Morning folks, So, the pullback that we were waiting for is done. Although we thought that it will be driven by some natural forces and reasons. The way how it has happened and by what factors make us to be caution on its perspectives. Indeed, it was just verbal intervention from D. Trump. It had bad week - scandal in White House with Zelensky, stocks are falling, crypto are falling, inflation expectations are raising, March debt ceil and shutdown is almost here, EU "allies" do not want to work together... So, to say couple of words and pump the market is not a bad idea at all. But, what is on the back? Nothing. Special Committee will make Reserve report only by July. I'm sure on crypto Summit this week we also will hear a lot of bravery speeches, but this is just words. This is a reason why we do not want to buy BTC now and prefer to watch for reversal signs around our resistance 96-97K area. Sooner or later but fundamentals should return control over the market. I do not have yet the specific picture but, since we have strong upside momentum - it should fade and appearing, say H&S or butterfly pattern, together with completion upside XOP target seems as great combination. Once this patterns will be formed, we could try to use it for short entry.
Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
EURUSD has already filled the gap, and now I'm looking for continuation sells. If we get a pullback to 1.04271 and see a rejection, that would be an ideal risk-reward entry. Otherwise, a bearish 4H close will be the confirmation to sell, targeting 1.03500 first. Staying patient for the setup.
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What is a benchmark? A benchmark is an index or a basket of assets used to evaluate the performance of an investment portfolio In the context of portfolio analysis the benchmark serves as a point of comparison to determine whether a fund a strategy or an investment is performing better worse or in line with the reference market. In the current chart, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is displayed with a solid and larger blue line in relation to other cryptocurrencies for the current period. https://www.tradingview.com/x/izEt6ifn/ Benchmarks are essential tools for institutional and private investors as they allow measuring the effectiveness of asset allocation choices and risk management Additionally they help determine the added value of an active manager compared to a passive market replication strategy. Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:NDX https://www.tradingview.com/x/MpWfrPT6/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/ktolsHI3/ Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:AAPL - NASDAQ:NDX https://www.tradingview.com/x/SG6UhV60/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/39J1VWrd/ What is the purpose of a benchmark The use of a benchmark in portfolio analysis has several objectives 1) Performance Evaluation: Provides a parameter to compare the portfolio's return against the market or other funds 2) Risk Analysis: Allows comparing the volatility of the portfolio against that of the benchmark offering a measure of risk management 3) Performance Attribution: Helps distinguish between returns derived from asset selection and those linked to market factors 4) Expectation Management: Supports investors and managers in assessing whether a portfolio is meeting expected return objectives 5) Strategy Control: If a portfolio deviates excessively from the benchmark it may signal the need to review the investment strategy How to select an appropriate benchmark? The choice of the correct benchmark depends on several factors: 1) Consistency with Portfolio Objective: The benchmark should reflect the market or sector in which the portfolio operates 2) Representativeness of Portfolio Assets: The benchmark should have a composition similar to that of the portfolio to ensure a fair comparison 3) Transparency and Data Availability: It must be easily accessible and calculated with clear and public methodologies 4) Stability Over Time: A good benchmark should not be subject to frequent modifications to ensure reliable historical comparison 5) Compatible Risk and Return: The benchmark should have a risk and return profile similar to that of the portfolio Most used benchmarks There are different benchmarks based on asset type and reference market Here are some of the most common. Equity FRED:SP500 Representative index of the 500 largest US companies. https://www.tradingview.com/x/uyEuXQMQ/ NYSE:MSCI World Includes companies from various developed countries ideal for global strategies https://www.tradingview.com/x/S0ywd1oh/ FTSE:FTSEMIB Benchmark for the Italian stock market https://www.tradingview.com/x/IuCm2wOe/ NASDAQ:NDX Represents the largest technology and growth companies https://www.tradingview.com/x/oIHNFyFF/ Bonds Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index Broad benchmark for the global bond market JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index EMBI Benchmark for emerging market debt [* ]BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Index Representative of the high-yield bond market junk bonds Mixed or Balanced 6040 Portfolio Benchmark 60 equities SP 500 and 40 bonds Bloomberg US Aggregate used to evaluate balanced portfolios Morningstar Moderate Allocation Index Suitable for moderate-risk investment strategies Alternative HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index Benchmark for hedge funds Goldman Sachs Commodity Index GSCI Used for commodity-related strategies Bitcoin Index CoinDesk BPI Benchmark for cryptocurrencies A reference benchmark is essential in portfolio analysis to measure performance manage risk and evaluate investment strategies The selection of an appropriate benchmark must be consistent with the strategy and market of the portfolio to ensure meaningful comparison. Understanding and correctly selecting the benchmark allows investors to optimize their decisions and improve long-term results.
BUY 166.600 | STOP 165.800 | TAKE 167.400 | Moving in the local trend range.
It's always wise to develop and refine your own technical analysis (TA) rather than blindly following analysts' buy calls, such as the recent target price of 1.68 mentioned in local business news today. Based on the charts, the stock has been in a clear downward trend, with the price declining approximately 23% from its recent high of 1.09. If the stock were to rally from its current level to reach the target price of 1.68, that would require a gain of over 100%, which is a significant move. However, multiple resistance levels exist along the way, and overcoming them would require strong buying momentum. Traders and investors should carefully assess market conditions, volume trends, and fundamental catalysts before making any decisions. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All investments involve risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Hello everyone! Let's take a look at GBP/USD today. Since the market opened, GBP/USD has shown a slight recovery, currently hovering around 1.259 with support from bullish factors. This rebound is driven by the mild weakness of the US dollar. Concerns over the US economic outlook and expectations of further Fed policy easing have prevented the USD from sustaining its previous three-day rebound. Currently, GBP/USD remains within an ascending price channel, bouncing back after touching the lower boundary. If buyers successfully defend this trendline, it won’t be difficult for GBP/USD to aim for higher targets. Happy trading!
Looking for a deep retracement as we expect high impact news to pump usd/dollar index prices up
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