Hallo zusammen. Diese Woche haben wir NFP-Daten. Lassen Sie uns diese Woche die Goldchancen analysieren. Die aktuellen Unterstützungsniveaus für Gold liegen bei 2840-2830-2817. 1: In der täglichen K-Linie befindet sich der stochastische Indikator derzeit in einem goldenen Kreuzzustand, was ein Hauptsignal für einen Aufwärtstrend ist; die MACD-Doppellinien steigen immer noch hauptsächlich an, sodass die tägliche K-Linie immer noch von Bullen dominiert wird und der Aufwärtstrend vorherrscht; in Bezug auf die Form ist heute der sechste Tag des Aufwärtsdurchbruchs, also seien Sie vorsichtig und beginnen Sie am Freitag allmählich mit der Anpassung; wenn es 3 aufeinanderfolgende positive, 6 aufeinanderfolgende positive oder 9 aufeinanderfolgende positive Muster gibt, seien Sie vorsichtig mit dem Rückgang und der Korrektur im Muster 2: Im 4-Stunden-Zeitraum befindet sich der stochastische Indikator vorübergehend in einem Zustand der Adhäsion und Passivierung, und der MACD-Indikator weist eine doppelte Aufwärtslinie auf. Die beiden widersprechen sich leicht, was darauf hindeutet, dass es im Laufe des Tages allmähliche Anpassungen geben wird; die aktuellen 4-Stunden-Unterstützungspositionen für die obere und untere Konvertierung liegen bei den drei Unterstützungspositionen von 2840-2830-2817; Gestern haben wir auch mit dem Verkauf von Gold auf hohem Niveau begonnen und jetzt scheint es, dass diese Handelsidee erfolgreich ist.
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Hello traders, During the Chinese Lunar New Year, just under a month into his presidency, Donald Trump made a series of moves regarding the US-Mexico-Canada tariff policy. First, he reached an agreement with Mexico to temporarily suspend the implementation of tariffs for a month, and then he met with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to preliminarily establish a framework agreement for border security cooperation. However, these policy adjustments have triggered significant market turbulence, leaving investors on edge. Firstly, the tariff war presents a dual game. Trump's push for tariff policies shows two possible directions for the market: either maintain a hardline stance to gain negotiation benefits or adjust strategies under the immense pressure from Wall Street. Current market analysis generally leans toward the latter, as the recent announcement of a sovereign wealth fund by the US seems more like a signal. However, Trump's tariff strategy may be a "band-aid solution," as the source of available funds remains a complex issue in the face of a $36.2 trillion federal debt. Stabilizing the market through asset securitization could instead lead to the accumulation of leverage risks, creating long-term problems. Secondly, the balance of the supply chain network is challenged by the tariff war. One of the pillars of the North American economy is the highly integrated supply chain network among the US, Canada, and Mexico. Core industries such as automotive manufacturing, aviation, technology, and energy all rely on cross-border production collaboration. If the tariff war triggers a chain reaction leading to the disintegration of the supply chain, it could result in a wave of corporate bankruptcies and a tightening of credit. According to historical patterns of regional economic turmoil, this dynamic can easily accelerate the spread of crises. Thirdly, the resulting liquidity pressure is gradually becoming a dark cloud. Compared to the direct impact of tariff policies, the US market is facing a more dangerous undercurrent: liquidity pressure. This week, the Federal Reserve's net liquidity suddenly decreased by $250 billion, significantly raising the balance of the Treasury General Account (TGA), which led to a substantial contraction in available market funds. Meanwhile, major liquidity indicators, including Bitcoin, have shown weakness, and the bond market is under heavy pressure. The yield on the ten-year Treasury note has climbed to around 4.56%, and it may soon break the psychological barrier of 5%. The continuously rising US dollar index undoubtedly increases global funding costs, exacerbating capital inflow issues in emerging markets. Recently, gold has shown notable trends. Throughout the Spring Festival holiday, gold exhibited a strong upward trend. As of yesterday, the spot gold price reached 2880 yuan per gram, driven primarily by significant pressure for physical delivery in the COMEX market. Data shows that in January 2023, the COMEX market delivered 22,538 gold contracts, while in just the first three days of February, the delivery volume reached 40,649 contracts, with the total delivery for this month expected to approach 65,000 contracts. This figure far exceeds the previous record set in June 2020, which was 55,102 contracts. In 2020, due to a surge in delivery demand, gold prices quickly rose from $1,700 per ounce to nearly $2,100 per ounce. Currently, from a technical perspective, gold prices are facing an important resistance level at 2880 yuan per gram, and a short-term pullback may occur. However, once this level is breached, gold prices are expected to further test the weekly Fibonacci extension levels, reaching the $2900 to $3000 per ounce range. From the futures market data, the key range for the April 2025 COMEX gold contract is between $2828 and $2885 per ounce. Additionally, the 25 Delta risk reversal indicator is at 1.8, indicating a bullish market sentiment, while the concentration of call options (Call Wall) is also located at $2850 to $2880 per ounce, further reinforcing the importance of this resistance level. In the short term, looking at Thursday and Friday's gold trends, the four-hour chart suggests that gold may experience a brief adjustment, with pullback target levels as follows: TP1: 2825 TP2: 2807 TP3: 2790 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
Short scalp on EURUSD using ICT Concepts amongst my own methodologies. Apologies for no sound, error with the microphone. Was either expecting a bounce at this iFVG 12h highlighted in maroon, or lower prices. Resistance at the upper threshold of the iFVG indicates resistance, following by CPDAs. Decided to change my buy stop order to market sell. - R2F Trading
The chart shows the formation of a symmetrical triangle after a sharp price drop. This typically signals a potential breakout in one direction. Key levels: • Support level: $321 • Resistance level: $339 Possible Scenarios: 1. Breakout Upwards: If the price consolidates above $339, we could see a rise towards the $370-$390 range. 2. Breakout Downwards: If the price falls below $321, we might see a drop towards the $290-$270 zone. What to Consider: • Trading Volume: Watch for an increase in volume during the breakout to confirm the direction. • Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on crypto market news that might influence the move. My Approach: I will act only on confirmed breakouts to avoid false signals.
Buying at W Open-M Pivot + Support.... lets see if price respect Support
The price perfectly fulfills my previous idea. It hit the TP. FX:USDCHF market is currently oscillating between the 0.9000 and 0.9200 levels. After retesting the resistance zone, the price pulled back and bounced off the psychological level at 0.9000. Given that the overall trend remains bullish on the daily timeframe, it's likely that the current sideways movement will continue rather than reverse. I anticipate the price to move higher from the support level, as it has been respected twice before, suggesting a potential foundation for a future upward move. My goal is resistance zone around 0.90940 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ??
UPS Share Price Plunges to a 4.5-Year Low Last week, United Parcel Service (UPS)—one of the world's largest parcel delivery, supply chain management, and courier service companies—released its quarterly report. → Earnings per share: Actual = $2.75, Expected = $2.53 → Total revenue: Actual = $25.4 billion, Expected = $25.3 billion Despite EPS exceeding forecasts by over 8%, UPS shares plunged to $110, a level last seen in mid-2020 when the US economy was recovering from the pandemic. Investor Disappointment Over Amazon Cutbacks The stock decline was driven by UPS’s decision to further reduce its business with Amazon. The company stated that its 2025 revenue would be around $6 billion below analysts’ expectations due to halving the volume of Amazon parcels it processes—despite Amazon being its largest customer. UPS CEO Carol Tomé explained that the company wants to move away from Amazon as profit margins in this segment are too low, negatively impacting overall profitability. According to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), UPS management is under pressure from dissatisfied investors, a significant portion of whom are long-serving company employees. Due to UPS's unique shareholder structure, veteran employees—who control 63% of voting rights—have suffered billions in collective losses due to the stock's decline. Shortly after releasing the report, UPS announced a quarterly dividend increase from $1.63 to $1.64 per share, though this is unlikely to offset the stock’s 40% decline over the past three years. https://www.tradingview.com/x/7BJHbwFX/ Technical Analysis of UPS Stock UPS shares remain in a downward trend (as indicated by the red channel). Following the latest drop: → The price fell below $124, a key resistance level in 2018–2019. → The stock reached the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as a support level, preventing a further decline toward the psychological $100 mark. Is Now the Time to Buy UPS Shares? Analysts have lowered their UPS price targets: → Stephens revised its target from $140 to $127. → DA Davidson downgraded UPS from "Buy/Add" to "Neutral", cutting the target from $154 to $116. → Redburn Atlantic reduced its target from $159 to $137. → Loop Capital revised its target from $120 to $115. → Oppenheimer lowered its target from $146 to $126. From a technical perspective, reversing the multi-month downtrend seems challenging. However, if UPS reconsiders its Amazon strategy under investor pressure, this could provide an opportunity for buyers. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Into higher timeframe resistance. Trail stop accordingly.