It may go to 2610 again, support level coinciding with the 50% retracement level We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up -------------------
In 4H timeframe i can see in past we have double top then now we have double bottom its funny like someone accumulating from Bitcoin to Litecoin in this range
Gold prices fell on December 17 due to: Stronger USD (+0.1%), making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Higher 10-year bond yields, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold. Key Takeaways from the Fed: A 0.25% rate cut is expected on December 18, but the likelihood of further cuts in January 2025 remains low (only 18%). US Economic Impact: November retail sales exceeded expectations, fueling inflation concerns. This suggests the Fed may pause further rate cuts in January 2025. Gold is strongly supported by important economic data this week. From a technical perspective, after recent sharp declines, gold has shown signs of reversal from the 2633.xx resistance area, rebounding toward 2650.xx. Today's Main Trend: Focus on long-term buy opportunities at strong sell points. Use sell scalping strategies and observe reactions to trade more effectively. INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY SELL SCALP: Entry: 2661 - 2663 Stop Loss (SL): 2666 Take Profit (TP): 2655 BUY SCALP: Entry: 2634 - 2632 SL: 2629 TP: 2640 BUY ZONE: Entry: 2618 - 2620 SL: 2615 TP: ??? SELL ZONE: Entry: 2672 - 2674 SL : 2677 TP: 2664
A new price peak is always a very strong psychological threshold, it often creates a correction wave according to the head and shoulders pattern.
Dow Jones is probably bottom as my indicator on the 1hr timeframe show that. This movement compare to nasdaq is bullish. a shift of liquidity from nasdaq to Dow ahead of FOMC today?
In this post we will look at some of the long-term trends identified with the tracking of the CTI indicator (Red and Green Moving averages in the price chart), and what we can learn from the observed behaviors over Cycle 1 / 2 / 3 and possible implications for Cycle 4. INDICATOR RECAP The CTI indicator attempts to model the cycle top based on observed historic price over extension from Cycle 1 / 2. Indicator marks a cycle top when the 'Fast MA' (Red Line) crosses above the 'Slow MA' (Green Line). I.e. the condition where both MAs price value is equal. I should be noted that this condition was achieve for every cycle to date so far, and that the condition was met twice for the experienced 'double peak top' in Cycle 1 but was only met for the first of the two peak tops during Cycle 3. OSCILLATOR: % DISTANCE MODELLED BETWEEN SLOW (GREEN MA) & FAST (RED MA) – NORMALISED TO PRICE The below oscillator models the %Distance away from each other the Green Line and the Red line gets over BTC's cycles (Normalised to Price). * RED HORIZONTAL LINE: When the oscillator is equal to 1, this models the price value of the Green and Red moving averages as equal (or the CTI cycle top condition) * ORANGE HORIZONTAL LINE(s): These mark the maximum over extension the Red MA exceeded the Green MA during a cycle top condition. * GREEN HORIZONTAL LINE(s): These mark low levels of the oscillator, indicator maximum distance of the Red MA below the Green MA during each cycle. BLACK SLOPING TREND LINE(s): Represent the diminishing trend of overlap between the Green and Red Mas each cycle. * VERTICAL RED AND GREEN LINES: Show cycle tops and bottoms as triggered by the CTI and CBI (Cycle Bottom Indicators) – NOTE: CBI moving averages not shown. SIGNIFICANCE OF ORANGE HORIZONTAL & BLACK TREND LINES It is observable that each peak of the Oscillator is lower than the previous cycle peak (each peak is marked with an Orange horizontal line). This diminishing trend is shown with each orange line marked lower than the line before, and modeled with the Black downward sloping trend line(s) connecting the peaks. A reminder that the Red Horizontal line shows the condition with the CTI models the cycle top and conditions above the Red Horizontal line show the % distance the Red MA reaches above the Green MA each cycle. For example: * Cycle 1 Peak = 1.58 * Cycle 2 First peak = 1.25 * Cycle 2 Second peak = 1.20 * Cycle 3 First peak = 1.07 The diminishing trend of this relationship over each cycle (if historic behavior continues) suggest that the CTI overlap condition for cycle 4 my not eventuate. This would be modeled by our oscillator not exceeding the red line in Cycle 4. The learnings for this analysis could suggest that waiting for the CTI indicator to Fire may result in a non-event for Cycle 4. SIGNIFICANCE OF GREEN HORIZONTAL LINES A surprising finding from this analysis show for all cycles to date that when the modeled oscillator reaches levels between -1.11 and -1.82 and particularly for Cycles 2 / 3 & 4 between -1.50 & -1.82 (Red MA % distance below the Grean MA), Historically BTC has found its cycle bottom. These findings are summarized below for quick reference. * CYCLE 1-4 Bottom Oscillator Condition: -1.11 -1.82 * CYCLE 2-4 Bottom Oscillator Condition: -1.50 -1.82 Feel free to include any other observations I may have missed in the comments below. i intend to do a similar analysis for the CBI indicator when I find the time.
For all intents and purposes it seems BTC has at least somewhat resumed moving up after a subtle consolidation period. I'm still not convinced the explosive move is yet upon us. The indicated zone is the first place where I'd look for a long trade at the moment.
Technical analysis of US500. This analysis has price in wave 4 of (5). Wave 4 would appear to be an Elliott Triangle Wave. If accurate, wave 5 of (5) would provide one more all-time-high to complete top (unless truncated). Price is very unlikely to tag median line of pitchfork (red line), a bearish side which suggests price should fall back to 5835.6 at a minimum. Count valid for price below 6197.
Hey Mindbloome Family, let’s talk about Solana—it’s at an important spot right now. Here’s how I see it playing out: If Solana gets to $202, it could really take off and head for $400 or more. If it dips to $155–$160, there’s still a chance it bounces back from there. But if $155 doesn’t hold, we might see a deeper drop to $65–$70. Wellness Tip: Remember, it’s not just about trading—taking a short break or stepping outside for some fresh air can help you stay sharp and focused. If you’ve got questions or want to chat more about this setup or trading in general, check out my profile or send me a DM. I’m here to help and share what I’ve learned. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
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