Today will be a big day for the stock market in 2025. The tariffs to be implemented promises to either make or break the market. Last week we saw a massive sell off and on Monday and Tuesday we have seen the markets gain a decent amount. However here is what needs to be noted for all indexes: 1) The Daily downtrend is intact 2) The H4 MA is pointing down 3) On GER30,we see a bat pattern to sell 4) H1, M30, M15 is OB and has a double top We should not follow the news, but instead focus on the charts. Based on this, we will enter a short position and expect the market to resume the downtrend. Stop loss will be 200 pips around 25700. Good luck!
Historically VERY rare event just occurred. Gold closed above its 31 quarter moving average against the stock market. So yeah, this is kind of a big deal. (gold versus spx)
is likely that is goimg to pull back so is time to sell get ready for that
Contrarian play, be bullish when everyone else is scared and bearish
Dear Traders, Investors and every interested person I dont going to lie Im trough hard weeks maybe months after Trump became president although I’m sure you too. As of 01/04/2025 we are just few hours away to enjoy our rollercoaster ride in the amusement park of the USA GOVERMENT. Their old-new attractions is about tariffs and reciprocal tariffs. Those who’s are not familiar what is a tariff I recommend reading this part those, whose already going to the bed and waking up with it may skip it the following section. A **tariff** is a **tax imposed by a government on imported or exported goods**. It's one of the tools countries use in international trade policy. Here's a breakdown: Types of Tariffs : 1. Import Tariff – tax on goods coming **into** a country. ( We are dealing with this curently) 2. **Export Tariff** – tax on goods going **out** of a country (less common). Why Governments Use Tariffs: Protect domestic industries by making foreign products more expensive. Generate revenue for the government. -Retaliate against unfair trade practices or tariffs from other countries. Example: If the U.S. places a **20% tariff** on imported French wine, that means any French wine imported into the U.S. will have an additional 20% tax added to its price. This makes domestic wine relatively cheaper, helping local producers compete . ___________________________________________________________________________ As of April 1, 2025, President Donald Trump has implemented or announced tariffs affecting a wide range of goods from multiple countries. Here's a summary of the current tariff measures Tariffs on Canada and Mexico February 1, 2025: President Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking. -March 4, 2025: These tariffs took effect, leading to retaliatory measures from both countries. April 2, 2025: Tariffs on USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico, which had been temporarily exempted, are set to be enforced. Tariffs on China -February 1, 2025: An additional 10% tariff was imposed on imports from China due to the country's alleged failure to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and address money laundering activities. March 4, 2025: The tariff rate on Chinese imports was increased to 20% Global Tariffs - COMMING April 2, 2025 President Trump has declared this date as "Liberation Day," marking the implementation of new tariffs aimed at addressing trade imbalances. Reciprocal Tariffs The administration plans to enforce tariffs that match the rates other countries impose on U.S. goods, effectively applying a **20% tariff** on most imports. Automobile Imports: A specific 25% tariff on imported passenger vehicles, light trucks, and key automobile parts is set to take effect on April 3, 2025. Tariffs on the European Union- Because we treated very badly..... -February 26, 2025: President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from the European Union, with a particular focus on the automotive sector. Secondary Tariffs on Oil Imports March 2025: The administration has threatened secondary tariffs on countries importing oil from Russia and Iran. This means that nations purchasing oil from these countries could face U.S. tariffs if they continue such trade while also engaging with the American market. ____________________________________________________________________________ In case of you get lost between the dates please take look at the Comprehensive Tariff Table – President Trump (2025) as of 01/04/2025 ____________________________________________________________________________ Hereafter I would like turn your attention to the period of 28/02/2025 - 19/03/2025 What caused this relentless and, for many traders, painful +5.35% upside move under 19 days? ?? Germany has unveiled a comprehensive fiscal strategy involving substantial investments in both infrastructure and defense sectors over the next decade. Here's a breakdown of the planned expenditures: Infrastructure Investment: €500 Billion Special Fund : The government has established a €500 billion special fund dedicated to infrastructure and climate-related projects over a 12-year period. This fund is designed to modernize critical systems, including energy grids, transport networks, digital infrastructure, education, and healthcare facilities. Notably, €100 billion of this fund is earmarked specifically for climate action initiatives aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2045. Defense Spending: Exemption from Debt Brake: In a significant policy shift, Germany has amended its constitutional "debt brake" to exempt defense and security expenditures exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing limits. This adjustment effectively removes the previous cap on defense spending, allowing for increased investments in military capabilities. Projected Defense Expenditure: While exact figures may vary based on annual GDP and specific defense needs, this exemption is anticipated to facilitate approximately €400 billion in additional defense spending over the next 10 years. This fiscal policy measures does not take place often, but honestly signs were on the market that something is cooking at the back: Someone knows something that I dont. And you neither. XETR:DAX from 01/January/2025 was not too much reason for the steady increase in the shadow of the trade war. FX:EURUSD just look at the price actions from 01/January/2025 till the German gov announcement. I could not explained for myself fundamentally what is happening. Why I see huge positioning with towards the upside when we still facing measures which can push major economies in the EURO AREA as France and Germany more deeper under the water where they already been.... No economic data refuted my findings. Anyway, after all I said to myself let’s wait meanwhile, I was shorting the EUR because I felt the possible damage of the planned measures are not correctly priced in. (Interest rate parity, industrial production under 50 ( which means contraction) and a few other things. ) 03/03/2025 Thats when everything got sense. Lesson learned: If you feel something do not suppress it especially when the signs are that strongs as above mentioned period. The effect: All Europen goverment bond yields skyrocketed TVC:DE10 TVC:FR10 Why ? The German plans means that the goverment needs money and market said well i need return so I will finance you +3% and 2,30% Bonds market are the real drivers behind the currency movements and this case the effect was drastic. In order to buy eur denominated bonds you need euro, therefore you exchange your currency to euro. ___________________________________________________________________________ Tomorrow questions is whats will be new in terms of tarrifs? I do expect that soon the inflation will edge higher in the US which can trigger US bonds yield to increase significantly, but is will lead for short term dollar gain. USA is playing with the fire since if their avarage debt interest payments will be +5% thats will open darker boxes soon than in 2008. Much darker. So thats why I would enjoy the short term currency gain which is autonomous and than exchange my dollar to euro everywhere.
#VIDT Bullish continuation TA: U Shape chart FA: No fundamental, just like REEF TRB bullish formation. Zoom out a little for the bigger picture
With uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy about to be resolved and price signals turning bullish, the ingredients for a squeeze in Russell 2000 futures are now in place. Unlike other stock indices with far larger constituents, U.S. small caps have lagged this week’s rebound—potentially due to recession concerns, which wouldn’t help unprofitable cyclical firms tied to the broader economy. However, while fundamentals point to downside risks, recent price signals have been more constructive. Monday’s hammer candle formed after a reversal from known support. While Tuesday’s doji signaled indecision, it still closed slightly higher, with strong volumes going through. While signals like RSI (14) and MACD remain in negative territory, bearish momentum is starting to ebb, suggesting we may be in the early stages of a turn. Those considering bullish positions could look to establish entries above 1994.8 with a stop beneath for protection. Rallies over the past two sessions have fizzled around 2040, making that an initial focal point. If sellers there are overrun, it could encourage others to join the move, looking for a retest of horizontal resistance at 2132.5. Good luck! DS
The market already bottomed. The stage is set for the biggest bull-market in the history of Cryptocurrency. The year is 2025. The bull-market starts in 2025 and can easily go beyond this year into early 2026. Good things are about to happen. Prepare for profits (change). How are you feeling today my friend in this wonderful day? Bitcoin bottomed and this is great. Consolidation is something good that we can all appreciate. A time to rest, study, work and prepare for all the positive that we are about to experience. The market is good. The market never moves in one single direction for too long. The market alternates and after a very strong wave, it gives us rest to prepare for what comes next. The rest period is reaching its end. Bitcoin bottomed 28-February 2025. A lower low and technical double-bottom happened 11-March 2025. This is as good as it get. Current market conditions allow for buying focused on the long-term. This situation we are seeing now is amazing. Traders, investors and the like can decide to buy spot and hold strong. Leveraged traders can easily buy and hold up to 10X. Less than 8X is an easy entry with relatively low risk. Anything higher can be considered gambling. At this point, loans can be taken out and the money goes into Crypto. When a loan pays 6% yearly, or 20% if you live in a country like mine, Crypto will pay 600% in the same amount of time. Getting a loan to buy Cryptocurrencies is not the best idea ever but it can be approached and benefit from by sound thinking and smart people. There are other ways to grow. The market will go wild and will grow really strong. While leverage can be used on the big projects, like Bitcoin, XRP and Cardano, Ethereum as well, smaller projects can offer the same growth potential but without the risk of a leveraged trade. That is, Bitcoin can grow 100% within 3-4 months. An Altcoin can grow 1,000% within 5 months and so on. Just some ideas. Getting into the market can also happen gradually. Buy-in, buy into, accumulate with each check. Use the extra money to buy, buy and hold. Fiat savings go into Crypto. The only way you are not into Crypto with fiat is if you are as old as Warren Buffet, that's the only reason not to buy Crypto, being too old. If you are less than 100 years of age, dive into Crypto because Crypto is the future of money and is here to stay. We are gearing up for something great. It is hard to put into words and it is impossible to transmit the actual feeling and experience through an article; everything will grow. Remember late 2024? What was the experience like? Let's recap: The market bottomed in August 2024 and went sideways for three months. Then, in a matter of weeks, everything started to grow. Not everything but still, enough for us to profit and enjoy. The growth phase lasted as little as 1 full month. The consolidation period lasted on average 3 months. This time it will be different. Consolidation (waiting time and the opportunity to buy low) has less than 1 month left. The growth phase will last between 3-6 months. With a strong shakeout in-between but this is 3 to 6 times more than late 2024. So this is great. If you knew in advance what was going to happen in late 2024, you know you could have made great profits and did great. You know now what is about to happen, so why not take action now and do the same. Now you can profit big time. No need to hold after the end of the bullish wave. When prices are low it is the time to buy. When prices are high it is the time to sell. There are no missed opportunities. There is no need to hold for too long. Yes, you can hold and will hold but only a portion, you have to sell when prices are up. This time I will get it right. I am buying NOW. I am going LONG now. I will sell when everything is up. But what if it keeps on growing? Be grateful for the profits when they come. If everything keeps on growing, buy the pairs that are lower and enjoy those. You need some targets and you need to take action. You are trading to take money home. First you put money in and then you take it out. What you take out will be many times more than what you initially bought. Long long-term. Buy weekly, monthly for 3-5 years and that's it. You can use your portfolio as a savings account and withdraw when you feel like it or have a need. You can go even longer, 10 years with no action other than to invest. Once you feel ready, buy your mansion and enjoy the rich life. Cryptocurrency is here to stay. Cryptocurrency was developed to change the world. From a few entities controlling the money supply of the world, to everybody having access to wealth, success and growth. You can make your own money now. The 2025 bull-market is about to start. Bitcoin is going up! PS. We will consider a minimum of ~180,000 as the next All-Time High, with 200,000 and 220,000 being possible and ok. Anything lower or predicted earlier is now nullified. The sideways period has been long and strong. Bitcoin is definitely going to blow up. From November 2024 until now we have almost 5 months. That's enough to more than double prices-up, but the consolidation is not yet over. We have some time left. The Altcoins will move first. In the sense that they can produce stronger swings when they breakout. Thank you for reading. Namaste. If you enjoy the article and would like to see more, leave a comment.
Bitcoin is currently testing a key resistance zone around $85,500, where previous price action showed strong selling pressure. A rejection from this level could lead to a short-term pullback towards $83,750 - $83,250 , aligning with a retest of the broken trendline before a potential bullish continuation. ? Entry: $85,200 - $85,500 ? Stop-Loss (SL): $86,000 ? Take-Profit (TP): $83,750, with potential long re-entry from this zone targeting $86,000+ ? Watch for price action confirmation within the resistance zone before entering. If BTC holds above $85,500, the bullish breakout could accelerate. ?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC PREPARING FOR PARABOLIC RUN! #Bitcoin Bollinger Bands and Momentum Point to Major Reversal in Weekly!