3/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:BLZE Watchlist, but need lower px - i'm more positive on this stock than negative, but i am not convinced of a few factors in the ST that have not much to do w/ the business but the "zipcode" of what it does that keep me sidelines looking for a lower px - i wouldn't expect a 250 mm ent value company to be pumping out cash in this industry, bc "why not spend to grow" becomes obvious first question. but with that being said, cash gen (and ideally ex SBC - i'll get that to that in the pt below) is really "king" in this market that will dump everything correlation 1 and so while many "investors" in today's tape are tea reading gurus, a few of us still prefer to base our decisions on mgmt/ execution and cash generation (or at least the "obvious" visibility of cash gen). and NASDAQ:BLZE remains in scale up mode - on the topic of SBC, i can't "fault" a co of this size/ budget and they *should* be incentivizing well the team. i can see they r generating more year on year gross profit for the amt they're incrementally spending on opex (i mainly look at sales expense) and that's a green flag. but ostensibly to overcome the SBC element of FCF and start generating what i'd call "organic" FCF, you need probably 2 years at the mid teens growth stage. and that's just hard to justify here (from a "looking at it from other people's perspective" i.e. the market won't pay up for that in this tape) - i need to do more work on mgmt. mgmt is the make or break on co's of this size, so hence it makes sense to read a few transcripts/ listen to a call for that intangible comms style etc. i will need to revert there. - so at say low DD EBITDA mgns and growing (steady state perhaps teens+) for an infra play, underscaled (i.e. not benefiting from mkt out flows which are disproportionately nailing low liquidity stuff)... i'd defn need to pay something closer to 8x this (2025*) year on a conservative number. so superficially (though it comes w a lot of years of playing this game for sport)... instead of a cons of $24 mm (which for a name like this always tends to skew more "forgiving") let's say it's $20 and put 8x on that. you're at $160 mm EV. obviously not a great downside to "eat" if you took a full position here. at this stage in the tape i'm only accepting stuff where i'd literally pile in and hold 2 or 3 positions that go -25-30% lower. i'm avoiding anything (*anything* that could have any realistic probability of doing -40 or -50+). so while i don't think that extreme case is necessarily a base case... it's not like there are any obvious buybacks (they don't have that capacity). i'm not sure in the world of software-infra outside a PE grabbing this and taking it private - which i don't want to pay up for as part of my thesis (only as a "bonus" to own)... it's not like the tape will buy this first... and not the leaders e.g. NYSE:BOX OMXSTO:PURE etc. and i get they don't exactly comp - but in a sense - in this world - "they do". - so minimally i'd need sub $4 to take stock of where risk is/ mkt at that pt (and perhaps and likely if it's a correlation 1 sell off i probably would prefer other things)... but nevertheless. happy to add it to the ol watchlist and set that trigger for trading view to hit me with that obnoxious *BING* usually on the most stressful days :) have a good weekend all thanks for flagging this HB. curious on your opinion of above, or if u can augment on more idiosyncratic bottoms-up/ mgmt/ biz moat etc. factors if any V
? Descending Channel: Price remains in a short-term downtrend but is testing strong support near the channel’s lower boundary. ? Long Setup: Entry: CURRENT MARKET MARKET Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.066 (recent swing low) Take Profit (TP): TP1: 0.0001657 TP2: 0.0001989 ? RSI Breakout: RSI is emerging from oversold territory, and trendline suggesting potential bullish momentum. ? Confirmation: A 2H close above 0.070 confirms a breakout from the descending channel and strengthens the bullish case.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has officially rescinded its 2022 policy requiring banks to obtain pre-approval before engaging in crypto-related activities. In a letter released March 28, the FDIC said banks under its supervision can now pursue crypto-related business without waiting for a green light from the agency. The decision effectively ends a key […]
? #GBPJPY Sell 195.5 - 195.7 ? Stoploss 196.1 Breakeven 195.55 TakeProfit 1: 195.3 TakeProfit 2: 194.5 TakeProfit 3: 193.1 TakeProfit 4: 191.9 TakeProfit 5: 190.7 Trade at your own risk Protect your capital The Wizard ?♂️ THURSDAY 03/27/2025 01 PM EST https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPJPY/yUClRbrw-GBPJPY-Sell-195-5-195-7/
Ethereum (ETH/USD) – Potential Breakout Setup! Ethereum has been trading within a downtrend channel, but a possible breakout is approaching. Here’s a detailed analysis: ? Current Trend: ETH has been in a declining phase but is showing signs of a reversal. ? Breakout Confirmation: A breakout above the descending channel could signal a strong bullish move. ? Take Profit Target: $3,664 – A key resistance level for potential gains. ? Stop Loss Level: $1,406 – Risk management to minimize potential losses. If ETH successfully breaks out, we could see a significant rally toward higher price levels. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering a position.
The DUSK cryptocurrency to the dollar based on the wave structure seems to need a little more correction to the specified area, and in that area, one can consider a buy trade with low risk and an appropriate stop loss.
First target - 150$ Second target - 300$ Third target - 500$ Wild target - 658$
NXT | Long | Breakout Retest Setup with Strong Fundamentals | (Mar 27, 2025) 1️⃣ Quick Insight: Nextracker is pulling back into a key support zone after a strong bounce. With solid fundamentals and a positive reaction post-earnings, I’m watching closely for a tactical long entry on a support retest. NXT | Long | Breakout Retest | (Mar 27, 2025) 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry Zone: $41.78 – $43.00 (Buy Signal + Compound Area) Stop Loss: Below $40.00 (structure invalidation zone) TP1: $47.23 (resistance + partial take-profit zone) TP2: $55.93 (upper resistance zone) Partial Exits: Consider trimming at $47.23 if price struggles to break through 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ The stock has strong fundamentals but is trading above tangible value, so technical timing is key. ✅ A W-formation may be developing—watch for price to confirm support near $41.78. ✅ Volume profile shows POC nearby, giving extra confluence to the current support zone. ✅ Money flow is still positive on daily and 4H, but 30min shows slight outflow—be patient and wait for confirmation. ✅ Keep an eye on broader tech sector sentiment (e.g., NQ/SPX correlations). 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: I’ll update this idea if price revisits the golden zone or shows a clear breakout from the current structure. Please LIKE ?, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible
Year 2000 dot com bubble burst Gold CRE 2000-2011 Bitcoin created for and succeeded in the Tech stock bull run CRE 2011-now CRE upon us, gold bull market decade, tech/stocks crash a decade So market to decide, is bitcoin "tech" , or digital "gold"