Great-Things Traders! Breaking down my EUR/USD trade from earlier for educational purposes. Pay close attention, as there are key lessons here for refining your execution and market understanding. Market Structure & Initial Bias Looking at the higher timeframe structure, we identified a strong bearish impulse leading into a deep discount zone. The initial manipulation phase set up liquidity grabs during the New York session, leading to a sharp reversal. This was a clear indication that smart money was active. Key Zones & Liquidity Grabs Manipulation Phase: We observed aggressive sell-side liquidity being taken out during the New York PM session, setting up for a potential reversal. Accumulation Phase: Price began consolidating post-manipulation, forming an accumulation phase. This was a clear sign of institutional interest before the next expansion. Asia Liquidity Grab: Price swept Asian session highs, confirming the accumulation and creating a high-probability trade setup for a long entry. Entry & Execution Entry Confirmation: After liquidity was taken, price formed a solid bullish structure shift (market structure shift - MST). Confirmation came with a strong bullish engulfing candle, signaling intent to push higher. Entry Zone: Entered at the Fibonacci 0.62-0.79 retracement zone from the manipulation low. Stop Loss: Placed below the manipulation wick, ensuring protection against potential liquidity hunts. Target Zones: First Target: Mitigation of 50% of the prior imbalance. Final Target: 1.0460 Distribution Zone, aligning with major liquidity pools and previous supply zones. Market Psychology & Smart Money Concepts Mitigation & Repricing: As price retraced, it mitigated unfilled institutional orders from the prior bearish move, leading to the explosive bullish push. New Week Opening Gap (NWOG): Price respected the 50% of the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), using it as a launchpad for higher pricing. Also swept Asia Low. Distribution Zone: The final target aligns with a previous supply area, where smart money could look to offload positions. Lessons to Take Away ✅ Always wait for liquidity grabs before entering trades. ✅ Use smart money concepts to identify high-probability setups. ✅ Market structure shifts (MST) + order flow are key confirmations. ✅ Fibonacci retracements & mitigation zones offer sniper entries. ✅ Patience pays off – let the market show its hand before taking action. This trade followed a textbook manipulation-accumulation-expansion-distribution model, aligning with institutional order flow. Hope this breakdown helps refine your execution and enhances your understanding of how smart money operates! Stay disciplined, stay patient, and execute with precision. Lord MEDZ
#EGLD has broken the trendline and the Ichimoku cloud to the upside on the 12H chart. Currently, it is retesting the trendline. If a successful bounce occurs, the targets are: ? $28.36 ? $34.07 ? $38.69 ? $43.31
Is the Base solid enough to drive the price to 3 OR will it require a manipulation below the base to test key support "2"? THIS IS ONLY AN IDEA AND COULD BE RIGHT... For the Fundamental lovers: Also keep in mind: Dow Jones Newswires: "Zip Price Target Raised 5.9% to A$3.60/Share by Ord Minnett"
Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!” He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order. On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline. However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin. These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior. Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024. Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets. Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality. Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.
AMEX:LIT : EV's Lithium-Powered ETF – Charging Up or Running on Empty? EV demand is up 35% in 2023, and lithium prices are up 8% in 2025 so far. But AMEX:LIT is at $40.82, down from last year. Is it time to buy, hold, or sell? Let's dive in. (1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️EV demand is up 35% in 2023, and lithium prices are up 8% in 2025 so far. But AMEX:LIT is at $40.82, down from last year. Is it time to buy, hold, or sell? Let's dive in. ? (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE ? • Current Price: $ 40.82 ? • Sector Trend: EV sales globally strong (35% growth in 2023, IEA) ? It’s volatile, with EV growth as a tailwind! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION ? • Market Cap: Approximately $ 1.37B (based on $ 40.82 price and 33.5M shares, per Apr 30, 2024, data) ? • Holdings: 40 stocks, top include Albemarle, Tesla (per Global X ETFs) ⏰ • Trend: Lithium demand tied to EV penetration, per IEA data ? Firm, riding the battery wave! ? (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS ? • EV Demand: Continued rise in 2025, per general expectation and IEA trends ? • Lithium Prices: Mixed, with spot prices varying; ETF at $ 40.82 reflects market conditions ? • Market Reaction: Reflects current market dynamics, no specific Mar 3 data ? Adapting, EV surge drives interest! ? (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Oversupply: Fears may cap lithium gains, per industry reports ? • Competition: New battery tech could shift demand, per industry reports ? • Volatility: Lithium prices historically swing, per Reuters 2023 data ❄️ Tough, but risks loom! ? (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS ? • EV Growth: Demand for lithium batteries rising, per IEA 2023 data (35% global sales increase) ? • Diversification: 40 holdings across mining, battery tech, per Global X ETF ? • Sector Leader: Exposure to Albemarle, Tesla, per Global X ETF ? Got fuel in the tank! ? (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Price volatility, current price down from last known, oversupply fears ? • Opportunities: EV sales growth, potential lithium price recovery based on demand, per IEA trends ? Can it capitalize on demand? ? (8/9) – ? AMEX:LIT ’s at $ 40.82, EV demand climbing, your take? ?️ • Bullish: Price to rise with EV surge ? • Neutral: Steady, risks balance ⚖️ • Bearish: Oversupply or other factors cap gains ? Chime in below! ? (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY ? AMEX:LIT ’s EV demand drives potential ?, but current price at $ 40.82 reflects market caution. Volatility bites, yet dips are our DCA gold ?. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
PYTH/USDT broke down from a massive head and shoulders, retested the neckline then headed back down.
The price has been ranging between support and resistance for some time. If we take a look at seasonals, we will come to know that this index faces a bearish scenario in early March, and for that, we need a couple of confluences, like the violation of the trendline, which has been intact since Oct 23. For further confirmation for our short setup we will wait till price breaks the trendline and then retest it.
- Key Insights: The SPY is showing signs of recovery after a substantial decline, bouncing off critical support around $590. Maintaining above this level is crucial for a bullish outlook. Traders should focus on the resistance at $600, as surpassing this could ignite further upward momentum. The external economic factors, including declining oil prices and fluctuations in interest rates, are providing a supportive backdrop for equities. - Price Targets: Next week targets are set at T1=$620 and T2=$630. Stop levels will be S1=$590 and S2=$583, providing a safety net for long positions while aligning with current market conditions. - Recent Performance: SPY recently faced a challenging period with six consecutive days of decline, hitting lows around $585. However, in the last sessions, it has rebounded over 1.5%, reflecting a shift in market sentiment toward a more optimistic outlook. - Expert Analysis: Analysts remain mixed on the pace of recovery, with some expecting a V-shaped rebound toward $620 by March. The consensus is that maintaining above vital support levels will be essential for sustaining bullish sentiment, while any breach below $580 could trigger further market pessimism. - News Impact: The broader market dynamics are being significantly shaped by external factors such as interest rates, which have recently declined from 4.5% to 4.23%. Additionally, falling oil prices under $70 a barrel are seen as beneficial for reducing inflationary pressures, further adding to the favorable environment for equities like SPY.
GBPJPY: Looking for a scenario like this one, where price drops to the support and bounces back up as it is still in consolidation. The decisive move downwards should happen if price reaches 190,35
- Key Insights: QQQ has shown signs of recovery but remains susceptible to volatility driven by tech stock performance. Monitoring price movements closely, especially around resistance levels, will be crucial. A breakout above $518 could signal a more sustained upward momentum, while a consolidation below might indicate prolonged caution. - Price Targets: Next week targets: T1: $518, T2: $524. Stop levels: S1: $500, S2: $495. - Recent Performance: QQQ experienced a rebound of over 1.5% recently, reflecting a reaction to previous selling pressure. However, the index, along with the Nasdaq, is still positioned below significant resistance levels, suggesting that further upward movement may face challenges. - Expert Analysis: Market experts emphasize the importance of key technical indicators and the need for QQQ to break resistance at $518 to signal potential recovery. With the Fear and Greed Index indicating "extreme fear," investor sentiment remains cautious, underscoring the need for careful observation of market trends and movements. - News Impact: Rising mortgage rates and economic concerns, particularly around inflation and potential Federal Reserve interest rate changes, have contributed to market volatility. These macroeconomic factors are critical, as they influence consumer spending and can impact technology sector valuations, which are key drivers for QQQ.