The pattern seems to repeat. Again, we had a HAGOPIAN, which sais, that price goes back more than from where it came, and this rule was right. Up in here, I'm not that confident anymore that price will reach the Centerline. But, it's not about what I think, or how confident I'm are. I just have to follow my Strategy and act according to the Rules, the trading framework of the Medianlines. That said, we either shoot up on earnings, or we definitely tank down. For now, there is no trade, only a Gamble. I rarely gamble, so I'll sit on the sidelines and let it happen whatever will come out on earnings. As for a Lotto-Ticket, I would buy some Puts and just have fun to watch how they get burned, or how I get a Christmas Moment in the beginning of the new year §8-)
GBP/USD continues its short-term uptrend, trading steadily around 1.2600 during Friday’s session. The bullish momentum is mainly driven by positive UK economic data and a slightly weaker USD, allowing the British pound to maintain its recovery. From a fundamental perspective, the UK labor market remains stable. The unemployment rate holds at 4.4%, while employment increased by 107,000 in the last three months of 2024. These strong figures reinforce expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) may continue its cautious monetary policy, rather than rushing to cut interest rates like the Federal Reserve (Fed). From a technical analysis standpoint, the bullish trend remains intact as GBP/USD trades within an ascending price channel and above the EMA 34 and 89, indicating that buying pressure remains dominant. Currently, GBP/USD is testing a key resistance level at 1.2600. If it breaks above this zone, the next targets will be 1.2650 - 1.2700.
Hello, I am the professional trader Andrea Russo and today I want to answer a question that is frequently asked: "Can you get to 100 thousand euros starting from just 500 euros?" The answer, as we will see, depends on several factors, but above all on the strategy you choose to adopt, on risk management and on the discipline in respecting the investment rules. In this article, we will look at a specific strategy, a sort of "daydream" that, although theoretically possible, also involves a series of risks to be considered very carefully. Imagine starting with a capital of 500 euros. The strategy that I will explain provides that each successful investment will lead to a 30% gain on the invested capital, while each wrong operation will result in a 10% loss. In essence, if the market goes in your favor, you will earn 30% on the invested capital, but if things go badly, you will lose 10%. If applied correctly, this strategy could lead to significant earnings over time, but let's make some assessments. The strategy of earning 30% on each positive trade is based on the "magic of compound numbers", that is, on the fact that, every time you earn, you earn on an increasingly higher basis, thus increasing the invested capital. If you maintain a good rate of winning trades, the capital will grow exponentially over time. How many earnings do you need to get to 100 thousand euros? To calculate how many trades it will take to get to 100,000 euros, we can use the exponential growth formula. If we start with 500 euros and want to know how many winning trades at 30% we need to get to 100,000 euros, we can do the following calculation: 500 is the initial capital. 1.30 is the multiplier for each winning trade (30% earnings). n is the number of trades needed. Solving the equation, we get that n is approximately 17 consecutive winning trades (approximate). Therefore, you will need to make at least 17 consecutive successful trades, without any losses, to get to 100,000 euros. Dangers of the strategy Although the numbers may seem promising, it is important to remember that the market is not predictable and that not all trades will be winners. Furthermore, the 30% gains and 10% losses are hypothetical and do not take into account other factors, such as trading commissions, slippage, and market volatility. Here are some of the main dangers associated with this strategy: Volatility and risk of loss: The 10% loss per mistake, even if small, can quickly accumulate in a drawdown period. For example, after 5 losing trades, the capital could be drastically reduced. Psychological complexity: Maintaining discipline in such a volatile trading environment is one of the most difficult challenges for any trader. There is always a temptation to “catch up” losses or make riskier trades to increase profits, which can undermine the effectiveness of the strategy. Market Unpredictability: The market is never linear. Winning trades are not guaranteed, and even with a well-structured strategy, it is possible to find yourself in a prolonged drawdown period that puts the solidity of the plan at risk. Capital Management: The Heart of the Strategy The real secret of this strategy is not so much in earning 30%, but in protecting your capital and limiting losses. Capital management is essential to any type of trading, and it is what separates successful traders from those who fail. Here are some key principles for effective capital management: Position Size: Do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital on any one trade. This allows you to survive even a long period of consecutive losses, without compromising your capital. Stop loss and take profit: Use stop loss to limit losses and take profit to cash in profits when the market moves in your favor. Don't expect the market to go up forever, but set clear goals. Controlling emotions: Being able to stay calm, even when facing losses, is essential. Greed and fear are a trader's worst enemies, so keeping a clear mind is the key to long-term success. Diversification: Don't put all your capital on a single asset or trade. Diversification helps reduce overall risk. Conclusions In summary, yes, it is theoretically possible to get to 100 thousand euros starting from 500 euros, but it is not easy at all. Success in trading does not only depend on the percentages of gain or loss, but also on the ability to manage capital and stay calm in difficult phases. Happy trading.
Over the past few weeks, the EUR/USD currency pair has shifted its direction and gained around 300 pips in an upward movement. This rally led to the formation of a Double Top pattern slightly above the 1.05 level. As a result, the price is currently experiencing a pullback. We anticipate that this decline could extend further downward, with the potential to test the 1.04 region. This level coincides with the key 38% Fibonacci retracement, a historically strong support zone that has influenced price action in previous instances. Given the prevailing bullish momentum, we are inclined to enter a long trade once the price reaches this support area. Our bias is reinforced by the presence of a Golden Cross, a widely recognized technical indicator that signals a buying opportunity. However, to maximize our risk-to-reward ratio, we prefer to wait for the price to retrace toward the 38% Fibonacci level before executing a buy order. Once the trade is triggered, our target will be positioned above the 1.05 resistance zone, aiming to capture the next bullish wave. This approach ensures a strategic entry while leveraging strong technical signals to optimize trade performance.
Key Insights: #ADA has been in a strong downtrend after breaking a key support level and is now forming a harmonic pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This could signal an upcoming move—but will it be a continuation or a reversal? Let's analyze! Current Market Structure: ? Downtrend intact after breaking key support ? Harmonic pattern forming—potential reversal zone ? Key level to watch: If #ADA breaks and closes below the current support, it could trigger a strong bearish move Trading Plan: ? Bearish Confirmation: If #ADA closes a candle below support, we will look for a short entry with proper risk management ? Bullish Scenario: A fakeout and reclaim above support could lead to a strong bounce—watch for reversal signs! Your Thoughts? What’s your bias? Are you taking this short setup, or do you see a reversal coming? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Let’s discuss! If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE ?, COMMENT ?, and FOLLOW for more insights!
USDCAD is likely to continue its downward trend following a retest of a previously broken support level. Additionally, a bearish flag pattern was formed with a breakout below a support line, further indicating a potential decrease in price. It is anticipated that the price will soon reach the 1.4161 to 1.4139 level.
Technically on AUD/CHF, I am in a Sell/Short Position. You guys can take trade and manage risk accordingly.
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst Latin America divestment plan Telefónica has put its subsidiary in Uruguay, valued at up to $400 million, up for sale. This move is in line with its divestment strategy in Latin America, where it also plans to sell assets in Argentina and Mexico. The Uruguayan subsidiary, based in Montevideo, is facing a loss of customers due to competition from Claro and state-owned Antel. The company hopes to attract bids for a small market with declining revenues but high investment demands. Key assets and business value Telefónica Uruguay's most valuable assets are its mobile frequency licenses, which cover the 850 MHz, 700 MHz and 1,900 MHz bands, essential for 2G, 3G, 4G and 5G services. Movistar Uruguay stands out as the largest private operator in the country, with 1.4 million customers and 97% coverage of the territory. Estimates suggest that the sale value would range between US$350 million and US$400 million, a figure similar to the offer it received three years ago from Supercanal-Arlink (now Super), although unsuccessful at the time. Fierce competition and loss of customers. Movistar Uruguay faces strong competition. In recent months, it has lost 32,750 net lines, while Claro has gained 38,000 lines and Antel, although with a slight negative balance, maintains its market leadership. According to URSEC data, Movistar ranks second in the Uruguayan mobile market with a 29% share, compared to 49% for Antel and 22% for Claro. Declining revenues and market challenges The Uruguayan mobile market is experiencing a slowdown, with subscriptions stagnating since the end of 2023. Movistar Uruguay also offers business services, backed by more than 70 stores, 1,300 employees and more than 5,000 suppliers and partners. However, competitive pressures and high investment costs limit growth. Regional outlook and next steps Beyond Uruguay, Telefónica faces similar challenges in other Latin American markets. In Mexico, the company is looking for a buyer for a business that generates 960 million euros, but with low profit margins due to the high proportion of prepaid customers. In Colombia, the sale process is in its final phase, with Millicom as the main interested party. In addition, the situation in Peru is critical after Movistar Peru filed for insolvency proceedings, forcing Telefónica to guarantee services for 13 million customers. Telefónica continues to consolidate its position in key markets such as Brazil, while redefining its strategy in other Latin American territories to optimize its profitability and business focus. Telefónica Analysis Since the end of 2022 the company has been looking to recover its share price by having an upward cycle. June and October 2024 were two occasions where it sought to pierce the 4.6 euros without success. This data with the RSI currently at 60.87% overbought indicates that the price could bounce towards the current control point (POC) at 3.960 euros. If the company continues to recover positions we could see another new attempt to reach 4.6 in this quarter's income statement. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Colleagues, I expect that price has not yet completed the upward movement. Judging by the nature of the last waves - this is a big correction “ABC” and at the moment wave “C” should update the maximum. Therefore, I expect to reach the area of 1.05712. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USD strength caused another EURUSD pullback to the weekly swing low. On the daily, we could be forming an M structure for further downside. The safest sell entries are below 1.04271, but aggressive traders could enter now with yesterday’s high as the stop. The intraday target remains 1.02700, where we may see momentum for a further break. Keeping an eye on how price reacts to key levels before committing to larger positions.