Data Analysis The weekly US employment data released at 21:00 on February 20th became an important turning point for the gold price trend. Employment data can often reflect the health of the US economy. If the data is poor, it may trigger market concerns about the economic outlook, thereby increasing the safe - haven demand for gold. Conversely, better data may weaken the safe - haven appeal of gold. After the release of this data, the gold price dropped rapidly, indicating that the market reacted significantly to the data. Market Sentiment Analysis Recently, the rising uncertainty in the global economy and geopolitical situation has led to an increase in risk - aversion sentiment, which has always been an important factor supporting the rise in the gold price. However, after the price has continued to rise and hit new highs repeatedly, some investors have started to worry about the risk of a pullback and chose to take profits. This has caused the gold price to decline to a certain extent today. But currently, the upward trend of gold has not ended. After experiencing fluctuations, it's only a matter of time before gold breaks through $3000. Support and Resistance Analysis Currently, pay attention to the resistance level of gold @2960. Pay attention to the support level at @2880. Trading Strategy In the short term, it is expected that gold will decline in a volatile manner. There are more opportunities to make a profit by short - selling after the price rises. Today's trading strategy: xauusd sell@2950 - 2960 TP: 2930 - 2920 - 2900 The most professional and accurate market analysis will be released every day, hoping to help every trader make a profit!
Expecting More Bullish Uptrend for NYSE:IP , Maybe Even Setting New Heights The NYSE:IP token has been gaining significant attention lately, and many are expecting a bullish uptrend that could push its price to new all-time highs. As the market sentiment continues to shift in a positive direction, the potential for NYSE:IP to break previous resistance levels and set new heights is becoming more likely. Here’s why the outlook for NYSE:IP is so promising: Growing Demand and Adoption of Story Protocol: As Story Protocol continues to establish itself as a key player in the world of intellectual property management on the blockchain, demand for NYSE:IP tokens is expected to rise. The platform’s innovative approach to IP registration, licensing, and tracking is drawing attention from creators, investors, and businesses alike, which could further fuel NYSE:IP ’s value. Positive Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment towards the broader cryptocurrency market is leaning towards optimism. If the market continues to experience favorable conditions, it could provide the perfect environment for NYSE:IP to thrive. With strong community support and increasing awareness of the Story Protocol’s use case, the token is poised to benefit from a general market rally. Breaking Resistance Levels: The NYSE:IP token is gradually testing and breaking through previous resistance levels, which signals growing strength. If this momentum continues, it could lead to further price increases, with new all-time highs becoming a real possibility. Traders and investors often view such breakouts as confirmation of sustained bullish momentum, attracting more buying interest. Strong Fundamentals and Utility: As NYSE:IP continues to gain utility within the Story Protocol ecosystem, it becomes more than just a speculative asset. The token is essential for transactions, governance, and securing the network, which positions it as a valuable tool for the protocol’s users. With increasing demand for these services, the value of NYSE:IP could rise even further. In conclusion, the outlook for the NYSE:IP token remains highly bullish, with the potential for a strong uptrend that could lead to new all-time highs. The combination of increasing adoption, positive market sentiment, and strong technical performance makes NYSE:IP an exciting asset to watch in the coming months. However, as with any investment, it’s important to remain cautious and prepared for market fluctuations, ensuring risk is managed as the trend unfolds.
Price seems to have went down for a necessary retracement, on daily time frame it has retraced to the 0.382 Fib level, which is exactly the point where bulls assumed control of price action in last leg. Moreover, a double bottom formation with a bullish divergence further adds confluence to bullish sentiments. If previous lower high is broken then we can expect the retest of ALTH as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
? Market Overview & Key Levels • Current Price: $2,926.38 • Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.016 • Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support - R2): $2,940.010 • Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,935.000 • Psychological Support (S1): $2,920.283 - $2,915.500 ? Gold is attempting to rebound from support near $2,920 but faces resistance near $2,935. ? Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis ? Key Observations: • Gold found liquidity at $2,915 - $2,920 and is bouncing. • Institutions are accumulating near this level, preventing further downside. • Buy orders are increasing near $2,920, suggesting a short-term bullish reaction. • If price fails to reclaim $2,935, a rejection could trigger another leg down. ? Institutions are likely to push price toward $2,935 - $2,940 before deciding the next move. ? Technical Indicator Breakdown • RSI (7): Near 40 (Oversold region, potential short-term bounce). • MACD: Bearish, but histogram shows signs of weakening. • 50 EMA & 200 EMA: Bearish structure, with resistance at $2,935. • VWAP: Currently acting as resistance near $2,935 - $2,940. ? Momentum still favors bears, but a relief rally toward $2,935 - $2,940 is possible. ? High-Confidence Buy Setup ? Buy Entry Zone: $2,920 - $2,926 ? Stop-Loss (SL): $2,915 (Below liquidity sweep) ? Take-Profit (TP): • TP1: $2,935 • TP2: $2,940 • Maximum TP: $2,950 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R) = 3:1 ⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan ✅ Confirmation to Enter Long: • If price holds above $2,920 and RSI remains above 40, enter long. • If large buy orders appear in order flow, institutions are accumulating. • If price closes above $2,930, bullish momentum may continue toward $2,935 - $2,940. ? FINAL VERDICT – BUY AT $2,920 - $2,926 IF BULLISH CONFIRMATION HOLDS. Target $2,935 - $2,940, but be cautious of bearish rejections near $2,935. 
The market has a clear draw on liquidity and has formed a top notch algorithm. If the market though melts below the low of today, expect the market to get to those 1 hour and 4 hours end of fair value gaps,
OKX:BTCUSDT.P **Overall Assessment:** Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX remains highly volatile and the overall trend is uncertain. While the long-term trend (Daily chart) is technically still an uptrend, it has *weakened significantly*. The 4-hour and 15-minute charts are in confirmed downtrends. This analysis focuses on identifying key levels where Smart Money might be active and assessing trend strength. **Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:** **(1) TF Day (Daily):** https://www.tradingview.com/x/o9YgoBlr/ * **Trend:** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening, *at high risk of reversing*). * **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):** * Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) structure is *becoming less defined and broken*. The recent price action has broken previous lows. * Prior Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, but now a significant and deep pullback is underway. * **Liquidity:** * **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Significant SSL rests below previous lows in the 85,000 - 90,000 range. This is a likely target for Smart Money. * **Buyside Liquidity (BSL):** BSL is present above the all-time high. * **ICT (Inner Circle Trader Concepts):** * **Order Block:** The price has *broken below* the prior bullish Order Block (the large green candle before a significant up-move). This is a *major bearish signal*. * **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):** * Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (yellow), a bearish signal. * The 200-period EMA (white) is the next major support level. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * A *long red bar* indicates strong selling pressure. * **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** * Red Cloud indicating Downtrend, *No Buy/Sell Signal*. * **Volume Profile:** Relatively low volume on the recent decline. * **Candlesticks:** The most recent candlestick is red, confirming selling pressure. * **Support:** EMA 200, 85,000-90,000 (SSL area). * **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High. * **Summary:** The Daily chart's uptrend is significantly weakening. The break below the 50 EMA *and* the bullish Order Block, combined with the negative Money Flow and bearish Trend Strength, are all major warning signs. The SSL below is a key area to watch. **(2) TF4H (4-Hour):** https://www.tradingview.com/x/0sGC0Gny/ * **Trend:** Downtrend. * **SMC:** * Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). * BOS to the downside. * **Liquidity:** * **SSL:** Below previous lows. * **BSL:** Above previous highs. * **ICT:** * **Order Block:** The price was rejected by a bearish order Block * **EMA:** * Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish). * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Predominantly red, confirming selling pressure. * **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** * Green Cloud *But No Buy/Sell Signal.* Indicates Sideway * **Volume Profile:** * Relatively high volume. * **Support:** Recent lows. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block. * **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is in a confirmed downtrend. The Money Flow is bearish, price below both EMAs. **(3) TF15 (15-Minute):** https://www.tradingview.com/x/c7kIbqU0/ * **Trend:** Downtrend (but showing *some* signs of consolidation/sideways movement). * **SMC:** * Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) - but with *slightly* higher lows recently. * BOS to the downside. * **ICT:** * **Order Block** Price could not break up the bearish Order Block. * **EMA:** * The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance. * **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):** * Alternating red and green, predominantly red. * **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** * Red Cloud (Bearish), *BUT* there's a *bullish divergence* (price made a lower low, but the Trend Strength indicator made a higher low). This is a *potential* early warning sign, but needs *strong confirmation*. * **Volume Profile:** * Relatively high Volume * **Support:** Recent lows. * **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block. * **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is in a downtrend, although with *very tentative* signs of stabilization. The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength is noteworthy, but *not* a buy signal on its own. **Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):** * **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening). * **Secondary Trend (4H):** Downtrend. * **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend (Potential Early Reversal Signals). * **Liquidity:** Significant SSL zones exist below the current price on all timeframes. * **Money Flow:** Negative on all timeframes. * **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15m. Sideway on 4H. * **Strategies:** 1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting signals and the strong bearish momentum on the shorter timeframes, combined with the weakening Daily chart, make waiting the most prudent approach. Look for: * **Bearish Confirmation:** A decisive break below the recent lows on the 15m and 4H charts, with increasing volume and continued negative Money Flow. This would confirm the continuation of the downtrend. * **Bullish Confirmation:** A strong, sustained break above the 15m EMAs, a shift in the 15m Money Flow to green, *and* a bullish signal on the 4H Trend Strength, *and* price holding above EMAs and ideally reclaiming the Daily Order Block. 2. **Short (High Risk):** This aligns with the 4H and 15m downtrends. * **Entry:** On rallies towards resistance levels (EMAs on 15m/4H, previous support levels that have turned into resistance). * **Stop Loss:** Above recent highs on the chosen timeframe. * **Target:** The next support levels (recent lows on 15m, then potentially the SSL zones on the 4H and Daily charts). 3. **Buy (Extremely High Risk - Not Recommended):** Do *not* attempt to buy until there are *very strong and consistent* bullish reversal signals across *all* timeframes, including a definitive shift in market structure on the 4H and 15m charts, positive Money Flow, and a clear break above resistance levels. The bullish divergence on the 15m Trend Strength is *not* sufficient on its own. **Key Recommendations:** * **Conflicting Timeframes:** The primary conflict is now resolved toward the downside. The Daily is weakening significantly. * **Money Flow:** Consistently negative, a major bearish factor. * **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15, Sideways on 4H, but the *divergence* on the 15m is a *potential* early warning. * **Daily Order Block:** The *break* of the bullish Order Block is a significant bearish development. * **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Be aware that Smart Money may target the SSL zones below. This increases the risk of stop-loss hunting. * **Risk Management:** Due to the high uncertainty and volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely critical.* Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings. * **Volume:** Confirm any breakout or breakdown with volume. **Day Trading and Intraday Trading Strategies:** * **Day Trade (TF15 focus):** * **Short Bias:** Given the current 15m downtrend and negative Money Flow, the higher probability is to look for shorting opportunities. * **Entry:** Look for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks, previous support levels that have become resistance) and then show signs of rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, increasing volume on the downside). * **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order above the resistance level where you enter the short position. * **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (recent lows). * **Be very cautious:** The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength indicator suggests a potential bounce *could* occur. Don't be aggressive with shorts until this divergence is invalidated. * **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 15m chart (break above EMAs, positive Money Flow, bullish market structure). * **Swing Trade (TF4H focus):** * **Short Bias:** The 4H chart is in a downtrend. * **Entry:** Wait for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks) and show signs of rejection. * **Stop Loss:** Above the resistance level where you enter the short position. * **Take Profit:** Target the next support levels (e.g., the 200 EMA on the Daily chart, SSL zones). * **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 4H chart. **SMC Day Trade Setup Example (TF15 - Bearish):** 1. **Identify Bearish Order Block:** Locate a bearish Order Block on the TF15 chart (a bullish candle before a strong downward move). *We have identified this in previous analyses.* 2. **Wait for Pullback:** Wait for the price to pull back up to test the Order Block (this may or may not happen). 3. **Bearish Entry:** * **Rejection:** Look for price action to reject the Order Block (e.g., a pin bar, engulfing pattern, or other bearish candlestick pattern). * **Break of Structure:** Look for a break of a minor support level on a *lower* timeframe (e.g., 1-minute or 5-minute) after the price tests the Order Block. * **Money Flow:** Confirm that Money Flow remains negative (red). 4. **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order *above* the Order Block. 5. **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (e.g., recent lows) or a bullish Order Block on a higher timeframe. **In conclusion, BTCUSDT is currently in a high-risk, bearish environment in the short-to-medium term. The "Wait & See" approach is strongly recommended for most traders. Shorting is the higher-probability trade *at this moment*, but only for experienced traders who can manage risk extremely effectively. Buying is not recommended at this time.** **Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AUDUSD has been running up in a strong up trend, and it now appears as though it's ripe for a retrace to the downside.
PEPPERSTONE:EURAUD PEPPERSTONE:EURAUD is now trading below the double top neckline/support , increasing the likelihood of further downside pressure. The default target for this pattern sits at 1.6276, aligning with the 200% Fibonacci extension. At this stage, we are closely watching the 1.6357 support level —a break below this zone could trigger heightened volatility and accelerate selling pressure. If this move materializes , we anticipate the formation of a bullish symmetrical pattern near 1.6235 , converging with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.6286. ? Key Levels to Watch: ? 1.6357 support—break below may fuel increased downside momentum. ? 1.6276 target (200% Fibonacci extension). ? Potential bullish symmetrical pattern near 1.6235. ? Major confluence zone at 1.6286 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement). Final Note: We remain neutral for now, but if 1.6357 breaks, the bearish bias may strengthen. Should the bullish symmetrical pattern form, caution will be required in assessing any potential rebound. Happy Trading, André Cardoso Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
On the 4 hour timeframe there is a possible retest to the 97-96k level before going sky high and possibly creating a new ath. Enter a long position around the 97/96 k level.
the last leg of bitcoin price chart is a very nice textbook for impulse waves . but in my opinion it is a last leg of a complex correction and every wave of this last leg subdivided very nice in current condition bitcoin is in wave 4 of 5 and after completing wave 4 we should have another impulse wave probably very sharp around 130000 usd and then i am waiting for retracement 50-62 percent of this last wave as shown on the chart