#Sui led the market during the Aug–Dec 2024 rally. Since then, it has been in a corrective wave (4) within a larger bullish structure. A trend reversal might happen soon to target the ~$10 level. Passing $3.57 confirms that, while breaking $1.71 would call for reassessment.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/FhRi2J7h/ HI,Traders ! US100 is trading in an Uptrend and the price is Now consolidating above The horizontal support Of 18178.2 and as we are Bullish biased we will be Expecting a further bullish Move up ! Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
GOOGL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17) Below is our integrated analysis for GOOGL weekly options trading based on the current options data and the multiple model reports: ────────────────────────────── Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points • Grok/xAI Report – Observes that although the 5‐minute chart shows a hint of short‐term bullishness, the daily chart is clearly bearish (price below the 10 EMA and RSI around 41) and news catalysts (antitrust concerns) add further downside bias. – Highlights a significant concentration of put open interest around the $150 strike and recommends buying the $150 put at a premium of about $0.24 with an entry at open. – Suggested profit target at roughly a 50% premium increase and a stop loss if the premium falls by about 25% (or if the price fails to break key resistance). • Claude/Anthropic Report – Confirms a moderately bearish bias with price trading below all key daily EMAs and negative regulatory news intensifying the downside. – Points to the heavy open interest in the 150 puts and emphasizes that although max pain is at $155 (a theoretical pull toward higher prices), the aggressive negative catalyst trumps this signal. – Recommends a put trade with guidelines for profit-taking (roughly a 100% premium gain) and a 50% premium stop-loss; entry to be made at market open. • Gemini/Google Report – Notes the strong bearish daily setup (price clearly below the 10/50/200 averages and near key supports around $150) combined with negative antitrust headlines. – While acknowledging some short-term consolidation on the 5-minute chart, the report favors a bearish play and selects the $150 put (even though its premium of $0.24 is a bit below the “ideal” $0.30–$0.60 range). – Recommends entering at open with specific targets (aiming for around a 100% return on premium or an exit if the underlying fails to break levels) and strict stop-loss discipline. • Llama/Meta Report – Summarizes that the technicals (including MACD and RSI on both timeframes) and high volatility (VIX ~32.64) combine for a moderately bearish setup. – The heavy put open interest at $150 further reinforces this view. – Recommends buying the $150 put at market open with a modest profit target (around a 50% gain on premium) and a stop-loss if the underlying rallies above key resistance levels. • DeepSeek Report – Emphasizes that despite the max pain at $155, the technical breakdown below key moving averages and significant negative news support a bearish trade. – Recommends buying weekly (0DTE) $150 puts at the current premium of $0.24, with exit parameters tied to breaching immediate support or achieving a 50% gain in premium. – Notes that risk management is crucial given the 0DTE nature and high volatility. ────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Between Models • Agreement: – All models share a moderately bearish outlook driven by a combination of: ○ Price performance below key moving averages and declining daily RSI. ○ Negative news catalysts (antitrust issues and breakup concerns). ○ Heavy put open interest at the $150 strike, aligning with technical support. – Each model favors a single-leg, naked put strategy on GOOGL weekly expirations, with an entry at market open. • Disagreement: – There is some variation in the selection of profit target and stop loss levels: ○ Grok/xAI and DeepSeek lean toward a profit target near a 50% premium gain and a tighter stop loss, while Claude/Anthropic and Gemini reference a slightly larger profit target (up to 100% gain) paired with a 50% stop loss. – There is a mild conflict with the max pain theory (which is bullish at $155) versus the consensus technical and news story indicating further downside. However, all models agree that the negative catalysts outweigh the theoretical pull toward max pain. ────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion and Trade Recommendation • Overall Market Direction Consensus: – The integrated view is moderately bearish. Although intraday charts hint at short-term consolidation, the dominant daily technicals, high volatility, and strongly negative news set the stage for further downside pressure. • Recommended Trade: – We recommend buying a single-leg, naked put option. – Selected Instrument: GOOGL weekly option with a $150 strike (0DTE expiring on 2025-04-17). – Premium: The current ask is $0.24 per contract. Although this is slightly below the ideal range, the risk/reward profile is favorable given the strong technical and sentiment bias. – Entry Timing: Enter at market open. – Profit Target: Aim for a premium increase to approximately $0.36 (a ~50% gain). – Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss around $0.12 (roughly a 50% reduction in premium), or exit if the underlying rallies decisively above the intraday resistance levels (around $152). – Confidence Level in the Recommendation: Approximately 70%. • Key Risks and Considerations: – The max pain level at $155 could introduce some intraday upward pressure. – High implied volatility (VIX at 32.64) means rapid moves could quickly hit stop-loss triggers. – The 0DTE nature of the option calls for strict monitoring; if GOOGL fails to break below key support levels early on, exit the position promptly. – Overall market reversals or unexpected news can rapidly change the trade dynamics. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "GOOGL", "direction": "put", "strike": 150.00, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 0.36, "stop_loss": 0.12, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.24, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NFLX Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17) Below is our integrated analysis for NFLX weekly options (expiry 2025‑04‑17): ────────────────────────────── Summary of Each Model’s Key Points • Grok/xAI Report – Technical indicators on the 5‑minute chart show oversold RSI and near‐lower Bollinger Bands, but the daily chart remains bullish (MACD crossover, above short–term EMA). – With earnings on the horizon, Grok/xAI sees potential for an upward move and recommends a call option trade at the $990 strike even though its premium (~$20.65) is high relative to our ideal range. • Gemini/Google Report – Emphasizes that the recent earnings announcement is the dominant unknown. – The technical analysis is mixed (daily bullish but 5‑minute oversold), so they conclude that trading at the open is too speculative. – Their recommendation is to stand aside for now (no directional trade) until post–earnings clarity. • Llama/Meta Report – Notes both bullish (daily trend) and bearish (short–term 5‑minute data) indicators and stresses that the upcoming earnings introduces significant uncertainty. – They conclude that the directional bias is “Neutral/Unclear” and advise against initiating a trade before the market digests the news. • Claude/Anthropic Report – Reviews similar conflicting signals: short–term weakness on the M5 chart against daily bullish pointers. – With earnings risk and max pain at $940, they lean moderately bearish and propose a put option trade at the $960 strike (with premium around $22.85–$24.00) for a fast–expiry play. • DeepSeek Report – Points out that extreme uncertainty due to the earnings event (with a ±5.4% implied move) and conflicting technical signals (bullish vs. bearish) make a trade unappealing. – Their conclusion is also “NO TRADE” today. ────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement • Agreement: – All models acknowledge that earnings are the key unpredictable factor today. – Everyone notes that technical signals are mixed: while longer–term (daily) indicators lean bullish, shorter–term (5‑minute) charts and key levels (support/resistance and max pain at $940) inject caution. – The volatility (high VIX and wide implied move) is recognized across reports. • Disagreement: – Grok/xAI is the only model actively recommending a bullish play via a call option despite an expensive premium, banking on a post–earnings bounce. – Claude/Anthropic leans to a moderately bearish outlook and recommends a put, relying on the short–term weakness and the max pain influence. – Gemini/Google, Llama/Meta, and DeepSeek all call for no trade given the overwhelming uncertainty from the news. ────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion Overall Market Direction Consensus: • The market sentiment is highly uncertain. The earnings event injects significant risk such that pre–earnings technical signals (both bullish and bearish) lose much of their predictive power. The majority of the models (Gemini/Google, Llama/Meta, DeepSeek) advise caution and suggest that no directional bet should be taken at the open. Recommended Trade (if any): • Based on the confluence of views – with most models recommending to wait and observe post–earnings price discovery – the overall recommendation is: NO TRADE RECOMMENDATION TODAY. Details: • Strategy: Buy single–leg, naked calls or puts only • Expiration: Weekly options (0DTE, expiry: 2025‑04‑17) • Premium: While our target is $0.30–$0.60 per contract, the available near–the–money options have much higher premiums and reflect elevated risk levels. • Entry Timing: Not applicable • Confidence: Very low confidence in a directional bet given the earnings risk • Key Risks: Earnings uncertainty remains the dominant risk. Pre–earnings technical signals conflict, and ordering a trade without seeing post–earnings market reaction could result in a rapid adverse move. ────────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": null, "direction": null, "strike": null, "expiry": null, "confidence": null, "profit_target": null, "stop_loss": null, "size": null, "entry_price": null, "entry_timing": null } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
TSLA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17) Below is an integrated analysis of the reports and market data: ────────────────────────────── MODEL REPORTS – KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI – Price and moving averages on both 5‑min and daily charts are below key EMAs; RSI and MACD point to current bearish momentum. – Notable technical support at about 239.75 with resistance above near 242. – The options chain shows heavy put activity at the $240 strike (premium about 0.67), and max pain is at 245, although that level is less relevant for a near‐term (0DTE) trade. – Recommendation: Trade the TSLA $240 PUT at an ask of 0.67 at the open, aiming for roughly a 100% gain and using about a 50% loss as a stop. • Gemini/Google – Technicals on short‐term and daily timeframes are mixed: the daily chart is clearly bearish while some 5‑min indicators hint at stabilization. – Conflicting signals (including the max pain pull toward 245 and falling VIX) result in not having a high‑conviction directional bias. – Conclusion: “No trade” is recommended today because the conflicting indicators raise the risk of getting whipsawed. • Claude/Anthropic – Technical analysis on both 5‑min and daily confirms a moderately bearish bias (price well below major EMAs, RSI below 50). – However, one suggested trade was a TSLA $237.50 PUT at an extremely low premium (0.13) which seems less attractive given the preferred premium range. – In essence, the model sees downside potential but selected a strike a bit further out from the current price. • Llama/Meta – A moderately bearish setup is noted, with the technical picture similar to the others on very short‐term charts. – However, the model also flags the influence of max pain at 245 and concludes that a naked call (for example, at the $240 or $242.50 strike) could profit if the upward “max pain pull” works in play. – Ultimately, this view contrasts with the put trades favored by others. • DeepSeek – Confirms the overall technical picture: price is below key averages, with bearish momentum evident on both 5‑min and daily charts. – Emphasizes the high open interest on $240 puts and the near-term support at 239.75. – Recommends buying the TSLA $240 PUT at its 0.67 ask price for this weekly (0DTE) option. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT Agreements: – Most reports note that TSLA is trading in a moderately bearish state with price below the relevant moving averages and key support levels near 239.75. – There is broad recognition that options activity is concentrated around the $240 strike—especially on the put side, where volume and open interest are very high, underscoring bearish positioning. – Technical indicators (RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands) on short‑term and daily charts lean toward bearishness despite some very short‑term signals of stabilization. Disagreements: – Gemini/Google sees too many conflicting signals (including the upward pull implied by max pain) and hence recommends no trade, while the majority of the other analysts view the setup as tradeable. – Llama/Meta is open to trading a naked call (capitalizing on the max pain influence) whereas Grok/xAI, DeepSeek, and to a lesser degree Claude/Anthropic advocate for a bearish put trade instead. ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION & TRADE RECOMMENDATION Overall Market Direction Consensus: Most opinions point to a moderately bearish bias for TSLA on a near-term, 0DTE weekly horizon. Even though conflicting signals (like max pain toward 245 and some stabilization on very short timeframes) introduce uncertainty, the weight of the technicals and put side open interest lean toward downside pressure. Recommended Trade: Trade a single‑leg, naked PUT (weekly option) on TSLA. Trade Parameters: – Instrument: TSLA – Strategy: Buy a TSLA $240 PUT – Expiration: 2025‑04‑17 (weekly, 0DTE) – Premium: Approximately $0.67 per contract (slightly above the preferred range, but justified by high liquidity and clear technical support) – Entry Timing: At the open – Profit Target: Around 100% gain from the entry premium (i.e. exit near a $1.34 premium) – Stop‑Loss: Roughly a 50% loss at about $0.33 per contract – Confidence Level: Approximately 65% – Key Risks & Considerations: • The mixed signals (especially Gemini’s caution and the max pain theory) mean price could quickly reverse if TSLA rebounds near 245. • Very short‑term trading (0DTE) carries risks related to rapid time decay and volatility spikes. • A failure to break important support (around 239.75) would warrant an early exit. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 240.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.34, "stop_loss": 0.33, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.67, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
RCL is in a very capital-heavy industry that is very economically sensitive. I first published this Idea back on February 11, 2025. Since then, it has dropped over -40%. Normally, I would say that from erections come corrections. However, this has the Eiffel Tower structure in place for a full-on reversal. I am reposting this chart since TV forced me to post a "target reached." Here is the original post. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/RCL/rEEZqtLb-RCL-Eiffel-Tower-CAUTION/
#MAGMA 18.4.2025 ep - 0.29 sl - 0.255 (12%) tp - 0.35 (20.6%) rrrr - 1.7X
#MNHLDG 18.4.2025 ep - 1.09 sl - 0.99 (9.17%) tp - 1.23 (12.84%) rrr - 1.4X
Stafi is now trading at bottom prices after hitting a new All-Time Low and this is a great place to enter. This is the perfect chart setup for spot traders. Here I will share the full trade-numbers for this pair, FISUSDT, and share some of the chart technicals with you that reveal the upcoming change of trend. Let us start with how to predict a bottom based on the chart structure and the candles. Notice the "bearish wave" on the left side of the chart. Notice the size of the wave, the length, strength and duration. A "bear market." Simply a long-term correction. Now, notice the "bottom wave" on the right side of the chart (orange). Notice the size, the length and duration. It is very steep. It goes very fast and it is small thus short-lived. » The first one is a market phase/cycle while the second one is a market reaction. » The first one led to a sideways market while the second one will lead to a change of trend. There are two sets of numbers. Here I am only using one for the trade below but I would still like to explain this method that I use in case you want to learn to do your own numbers by looking at charts. The first set of numbers uses the All-Time High and the bear market bottom. In this case this would be the peak price 01-March 2021 and the low set 09-May 2022. The low is the zero and the peak the one using the Fibonacci extension tool. The 1.618 is the standard ATH projection. If you are feeling confident, the market is producing strong higher lows, the pair is good, there is strong volume, etc. You can also consider the 2.618 level which is not shown on this chart. Of course, if you move the chart up a little bit you can easily see it. The second set uses the current market bottom, in this case the low 7-April 2025 and the previous high, 09-Dec 2024. This will give you a set of numbers that you can use to extract also some short-term targets. The first set would only have long-term targets. When a trading pair produces new All-Time Lows we say that a new All-Time High is not likely but this isn't necessarily true, this is a technical assumption. The truth is that anything is possible and not even the insiders and exchanges who control the bots that control the price of a chart know how far up a pair can really go. When the euphoria phase of a bull market starts it is hard to maintain control. A bullish wave can be neutralized with massive selling pressure. This is done all of the time. If any trading pair starts to grow organically for whatever reason on any exchange, the bots owned by the exchange immediately start selling and balance thing out, they just don't like things moving in ways that they do not control. Anyway, let's continue; Full trade-numbers below: _____ FISUSDT (PP: 2063%) CURRENT PRICE: $0.1263 ENTRY: 1) $0.1420 2) $0.1150 3) $0.0999 TARGETS: TP1: $0.1852 TP2: $0.2361 TP3: $0.3206 TP4: $0.3889 TP5: $0.4571 TP6: $0.5543 TP7: $0.6781 TP8: $0.8888 TP9: $1.0356 TP10: $1.2566 TP11: $1.4140 TP12: $1.6141 TP13: $2.1926 TP14: $2.7711 STOP: Close monthly below $0.0990 _____ No stop-loss. When trading spot you should be ready to wait for years. That's the mindset. If you are not ready to wait for years, well, you can do whatever you want of course but with this mindset you can never go wrong. There are many ways to approach a trading pair but sometimes we are ready to wait 3 months for a bullish wave and yet it takes 6 months for the wave to develop. Next time we are ready to wait 6 months to see prices go up but the wave starts in 12 months and so on. So always be ready to wait 4-5 times longer than what you initially think is the necessary time for the market to change course. Never place a stop-loss in an exchange because that is just bad for the market, the bots will sell just to active your stop. Stop-loss orders should be avoided at all cost if you are a beginner or a spot trader. Simply buy and hold. You can use a stop-loss trading short-term and in many different systems but I am talking about reality here, it is not the same. Never close a trade out of a whim. Either you do it or yo don't. Either you plan or you don't trade. If you plan you will be successful and you will achieve success. If you don't plan, you can make money but you will be gambling and this gambling will end up in negative results in the long-term. So, if you are not ready to plan/prepare then just wait, the market is not going away. When you are ready, enter with a plan and you will win for sure. The plan is easy, what to do when the market moves in a certain way. If it rises, will I sell or hold? If it drops, will I sell or hold? If you decide the answer is to hold then, for how long? If you decide the answer is to sell, how much? Just prepare for all scenarios. You don't have to do anything really other than buy low (now) and sell high (later), but doing the mental exercise will save you from stupid mistakes when excitement (or anxiety) grows. Just practice. Success is yours. Thanks a lot for your continued support. If you enjoy the content, just follow. Namaste.
bullish signal good reward ratio. no indicator just pure chart. dont make it difficaut ...