This trade idea was posted last week even before the major move started. All the narrative and confirmation behind this trade idea was posted in the previous AMD short swing trade post. Those who followed got paid heavy!
if btc close below 85K we will see tia dumping as demonstrated on the chart . DYOR and NFA . Happy trading for u all .
BTC where is the bottom? We just bounced at 86k which was the 1.26 of the current local fib. However, there is nothing else there except the Daily 200EMA. I think we go lower to S3 level for a liquidity grab before bouncing.
? Market Overview Trend: Strong Bearish ? Resistance: $208.50 → EMA 9, acting as short-term resistance Support: $205.00 → Local demand zone Indicators: MACD: Bearish with no reversal signal RSI: 22.63 (Oversold) – high chance of a short-term bounce VWAP: Below average, selling pressure dominates ? Risk: Wells Fargo lowered price target to $203 → Bearish pressure ? Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage) ? Momentum Scalping: Buy: Near $205.50–$206.00, targeting $208.00 (+1.2%) Sell: Near $208.00–$209.50, targeting $205.50 (-1.3%) Stop-loss: Below $204.50 ? Breakout Scalping: Above $210.00: Long to $214.00 (+1.9%) Below $205.00: Short to $203.00 (-0.9%) ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) Bullish above $212: Potential recovery to $220+ Bearish below $205: Possible slide to $200 ? News & Market Context ? Wells Fargo lowered price target to $203 → Negative sentiment ? AMZN is in an oversold zone but lacks a strong catalyst for reversal ? Decision: ? Short-term: Scalp long near $205.50, sell at $208.00+ ? Mid-term: Watch for a $205 breakdown before major moves ? Ideal Play: Short bounces cautiously, confirm reversal before longs ? Final Verdict: "The market rewards the patient and punishes the impulsive." – LucanInvestor
? Market Overview Trend: Strong Bearish ? Resistance: $88.54 → EMA 9, first major ceiling Support: $85.50 → Short-term demand zone Indicators: MACD: Bearish but momentum is slowing RSI: 29.61 (Oversold) – potential bounce VWAP: Below average, sellers maintain control ? Risk: No major news catalyst, but technical weakness dominates ? Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage) ? Momentum Scalping: Buy: Near $85.50–$86.00, targeting $88.00 (+2.3%) Sell: Near $88.00–$89.00, targeting $86.00 (-2.1%) Stop-loss: Below $84.90 ? Breakout Scalping: Above $89.00: Long to $92.00 (+3.4%) Below $85.50: Short to $83.00 (-2.9%) ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) Bullish above $90: Possible retest of $95 if recovery starts Bearish below $85: Likely drop to $80 if breakdown continues ? News & Market Context ? No strong catalysts = Technicals drive the market ? PLTR in oversold conditions but no major bounce signal yet ? Decision: ? Short-term: Scalp long near $85.50, sell at $88.00+ ? Mid-term: Wait for trend confirmation before heavy longs ? Ideal Play: Short bounces, enter aggressive longs above $90 ? Final Verdict: "Patience isn’t weakness—it’s waiting for the perfect strike." – LucanInvestor
... for a 26.33 debit. Comments: Throwing a few bones at this high IVR/IV (57.5/109.4) single name post-earnings, selling the ~84 delta, 2 x expected move call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 26.33/share Max Profit: 1.67 ROC at Max: 6.34% 50% Max: .84 ROC at 50% Max: 3.17% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max/roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Just watch how price came down to the red Centerline. From there the Bulls where waiting. Now we push back up to the white L-MLH. Further potential targets are shown with the green arrows. Just observe it and learn from it. Done4Today §8-)
Market Overview Trend: Strong Bearish ? Resistance: $128.83 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling Support: $126.00 → Short-term demand zone Indicators: MACD: Bearish momentum but flattening RSI: 46.16 (Neutral), no clear reversal signal VWAP: Below average → sellers maintain control ? Risk: Upcoming earnings report tomorrow could trigger volatility ? Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage) ? Momentum Scalping: Buy: Near $126.50–$127.00, targeting $128.50 (+1.2%) Sell: Near $128.50–$129.00, targeting $126.50 (-1.5%) Stop-loss: Below $125.90 ? Breakout Scalping: Above $129.00: Long to $133.00 (+3.1%) Below $126.00: Short to $124.00 (-1.6%) ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks) Bullish above $130: If Nvidia beats earnings expectations, possible $135-$140 retest Bearish below $126: If earnings disappoint, likely drop to $120 ? News & Market Context ? Earnings Report Tomorrow → Nvidia’s Q4 results could cause a major move ? AI Sector Sentiment: Bullish long-term, but short-term risk is high ? Decision: ? Short-term: Scalp long near $126.50, sell at $128.50+ ? Mid-term: Wait for earnings to define the trend ? Ideal Play: Scalp bounces cautiously, big move expected post-earnings ? Final Verdict: "Volatility is the playground of the prepared. Adapt or be left behind." – LucanInvestor
All right, getting ready for 2x 3x my money !!! Luv this dip and the swings. Bubble begins now !!
SEIUSDT – Eyeing a Breakout to $0.8888! ?? SEI has been consolidating after a strong downward trend, but is this the beginning of a major reversal? The 4H chart is showing some key signals that traders should keep an eye on. Let’s break it down: ? Current Market Structure SEI is currently trading at $0.2719, holding above the key support zone at $0.2438. This level is crucial—if it holds, we could see bullish momentum building up. ? EMA Break & Trend Shift? The price is testing the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has acted as resistance in the past. A clean break above this EMA could confirm a trend reversal and push prices higher. ? Major Resistance & Breakout Level ? The ultimate target on my radar? $0.8888 ?. This level represents a key resistance area where a major breakout could occur. If SEI gains enough traction, we could see a strong push towards this price point in the coming months. ? What’s Driving SEI’s Future? Beyond the charts, SEI remains a game-changing Layer 1 blockchain, optimized for decentralized exchanges (DEXes) and NFT trading. With growing adoption and strong fundamentals, SEI has long-term potential, with analysts forecasting prices reaching $1.12+ in 2025 and $3+ by 2030! Key Levels to Watch ? ✅ Support: $0.2438 ✅ Breakout Zone: $0.30 - $0.35 ✅ Major Resistance: $0.8888 ✅ Long-term Target: $1.12+ Final Thoughts ? SEI is showing signs of life, and this could be the start of a bullish move. If momentum picks up and price reclaims key resistance levels, we could see explosive growth in the coming months. Are you watching SEI? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ? ? Follow for more market insights! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR ?