Gold fell sharply again last Friday, hitting a low near 2646 before stopping, continuing the bearish trend of last Thursday. It closed in the form of two large negative lines at the end of last week, and after opening in the morning, it retreated slightly and hit a low of 2643 before rebounding and fluctuating. It is currently temporarily maintaining a volatile situation. Looking at the current trend, the two-day retreat has basically destroyed the previous upward trend. The daily short-term moving average has also formed a suppressive pattern. The previous support level is also likely to be converted into a top and bottom pattern to form a suppressive effect. The operation is still treated as a rebound short. From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance continues to focus on the high of 2658-62 in the early morning of last Friday. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and look down. Pay attention to the short-term support at 2640 below. The short-term long-short watershed focuses on 2670. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any rebound is a short-selling opportunity.
This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower. https://www.tradingview.com/x/p9YOspad/ Considerations The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights. For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately. To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Happy happy happy!~ I hope you will find this informative to help you in navigating the market! If you already have conviction in this token, consider this as an additional perspective. Assumptions: 1. Intended for spot holding/trade. 2. Bullish market into Q1 2025. 3. Robust against sudden dumps. 4. Understanding of meme coin and risk management. 5. Awareness of broader market, macroeconomics, and geopolitics at play. 6. No rug pull or any funny business. Invalidations: 1. Tier 1 CEX listing hype, straight moon before any retrace and correction. 2. Breakdown and invalidation of current MS. 3. Broader market extreme bearishness and unexpected turns. Applied analysis: 1. ICT a. Liquidity: BSL: H4 BSL as marked in red box (61.8% - 65% fib, golden pocket) D1 BSL slightly higher than D1 EQ zone (78.6% - 85.4% fib, reversal zone). SSL: H4 and D1 currently overlaps (23.6% - 14.6%, strong support), sure will form deviations along the way. Generally speaking, 38.2% fib would be a good start to do DCA, maybe add a bit bags in the 50% fib zone. As always, adding some buy order in the lower range will maximize the chance to catch liq. sweep by MM/whales testing S-D, deeper liq. grab followed by a strong rejection could confirm a bullish OB. b. Order Blocks (Paired with VPVR): Bearish OB/Supply zone: H4-D1: both overlaps with SSL. Bullish OB/Demand zone: H4-D1: slightly higher than H4-D1 SSL, starts at 38.2% fib. A bit explanation: overlapping of liquidity and OB indicates areas of strong market interest (retails/whales/institutions). c. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Very small range 0.01-0.0117. d. Market Structure: Premium-EQ-discount zone and PDH-PDL-PWH-PWL as marked in the D1 chart. CHoCH, BOS, and MSS shouldve visible in LTF. EQH and EQL is a good indicator too to support reversal thesis. 2. Candle Pattern: Watch formation of hard price rejection (long wick down/up), reversal candle, or bullish continuation i.e. morning star/engulfing/hammer on HTF or near OB/liquidity. 3. Fib Analysis: Use log price and log fib or vice versa, fib levels marked in the chart uses log fib-log price. 4. Technical Indicators: Use your most comfortable indicators, watch for any reversal/bull div. signal and gauge the trend strength and confirming continuations. EMA 50-100-200 could act as resistance/support. 5. Market Phase Interpretation (Wyckoff): I'll simply use the good ol' reliable Wyckoff Accumulation, everything marked in the chart. Any Tier 1 CEX listing will send this to the moon thus invalidate this interpretation, otherwise will have high probability to follow standard market phase development. 6. Entries and TP: Exercise partial TP along the way, always reassess whether it is worth it or not to strengthen your position by reentry using profit generated or move it into another token of your interest. Once price goes way above your entry price, use stop-limit to move SL higher than your entry price to secure your bags incase sudden dump happens. 7. Risk/Reward (RR) Ratio: This thing should has at least 1:3 RR. NFA. DYOR. Good Luck! Note: As per usual, for DCA use cascading buy order, set tight TP/SL for higher price zone based on your risk tolerance and trading style, re entry at lower price once price stabilizes in HTF should be safe. This way, you should be able to minimize your realized loss (i.e. 2-5% or 5-10% SL distance for each staggered entries in spot market) and optimize your returns (parabolic/god candle moves included). Follow your own risk management for max drawdown (MDD) tolerance and other boring metrics. Dont overcommit, use ~5% of your portfolio to see if this coin suit your taste.
This analysis base on Eliott Wave Theory ( Expanded Flat Correction ) FLOKI on going to create C Wave. You can see the target with put fibonacci extension (green lines) and retracement (black lines)
Fedex is looking very good at cmp but I will wait for lower levels around $274s to get a better RR. If yku have any questions feel free to leave a comment.
. Don't forget about stop-loss. Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see. Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU. P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy. Always make your analysis before a trade
Tesla’s sitting at a make-or-break level around $441. If we break through, we could be heading straight for $458. But if $441 doesn’t budge, we’re likely dipping back to the $415–$420 range for a breather. Keep it simple: Watch $441. If it holds, look for the breakout. If not, stay ready for a pullback. Trading’s all about playing the levels—no need to overthink it! KRIS/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
Monday December 16 BEARISH towards 2600 For Intraday Speculation and updates, feel free to connect to the Trade Room
The gold trend is starting to reverse! Gold ended it's tremendous bull run and from beginning of December started major correction. Wave A and B of this correction is already complete and we're now expecting a tradable wave C of this correction.
Gold Likely Reached the Bottom Near 2644 On Thursday, a bearish wave began, driven by speculations about the upcoming CPI and PPI data and the potential interest rate decision by the FOMC on Wednesday, December 18. The market is expecting a 25 bps rate cut from the FED, similar to the previous decisions, so it will not be a surprise. Trump's election victory is not expected to make a big difference in the FOMC monetary policy statement. There is no need for them to be more or less hawkish now. Considering that this meeting may not bring any major surprises, as many expect, we should see gold rising further from this area, with the probable bottom reached at 2644 for the time being. Gold appears to have completed a five-wave bearish wave down and may rise again from this zone, either for another similar wave or a smaller one. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️