Last week in the news A completely new dance is currently on the world stage, called the Tariff-economics. The US Administration shocked the world and financial markets with implementation of trade tariffs for almost all countries in the world. China was the first to respond, dragging down all financial markets globally. This was one of the worst trading weeks for US equities since the pandemic lockdown in 2020. Only on Friday, the S&P 500 lost almost 6%, and about 10% for the week. The price of gold dropped in a response to the margin calls from other markets, ending the week at the level of $3.037. In a fear of recession in the US, the 10Y US benchmark yields responded with a strong move toward the 3,87%, but ended the week at 3,99%. The price of BTC was relatively steady compared with other financial markets, but the question that is currently pending the answer was if this was actually good or maybe the bad news? The US Administration decided to start trade-war with the rest of the world. This was an action which shocked both markets and almost all governments in the world. The global sell-off in equities was triggered in a fear of recession and the impact which trade tariffs might have on global growth during this year. The situation was much worse when China announced implementation of 34% tariffs on all goods imported from the US. Other governments worldwide are expected to announce countermeasures in the weeks to come. Investors worldwide are currently very unhappy with actions from the US side, calling it the “biggest policy mistake in 95 years”. The US President Trump is not giving up from persuading Fed Chair Powell to cut interest rates. Last week President Trump said that the Fed Chair should “stop playing politics” and that now is the perfect time for an interest rate cut. Fed Chair Powell clearly noted at the last FOMC meeting that he will not publicly comment on any topic from the US Administration. When asked to comment on the impact of trade tariffs during the previous week, Powell shortly noted that they are “significantly larger than expected”. With respect to potential rate cuts during this year, the market is currently projecting four 25 bps cuts till the end of this year, regardless of the latest FOMC projections of only two rate cuts. Banking professionals are also cutting their initial projections of the equity markets developments for this year. The RBC analysts are now projecting the S&P 500 level of 4.200 for this year in case of the stagflation macroeconomic scenario. In the case of full recession, their revised projections for the index currently stand between 4.500 and 4.200. Crypto market cap Traditional markets had a very turbulent week and the worst one since the pandemic lockdown in 2020, however, the crypto market was moderately left behind the market attention. Considering developments with other financial assets, it could be noted that the crypto market had a relatively solid week. There had been both weekly losers but also gainers. Total crypto market capitalization dropped by 1% on a weekly basis, losing a minor $19B in cap. Daily trading volumes remained relatively stable on a weekly level, without a significant change of previous $132B. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -19%, with $611B outflow of funds. Generally BTC had a relatively stable week, with a minor weekly gain of 0,2% and with an inflow of $4B. ETH was standing on an opposite side, with a weekly loss of 3,5% in the market cap, or $8B. BNB was traded with a modest negative sentiment, with a weekly loss in market cap of $ 2B, or 2,4%. Market favorite Solana dropped by 5,2%, erasing $3,3B from the market cap. EOS was one of rare coins with an extreme market gain of 40% on a weekly basis. XRP was also traded a bit higher, gaining 0,3% for the week. Tron and ZCash also ended the week in positive territory, around 1,5% higher from the week before. Other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner, with a losing side prevailing. The majority of altcoins lost somewhere between 2% and 9%. One of the highest weekly increases of coins in circulation during the previous week had Solana and IOTA of 0,5% w/w. Algorand and Filecoin increased their circulating coins by 0,2%. Thai week, Tether had a drop in total number of coins on the market by 0,1%. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market had a relatively calm week, in line with developments on the spot market. BTC futures were traded higher from 0,1% to 0,4% for various maturities. BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week by 0,4% higher, at the level of $88.850. Those maturing in December 2026 closed the trading day at $97.705, almost flat from the week before. ETH futures were traded lowr above the 3% for all maturities. ETH futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week at $1.914, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.060.
Hello friends Today I want to give you a scalping signal. This trade is based on the logarithmic lines (three and two peaks collision strategy) This red area is very important < The best point to enter is outside the range. Enter with capital management and without a stop Because this point is important and if the position acts the opposite. You can exit the trade without loss by pulling back to this area.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H The downward pressure persists locally. I expect the continuation of the decline after a potential manipulation with liquidity release above $84,720 - such a movement will create favorable conditions for the formation of short positions. Targets: $81,211, $79,939, $78,595, $76,606
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- https://www.tradingview.com/x/XGGvEj06/ I have explained how to draw a trend line before, but I will take the time to explain it again so that it is easier to understand. - When drawing a trend line, it must be drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. However, since I focused on understanding the concept of drawing a trend line and the volatility period that can be seen with a trend line, I will explain it only with a trend line drawn on the 1D chart. Please note that in order to calculate a somewhat accurate volatility period, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required. I hope this was helpful for understanding my thoughts on the concept of drawing trend lines and how to interpret them. The main reason for drawing trend lines like this is so that anyone who sees it can immediately understand why such a trend line was drawn. Then, there will be no unnecessary disagreements about the drawing, and each person will be able to share their opinions on the interpretation. -------------------------- When drawing trend lines, the StochRSI indicator is used. The reason is to secure objectivity. When the StochRSI indicator touches the oversold zone and rises, the low corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between low points. And, when the StochRSI indicator touches the overbought zone and falls, the Open of the downward candle corresponding to the peak is connected to draw a trend line between high points. If the peak is not a downward candle, it moves to the right and is drawn with the Open of the first downward candle. If you refer to the candlesticks of the arrows in the chart above, you will understand. The trend line drawn as a dot is a high-point trend line, but it is a proper trend line because it does not touch the overbought zone between highs. Therefore, you can draw a trend line corresponding to trend line 1. Accordingly, around March 25-29, around April 8, and around April 14 correspond to the volatility period. - You can see how important the low-point trend line (2) is. If the high-point trend line is properly created this time and the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line are displayed in the same direction, the trend is likely to continue along that channel. If the StochRSI indicator rises and a peak is created in the overbought zone, you will draw a high-point trend line that connects to point A. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope your transaction will be successful. --------------------------------------------------
From the ETH/USDT (Ethereum) chart on the 4H (4-hour) timeframe you see, here’s a brief analysis of the support and resistance levels based on the existing price structure and horizontal lines: 1. Support: • Main support around $1,751 This is visible from the purple horizontal line and previous price reactions that rejected further downside in this area. • Minor support around $1,578 – $1,580 This area is marked below (also seen as a previous reaction zone). If the $1,751 support breaks, the price is likely to move toward this area. 2. Resistance: • Strong resistance around $2,280 – $2,300 Marked by the thick purple horizontal line at the top. This is a significant area from a previous supply zone and could be a potential target if the price breaks upward. • Minor resistance in the FVG 4H area (around $1,880 – $1,900) This Fair Value Gap area could act as a balanced zone that often attracts price for a retest. • Dynamic resistance: • 200 MA (orange curved line): currently may also act as a dynamic resistance level. Summary: • The price is currently in a sideways/consolidation phase above the $1,751 support level. • It’s important to watch whether the price will bounce from support or break downward toward $1,580. • If the price starts to rise, the FVG 4H zone could be a short-term target, with the major resistance at $2,280 as the next potential target. Remember trading is to manage your risk & reward so do your own research
After deep drops, the price is moving sideways, which could indicate an accumulation phase. There is a liquidity pool above the chart and a bullish CH (Change of Character) is visible. We can look for buy/long positions around the support zone. Targets are marked on the chart. A 4-hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Yello, Paradisers! Have you been ignoring SUSHI lately? That might be a mistake — because the price action is showing signs that a deeper drop could be just around the corner, and those not paying attention could get caught off guard. Let’s break it down. ?#SUSHIUSDT is still trading below both the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, a clear confirmation that the broader market structure remains decisively bearish. The 50 EMA continues to act as dynamic resistance, repeatedly rejecting price during short-lived pullbacks, while the 200 EMA sits significantly higher, further emphasizing the strength of the existing downtrend. ?Adding to the bearish pressure, there’s a strong supply zone between $0.620 and $0.640. This zone has capped every bullish attempt, confirming heavy distribution at these levels. Until this zone is broken with volume and conviction, upside potential remains extremely limited. ?One key level to watch in the short-term is the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $0.586, which has turned into a reliable interim rejection level. We expect the price to tap this level again before any meaningful downside continuation is likely to unfold. ?As long as price fails to close above the $0.568 level, the structure will remain under pressure. A breakdown below the moderate support at $0.522 would likely trigger a move into the $0.485–$0.451 major support zone, where we could see more aggressive buyers or a potential reversal setup. ?The only scenario that would invalidate this bearish outlook is a clean breakout and sustained close above $0.640, which would reclaim the supply zone and force shorts to cover. Until then, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. Stay focused, Paradisers. Be the hunter, not the hunted. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success?
? Chart Pattern Identified: Double Top Formation The chart displays a classic Double Top pattern, a bearish reversal structure typically found at the end of an uptrend. This pattern forms when price reaches a resistance level twice, fails to break above it both times, and eventually breaks the neckline/support level, confirming a shift in market sentiment. ? Key Components of the Chart: 1. Resistance Level (Tops) – ~$34.25 The market formed two significant peaks around the same level — labeled Top 1 and Top 2. This level has proven strong resistance, as price was rejected both times after testing this zone. This zone is marked with a light orange rectangle and a horizontal blue line labeled "Resistance Level". 2. Support Level (Neckline) – ~$28.80 This level served as the neckline of the Double Top. After the second top, the price sharply declined and is currently approaching this key support zone, highlighted again in light orange. A clean break and close below this zone on the weekly timeframe will be a strong confirmation of the bearish reversal. 3. Trendline Break – Bearish Shift in Momentum A rising black dashed trendline supported the prior uptrend. Price action has now broken below this trendline with strong bearish momentum, indicating that buyers have lost control. This trendline break adds confluence to the bearish setup, supporting the validity of the pattern. 4. Bearish Projection Target – ~$22.47 The target is projected using the height of the Double Top pattern. Measured from the resistance level ($34.25) to the support ($28.80), the vertical distance is ~5.45 USD. Subtracting this from the neckline gives us a projected target: 28.80 - 5.45 = ~23.35 (rounded down to ~22.47 for technical cluster support). This target area is marked with a blue arrow and labeled "Target" near the horizontal support at $22.47. 5. Stop Loss – ~$34.25 The logical invalidation point is placed just above the resistance zone and the second top. A move above this level would invalidate the double top pattern, signaling that bulls have regained control. ? Price Action and Candlestick Behavior The strong bearish weekly candle that broke below the trendline shows a decisive shift in sentiment. The candle's large body and long range confirm institutional selling interest. Volume (if shown) would likely support the move, but even price structure alone is highly telling here. ? Trading Strategy & Setup Component Details Entry On a confirmed break and retest of $28.80 support (neckline) Stop Loss Above $34.25 (Top 2) Target $22.47 Risk/Reward ~1:2 or better Timeframe Weekly (Swing Trade) Bias Bearish ? Concluding Notes This chart provides a high-probability bearish setup rooted in classical charting principles. The Double Top is one of the most reliable reversal patterns, especially when: Formed after a prolonged uptrend (as seen here), Confirmed with a trendline break, Followed by strong bearish momentum toward the neckline. Traders should monitor the support zone around $28.80 closely for a potential breakdown. If confirmed, the target near $22.47 becomes a realistic medium-term objective.
Week of: April 7–11, 2025 Bias: Bearish Trade Duration: 2–5 Days Status: Breakdown Confirmed – Retesting from Below Current Reflexivity Phase: Phase 3 – Crowd Denial / Re-Entry Trap Strategy Type: Structural Breakdown + Sentiment Dislocation Execution Style: Reactive, not predictive ? Strategic Thesis USD/CAD has broken decisively below its prior 2-week base and is now retesting that structure from below. The pair is showing textbook behavior of distribution > breakdown > retest—a setup that often leads to emotional unwinds when conviction collapses. Though USD sentiment remains firm, the structure disagrees—and price is leading positioning. ? Structure Breakdown Highlights Clear break beneath consolidation range Retest is unfolding in low-momentum fashion (no bullish drive) Lower highs persist on multiple timeframes No fresh demand seen on the retest so far Ideal short continuation trigger if rejection holds ? COT & Sentiment Snapshot Leveraged Funds: Still long USD/CAD, but have begun reducing size Commercials: Gradual CAD accumulation underway Open Interest: Rises on down moves, fades on up moves — shows weak demand conviction Retail Sentiment: Still bullish on USD, ignoring structural breakdown Institutional Bias: Quiet rotation toward CAD strength ? Translation: Belief in USD remains, but smart money is already moving. This dislocation is your edge. ? Behavioral Finance Triggers “Crowds trust the story. Price tells the truth.” Anchoring to old bullish setups Late buyers still entering on dips Retest becomes a re-entry trap for overconfident longs If rejection confirms, emotional exits fuel momentum ? Reflexivity Model – Phase Breakdown Phase Description Phase 1: USD/CAD long crowd builds on USD strength narrative Phase 2: Structure breaks below key base – already completed Phase 3: Now Active – Crowd in denial, price retesting from below Phase 4: Flush and capitulation if retest fails, triggering stop cascades ✅ Current Phase: 3 – Re-Entry Trap / Denial Before Exit ?️ Execution Plan Entry: Wait for clean rejection candle or lower-high after retest Risk Management: Invalidate if structure is reclaimed and price sustains above the broken zone Exit Plan: Scale out as price moves into areas of prior demand or volume voids Trade Style: Tactical, reactive — confirm behavior before acting Expected Duration: 2–5 trading days if follow-through holds ?️ Execution Timeline Monday: Monitor the retest — don’t rush entry Tuesday–Wednesday: Best window for rejection and short setup Thursday–Friday: Manage open exposure, secure gains or trail ✅ Strategic Summary This is not a top call — the top is already in Structure has changed, but belief lags The crowd is doubling down — structure is calling their bluff Let rejection confirm, then lean into the unwind “You don’t need to predict. Just follow the failure.”
Hello, Skyrexians! Despite we expect the alt coin's dominance bottom at approximately 25th of April some altcoins like BINANCE:ARBUSDT can continue the bear market even further. Looking at the price chart we found the most likely and realistic scenario. Let's take a look at the daily chart. Here we can see that on the Awesome Oscillator price has not crossed zero line and this is extremely bad. There is a high probability that currently asset is not in wave 5, but in wave 5 inside 3. This subway has the target $0.15-0.27. We suppose that $0.27 is our case. We will see the bounce in wave 4 soon to 0.38 Fibonacci and then the new deep dive to $0.2 in the wave 5. We pointed out the most conservative targets. Price can go even lower, but in our experience it's not likely because the max targets leads to price below zero. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!