Just putting my personal view based on market information and minimum speculation. I hope my warning of a crash in my last post was useful I rely heavily on volume profile and market geometry and of course my indicator( check it out: HiLo Ema squeeze bands) I expect the market to fall to 4820 (about 61.8% fib level) to fill some volume gap, also 2022 peak, do a small a-b-c bottom and then rally back up to say 5450 ish, if some good news is heard. This would be just a bear rally But I believe, Trump has opened a pandora's box and the market is still not aware of the full impact of it, or maybe it did realise and hence the crash 16% of USA budget is used for interest payment. If inflation rises and China and Japan keep selling treasuries, the bonds will go down. Not to speak of some major hedge funds like Citadel and banks holding trillions in treasury bond would increase their unrealised losses on bonds. But the stock market fall will force them to liquidate the bonds realise the loss, unless Fed buys the bonds back, which they will as always. That would be QE and the next bull run will begin. The banks have been holding the bonds since covid. Remember Silico Valley bank going burst! That was a sample. Fed has managed to clicked the can down the road long, but Trumps policies will send the can in Fed's face A financial liquidity baby seeded by Fed and Biden Adm during covid is about to take birth soon as financial crisis I am bearish till Fed announces QE
Of course, it is still bullish as long as above 76k. But with monthly TF showed sign of reversal, I expect BTC fake bounce before it drop. No confirmation till it breaks 76k and candle close below in weekly. Time will tell, risk is high for both short and long if u are swing trading. I want to see btc bounce back 90k to 92k before it drop.
Confirmation: Market Structure: The chart highlights a first weekly lower high and first weekly lower low, reinforcing a bearish trend. Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG): Could serve as an additional target for the price. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): The trade appears to have a favourable RRR, with an optimal entry around D. 1. Long Position (Counter-Trend Trade from C to D) Trade Setup: Entry: At point C, around the 0.882 Fibonacci retracement level. Stop Loss: Below point A, ensuring protection against further downside. Take Profit: TP1: 38.2% retracement of the C-D leg. TP2: 61.8% retracement of the C-D leg. TP3: Full extension to point D (0.786 - 0.886 Fibonacci level). Confluences for the Long Position: ✔ Bullish reaction at 0.882 retracement (potential demand zone). ✔ Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) below adds liquidity, possibly supporting the price. ✔ Favorable risk-to-reward ratio (RRR). 2. Short Position (Bearish Reversal from D) Trade Setup: Entry: Around point D (between 0.786 - 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level). Stop Loss: Above point X (invalidates the bearish Gartley setup). Take Profit: TP1: 61.8% retracement of the D-C leg. TP2: B-point level. TP3: Full retracement back to A (major structure level). Confluences for the Short Position: ✔ Bearish Gartley completion at D. ✔ Key Fibonacci confluence at 0.786 - 0.886 retracement. ✔ Market structure suggests a lower high in a downtrend (weekly bearish trend continuation). Pattern Type: Bearish Gartley Key Levels: X to A: Initial impulse move A to B: Retracement to 61.8% Fibonacci level B to C: Retraces deeper, around 88.2% Fibonacci level C to D: Final leg completing at the 78.6% to 88.6% Fibonacci level
Just my humbled opinion based on what I see for CRYPTOCAP:BTC based on the daily chart. We will be using the 50 & 200 DMA to help with our overall idea as to what could be next for CRYPTOCAP:BTC 50-Day Moving Average (50-DMA): The 50-DMA is currently sloping downward and positioned above the current price, indicating potential resistance and a bearish short-term trend. 200-Day Moving Average (200-DMA): The 200-DMA is also sloping downward and has been doing so since March 29, 2025, reflecting a weakening long-term trend. The current price is below both the 50-DMA and the 200-DMA, suggesting a bearish sentiment. A "Death Cross," where the 50-DMA crosses below the 200-DMA, is approaching, which is typically considered a bearish signal. Considering the downward slopes of both moving averages, the price being below both MAs, and the potential formation of a Death Cross, the current sentiment for Bitcoin appears bearish. Bitcoin had a 30% correction take place since reaching its ATH. Here on my chart you will see key support zones along with key resistance zones as well as exact pricing of where the zones are located. Most are looking for a place to store wealth at this current moment, I suggest if you don't know how to trade, it would be wise to hold your cash & wait until the overall market settles. I do want to leave you with a question and if you could please respond in the comments. With tariff news looming daily, Bitcoin dominance is beginning to fall. Do you feel based on what has taken place in stocks & crypto, ALT coins will rise? or will we be entering a bear market all together? Thank you for your time! JEREMY FLANAGAN -DGD
Hey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! ? What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. https://www.tradingview.com/x/aVeVgSeN/ ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. https://www.tradingview.com/x/C4QY64nH/ ?️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. ?Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
I have drawn a resistance or demand zone with the red box to show yesterday's sell off during the Asian and London sessions. You can see some of the price action matching with the technical indicators. There was some moderate news yesterday that was forecasted as slightly volatile at 1:00 am Vancouver time, regarding the EUR. This news was regarding the ECB's De Guindos Speaking. Thank you please follow me for more market analysis. @ilyaskhan.1994
Potential to bounce from here for the next couple of months. After bounce, if it comes back to the current level, then it could be a sign of crash. All the best !!
This chart is very similar and makes sense with anti elon rhetoric.
AIXBT ~ 1D Analysis #AIXBT Buy gradually after successfully penetrating this resistant line with a short -term target of at least 15
Hello traders, Taking a closer look at the SPX500 and discussing whether the market has found a bottom or if there’s further downside ahead. From a technical perspective, price action is still showing signs of weakness, with critical support levels yet to be tested. Key Technical Points: • Bearish Expansion: A key swing high formed before price broke structure with a volatile bearish move, ending a year-long bullish pattern. • Confluence Support at 4779: This level aligns with the value area high, 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and a high timeframe support zone. • Next Target if Support Fails: If 4779 is lost, the point of control (POC) becomes the next downside target. The recent bearish expansion suggests a shift in market sentiment. Although the 4779 region could offer a technical bounce, it is crucial to wait for confirmation. A strong reaction from this level may provide short-term relief, but without follow-through, it could be short-lived. If this support zone breaks, we may see an accelerated move towards the POC, which would confirm a deeper correction. This would likely spill over into other global markets, potentially triggering a broader risk-off environment. Given the current high volatility, it’s essential to let the market find equilibrium before making any major trading decisions. Patience and precision are key—wait for the next move to be backed by volume and structure before stepping in.