Lets short from here; Entry :96181,80 TP1:95220 TP2:94258,20 TP3:93296,30 Stop Loss: 97143,60
- Key Insights: Wendy's recent 44% dividend cut signals financial distress, heightening concerns about growth and profitability. The rocky market environment may keep discretionary spending under pressure, further challenging WEN's performance. Therefore, a cautious short position appears more appropriate as investor sentiment may trend negatively amid these circumstances. - Price Targets: For next week's trading: T1: 13.80 T2: 13.50 S1: 14.10 S2: 14.30 - Recent Performance: WEN's recent activity reflects overall market volatility, with considerable declines correlated to sector-wide struggles, especially following its dividend announcement. The stock has shown weakness, making it vulnerable to further downward pressure in a challenging economic climate. - Expert Analysis: Experts express caution towards the restaurant and consumer discretionary sectors due to Wendy's dividend cut, with sentiments tilting towards bearish as concerns around future profitability loom large. This reflects shifting investor perceptions as challenges mount in both operational stability and market conditions. - News Impact: The significant dividend reduction from Wendy's stands out as a critical factor affecting market sentiment. Coupled with declines in other key indices and similar actions from competitors like Walgreens, this has raised alarms about potential extended struggles in the consumer sector, putting downward pressure on WEN's stock price and investor outlook.
Gold: The Eternal Story of Greed and Fear. How to Stop Believing in Fairy Tales and Look at the Market Objectively? For centuries, gold has been considered a safe-haven asset used by investors worldwide to protect capital from economic and geopolitical turmoil. But does gold truly deserve this status, or is it just an established myth? What is its real value in today’s market conditions? Recently, gold has reached record highs. This is undoubtedly linked to global uncertainty, fears of trade wars between the US and China, and economic instability. However, how stable is gold’s position as a safe-haven asset in the long run? Let’s analyze this in detail. The Historical Role of Gold in Crisis Periods Gold traditionally rises during economic instability and political turmoil. Historical cycles confirm this: when markets face a crisis, capital flows into gold. However, like any other asset, gold follows cyclical patterns—once tensions ease, its price stabilizes or declines. Now, in 2025, we are witnessing the rapid growth of institutional cryptocurrency funds, which, in terms of capitalization growth, are becoming a serious competitor to gold as the ultimate safe-haven asset. The key question is: when will the trend reverse, and what factors will trigger the decline in market fear, leading to a gold correction? Factors That Could Shift Gold’s Trend Trade War Risks: Reality or Speculation? Gold’s recent rally has largely been fueled by expectations of an escalating trade war between the US and China. However, analyzing Trump’s administration’s policies reveals a pattern: he often prefers making deals over engaging in real conflicts. In the past, he has backtracked on sanctions against Mexico and Canada. A similar scenario is likely with China, reducing market fears and undermining gold’s bullish momentum. Moreover, trade tensions are often used as leverage in negotiations. Investors tend to overreact to aggressive rhetoric in the media, but real economic deals are usually much more moderate. If the US and China reach an agreement, market sentiment could shift rapidly, leading to capital outflows from gold into riskier assets. Current Capital Structure and Its Movement At present, the stock market is showing limited growth, the cryptocurrency market is in consolidation, but gold continues to rise. This indicates that fear currently outweighs greed among traditional investors. However, in the crypto sector, we see a different trend: institutional investors are accumulating Bitcoin through Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum via Ethereum ETFs. This shift suggests that gold’s dominance as a safe-haven asset may be challenged by digital alternatives. In addition, central banks of several nations are diversifying their reserves. While gold remains a key component, the increasing interest in digital assets and other alternatives, such as tokenized commodities, suggests that the financial landscape is changing. The traditional narrative of gold being the ultimate store of value is being re-evaluated as new technologies reshape investment strategies. Gold vs. the Dollar: What Really Drives Its Price? Gold is traditionally seen as an inflation hedge. However, its recent rally is largely driven by the weakening US dollar rather than genuine demand. Given the Federal Reserve’s current monetary policy, interest rates are likely to decline in the near future, injecting more liquidity into the market. Historically, this has fueled asset price inflation. However, unlike in previous cycles, gold now faces real competition from digital assets, which are also attracting institutional capital. Additionally, with a more dovish Fed approach, the weakening of the US dollar may not provide the same bullish momentum for gold as it did in previous years. Investors now have access to a much broader range of inflation-hedging instruments, including commodities like lithium and rare earth metals, which are becoming increasingly valuable in the high-tech and energy industries. Medium-Term Gold Outlook Based on the current macroeconomic landscape, gold appears to be at the peak of its growth cycle and may face a correction soon. The main factors that could trigger a reversal include: Partial or Full Lifting of Sanctions on Russia Political shifts in this direction could reduce global geopolitical risks, weakening demand for gold as a protective asset. The easing of tensions in Eastern Europe would also signal to investors that geopolitical risks are receding, making riskier assets more attractive compared to gold. A US-China Trade Deal Historically, the US administration has always prioritized economic benefits. A trade agreement between the two countries is highly probable, which would lower market concerns and decrease gold’s appeal as a safe-haven. If this happens, funds currently allocated to gold could start flowing back into equity markets and emerging economies. The Rise of Alternative Safe-Haven Assets Another critical factor affecting gold’s future is the emergence of alternative safe-haven assets. Cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, have been increasingly perceived as "digital gold" by institutional investors. The rapid adoption of Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum-based investment vehicles shows that institutional capital is gradually diversifying away from traditional assets like gold. Moreover, central banks are exploring digital currencies (CBDCs), which may reduce the reliance on physical assets as a store of value. If CBDCs gain broader adoption, gold’s traditional role in financial reserves may be diminished. Conclusion: Gold Is No Longer Unrivaled Despite its centuries-old status as the ultimate safe-haven asset, gold will face serious competition in the coming years. Its capitalization is immense, and capital redistribution is inevitable, with new assets such as cryptocurrencies gaining prominence. At the same time, the traditional drivers of gold’s value—geopolitical instability and inflation—are no longer exclusive to this asset. Investors now have a wider range of options to protect their wealth, including digital assets, commodities, and alternative investment vehicles. Of course, if a global crisis erupts, gold will reclaim its defensive role. However, in the medium term (3-4 months), its growth potential appears limited. We are likely to see either a trend reversal or a prolonged period of price stagnation, as capital flows shift from traditional assets to emerging alternatives. In a world of evolving financial instruments and digital assets, gold is no longer the only fortress against uncertainty. Investors who fail to adapt to these changes risk being trapped in outdated narratives—believing in a safe haven that may no longer provide the ultimate security it once did.
- Key Insights: Tesla's current support levels around 340.80 to 344.44 are crucial for maintaining investor confidence in the face of declining sales. The anticipation of autonomous driving features and Optimus robot developments creates potential growth catalysts that could positively impact stock performance in the near term. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=375, T2=387. Stop levels are S1=340, S2=338. Following price level rules for a long position, these targets provide a strategic entry and exit point that aligns with the technical analysis and market sentiment. - Recent Performance: TSLA's stock is experiencing heightened volatility, with a significant recent sales decline in major markets including a 15% drop in China and a 59% decline in Germany. Despite these challenges, the stock appears to be supported above the critical low 340s, suggesting potential for recovery. - Expert Analysis: Analysts' sentiments regarding TSLA are mixed, reflecting caution due to recent sales drops yet maintaining optimism about product innovations. The potential for a rebound in stock performance exists, especially if the anticipated launches materialize successfully. Predictions indicate a possible stock price trajectory toward the lower 500s by year-end if positive momentum is sustained. - News Impact: Tesla’s strategic responses to competitive pressures, including price adjustments affecting margins, remain a focal point for investors. The company is closely monitored for advancements in autonomous technologies, and upcoming earnings reports are expected to create further volatility as analysts assess financial performance and broader operational strategies within the evolving electric vehicle market.
- Key Insights: QQQ demonstrates strong bullish momentum with potential to reach new highs if it remains above critical support levels of 533 and 530. Traders should focus on intraday patterns and be prepared for volatility due to mixed market signals, particularly from the IWM. Maintaining a watchful eye on macroeconomic news and sector performance will be crucial. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1: 545, T2: 552. Stop levels are S1: 533, S2: 530. These levels are designed to safeguard long positions while capitalizing on upward movement. Recent Performance: QQQ has been trading at record highs, influenced largely by the strength of major tech stocks, while the overall market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with some divergence in index performance. - Expert Analysis: Analysts suggest that continued upward momentum in QQQ depends on holding above critical support. While bullish signals exist, caution is warranted given the contrasting performance of smaller caps. Investors should be discerning and ready for potential market pullbacks. - News Impact: QQQ's recent surge can be attributed to robust earnings reports and growth expectations from dominant technology firms. However, market fluctuations could arise from upcoming economic indicators and policy decisions from the Federal Reserve that warrant close attention.
? Listen Up, Traders! Smart Money Is Moving – Are You Ready? ⚡️ Mission Briefing: GBP/USD - 15M Time Frame ⭐ Bullish Breakout: If price smashes through 1.26000 with high volume, Smart Money is charging in—position yourself or get left behind. ⭐ Bearish Breakdown: A collapse below 1.25730 means liquidity is being wiped out—expect a ruthless sell-off. ⚡️ This Is Not Just Any Setup—This Is Smart Money at Work!They manipulate liquidity, trap weak hands, and strike with precision. If you’re not trading with them, you’re trading against them. ✈️ I’ve marked the key levels—now it’s your move. Execute with confidence. Trade like the elite. Stay sharp, stay ahead.
- Key Insights: Palantir Technologies continues to leverage its solid performance in the AI and defense sectors, backed by strategic partnerships and robust government contracts. The growth trajectory remains positive, but caution around high stock valuations should be observed. Price Targets: For next week: T1 at 123, T2 at 126. For stop levels: S1 at 116, S2 at 114. - Recent Performance: PLTR's stock is currently priced at 119.16, reflecting a strong uptrend with potential further gains if it breaks through resistance levels. The stock has recently reached an all-time high amidst growing investor interest. - Expert Analysis: Analysts express a generally bullish sentiment on Palantir's growth, citing a strategic advantage in the burgeoning AI market. However, some are wary of the elevated valuations that could impact investment attractiveness in the near term. - News Impact: Recent headlines highlight Palantir's substantial contract wins, including a $480 million agreement with the US Department of Defense. These contracts reinforce its pivotal role in technology provision amid international security issues and add to its market credibility.
Usd brl is on track to change trend. It has risen since last year
Guten Morgen, ich musste leider noch kurz zum Arzt, aus diesem Grund kommt das Update etwas später, unsere Trading-Szenarios gehen aber bisher perfekt auf, weshalb wir auch jetzt noch perfekt in den Tag starten können. Der EUR/USD ist bisher perfekt dem gestrigen Szenario gefolgt und in die signifikante 15min-FVG (violette Box), gelaufen und hat dort idealen Support erhalten. Nach einer kleinen Konsolidierung, welche für ausreichend Volumen und somit Support gesorgt hat, sind wir nun dabei impulsiv anzusteigen, erhalten bisher aber noch Widerstand von der aktuellen Down-Trendline (gelbe Linie). Ich würde den Support in dieser Struktur aber erstmal schwerer wiegen als den Widerstand, da sich über uns eine signifikante Liquiditäts-Zone (gelbe Box) liegt, welche noch eingesammelt werden muss und somit wahrscheinlich das Ziel der aktuellen Bewegung ist. Wir gehen nun also davon aus, dass wir erstmal Widerstand von der Down-Trendline (gelbe Linie) erhalten und dann in ein Retracement gehen, welches wir als Long Entry nutzen werden. Der EUR/USD hat nämlich eine sehr signifikante Spanne sowie eine neue 15min-FVG gebildet. Wir können also davon ausgehen, dass der EUR/USD bis zu dem wichtigen Fib-Level dieser Spanne zurücklaufen wird und wir dort unter anderem von der neuen 15min-FVG Support erhalten werden. Im nächsten Update werden wir also diesen wichtigen Fib-Bereich unter die nehmen und uns anschauen wie und wo genau wir dort einen Long Entry nehmen können. Solltet ihr bis dahin aber bereits fragen haben, könnt ihr mir dieser gerne im ?・trading-chat sowie Voice-Talk stellen, den Chart findet ihr bei ?・charts. Ich wünsche euch einen erfolgreichen Start in die neue Woche und melde mich schnellstmöglich mit dem nächsten Update! Tag: @Trading | @Signals
Ausbruch aus IB und neues ATH. Kleine IBs neigen zu Ausbrüchen. Habe ich schon oft hier erwähnt.