Rocket Lab USA NASDAQ:RKLB has risen by more than 400% over the past year, and the space-equipment maker is set to report earnings after the bell next Thursday (Feb. 27). What does technical and fundamental analysis say heading into the results? Let’s have a look: Rocket Lab’s Fundamental Analysis Wall Street is looking for RKLB to report a $0.07 adjusted loss per share on $130.6 million of revenue. That would stand up well to the company’s year-ago comps of $-0.08 in adjusted EPS on $60 million of revenues. If analysts’ consensus forecast is right, then Rocket Lab’s revenues will have grown by about 118% year over year. Investors will also likely focus on management’s forward guidance given that RKLB’s sales have been growing so fast. Rocket Lab has a number of deals in place with the U.S. Defense Department and such private-sector clients as BlackSky Technology NYSE:BKSY , Firefly Aerospace, Kratos Defense & Security NASDAQ:KTOS , Varda Space Industries and French Internet-of-Things constellation operator Kineis. One theme seems to be developing -- that there’s seemingly enough demand for affordable private space-launch services for both Rocket Lab and its Elon Musk-led rival SpaceX to potentially thrive. (Jeff Bezos-backed Blue Origin and some other competitors are also in this "space," but they’re not yet at SpaceX or Rocket Lab’s operational levels.) Rocket Lab’s Technical Analysis Now let’s check out RKLB’s six-month chart as of Wednesday (Feb. 19): https://www.tradingview.com/x/fazQmxNU/ Readers will see that the stock looks like it might be setting up for some coming volatility as its earnings release approaches. Since mid-December on, Rocket Lab has developed what’s called a “closing pennant” formation, denoted by the two diagonal purple lines at right in the chart above. This is a pattern where a stock simultaneously posts lower highs and higher lows -- and once the pattern closes, there’s often an explosive move one way or the other. Unfortunately, this pattern doesn’t signal which direction the stock might go (up or down). Readers will also see that the closing pennant’s lower trendline is lining up with two other technical indicators. First, it’s syncing up with Rocket Lab’s 50-day Simple Moving Average -- or “SMA,” marked by the blue line above. Second, the trend line is lining up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of Rocket Lab’s August-to-January rally (as marked with a gray line above). That combination potentially creates a powerful area of support for the stock. Otherwise, Rocket Lab’s technical indicators aren’t signaling all that much. The stock’s Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart’s top) is neutral, while the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (or “MACD,” marked with gold and black lines and blue bars at bottom) has almost turned bearish. Rocket Lab’s 12-day Exponential Moving Average (or “EMA,” marked with a black line) and 26-day EMA (denoted with a gold line) both remain above zero, with the 12-day line moving below the 26-day one. At the same time, the histogram of Rocket Lab’s 9-day EMA has moved below zero. All of that historically can be bearish for a stock. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle owned RKLB, BKSY and KTOS at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
Whether this develops into a bull trap or a bonafide breakout remains to be seen. Keeping an eye on liquidity dynamics around $100k and Purple Whale order flow. Crypto and risk assets meanwhile stood to benefit from increasing US dollar weakness. https://www.tradingview.com/x/yluZNeTC/
With bearish indices, and displacement in TSLA on H4 time frame the narrative was bearish sentiment from that point of interest. As soon as I saw rejection from the POI, I waited for confirmation of my setup in the 15m and entry on the 5m, with 1: 3.3 risk to reward. The RR target was based on the sell stops resting below creating liquidity with Previous Day Low and Sellside Liquidity.
TAO is bouncing off the support level. A bullish movement is expected to continue and research the resistance level at $588
Why to trust your setup? Today, even though the indices were bearish AAPL did not drop signaling strength in the asset and any retracement in indices meant that AAPL would soar. Based on the setup, the institutional orderflow was bullish, the higher time frame draw on liquidity was the Weekly Equal Highs and lower time frame confirmations of bullish market structure. The only hard part on this trade was the mental capital needed to hold the trade and the time the asset took to deliver to the pre-determined target.
Key Level Zone: 0.5370 - 0.5420 HMT v6 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
ChainLink cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 19.60 (which stopped the previous minor corrective waves b and c, as can be seen below).
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