Hello everyone so this is my analysis over the past couple hours. I mean you guys can obviously see GBPUSD bullish. Let's dive a bit deeper into what's really happening... Fundamentals: I'm seeing stronger GBP data coming into focus for Friday, April 11, 2025. Recent reports show that the UK's trade figures are working in its favor—for example, the non‑EU Goods Trade Balance improved from –£7.07B to –£6.7B, and the GDP MoM for February turned positive at 0.1% (up from –0.1%). Meanwhile, the overall GB Goods Trade Balance has also slightly improved. On the U.S. side, the latest reports (like a PPI MoM at 0.2% and lower Michigan Consumer Sentiment) point to some softness. For me, these fundamentals add extra conviction to a bullish view on GBP/USD because the UK economic data is beating expectations while the U.S. signals are lagging. OHLC and Price Action: Looking over the hourly charts from today, I've observed that the price has been trading in a relatively narrow band—oscillating between about 1.286 and 1.299. Earlier in the session, there were strong upward moves (with notable gains around 10:00–11:00), but then at 15:00 I saw a pronounced pullback when the candle closed at 1.29375 after touching as high as 1.2979. Later, around 22:00, a bullish candle closed near 1.29876 with a +22.9 pips move, indicating that while buyers stepped in, the market remains choppy. This oscillation tells me that even though the long-term trend appears bullish, the near-term price action is showing signs of overextension and profit-taking. Technical Indicators: My technical indicators paint a mixed picture. On higher timeframes (1‑hour and above), moving averages like the EMA, DEMA, and KAMA confirm that the overall trend is bullish. However, key support levels—like the HT_TRENDLINE (around 1.28267) and the Stop and Reverse level (about 1.29081)—are well below the current price of approximately 1.29807. This means that, relative to these supports, the price is overextended. Other indicators, like the 1‑hour RSI (hovering near 52) and the MACD, are fairly neutral, but the ATR (around 0.005) confirms that today's volatility is higher than normal. Short-term oscillators and candlestick patterns (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars on the 15‑minute chart) become critical for spotting a reversal signal. My Overall View and Trade Strategy: Putting it all together, I’m keeping my bullish outlook on GBP/USD in the long run due to the favorable fundamental environment in the UK versus the U.S. On a technical level, however, the price appears overextended based on the OHLC action and indicator readings. I’m watching for clear reversal signals—the formation of a decisive bearish pattern around the 1.292–1.290 range would be my cue. If that happens, I’d close my current bullish trade and consider opening a short position, targeting a move down toward the 1.278–1.281 support area.
?? ? Asset: Alcoa Corporation (AA – NYSE) ? Timeframe: 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Falling Wedge Breakout + Retest ? Trade Plan – Long Position ✅ Entry Zone: $23.72 (Breakout + Retest) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $22.15 (Below support + structure low) ? Take Profit Targets: ? TP1: $25.72 – Mid-range resistance ? TP2: $28.24 – Major supply zone ? Risk-Reward Calculation ? Risk: $1.57/share ? Reward to TP2: $4.52/share ? R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.88 – Great swing potential ? Technical Highlights ? Wedge breakout with bullish momentum ✔ ? Perfect retest near confluence zone ✔ ? Volume spike confirms breakout intent ✔ ? Trendline flip as dynamic support ? ? Risk Management Strategy ? Move SL to breakeven after TP1 ? Book 50% gains at TP1 ? Let runners target TP2 ⚠️ Setup Invalidation If: ❌ Price breaks and closes below $22.15 ❌ Fakeout trap with volume divergence ❌ Weak continuation on breakout ? Final Thoughts ✔ Momentum-backed breakout play ✔ Ideal for swing traders with tight risk ✔ Clean structure, clear zones — classic ProfittoPath setup ? #AlcoaTrade #BreakoutSetup #ProfittoPath #SmartMoney #SwingTrading #NYSE #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartSetup #RiskReward #BullishReversal
USD/CAD bears will be eyeing a meaningful downside flush with the pair breaking and closing beneath the 200-day moving average on Thursday, hitting fresh year-to-date lows in the process. The price now finds itself below 1.3947, the high set in August last year. The break may encourage others to join the bearish move, generating a setup where shorts could be established with a stop placed above the level for protection. 1.38115 screens as an initial target, with other minor levels such as 1.3748, 1.3700 and 1.3647 also in play. Momentum indicators favour retaining a bearish bias, with RSI (14) trending strongly lower but not yet oversold. MACD further bolsters the bearish signal. If the price were to reverse back above the 200DMA, the overall bearish bias would be invalidated. Good luck! DS
We have a strong support line. Target $51.39 (02.2026). Gain 35% from now (04.10.25, $37.78). ----- Dividend 3.92%. IMO (Amateur trader).
Gold closed yesterday with a daily increase of more than $100. This kind of single-day increase is extremely rare in more than 10 years. With a rise of $200 in two trading days, the market has been extremely crazy. On Thursday, gold hit a new high in the US market. Market sentiment completely followed the tariff war. Technical analysis has become invalid. We can only control risks and reduce positions to operate. The gold price stood on the middle track and the short-term moving average 5MA, that is, 3030-3040, and the closing price was just above the MA10 daily line. In today's Asian session, gold continued to rise strongly relying on the MA10 daily line, and the current highest has reached 3220. With such a strong impact, the rapid decline of the daily line in three trading days has turned into a bottoming out and rebound. It is still a bull correction to continue to break highs, but because of the impact of the tariff war, the amplitude and time have accelerated. According to the previous large increase, if the bulls continue to be emotional, the next position will be 3300. Gold has risen strongly, continuously setting new historical highs, and the bulls are strong! At the 4-hour level, the support level has moved up. The 1-hour moving average of gold has formed a golden cross upward bullish arrangement, indicating that gold bulls still have the power to rise further. At present, the price of gold has set a new record high, and it is not advisable to rush to chase the rise at this time. The short-term operation strategy can wait for the price to fall back, and after stabilizing below, combine the support level to go long. Today, the highest price of gold in the Asian session has risen to 3220, and the demand for risk aversion has increased. Most people have a high degree of attention and willingness to buy gold. Judging from the trend of the market, gold has stabilized at the previous high of 3167, and the bullish trend has been continued. The daily increase of gold in the past few days has exceeded 100 US dollars. I believe that the increase in the price of gold today will not be too small, and today's gold is expected to further move towards the 3300 mark. Wait for a correction during the session and go long! Key points: First support: 3200, second support: 3185, third support: 3170 First resistance: 3223, second resistance: 3236, third resistance: 3250 Operation ideas: Buy: 3177-3180, SL: 3168, TP: 3200-3210; Sell: 3233-3236, SL: 3245, TP: 3210-3200;
ENS ~ 4D Analysis #ENS Buy gradually from here if you still have a Conviction on this coin with a short -term target of at least 15%+.
Prior plunges below this custom weekly Keltner channel have a good track record of highlighting buying opportunities. In simile terms.. when markets plunge too much and too fast, a great accumulation occurs with wild oscillations. After the accumulation will come a "disbelief rally" where the market will continue to rip higher in a concave down curve to the previous 52 week high leaving market participants in disbelief that we didn't retest the plunge levels again. Each dip in this "disbelief rally" becomes a great opportunity for long-style trades.
According to my technical analysis + Political causes of US trade policies and tarrifs uncertanties, which brought to losing in trust of partners and invesors to the current US administration, due to Trump's market manipulations. My thoughts: it is should happen within next 1-3 days. Buckle up! :)
Maybe, VZ completed the cup and handle pattern. Now, waiting break out of the resistant at 43.19 one more time, then retest, then uptrend. Target $59.45 Now, $42.92 (04.10.2025). IMO amateur trader.
Description: The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) has formed a symmetrical triangle on the 15-minute timeframe, indicating a consolidation phase after a 5.4% drop. The price is near the triangle's apex, suggesting that a significant directional move is imminent. Here are the key levels and possible scenarios: Bullish Scenario: Entry: Breakout above 18,500 on volume. Target: 19,710.8 (138% Fibonacci). Stop Loss: 17,800. R/R: 1:2. Bearish Scenario: Entry: Breakout below 17,800 on volume. Target: 17,341.3 (138% Fibonacci). Stop Loss: 18,300. R/R: 1:1.5. Key Levels: Resistance: 19,710.8. Support: 17,341.3. Intermediate Zones: 18,500 (resistance) and 17,500 (support). Considerations: Monitor volume during the breakout to confirm the breakout. Review macroeconomic events (interest rates, inflation data) and tech company earnings, as the NASDAQ is sensitive to these factors. Technology market sentiment will be key in determining the direction. Warning: Trade at your own risk and ensure you have an appropriate risk management plan. Share your opinion in the comments! Tags: #NASDAQ #NAS100 #SymmetricTriangle #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis