Previous string of ideas has been invalidated following last week's price action. The US 10-year yield completely crashed through the support at 4.40% last week following a host of strong data prints from the US coupled with a wave of risk-off investor sentiment stoked by Trump’s tariff fears which had investors rushing to the safety of US treasuries. Could Trump’s hardline tariff stance perhaps be a way to create demand for US debt? Technically the yields have now dropped into oversold territory which strengthens the support between 4.13% and 4.17% however continued volatility in the equity markets will allow the US treasury market to attract more interest which could allow for a deeper move towards the 38.2% Fibo retracement at 4.04%. The headlining events for this week is the ECB interest rate meeting and the NFPs for February. Market expectations are for the ECB to cut rates from 2.9% to 2.65%. The ECB has held a more dovish stance than the Fed since the rate cutting cycle began and if it’s more of the same on Thursday, I expect the US 10-year yield to find more demand to hold onto levels below the critical 200-day MA at 2.43%. Most of the focus will however be on the US non-farm payroll print for February. The NFPs print for January came in slightly lower than expected and another weak print on Friday will have investors question the validity of Powell’s statement that the US economy is strong and that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates. A weak NFP print will thus be positive for the US treasury bulls.
? GBP/AUD 15M ? Price Action Overview: ? Strong supply zone at 2.02700 - 2.03193 ? Break of Structure (BOS) confirms bearish momentum ? Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests imbalance fill ? Trading Bias: ? Expecting price to respect the supply zone and drop ? Targeting liquidity zones at 2.02045 - 2.01788 ? Potential Reversal Zone: Watch for reaction near FVG #GBPAUD #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlocks #LiquidityGrab #BreakOfStructure #FVG #ForexTrading #PriceAction
? The GBPCAD has been in a strong bullish trend, reaching into previous highs on the daily timeframe—a key liquidity zone! ? This is a crucial area where smart money may take profits or induce a retracement before the next move. ? Given that price is currently overextended, I’m not looking to buy at these highs. Instead, I’ll be watching for a potential pullback into an unresolved imbalance, where we could see a high-probability long setup—if price action confirms the move. ? ? Patience is key in trading. Chasing price at extreme levels often leads to significant losses. I’ll be waiting for the right conditions to align before looking for an opportunity. ⚠️ Not financial advice. Always trade responsibly! ? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below.. ?
Price is trending bullish after it hit the button level of 1.47808 a anticipate a bullish price movement to continue away from the current market price. A bullish breakout is expected from the highs of 1.501450
ETC/BTC looks primed for a bottom, expected pump to reach 2021 etc/btc ratio high.
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Heute Nacht wurden die Oscars verliehen. Einer der Hauptpreise ist der Preis für die Beste Regie, der von Quentin Tarantino persönlich übergeben wurde.
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Current Market Position The speaker is analyzing Amazon's stock performance, noting that since August 2024, Amazon has been in an upward channel pattern. While the price action hasn't been consistently dominant on the upside, the support line of this channel has been particularly reliable. Key Support and Resistance Levels - **Critical support level**: $216.57 - **Recent resistance**: $219.62 (approximately $220) - **Lower support level**: $204.79 ## Recent Price Action Amazon's stock recently experienced the following movements: - Rallied after touching the $216.57 support level - Later broke below this support - Reached around $233 before falling back to $216.57 - Created a higher high on a second attempt upward - Eventually broke below both the $216.57 level and the supporting trend line that had been in place since August - Found buyers around $204.79 - Rebounded to pierce through $216.57 again, reaching approximately $220 - Fell back to the $216.57 level - Importantly, has now created a higher low, which the speaker considers significant ## Bullish Outlook The speaker believes Amazon stock currently has a bullish sentiment. For this bullish trend to continue, three key conditions need to be met: 1. Breaking above $216.57 2. Breaking above $219.62 3. Breaking through the downtrend on the technical indicators If these conditions are met, the speaker anticipates upward momentum with a double bottom formation, potentially moving beyond the $220-237 range. ## Bearish Alternative If the stock fails to break through these levels and instead hits the back end of the supporting channel trend line (shown as a black line in their analysis), the speaker believes a significant downward movement could occur. ## Conclusion The speaker sees a good opportunity to enter a trade now to potentially capture upward momentum, especially if the stock moves past the identified resistance levels. They believe momentum will be strong if the stock can clear these hurdles.
? XAU/USD Smart Money Analysis – 15M Timeframe ? Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed ? Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Identified ? Key Demand & Supply Zones Mapped ? Bearish Outlook Before Potential Reversal: ? Supply Zones: ? 2885-2886 ? 2867-2872 ? Demand Zones: ? 2812-2817 ⚡ Trading Plan: ? Watch for price reaction at demand zones ? Look for bullish confirmation before entering long positions ? Possible short opportunities if price rejects key supply zones #Fxforever #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab