? Options GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights – MSFT: ? PUT Domination Increasing * Highest negative GEX sits around 380–375, making this a critical gamma support zone where dealers are heavily hedged long gamma. * If MSFT breaks below 380, expect amplified sell pressure as dealers adjust hedges, possibly triggering a quick flush to 360, where another GEX wall sits. ? CALL Walls Stack at Resistance * CALL Walls are stacked between 395, 397.5, and 400, forming a firm gamma ceiling. * The highest positive net GEX resides near 395–400, making upward movement difficult unless IV spikes and hedging flips. ? GEX Sentiment Summary: * IVR: 50.3 → Volatility expectations remain moderate. * IVx: 35.3, trending –7.75% lower, suggests option pricing is cooling — but this can rapidly reverse if support fails. * PUTs dominate at 35.8%, implying dealers are short gamma and could accelerate moves if price breaks either direction — especially down. ? GEX Game Plan: * Below 380: Watch for a sharp selloff toward 375, then 360 if flow intensifies. * Above 390: Limited upside until 395–400 clears — CALL resistance is thick, expect rejection unless news or volume surge. ?️ Technical Analysis – 1H Chart (Supports the GEX View) https://www.tradingview.com/x/eUYF83Fw/ * Trendline Breakdown: Price has slipped below a rising wedge, and EMAs are flattening out — bearish. * VWAP Rejection: Price is struggling under VWAP, showing institutional sell pressure. * MACD: Flat but negative, trending under zero — no momentum shift yet. * RSI: Below 45 and falling — still no divergence or strength building. Support/Resistance Key Levels: * Support: 380 (first GEX wall), 375 (heavy PUT support), then 360 (final wall). * Resistance: 390 (VWAP area), 395–400 (dense CALL walls). ? Final Thoughts: MSFT is coiling near a high-risk gamma zone. With dealers holding heavy short gamma below 380 and no clear bullish reclaim on the chart, downside remains open. Bulls need to reclaim 390+ fast — or risk a gamma-led liquidation flush to 375 or lower. This is a GEX-driven chart — the technicals merely confirm what options flow already warns: the path of least resistance is likely down, unless a surprise reversal ignites above 390. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm setups with price action.
We have come into an important demand zone. I am expecting price to rally long here.
GBPUSD has recently broken above its April 3, 2025 peak of 1.3207, which we identified as wave (1) in the chart. This breakout signals a bullish trend starting from the January 13, 2025 low of 1.2705, suggesting more upward movement ahead. The rally from this low follows a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern. This is a common structure in technical analysis indicating a strong trend. Starting from the January 13 low, the first wave or wave (1) reached 1.3207.,A pullback in wave (2) then followed which ended at 1.2705. This pullback formed a zigzag pattern. Wave A dropped to 1.2823, wave B rose to 1.2934, and wave C fell to 1.2705, completing wave (2). The pair has now moved higher into wave (3). From the wave (2) low, the first sub-wave (wave ((i))) peaked at 1.2864, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to 1.274. The third sub-wave (wave ((iii))) climbed to 1.314, and the fourth (wave ((iv))) dipped to 1.3027. The fifth sub-wave (wave ((v))) is expected to finish soon, completing wave 1 of a larger pattern. After this, the pair is likely to pull back in wave 2, correcting the upward move from the April 8, 2025 low. This correction could unfold in 3, 7, or 11 smaller swings before the pair resumes its upward trend. In the short term, as long as the 1.27 low holds, any dips should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, supporting further gains.
Price consolidated/accumulated at 0.7400 which ultimately made a bearish move. The momentum was so strong that it ignored the level. Price is looking to grab the discount zone before going bullish.
SBSW, GROY, and LUCMF, all relatively well known PM related equities are near all time lows, while gold continues making new highs, present with a great deal of upside and minimal downside
Grok, the chatbot from Elon Musk’s AI company, xAI, has gained a canvas-like feature for editing and creating documents and basic apps. Called Grok Studio, the feature was announced on X late Tuesday. It’s available for both free and paying Grok users on Grok.com “Grok can now generate documents, code, reports, and browser games,” wrote […]
Society isn't crumbling yet.... We'll get there sure enough, but as for now, there is still plenty of spoils to be had.
Dissecting Institutional Accumulation on XRP speculating a move towards $3...
Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.3260, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.3166, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be placed at 1.3368, above the 127.2% Fibo extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (https://tradu.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (https://tradu.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (https://tradu.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NVDA is one of the key players in the A.I. revolution, but it looks like it is going to get caught up in the macro news and the China trade war. The chart below is my general plan on NVDA going forward.