? Entry1 @ 76.19 ? Entry2 @ 74.62 ✅ Target1@ 79.35 ✅ Target2 @ 84.66 ✅ Target3 @ 91.46 ✅ Target4 @ 104.39 ❌ Stop Loss @ 69.56 Leverage: 5X_15X Margin: 10% of Wallet Balance ⚠️"Take Care of Risk Management for Your Account"
Weekly: https://www.tradingview.com/x/GYsdPwM6/ -Higher low formation. -FVG. Daily: https://www.tradingview.com/x/UekNzUVT/ -Inverse H&S pattern. -IC. 4H: https://www.tradingview.com/x/0LG03k2D/ -Liquidity sweep. -FVG. -Inverse H&S pattern.