The #Polkadot cryptocurrency demonstrates steady growth dynamics, following the target price of $22. The increased interest in the DOT ecosystem is due to its technological advantages, including spending and support for decentralized applications. The token is also in long-term accumulation. Investors and traders continue to show confidence in the project, which is reflected in the increase in trading volumes and the growth of quotations. If the current momentum continues, reaching the $22 target may become a reality in the near future. We keep an eye on the charts and news so as not to miss the key moments! ?
As shown in the previous chart, Doge, both went shorts and longs, and now the time has come for doge to fly off. Doge is on a tight channel on 12hr chart and needs little flush down to buy,Buys at cmp with slowly increasing postiion till 0.37 and aiaming for 0.6 in near terms!
Price Broke structure, retraced back to supply zone/Point of Interest (POI) Supply Zone coincides with H1 Supply zone. H4 did not actually close below for BOS but H1 did. IMO the probability of this trade might be low. Target swing low for a 1:1.8RR trade.
12/2/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NU Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when - is one of the three stonks in latam that i've commented in the past is worth keeping a v close eye on b/c of the growth rates and tremendous product. the others are NASDAQ:MELI and NASDAQ:DLO (the latter of which worked out nicely and we made a good exit earlier this year from the lows, but it took a minute). - back to Nubank: 1/ brazil in earlier innings of economic funeral, but what's new this happens every so often and those battle tested growers tend to come out of these events eating massive share, Nu will be one of these 2/ timing is always the tricky thing. you want to take calculated risk, but unlike the US stonks, you have clear geo/ FX and therefore adverse flows risk to consider. invest in emerging mkts and you need to have a tolerance/ knowledge of currency risk, minimally. i'm not going to downplay that here, but only to flag this needs to be something you consider if/when considering a stake in $nu. the counter point is they're growing bananas outside of Brazil as well and likely take over pretty much over every other latam country similar to Meli. IMO, there's no competition for the growth engine they can export into latam. 3/ let's math and use two approaches... PE and ROE -> book value a1. PE: let's imagine the 62c next year (in USD) is 50c - only a 15% growth. the reason you'd look at this is b/c most investors r going to be focused here, so you stand the chance of risk-evaluating what others see and making a call (similar to support and resistance vs. some esoteric TA you've developed). in this vein, what would you pay for a 15% EPS grower (ignoring all other factors of what this biz is and only considering it's a bank in Latam)? maybe 10-12x? def sub 1x PEG. b/c it's brazil, brazil is currently fukt. so you put a "depressed multiple" on a depressed EPS. at call it 50c and 10x - you're at $5 bucks. sick downside from the $12 it closed at today. so that's probably *worst* case, from today's POV. let's call that -60%. diddy slip and slide party pain. a.2: PE: but this isn't some "new kid on the block". a lot of Nu investors are smart int'l types that are going to look beyond trough '25, even today, including papi warren B. so if we assume we pick up from 15% toward 20% the following year and go 50c -> 60c, you'd probably start to consider at that point at least a PEG of 1x given growth would extend to the following yrs as well. at 20x on 60c you're at $12 for year-end '26. and let's give it a 15% discount (Ke brazil finger in air - but likely in the ballpark) and you get to $10 and change for the 12M view e.g. YE25, which is the bogey we're all looking at today given we're already done w/ '24. so that's 20% downside. combining a.1 and a.2 above... i'd likely weight a.2 as being perhaps a 70% and a.1 as 30% given the logic described, investor base and this isn't some going concern issue. also i'm being mega conservative w/ my EPS estimates as well. if you haven't noticed, they keep ripping the cover off the ball on EPS. so combined that's -60%*30% + -20%*70% = 33% downside more or less or a $8 stonk. b: ROE thinking. 25% ROEs (probably expanding) and growing book at probably ~$1/shr for the next 2 yrs combined gets you to a book of $5. when you consider this likely continues to grow nearly 15-20% a year... and we could be conservative and say it's 10% a year (cut it more than in half)... at a 15% Ke you get: Price = BookVal * (ROE - g)/(Ke - g) then discount 2 yrs by 15%. this is Price = $5 * (25 - 10)/(15 - 10)/1.15/1.15 = $11+ today. tying this all together... fair value is probably between 10 and 11 today. so buying $12 is defn being a bit opportunistic and playing a reversion move on BRL related assets. i'd not be surprised to see this thing move back toward $13/14 into year end, and equally i'd not be surprised to see it test the big green dilly from Aug 5 this year that ripped thru $10. So, it's not an obvious trade for those who don't know this asset or haven't been following that closely. perhaps easier to wait for better entry even if that means some chop here/ there and you get a bit of fomo if first move is up. The way i'm personally playing it are $10 and $11 strike 2027 leaps. allows me to amp my exposure without necking out too hard on a notional cash-in basis. offers about 3-1 leverage, so a 1.5-2% options position gets me a gross effective of about 5-6%. that's comfy for now. i'd like to get this position closer to 10-15% if/when we hit the $10s area or below (and it will be one to manage b/c *WHY* we go there will matter a lot - not just a rote plan, these things always evolve and perhaps there are other better deals out there too esp in the US or my favs NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:META ). anyway. wanted to flag. should be on your radar. this is a quality LT compounder that's gotten cheap b/c of geography, but is a neo-bank virus to the existing dino's in latam. LMK what u think or esp if u see it differently. have a good week my friends V
Bitcoin is showing signs of an impending bull run as critical data points align in favor of upward momentum. Institutional interest continues to grow, evidenced by increasing investments and positive sentiment from large-scale investors. On-chain metrics reveal a significant decline in the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges, suggesting that holders are preparing for long-term gains rather than short-term trades. Furthermore, network activity, including rising transaction volumes and active addresses, indicates growing adoption and user engagement. As these trends converge, Bitcoin's market dynamics point toward the potential for a strong and sustained rally in the near future.
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Bank Nifty Trend Analysis for 03/12/2024 Key Levels Average Level: 51,926 (Pivot Zone) Possible Upward Targets: First Target: 52,197 Second Target: 52,700 Possible Downward Targets: First Target: 51,930 Market Trend Outlook Upside Scenario If Bank Nifty sustains above the average level of 51,926, it indicates bullish sentiment. Target 1: 52,197 (+0.5%) – This is the immediate resistance; a breakout can drive further momentum. Target 2: 52,700 (+1.5%) – Represents the next resistance level where profit booking may occur. Downside Scenario A break below 51,926 signals weakness, leading to a move toward the first support at 51,930. Further selling below 51,930 may trigger increased bearish pressure, with deeper levels to be monitored. Market Movement Expectation for the Day Likely Trend: Bank Nifty is expected to remain range-bound, oscillating between 51,926 and 52,197, unless there’s a strong external trigger. Volatility: Moderate, with chances of sharper moves near breakout or breakdown levels. Recommendations for Traders For Long Positions: Enter above 51,926, with targets of 52,197 and 52,700. Keep a stop-loss near 51,930 for risk management. For Short Positions: Initiate below 51,930, targeting lower levels. Stop-loss at 52,000 to limit risk. Conclusion The 51,926 level is the key pivot for today. Sustained trading above it favors bulls, while a breach below it could lead to bearish momentum. Monitor price action near these levels to confirm the trend.
MSFT... Currently trading at a price of $430.98 with a target of 435 and extended target at 440 MSFT is breaking out of the upper trend-line. - The move to the upside will target the red candle first that is circled before it hits 440 and all-time highs after. - That red candle opens at 437.44 and drops to a close at 432.53.. the high and low is 438.50 and 432.10 respectively... - the upper trend-line (blue line) breaks at $431.50.. MSFT will travel to 432.50 and experience slight resistance at the closing price of the previous red candle that was a fake breakout.. the bigger resistance levels come at 435, 437.44 and 438.50.. - The 9 day EMA crossed over the 50 day EMA upwards which is bullish.. - The volume on call option contracts were bought heavily ... Every Open Interest has to open higher tomorrow than what it was today to be a continuation of the price increasing and that the trend is supported. That means people are still holding their positions or there is high liquidity at those price levels for the stock. - 435 Call 12/6 3:1 Volume .. Open interest needs to be higher than 5,246 - 437.50 Call 12/6 6:1 .. Open interest needs to be higher than 1,637 - 440 Call 12/13 2:1 .. Open interest needs to be higher than 2,534
According to the strategy I used, euraud fulfilled all the rules and I set the SL to be 25pips and the TP to be 50 pips.
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