? General Context Gold (XAU/USD) is currently at a pivotal moment after completing a 5-wave impulsive sequence, suggesting that we may be about to enter a major corrective phase. The structure observed is an impulsive wave (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5), which is typically followed by an ABC correction or a complex correction, depending on the larger context. ? Wave Structure and Technical Projection Wave (5) Completed: The end of wave (5) has clearly been marked, suggesting short-term buyer exhaustion. This paves the way for a corrective movement that, based on wave projections, could seek much lower levels. Critical Supply Zone: Between $3,453.01 and $3,504.89, there is an important supply zone. This area could act as resistance in a potential final bullish impulse to form an expanded "Flat" or "Running Flat" corrective structure. Downside Projection (Wave 4 of Major Degree): First support levels: $3,239.99 (intermediate validation level) $3,147.28 (previous structure) Final projected correction target: $2,866.94, coinciding with a strong demand zone and relevant technical support. ? Technical Narrative The price has been in a strongly bullish trend, but after completing a clear impulsive structure and approaching a significant supply zone, a significant correction is anticipated. This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory, complemented by Fibonacci levels and institutional supply/demand zones. The projection suggests that gold could make a final rally to $3,450-$3,500, and from there initiate a deep correction toward the $2,866 area, where there is a technical support confluence. ? Key Levels to Watch Type Level 3,504.89 Supply Zone (maximum resistance) 3,453.01 Supply Zone (start) 3,239.99 Bearish Validation Level 3,147.28 Intermediate Support 2,866.94 Correction Target (potential buy zone) ? Conclusion The current structure suggests a high probability of a correction in gold after this strong bullish momentum. The most likely scenario is a correction toward $2,866, an area that could offer a new medium-term buying opportunity if validated by price action. ?️ Recommended follow-up to confirm reversal patterns and manage risk in case of trading this potential correction. ? Trade Plan (Short) ? Ideal Sell Zone: Between $3,453.01 and $3,504.89 (institutional supply zone) Look for reversal patterns (bearish engulfing candles, pin bars, M-patterns, RSI/MACD divergences) ? Suggested Entry: Step-level entry between $3,460 and $3,500 ? Stop Loss: Above $3,550 (last previous high + protection) ? Take Profits: TP1: $3,239.99 TP2: $3,147.28 TPF: $2,866.94 ? Estimated Risk/Reward: R:B from 1:4 to 1:6, depending on management and execution ? Strategy Alternative (Conservative) Wait for confirmation of a bearish structure (such as a double top or a breakout of the previous low) before entering, with a tighter stop but less exposure. ? Trading Summary Value Element Entry $3,460 – $3,500 (supply zone) Stop Loss > $3,550 TP1 $3,239.99 TP2 $3,147.28 TP Final $2,866.94 ? Do you like this approach? Do you have a different count? Share it in the comments! #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingPlan #Wave4 #ShortSetup #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #SupplyZone #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingIdeas
KPI green gave triangle breakout Very low risk with very high reward Risk to Reward 1:19 which is never seen before. Buy - 425 Stoploss - mention in chart Target - mention in chart
Im not saying that its something, but it sure as hell isnt nothing. The last time this happened the price rose significantly. Thsi should happen over the next 24-48 hours so, we'll see. Not financial advice
a buy to sell model...this is my analysis on nzdusd...im anticipating a massive selling..dyor btw...lets see how it plays out
Entry conditions: (i) higher share price for ASX:RGN along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI, and (ii) observation of market reaction at the potential resistance level at $2.23 (from the open of 10th April) after closing above 50 day and 200 day MAs. Stop loss for the trade would be, dependent on risk tolerance: (i) a close below the 50 day moving average (currently $2.11), or (ii) below the support level from the open of 13th January (i.e.: below $2.06), or (iii) below the support level from the open of 17th March (i.e.: below $2.03).
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- I think that everything used in chart analysis should be objective so that everyone can understand it. If not, I think that if we start complaining about the different interpretations used in chart analysis, the essence may be damaged. Therefore, I am trying to present a method that anyone can understand and draw in the same way. In that sense, I have talked about the method of drawing trendlines several times. Today, I will explain additional parts that were not covered in the previous drawing methods. To set it like the StochRSI indicator on this chart, - Source value: ohlc4 - Setting value: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D) You can set it like this. - https://www.tradingview.com/x/EA5VoEwM/ A trend line is literally a line drawn to find out the trend. It can also be used to predict how the current trend will change in the future. However, since a trend line is drawn for chart analysis, what we need to draw importantly is the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. - The trend line currently drawn is as follows. Trend line (1): Trend line between lows drawn on 1W chart Trend line (2), (6): Trend line between lows drawn on 1D chart Trend line (3), (4): Trend line between highs drawn on 1D chart Trend line (5): Trend line drawn on 1M chart Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (1). Similarly, in order to continue the uptrend in the long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (5). - The trend line is drawn by connecting the points between the highs or lows of the StochRSI indicator. The StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case. However, when creating waves, you should consider that the points necessary for drawing the trend line have been formed by touching the overbought and oversold areas and draw them. Therefore, the points of the A and B sections of the StochRSI indicator are ambiguous points for drawing trend lines. The solution to these points is the same as the trend line drawn above. That is, the trend line is operated by connecting the points of the A section or the B section based on the last point created by touching the overbought or oversold section. At this time, the important thing is that it must have escaped the overbought or oversold section. The trend line (3) and trend line (4) drawn in this way form an expansion channel. Therefore, once the decline begins, you can see that there is a possibility of a large decline. However, as I mentioned earlier, the trend line was drawn to analyze the chart. Therefore, you need to check the importance of the support and resistance points drawn in the area to see if it will actually lead to a decline. Currently, the important support and resistance range from a short-term perspective is 76322.42-78595.86. And, from a medium- to long-term perspective, the important support and resistance range is 69000-73499.86. Therefore, even if it falls below trend line (4) and shows a large decline, it is expected that it will not be easy to touch trend line (3). - Trend line (2) and trend line (6) are trend lines drawn between low points on the 1D chart. Therefore, even if it falls, it is highly likely that the area around trend line (6) will be the maximum. In other words, even if the decline begins, it is highly likely that it will re-confirm the support around 76322.42-78595.86. - In any case, this volatility period ended without any significant movement. The next volatility period is around April 25-29. Since the StochRSI indicator is clearly showing a downward trend in the overbought zone, the key is whether there is support around 83423.84-84591.59. If the price is maintained above the 1D chart, there is a high possibility of maintaining a short-term uptrend. However, from a trading perspective, it should show support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart to be a trading period. Therefore, whether there is support near 89294.25 is important. - Therefore, we are troubled. Should we buy when it is supported in the current zone, 83423.84-84591.59, or should we buy when it is supported near 89294.25? If the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it falls below the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to buy. If you look at the chart again with this information, you can decide that it is better to wait a little longer rather than proceed with the current transaction. - In the previous idea, I said that if it rises to around 89294.25, there will be a psychological feeling that it will rise further, and you will try to make a breakout trade. At this time, what we should be interested in is whether the trend line between the lows and the trend line between the highs are formed in the same direction. And, whether the StochRSI indicator shows an upward trend below the 50 point. If it does not show such a movement, it is highly likely that it will shake up and down with a large fluctuation range. Therefore, it is absolutely necessary to check whether it is supported near 89294.25. Checking support and resistance is a tedious and difficult task. Checking support and resistance requires checking the movement for at least 1-3 days. - The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point range. Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it can be interpreted that it has fallen back to the low point. Therefore, in order for an uptrend to begin, the trading volume must increase when confirming support near the HA-Low indicator. If the trading volume does not increase and it rises, it may not rise much and turn into a downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
It is somewhat trying to fit but struggling indeed. Any ideas?
Confluences: -Monthly Fib Ratios have all been tested, priced has reached the -1.3618 FIB TP range. (Strong indicator of a reversal since it's a peak of the entire move since Sept 2022 (3 years) -RSI is in overbought territory if we compare it to the left side of the historical moves which happened (Look at the blue line) -Fundamentals maybe in favor of profit taking and tariffs issues cooling down in the weeks to come which could signify that we are at the top of the bullish move. -Wait for confirmations and engulfing candle to paint on the chart which indicates strong selling pressure before taking any trades. -Buying at ATH prices, will not be recommended for now since late buyers clouded in FOMO often end up losing their money if this sells off aggressively Cheers
? Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Pending confirmation) Bias: Bullish – expecting breakout to the upside ✅ Trade Plan – Long Position Entry: ~$84,521 (on breakout of triangle resistance) Stop-Loss (SL): ~$84,000 (below trendline & consolidation base) Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $85,137 (local horizontal resistance – yellow line) TP2: $85,460 (stronger horizontal resistance – green line) ? Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2+ ? Favorable for momentum entry if volume supports breakout. ? Technical Highlights Triangle formation tightening with decreasing volume → breakout likely soon Previous breakouts (circled) showed strong follow-through Horizontal zones respected → key levels remain reliable Bullish structure still intact above $84k
Next week, when people get back to work from vacations they will have a nice positive surprise coming from the Cryptocurrency market. When they turn on their computers and electronic devices, everything will be green. Here is a short-term trade setup, the full trade-numbers for LUMIAUSDT. The chart shows medium and long-term targets, but the numbers below only includes the short-term. _____ LUMIAUSDT (PP: 155%) ENTRY: $0.252 - $0.282 CP: $0.278 TP1: $0.294 TP2: $0.338 TP3: $0.373 TP4: $0.408 TP5: $0.459 TP6: $0.523 TP7: $0.594 TP8: $0.708 STOP: Close daily below $0.244 _____ I am wishing you good profits and great luck. Have fun. The market will be here when you comeback and everything will be up. This is only the beginning though, we are set to experience growth for months to come. Maybe even years. Namaste.